Caustic Soda Pricing Assessment
UNSPC: 73101602

  • Commodity Pricing

caustic soda Markets Covered: 

cnChina
deGermany
inIndia
jpJapan
saSaudi Arabia
aeUnited Arab Emirates
usUnited States
auAustralia
brBrazil
fiFinland
frFrance
idIndonesia
mxMexico
nlNetherlands
vnVietnam

caustic soda Markets Covered: 

Global caustic soda Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

By Q1 2025, Caustic Soda prices in the USA (Lye (48-50%) FOB Houston) stabilized at $495/ MT, showing a slight increase of 1.85% from Q4 2024. This stabilization can be attributed to a return to further normal demand situations after the vacation season, as artificial consumption generally situations off post festive period. While demand remains steady from crucial sectors like fabrics and chemicals, force chains began to acclimate, and logistical dislocations eased kindly. As a result, the request set up a balance, leading to a slight increase in prices as the request acclimated to the ongoing requirements of the manufacturing sector. 

In Q4 2024, Caustic Soda prices in the USA (Lye (48-50%) FOB Houston) surged further to $485/ MT, marking an increase of 12.74% from Q3. This shaft was driven by seasonal demand increases, especially from diligence related to the forthcoming vacation season. The packaging assiduity saw significant demand as companies prepared for the gleeful period, driving up consumption of acidulous Soda in manufacturing. also, logistical challenges, similar as tight domestic force chains and rising transportation costs, contributed to the price hike. The time- end swell in demand for drawing products and cleansers also played a pivotal part in tensing the request and pushing prices higher.  

In Q3 2024, the Caustic Soda request in the USA (Lye (48-50%) FOB Houston) continued its upward line, with prices reaching $430/ MT, an increase of 10.21% from Q2. This rise was largely driven by seasonal factors, as the summer months saw heightened demand from diligence like drawing products and water treatment. likewise, the need for acidulous Soda in the paper assiduity remained strong due to advanced demand for bleached paper products as seminaries and businesses proceeded full operations. Domestic product plodded to keep pace with the rising demand, and with force chain dislocations continuing, these factors inclusively led to advanced prices during this quarter.  

In Q2 2024, Caustic Soda prices in the USA (Lye (48-50%) FOB Houston) surged to $390/ MT, reflecting a significant increase of 13.40% compared to Q1. This sharp rise was driven by increased demand across colourful diligence, including chemicals, cleaner product, and fabrics, as the spring season led to advanced consumption. The post-pandemic recovery in the manufacturing sector and a swell in product conditioning, particularly for the food and libation packaging assiduity, further fuelled demand for acidulous Soda. also, tight domestic force chains, coupled with logistical issues, similar as harbourage traffic and vessel dearth’s, led to upward pressure on prices.  

In Q1 2024, the global Caustic Soda request endured a bullish trend, driven by rising demand from diligence similar as Chemicals, Paper, Textiles, and Water Treatment. crucial countries like China, India, Japan, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the USA witnessed this swell. The Caustic Soda request in the USA (Lye (48-50%) FOB Houston) saw a positive trend, with prices reported at $345/ MT, showing an increase of 3.08% from the former quarter. This supplement can be attributed to a steady demand from crucial sectors similar as paper and pulp, fabrics, and cleansers. The early months of 2024 also saw a boost in artificial product as companies ramped up affair after the vacation season, contributing to a rise in Caustic Soda consumption. also, force chain dislocations, including rising freight rates and logistical challenges, played a part in pushing prices higher, despite the ongoing enterprises about global profitable query.  

India caustic soda Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

In Q1 2025, Caustic Soda (Flakes, Purity: >97% (Industrial Grade) Ex-Bharuch) prices saw a slight decrease, falling to $575/MT, which is a drop of 12.88% from Q4. This dip is typically seen after the festive season, as demand from end-use industries slows down and stockpiles are gradually consumed. Additionally, improved logistics and steady production across Indian plants led to a more balanced supply chain. While demand remained consistent from sectors like textiles and water treatment, the market overall moved towards stabilization in the post-festival quarter. 

In Q4 2024, the market saw a sharper rise, with Caustic Soda (Flakes, Purity: >97% (Industrial Grade) Ex-Bharuch) prices reported at $660/MT, marking a significant increase of 15.79% from Q3. This surge was largely driven by festive season demand, especially from the packaging, food processing, and detergent industries, which traditionally ramp up production ahead of festivals like Diwali. On top of that, energy costs remained elevated, and freight challenges during the high-demand period added to the price pressure. Seasonal buying and stocking further pushed demand, causing a noticeable market shift. 

By Q3 2024, Caustic Soda (Flakes, Purity: >97% (Industrial Grade) Ex-Bharuch) prices had inched up again to $570/MT, reflecting a 0.88% increase from the previous quarter. This mild rise can be attributed to consistent demand from the alumina and paper sectors, which remained active during the monsoon season. While some regions witnessed a slowdown due to rainfall-related transportation hurdles, others saw continued industrial usage. At the same time, abundant supply from domestic producers helped to keep prices from spiking too sharply, balancing the market overall. 

