Cold Rolled Coil Pricing Assessment
UNSPC: 30102204

  • Commodity Pricing

cold rolled coil Markets Covered: 

inIndia
cnChina
usUnited States
gbUnited Kingdom

cold rolled coil Markets Covered: 

Global cold rolled coil Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

Q1 2025 

In Q1 2025, Cold Rolled Coil (CRC) prices rose in the UK, USA, and India, but declined in China. In China, CRC prices settled at USD 575/MT, FOB Shanghai marking a drop from the previous quarter, reflecting persistent market weakness and oversupply as against at USD 580/MT, FOB Shanghai in last quarter. Meanwhile, the UK and US markets experienced price increases, supported by improved demand and tighter supply. In the US, CRC prices climbed significantly in early 2025, buoyed by domestic demand and protective tariffs. The UK market also saw firmer prices, with buyers returning and producers maintaining higher offers. India’s CRC prices increased due to robust demand from the automotive and infrastructure sectors. Across these regions, positive market sentiment and supply constraints contributed to price gains. However, China’s market remained under pressure from weak domestic consumption and high production.  

In Q4 2024, CRC prices in last quarter 2024 fell which 7% price rise in China. The market remained under pressure from oversupply, and fluctuating raw material costs, which capped any significant price rebounds. In India, domestic demand supported some price stability, especially from infrastructure projects, but competition from imports and global trade uncertainties kept prices relatively flat. Despite some recovery, the overall market remained cautious due to ongoing economic concerns and supply-demand imbalances. 

In Q3 2024, Prices in the third quarter showed decline in major economies. Domestic CRC prices fell in India by 4% in Q32024, in China by 9%, USA by 11% and the United Kingdom by 2% as against fourth quarter 2023. Sluggish demand from key sectors like automotive and construction, coupled with an oversupply of steel, put downward pressure on prices. High interest rates reduced investment and financing, leading to slower economic activity.

Additionally, a decline in crude steel production, fluctuating raw material costs, and price cuts by major steelmakers to clear excess inventory further reinforced the bearish sentiment. In both developed and emerging economies, crude steel manufacturing declined in Q3 2024. This reduction was partly due to higher operational costs, particularly from energy prices and raw materials costs. The slowdown in steel production, in turn, led to a decreased need for the CRC. These factors combined to drive a notable reduction in CRC prices during the quarter. 

In Q2 2024, Global CRC prices showed a drop in Q2 2024 after the volatility in Q1. However, regional markets experienced varied trends based on local demand and production conditions. The US and UK market saw a significant decline of 10% in prices, primarily due to weak demand and an oversupply of steel. Contributing factors include high interest rates, reduced production activity, and a drop in crude steel manufacturing. As a result, major steelmakers significantly adjusted their prices, further deepening the market’s bearish outlook. Prices in India edged down by 1% and from China by 9%, respectively. 

In Q1 2024, CRC prices in global markets saw fluctuations during Q1 2024, with prices increasing slightly in some regions due to strong demand and continued recovery in key industries like automotive and construction. However, some regions also experienced price corrections due to overproduction or slower demand. In Europe, CRC prices showed a 10% increase, mainly due to higher energy prices, the cost of raw materials, and a reduction in steel production capacity. Indian and Chinese market edged down on a quarterly basis in Q1 2024.  

India cold rolled coil Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

Q1 2025 

In Q1 2025, CRC prices showed a modest recovery, rising to $683/MT, a 1.2% increase over the previous quarter. This uptick was supported by a gradual revival in demand from the automotive and infrastructure sectors, as government spending on public projects picked up post-monsoon. Downstream industries began restocking in anticipation of improved business activity. Mills, having reduced inventories in the previous quarters, were able to hold prices firmer. Export demand also showed slight improvement, with Indian CRC becoming more attractive to buyers in the Middle East and Africa. Overall, market sentiment turned cautiously optimistic, with expectations of further recovery in the coming quarters. 

Q4 2024 

CRC prices were in downward trajectory in Q4 2024, averaging $675/MT, a 3.9% drop from Q3. The market struggled with persistent oversupply as mills maintained high production rates despite weak demand. Year-end inventory clearance sales further pressured prices. Demand from key sectors like automotive and white goods remained sluggish, and export opportunities were limited due to global oversupply and competitive offers from other Asian producers. Mills focused on cash flow management and reducing stock levels, but the overall market mood remained pessimistic, with little hope for a near-term recovery. 

