Cobalt Pricing Assessment

  • Commodity Pricing

cobalt Markets Covered: 

cnChina
nlNetherlands
usUnited States

cobalt Markets Covered: 

Global cobalt Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

Q1 2025 

In the first quarter of 2025, cobalt experienced a notable price decline, dropping by $22,067 per metric ton, Ex-Shanghai which represents a 2.06% decrease. This downturn reflects a combination of factors including easing supply chain constraints, moderated demand from key sectors such as electric vehicle manufacturing, and possibly increased inventory levels.

While cobalt remains a critical component in battery technology, the price adjustment suggests market participants are recalibrating expectations amid shifting economic conditions and raw material availability. This price movement may impact both producers and consumers by influencing production costs and investment strategies in the cobalt supply chain going forward. 

Q4 2024 

In Q4 2024, cobalt prices experienced a notable decline, dropping by $22,531 per metric ton, Ex-Shanghai which represents a 3.71% decrease compared to the previous quarter. This price reduction reflects weakening demand pressures, possibly due to a slowdown in key end markets such as electric vehicle production and battery manufacturing.

Additionally, increased supply from mining expansions or stockpile releases may have contributed to the downward trend. Market sentiment could also be influenced by broader economic uncertainties, including inflation concerns and geopolitical factors affecting commodity markets. Overall, the significant price drop signals a cautious outlook for cobalt in the near term, prompting stakeholders to closely monitor demand-supply dynamics and potential shifts in global trade flows. 

Q3 2024 

In Q3 2024, cobalt prices experienced a significant decline, dropping by $23,400 per metric ton, Ex-Shanghai which corresponds to a 12.95% decrease. This sharp fall suggests a combination of factors such as weakening demand from key industries like electric vehicle manufacturing, increased supply from major producers, or shifts in market sentiment possibly influenced by macroeconomic conditions or geopolitical developments.

The price correction may reflect a temporary oversupply or concerns about slower growth in cobalt-intensive technologies. Market participants should closely monitor inventory levels, production forecasts, and end-user demand to better understand the potential for price stabilization or further volatility in the coming quarters.

Q2 2024 

In Q2 2024, cobalt prices experienced a significant decline, dropping by $26,800 per metric ton, Ex-Shanghai which represents a 5.12% decrease compared to the previous quarter. This downward trend reflects a combination of factors, including weakening demand from the electric vehicle and electronics sectors, where cobalt is a critical component, as well as potential easing of supply chain constraints.

Additionally, increased production from key cobalt-producing regions may have contributed to an oversupply in the market, further pressuring prices. The price correction signals a period of market adjustment, prompting stakeholders to reassess supply strategies and demand forecasts for the remainder of the year.

Q1 2024 

In Q1 2024, cobalt experienced a significant price decline, dropping by $28,331 per metric ton, Ex-Shanghai which equates to an 8.29% decrease. This sharp fall reflects a combination of weakening demand pressures and possibly increased supply or inventory levels in the market. The price adjustment indicates caution among buyers, likely driven by concerns over slower growth in key end-use sectors such as electric vehicle manufacturing and electronics.

Additionally, macroeconomic uncertainties and shifts in commodity markets may have contributed to the downward trend. Overall, the decrease suggests a more cautious outlook for cobalt in the near term, with market participants closely monitoring demand recovery and supply chain dynamics. 

 

India cobalt Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

cobalt Parameters Covered: 

  • Cobalt 
  • USA and Netherlands
  • Cobalt (Battery Manufacturing, Superalloys, Medical Applications, Hard Metals & Tools, Pigments & Coatings, Catalysts & Chemicals, Magnetic Materials, Research & Development.)
  • China and India 

cobalt Parameters Covered: 

  • Cobalt 
  • USA and Netherlands
  • Cobalt (Battery Manufacturing, Superalloys, Medical Applications, Hard Metals & Tools, Pigments & Coatings, Catalysts & Chemicals, Magnetic Materials, Research & Development.)
  • China and India 

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global cobalt price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the cobalt market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence cobalt prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely cobalt market data.

Track PriceWatch's cobalt price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Cobalt prices

  • Global Supply Chain and Logistical Disruptions (2022–2023): Ongoing shipping bottlenecks, rising energy costs, and pandemic-related labour shortages impacted the mining and refining of cobalt, exacerbating supply-demand imbalances and price volatility. 
  • Supply Concentration and Political Instability (2021–2022): The majority of cobalt supply originates from the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), where political instability, regulatory uncertainties, and ethical concerns regarding artisanal mining practices disrupted supply, contributing to price fluctuations. 
  • Electric Vehicle (EV) Boom (2020–2021): The rapid expansion of the electric vehicle market significantly increased demand for lithium-ion batteries, where cobalt is a key component. This surge in demand led to upward pressure on cobalt prices. 

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: We gather information from global exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary sources to provide timely and accurate assessments. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: We incorporate insights from producers, suppliers, and end-users across key production regions to offer a comprehensive view of market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the availability and cost of raw materials  to evaluate supply conditions and price pressures. 

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: We monitor political and economic events that impact supply chains and the flow of cobalt production. 
  • Market Demand Shifts: Our analysis considers global shifts in industrial and consumer demand, particularly in sectors like automotive, electronics, and renewable energy. 

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We assess operational Cobalt production facilities and their output levels. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: We forecast future production capabilities, factoring in technological advancements and production expansions.

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: We evaluate demand from major sectors such as automotive catalysts, renewable energy, and electronics. 
  • Regional Demand Dynamics: We assess demand from key markets and regions, especially China, the Netherlands, and the USA, and their impact on global pricing.