In Q2 2024, Caustic Soda (Flakes, Purity: >97% (Industrial Grade) Ex-Bharuch) prices in India continued to climb, reaching around $565/MT, showing a growth of 3.67% from Q1. The rise was mainly due to increased demand from the textile and chemical processing industries, which typically pick up pace in the pre-monsoon period. Moreover, the summer season added to the water treatment demand, as several municipalities and industries increased their operations. Some logistical challenges, such as limited availability of rail wagons and rising energy costs, further contributed to the price hike. 

In Q1 2024, the Indian Caustic Soda (Flakes, Purity: >97% (Industrial Grade) Ex-Bharuch) market saw a slightly bullish trend, with prices reported at $545/MT, marking a 0.93% rise from the previous quarter. This increase was primarily driven by steady demand from key industries such as textiles, pulp & paper, and alumina. The early part of the year often sees stable industrial activity, and this supported the demand for Caustic Soda. Additionally, slight disruptions in domestic transportation during the early months and limited product availability in some regions also contributed to this upward price movement. 

caustic soda Parameters Covered: 

  • Chlorine
  • Sodium Hydroxide
  • Soda Ash
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • USA
  • Soap and detergents, textiles (Bleached fabrics)
  • Paper and pulp (Bleached paper products), Aluminum production (Bauxite refining)
  • Chemicals and textiles (Dyed fabrics)
  • Australia
  • Brazil
  • Mexico

caustic soda Parameters Covered: 

  • Chlorine
  • Sodium Hydroxide
  • Soda Ash
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • Saudi Arabia
  • UAE
  • USA
  • Soap and detergents, textiles (Bleached fabrics)
  • Paper and pulp (Bleached paper products), Aluminum production (Bauxite refining)
  • Chemicals and textiles (Dyed fabrics)
  • Australia
  • Brazil
  • Mexico

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global caustic soda price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the caustic soda market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence caustic soda prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely caustic soda market data.

Track PriceWatch's caustic soda price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Caustic Soda prices

  • Russia Ukraine Conflict (2022-Present): The disruption of chemical production in Europe, particularly in countries like Germany, led to a global supply shortage, causing a spike in Caustic Soda prices due to reduced availability and increased transportation costs. 
  • COVID19 Pandemic (2020-2021): Initially, demand for Caustic Soda dropped as industrial activities slowed. However, as the demand for disinfectants, water treatment, and hygiene products surged, the market experienced a strong rebound, pushing prices higher. 
  • Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Wars (2018-2019): The US-China trade wars disrupted the global chemical supply chain, particularly affecting the flow of Caustic Soda exports from the U.S. to Asia. This resulted in price volatility, as countries sought alternative sources. 
  • Hurricane Harvey (2017): Severe flooding in Texas and Louisiana, where many Caustic Soda plants are located, caused widespread production halts. This led to supply shortages and a temporary surge in prices, particularly in the U.S. market. 

 

These events highlight the sensitivity of the Caustic Soda market to geopolitical, environmental, and economic disruptions. Continuous monitoring of global supply demand dynamics remains essential to managing price volatility. 

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real Time Market Data: PriceWatch collects real time pricing data from various sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our Caustic Soda pricing assessments reflect current market conditions. 
  •  On the Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants such as producers, suppliers, traders, and end users across major Caustic Soda production hubs. This localized intelligence is vital for understanding regional market dynamics. 
  •  Supply Chain Monitoring: We closely monitor the entire Caustic Soda supply chain, including raw material availability (e.g., sodium chloride, lime), production capabilities, and distribution channels. This includes tracking feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics to ensure accurate market representation. 

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch constantly monitors global geopolitical events, such as trade disputes or political instability, that can disrupt Caustic Soda supply chains and affect pricing. We analyse the immediate and long-term impacts of these developments on global supply and demand. 
  •  Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the effects of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or floods, on Caustic Soda production facilities, particularly in regions like the U.S. Gulf Coast and China. These events often result in supply disruptions and are factored into our price forecasts and outlook. 
  •  Regulatory and Environmental Changes: PriceWatch tracks changes in environmental regulations, especially in major producing countries like China and India, where stricter environmental laws can lead to production slowdowns and price increases.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain an extensive database of global Caustic Soda production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to accurately assess current supply availability and its impact on market prices. 
  •  Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming Caustic Soda production capacities, incorporating new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps predict future supply trends and potential price stabilization or increases.

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides in depth analysis of demand trends across key industries like pulp and paper, textiles, chemicals, and water treatment. We monitor year on year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology accounts for regional demand variations and their influence on global Caustic Soda pricing. We examine the effects of shifts in industrial bases, changes in trade policies, and evolving environmental regulations to forecast demand more accurately. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast Caustic Soda prices, incorporating real time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to ensure high accuracy and predictive power. 
  •  Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best case, worst case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes and make well informed decisions. 

