aniline Pricing Assessment

Markets Covered:

Belgium

China

Germany

Hungary

India

Korea

Spain

United States

Aniline Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

In the first quarter of 2024, the global Aniline market saw a notable rise in prices, particularly in Belgium where prices reported at $1476.7/MT, marking an increase of 5.73% from the previous quarter. This upward trend was largely influenced by the strong demand from key sectors like Packaging and Construction, alongside rising feedstock prices. The resurgence of the Construction industry further fuelled Aniline demand, while increased Packaging needs during the Lunar New Year drove up production and distribution volumes. Supply chain disruptions, including factory closures and elevated freight rates, contributed to the upward pressure on prices, with a 2% rise in global capacity utilization compared to 2023 adding to the market strain.

In the second quarter of 2024, Aniline prices in Belgium increased to $1510/MT, reflecting a positive trend of 2.26% from Q1. This rise can be attributed to sustained demand from both the Packaging and Construction sectors. During this period, there was a 7.4% increase in container port volumes and a 10.4% rise in containership supply, which contributed to higher freight rates and exacerbated the bullish market trend. Congestion at major ports in Asia, equipment shortages, and rerouting issues further strained the supply chain, leading to significant price increases. The ongoing demand pressure and logistics challenges were key factors driving the higher prices in this quarter.

By early Q3 2024, Aniline prices had surged to $1630/MT in July, marking a substantial increase of 3.82% from June. This upward movement was driven by a combination of factors including robust global demand and persistent supply chain issues. Despite the overall high supply levels, tight market conditions, and ongoing freight disruptions kept the pressure on prices. Additionally, increasing costs of feedstock and higher production expenses contributed to the price hike. The global market experienced significant fluctuations due to continued congestion at major ports and a scarcity of shipping containers, which further impacted the pricing dynamics.

Looking ahead to Q4 2024, the Aniline market is expected to continue experiencing upward pressure on prices. The approaching festive season is likely to drive increased demand from the Packaging sector. Additionally, rising production costs due to increasing prices of key feedstocks such as benzene and ammonia will contribute to higher Aniline prices. Environmental regulations aimed at reducing emissions from chemical production processes could also impose stricter operational requirements, further pushing up production costs. As manufacturers ramp up production to meet the holiday demand, these factors will likely maintain the upward price trend seen in previous periods.

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is your trusted resource for tracking global aniline price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the aniline market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With , you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence aniline prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with ’s reliable, accurate, and timely aniline market data.

Track 's aniline price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in aniline prices

China’s Environmental Regulations (2017-Present): Stricter environmental policies in China have led to production cuts and increased costs for Aniline, causing price fluctuations as global supply from one of the largest producers was reduced.

COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): The pandemic initially caused a sharp drop in Aniline demand due to economic slowdowns, but as industries adapted, demand rebounded, particularly in the healthcare and packaging sectors, leading to a surge in prices.

US-China Trade Tensions (2018-2019): Trade disputes between the US and China disrupted the global supply chain for Aniline, with tariffs and trade barriers affecting the flow of raw materials and finished products, contributing to price instability.

These events highlight the sensitivity of the Aniline market to a range of global factors and emphasize the importance of monitoring these dynamics to understand price movements.

Methodology and Specifications

aniline Pricing Assessment Research Methodology

Data Collection and Sources

Real-Time Market Data: aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions for Aniline.

On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major Aniline production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics.

Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire Aniline supply chain, from raw material availability (e.g., benzene, ammonia) to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis

Geopolitical Tensions: continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as trade disputes and conflicts, which can significantly impact Aniline prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing.

Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or severe weather, on Aniline production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks.

Regulatory Changes: We track changes in environmental and industrial regulations that can affect Aniline production and pricing. For instance, stricter environmental laws may lead to higher production costs or supply limitations.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global Aniline production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately.

Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming Aniline production capacities, considering new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization.

Demand Forecasting

Sectoral Demand Analysis: provides in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including automotive, textiles, and chemicals. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments.

Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global Aniline pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations.

Pricing Model Development

Dynamic Pricing Models: utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast Aniline prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power.

Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes.

Reporting and Client Support

Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations.

Ongoing Support: offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice.