Q3 2024 

In Q3 2024, CRC prices fell more sharply to $702/MT, marking a 4.5% quarter-on-quarter decline. The onset of the monsoon season led to a significant slowdown in construction and infrastructure activities, further dampening demand. The automotive sector also faced headwinds, with manufacturers reporting lower sales and inventory build-up. Imports remained steady, adding to the supply glut. Mills adopted aggressive pricing strategies to clear inventories, but this only accelerated the price decline. Market sentiment was bearish, and many buyers opted to wait for further corrections before making significant purchases. 

Q2 2024 

CRC prices dipped further to $735/MT in Q2 2024, a 1.08% decrease from the previous quarter. The market was characterized by continued weak demand, especially from the infrastructure sector, where project execution was slow due to funding delays and monsoon preparations. Export competitiveness was also challenged by lower-priced offers from China and Vietnam, making it harder for Indian mills to secure overseas orders. Domestic buyers delayed purchases, expecting additional price drops. Mills attempted to support prices through production cuts, but oversupply persisted, keeping the market under pressure throughout the quarter. 

Q1 2024 
 
During Q1 2024, prices softened to $744/MT, reflecting a 1.6% quarter-on-quarter decline. The post-festive season typically sees a lull in demand, and this was evident as automotive and construction activity slowed. Stockists held higher inventories, leading to reduced fresh bookings. Additionally, the global steel market was subdued, with export orders from traditional markets such as Europe and the Middle East declining. Mills responded by offering discounts to stimulate demand, but buyers remained cautious, anticipating further price corrections. The overall sentiment was bearish, with market participants focusing on inventory management rather than aggressive procurement. 

cold rolled coil Parameters Covered: 

  • HRC 
  • China
  • India 
  • CRC (Automotive industry, construction, appliance manufacturing, railways, packaging) 
  • UK
  • USA 

cold rolled coil Parameters Covered: 

  • HRC 
  • China
  • India 
  • CRC (Automotive industry, construction, appliance manufacturing, railways, packaging) 
  • UK
  • USA 

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global cold rolled coil price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the cold rolled coil market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence cold rolled coil prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely cold rolled coil market data.

Track PriceWatch's cold rolled coil price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Cold Rolled Coil prices

  • Global Supply Chain Disruption (2022): The war in Ukraine and other geopolitical tensions disrupted supply chains, leading to price volatility in various commodities, including CRC. 
  • Global Economic Downturn (2019-2020): The global economic slowdown, particularly in sectors like steel and automotive, led to reduced demand for CRC, resulting in lower prices. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2019-2020): The global pandemic led to a significant decline in demand for CRC-intensive industries, such as steelmaking and automotive manufacturing, causing prices to plummet. 
  • Impact on Investment and Financing: Elevated interest rates globally, particularly in major economies like the U.S. and Europe, made financing more expensive for businesses.  

 

These events underscore the CRC market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics. 

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major CRC production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire CRC supply chain, from raw material availability to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics. 

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, which can significantly impact CRC prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing. 
  • Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or winter storms, on CRC production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions like the APAC coasts. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks. 
  • Economic Shifts: PriceWatch evaluates macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (e.g., automotive, packaging, to predict shifts in CRC demand and corresponding price movements.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global CRC production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming CRC production capacities, factoring in new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization. 

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides an in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including packaging, automotive, and construction. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global CRC pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast CRC prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most-likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes. 

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice. 

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable CRC pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions.

Molecular Weight[g/mol]

CAS No

HS Code

72251920

Molecular Formula

cold rolled coil

A cold rolled coil (CRC) is a type of steel product produced by further processing hot rolled coil (HRC) through a process where the steel is cooled to room temperature and then passed through rollers to achieve the desired thickness and surface finish. Unlike HRC, the cold rolling process is done at room temperature, which increases the strength, hardness, and surface smoothness of the steel. This results in a product with superior dimensional accuracy and a more polished finish, making it ideal for applications in industries like automotive, appliances, and construction.