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: Our pricing models incorporate real-time data, historical trends, and market projections. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We perform scenario-based forecasting, assessing potential market conditions under various economic, geopolitical, and technological developments. 

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: We provide actionable insights, forecasting, and detailed analysis of current and future price trends. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch delivers continuous updates and expert advice tailored to your business needs. 

Molecular Weight[g/mol]

CAS No

HS Code

260500

Molecular Formula

cobalt

Cobalt is a hard, lustrous, silver-gray metal known for its exceptional strength, high-temperature stability, and corrosion resistance. It is primarily used in the production of high-performance alloys, particularly in the aerospace, energy, and defense industries. Cobalt enhances the durability and performance of superalloys used in jet engines, gas turbines, and power plants. It also plays a vital role in rechargeable battery technologies, magnetic materials, and catalytic processes. Its unique properties make cobalt indispensable in applications requiring reliability under extreme conditions.

Packaging Type

250kg Steel drum

Grades Covered

99.8%min.

Incoterms Used

Ex-Shanghai, FD Rotterdam, Del Baltimore

Synonym

PriceWatch Quotation Terms:

Ex-Location: This incoterm refers to a shipping agreement where the seller makes the goods available at their premises, and the buyer is responsible for all transportation costs, including shipping, insurance, and any other fees.
CIF: CIF refers to the Cost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF) terms for goods. Under CIF terms, the seller is responsible for the cost of goods, insurance, and freight charges until the goods reach the port of destination.
FD: FD stands for Free Delivered where the seller takes full responsibility for delivering goods to the location/port. This ensures the buyer receives the goods at the designated port with all necessary costs, except import duties, covered.
FOB: FOB refers to the Free On-Board shipping term, where the seller is responsible for the cost and risk of delivering the goods to the port. Once the goods are on board the vessel, the responsibility shifts to the buyer for all costs, including shipping and insurance.

Property  Specification 
Chemical Symbol  Co 
Atomic Number  27 
Purity  Typically, ≥ 99.8% (High Purity Grade) 
Density  8.90 g/cm³ 
Melting Point  1,495°C (2,723°F) 
Boiling Point  2,927°C (5,301°F) 
Electrical Resistivity  6.24 μΩ·cm at 20°C 
Hardness  Mohs scale: ~5 
Magnetic Properties  Ferromagnetic 
Color  Silvery gray 
Thermal Conductivity  100 W/m·K 

Applications

  • Aerospace & Aviation: Cobalt-based superalloys are essential in jet engines and gas turbines due to their ability to retain strength and resist corrosion and oxidation at high temperatures, improving performance and longevity.
  • Batteries & Energy Storage: Cobalt is a critical component in lithium-ion batteries, widely used in electric vehicles (EVs), portable electronics, and renewable energy storage systems, enhancing energy density, battery life, and charge retention.
  • Medical & Healthcare: Cobalt alloys are used in orthopaedic implants, dental prosthetics, and medical instruments thanks to their biocompatibility, corrosion resistance, and mechanical strength.
  • Magnets & Electronics: Cobalt is used in the production of powerful permanent magnets (such as Alnico and samarium-cobalt) for applications in electric motors, sensors, and electronic devices.
  • Catalysts & Chemical Industry: Cobalt compounds act as catalysts in petroleum refining, Fischer-Tropsch synthesis, and chemical production, aiding in cleaner fuel processing and chemical reactions.
  • Hard Metals & Cutting Tools: Cobalt is a key binder in tungsten carbide cutting tools, enhancing hardness, thermal resistance, and wear properties for industrial machining and drilling.
  • Glass & Ceramics: Cobalt compounds are used as pigments to produce rich blue colours in glass, ceramics, inks, and paints, offering both aesthetic and functional benefits.
  • Other Applications: Cobalt is also found in alloys for marine and nuclear applications, electroplating, and magnetic recording media, where high durability, magnetic properties, and resistance to extreme conditions are required.
Cobalt price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for cobalt. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

Raw Material Availability – Cobalt is primarily mined as a byproduct of copper and nickel mining. Limited supply, particularly from major producers like the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), heavily impacts prices.

Global Demand – Cobalt is essential in lithium-ion batteries used in electric vehicles (EVs), electronics, and energy storage systems. Rising demand from the EV sector can drive prices upward.

Geopolitical Stability – Political unrest or regulatory changes in cobalt-producing countries, especially the DRC, can disrupt supply chains and increase prices.

Environmental and Ethical Regulations – Increasing focus on ethical sourcing and environmental standards can influence supply chain operations and production costs, affecting prices.

Processing and Refining Costs – Cobalt requires extensive refining, often done in specific countries like China. Changes in energy, labor, and processing costs influence the final market price.

Market Speculation and Investment Trends – Commodities trading and speculation by investors can lead to short-term price volatility.

Exchange Rates – As cobalt is traded globally, fluctuations in currency values—especially USD, which is the standard trading currency—affect prices in different markets.

Technological Developments – Innovations in battery technology or alternative materials that reduce cobalt dependence can impact long-term demand and pricing.

The availability and cost of raw materials such as high-carbon steel and alloy coatings directly affect cobalt production costs and pricing.

Cobalt prices generally rise with inflation, driven by higher extraction and processing costs. However, demand from the battery, electronics, and electric vehicle industries plays a key role in sustaining price levels, often amplifying price movements beyond typical inflationary trends.

PriceWatch offers a range of tools and services to track commodity prices effectively:

Real-Time Data: Access market intelligence and data on global cobalt supply chains.

Expert Analysis: Insights on market trends and potential risks.

Risk Assessment: Tools to evaluate supply chain vulnerabilities.

Benchmarking: Compare cobalt prices and sourcing practices.

Supplier Intelligence: Information on supplier reliability and financial health.

PriceWatch Login