In Asian market, 1,4 Butanediol (BDO) prices experienced a decline in prices. In China prices declined by approximately 6.6% in Q1 2024 compared to Q4 2023. The butanediol (BDO) market in South China remained weak and volatile, with diminished downstream demand and subdued spot trading activity. Some manufacturers with inventory adopted a more aggressive shipping strategy, though actual transactions were constrained by narrow market negotiations. In East China, the BDO market faced similar conditions. Despite efforts by suppliers to maintain price stability, pre-Spring Festival demand remained light, and holding manufacturers were focused on shipping, leading to negotiated prices slightly below market expectations.
In Q2 2024, BDO prices continued to fall, declining by approximately 4% from Q1. The South China BDO market remained weak, with limited news and reduced supply-side support contributing to cautious, bearish market sentiment. Despite efforts by suppliers to stabilize prices, trading activity was constrained, and market focus remained weak. In East China, the BDO market also showed signs of weakness as maintenance facilities resumed operations, further softening supply-side support. Downstream demand remained moderate, with industry players maintaining a cautious outlook, resulting in lacklustre market performance.
As of August 2024, BDO prices in China further declined by 8%. For Q3 2024, 1,4-Butanediol (BDO) prices are expected to remain under pressure due to weak demand in key regions, where sluggish downstream consumption from industries like textiles and construction has been observed. Additionally, as supply chains stabilize, including the restart of previously maintained production facilities, the supply-side pressure will likely continue to weigh on prices.
Looking ahead to Q4 2024 and beyond, the demand for 1,4-butanediol (BDO) is expected to increase due to several key factors. First, the industrial sector, especially in regions like Asia and Europe, is projected to see a rebound in downstream applications, particularly in plastics, automotive, and textile industries. As economic activity picks up, sectors that rely on BDO for producing spandex, polyurethanes, and biodegradable plastics will likely drive higher demand. Moreover, the trend toward sustainable production methods, such as bio-BDO, is gaining traction, with companies investing in environmentally friendly alternatives. This shift is expected to enhance market demand, especially as more industries adopt sustainable practices.