Packaging Type

Container

Grades Covered

DC01 1.00mm, SPCC 1.0mm, IS513 - 0.9mm, SAE 1008 1.0mm

Incoterms Used

FOB Shanghai (China), Ex-Mumbai (India), Ex-Alabama (USA), FD Sheffield (UK)

Synonym

CRC

PriceWatch Quotation Terms:

15-18 MT

Ex-Location: This incoterm refers to a shipping agreement where the seller makes the goods available at their premises, and the buyer is responsible for all transportation costs, including shipping, insurance, and any other fees.
CIF: CIF refers to the Cost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF) terms for goods. Under CIF terms, the seller is responsible for the cost of goods, insurance, and freight charges until the goods reach the port of destination.
FD: FD stands for Free Delivered where the seller takes full responsibility for delivering goods to the location/port. This ensures the buyer receives the goods at the designated port with all necessary costs, except import duties, covered.
FOB: FOB refers to the Free On-Board shipping term, where the seller is responsible for the cost and risk of delivering the goods to the port. Once the goods are on board the vessel, the responsibility shifts to the buyer for all costs, including shipping and insurance.

Property  Specification 
Carbon Content (%)  0.02 – 0.12 
Thickness (mm)  0.25 – 3.0 
Width (mm)  600 – 2050 
Yield Strength (MPa)  180 – 450 
Tensile Strength (MPa)  270 – 600 

Applications

  • Automotive Industry: manufacturing body panels, door panels 
  • Construction: Door frames and windows 
  • Appliance Manufacturing: refrigerators, washing machines, and ovens 
  • Railways: manufacturing rails, railcars 
  • Packaging: production of steel drums, cans. 
Cold Rolled Coil price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for cold rolled coil. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

The pricing of Cold Rolled Coil (CRC) is influenced by a range of raw materials, market, economic, and geopolitical factors. Here is a detailed breakdown of the key factors:

1. Raw Material Costs

Hot Rolled Coil (HRC): CRC is made from HRC, so HRC price is the most direct input cost.

Iron ore and coking coal prices: These influence the cost of steel production upstream.

Scrap metal prices (if using EAF method): Affects steelmaking input cost.

2. Manufacturing and Processing Costs

Energy and labor costs: CRC production involves more processing than HRC (pickling, rolling, annealing), making it more energy- and labor-intensive.

Plant utilization and efficiency: Higher plant utilization can reduce per-unit costs, impacting price competitiveness.

3. Global and Domestic Demand

Automotive industry: CRC is widely used in car bodies—automotive demand has a major impact.

Consumer durables: Appliances (refrigerators, washing machines) drive CRC consumption.

Construction: Especially in interior finishes and light structural components.

4. Supply Conditions

Production levels and capacity utilization: Overcapacity can depress prices; tight supply pushes prices up.

Maintenance shutdowns or outages: Temporary reductions in output can lead to price spikes.

5. Import-Export Trends

Import duties and tariffs: Trade barriers (anti-dumping duties, safeguard measures) can increase the price of imported CRC or protect domestic prices.

Global supply chain: Disruptions (e.g., shipping delays, geopolitical tensions) can influence availability and cost.

6. Government Policies & Regulations

Environmental regulations: Tighter emission norms can raise production costs.

Subsidies or tax incentives: May artificially reduce pricing pressures in certain markets.

7. Inflation and Interest Rates

Higher inflation or borrowing costs can reduce end-user demand and slow construction or manufacturing, which lowers CRC demand.

Feedstock prices have a direct and significant impact on cold rolled coil (CRC) prices, as CRC is produced by further processing hot rolled coil (HRC), which itself is derived from raw materials like iron ore, coking coal, and scrap metal. When feedstock prices such as HRC rise due to increased costs of iron ore or coal, the production cost of CRC also increases, pushing its market price higher. Conversely, a drop in raw material costs typically lowers CRC prices, assuming stable demand. As feedstock accounts for a major portion of CRC production expenses, fluctuations in these input prices are a primary driver of CRC price volatility in the market.

PriceWatch, a leading procurement intelligence firm, offers a comprehensive suite of tools and services to help you effectively track commodity prices.

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