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current Caustic Soda price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and strategic recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have access to the most up to date information to make informed business decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice when needed. 

This research methodology ensures that Price Watch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Caustic Soda pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make well informed decisions in a dynamic global market. 

Molecular Weight[g/mol]

40.00 g/mol

CAS No

497-19-8

HS Code

281511 (Flakes), 281512 (Lye)

Molecular Formula

NaOH
caustic soda

Caustic Soda, also known as sodium hydroxide (NaOH), is a highly versatile and strong alkaline chemical widely used in various industries. It plays a crucial role in applications such as paper and pulp production, water treatment, textiles, and chemical manufacturing. Caustic Soda is typically available in solid, liquid, or flake forms and is known for its ability to neutralize acids and break down organic materials.

Packaging Type

HDPE Bags (50 Kgs) (Import-Export-Domestic), Jumbo Bags (1.25 MT) (Domestic), Intermediate Bulk Containers (IBC-1.5 MT) (Import-Export-Domestic), Tanker (Import-Export-Domestic)

Grades Covered

Flakes (Purity: >97%) (Industrial Grade, Industrial Grade (Bulk)), Lye (32%, 48-50%)

Incoterms Used

Ex-Bharuch, FOB-Qingdao, FOB-Yokohama, FOB-Jeddah, FOB-Jebel Ali, FOB-Houston, CIF-Sydney (China), CIF-Santos (USA), CIF-Manzanillo (USA), Ex-West India, Ex-North India, Ex-East India, Ex- Chennai, Ex-South India.

Synonym

Sodium Hydroxide, Sodium Hydrate.

PriceWatch Quotation Terms:

25-30 MT (Export-Import), 15-20 MT (Domestic)

Ex-Location: This incoterm refers to a shipping agreement where the seller makes the goods available at their premises, and the buyer is responsible for all transportation costs, including shipping, insurance, and any other fees.
CIF: CIF refers to the Cost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF) terms for goods. Under CIF terms, the seller is responsible for the cost of goods, insurance, and freight charges until the goods reach the port of destination.
FD: FD stands for Free Delivered where the seller takes full responsibility for delivering goods to the location/port. This ensures the buyer receives the goods at the designated port with all necessary costs, except import duties, covered.
FOB: FOB refers to the Free On-Board shipping term, where the seller is responsible for the cost and risk of delivering the goods to the port. Once the goods are on board the vessel, the responsibility shifts to the buyer for all costs, including shipping and insurance.

S. No.  Test   Lye Specifications  Flake Specifications 
1.  Sodium Hydroxide as NaOH  48% Min  97% Min 
2.  Sodium Carbonate as Na₂CO₃  0.20% Max  0.40% Max 
3.  Chloride as Cl  0.015% Max  0.03% Max 
5.  Iron as Fe  10 ppm Max.  20 ppm Max. 

Applications

Caustic Soda is a highly versatile chemical used in a variety of applications. It serves primarily as a key ingredient in producing other important substances, including: 

  • Paper and Pulp: Used in the processing of wood to make paper. 
  • Alumina: Essential in extracting aluminum from bauxite ore. 
  • Textiles: Involved in dyeing and processing fabrics. 
  • Soap and Detergents: A key component in cleaning product production. 
  • Water Treatment: Helps in purifying water and neutralizing acidic waste. 

 

These applications highlight Caustic Soda’s crucial role in multiple industries and everyday products. 

Caustic Soda price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for caustic soda. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

Caustic soda prices are influenced by several factors, including the cost of raw materials, such as salt and energy, production capacity, and operational efficiency of chlor-alkali plants. Supply-demand imbalances, particularly from key regions like Asia and Europe, can also drive price fluctuations. Additionally, transportation costs, government regulations, and environmental policies (especially regarding carbon emissions) impact pricing. Global economic conditions and the availability of caustic soda in downstream industries like pulp and paper, textiles, and chemicals further influence market prices.

Energy costs, particularly electricity, play a significant role in caustic soda pricing since the chlor-alkali process is highly energy-intensive. Any fluctuations in energy prices, especially in countries with high electricity costs, directly impact the cost of production. Feedstock like salt also affects pricing; a shortage or cost increase in these materials can drive up caustic soda prices. Procurement teams should closely monitor energy markets and global salt supply to forecast price movements.

Regional price differences for caustic soda are driven by factors such as local production capacity, energy costs, environmental regulations, and transportation expenses. For instance, regions with higher energy efficiency or access to cheaper energy sources may offer lower prices. In contrast, Europe, with stricter environmental policies, tends to have higher caustic soda prices compared to regions like China or the Middle East. Procurement heads should consider regional price variations and adjust their sourcing strategies to capitalize on cost-effective regions while maintaining reliable supply chains.

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