This research methodology ensures that delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Aniline pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions.

Specifications

Molecular Weight[g/mol]

93.13

CAS No

62-53-3

HS Code

292141

Molecular Formula

C6H5NH2

aniline

Aniline is an aromatic amine with a versatile range of applications. It is primarily used as an intermediate in the production of dyes, pharmaceuticals, and rubber chemicals. Its key role in manufacturing polyurethane, herbicides, and antioxidants highlights its importance in various industrial processes. Aniline's properties make it essential for producing a wide array of chemical products.

Packaging Type

Drum (200 Kgs) (Import-Export-Domestic), ISO Tank (Import-Export-Domestic)

Grades Covered

Technical Grade (>99%)

Incoterms Used

India-Ex Bharuch, India-Ex Mumbai, CIF Nhava Sheva (China), FOB Qingdao, CIF Busan (China), CIF Barcelona (China), FD Antwerp, FD Hamburg, FD Budapest, CIF Houston (China, Belgium)

Synonym

Phenylamine, Aminobenzene.

Quotation Terms:

10-15 MT, 15-20 MT, 20-25 MT

Ex-Location: This incoterm refers to a shipping agreement where the seller makes the goods available at their premises, and the buyer is responsible for all transportation costs, including shipping, insurance, and any other fees.
CIF: CIF refers to the Cost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF) terms for goods. Under CIF terms, the seller is responsible for the cost of goods, insurance, and freight charges until the goods reach the port of destination.
FD: FD stands for Free Delivered where the seller takes full responsibility for delivering goods to the location/port. This ensures the buyer receives the goods at the designated port with all necessary costs, except import duties, covered.
FOB: FOB refers to the Free On-Board shipping term, where the seller is responsible for the cost and risk of delivering the goods to the port. Once the goods are on board the vessel, the responsibility shifts to the buyer for all costs, including shipping and insurance.

Product	Indexes	Data
Product	Indexes	Inspection Result
Aniline	Appearance	Colorless, oily, yellowish, transparent liquid, tending to be darker after being stocked.
No.	Test Item	Standard	Result
1	Purity % ≥	99.90%	99.95%
2	Nitrobenzene%≤	0.01	0.005
3	Moisture %≤	0.30	0.05
4	Freezing Point ℃ ≥	-6.4	-6.0
5	APHA Value ≤	60	40

Applications

Aniline is primarily used as a key intermediate in the production of various chemicals. It serves as a crucial building block for creating substances such as dyes, rubber chemicals, and pharmaceuticals. Aniline is also used to produce products like polyurethane, herbicides, and antioxidants. Its versatility makes it essential in the manufacturing of these diverse and important chemicals.

Disclaimer

Aniline price provided by is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for aniline. disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

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Frequently asked questions

What key factors influence the global pricing of Aniline? +

Aniline pricing is impacted by various factors, including fluctuations in raw material costs such as benzene and nitric acid, which are essential for its production. Additionally, global supply-demand dynamics, production capacities in key regions like China, changes in crude oil prices (which affect feedstock availability), transportation costs, and environmental regulations can also influence pricing. Seasonal demand fluctuations from industries such as rubber, dyes, and pharmaceuticals, as well as geopolitical events affecting trade, play significant roles in pricing trends.

How do supply chain disruptions and regional factors affect aniline prices? +

Supply chain disruptions, particularly in major production hubs like China and Europe, can significantly impact aniline prices. Shortages of raw materials, logistical bottlenecks, or increased tariffs can lead to price surges. Additionally, regional factors such as production facility outages, stricter environmental regulations, and availability of feedstocks like benzene in specific regions can cause price variations. For instance, procurement heads may notice higher prices in regions with limited local production capacity, leading to higher import dependence.

What are the current regional price differences for Aniline, and how can procurement teams leverage these variations? +

Aniline prices differ significantly across regions due to variances in production capacities, raw material access, and transportation costs. For example, Asia, particularly China, is a major producer of aniline and often has more competitive pricing compared to regions like Europe, where stricter regulations and higher production costs drive prices up. Procurement teams can benefit by monitoring regional price trends and diversifying their sourcing strategies, potentially reducing costs by sourcing from lower-priced markets, depending on logistical feasibility and supplier reliability.