Ethanol Price Trend and Forecast

Ethanol Price Trend Q3 2025

In Q3 2025, the global Ethanol market exhibited a firm upward trend driven by resilient international demand, tightening inventories, and stable freight conditions. In the United States, prices advanced steadily through the quarter as strong export momentum and consistent industrial consumption supported market strength.

Similarly, Brazil recorded sustained ethanol price gains amid limited production due to a constrained harvest season and active buying interest from Asia and Latin America. Both regions maintained positive sentiment supported by steady procurement activity and balanced supply fundamentals. Elevated ethanol price levels are expected to persist into the next quarter, with continued firmness anticipated across major exporting regions.

Thailand: Ethanol import prices CIF LAEM CHABANG, USA, Grade Anhydrous.

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in Thailand demonstrated a steady upward trajectory supported by firm export demand, tightening US feedstock supplies, and strong market fundamentals. Ethanol Prices progressively increased from July through September as corn-based production costs and FOB quotations in the USA trended higher, reflecting constrained availability and seasonal demand in both domestic and Southeast Asian markets.

Throughout the quarter, freight charges remained largely stable, ensuring consistent logistics and moderating sharp cost escalations despite strong export momentum. Ethanol price trend ranged between USD 736–830 per metric ton, marking a cumulative quarterly gain driven by increasing FOB values and limited supply. Import inquiries across the region remained active, reinforcing competitive market conditions.

Overall, the quarter concluded In September 2025, Ethanol prices with a +9.93%, underscoring the sustained bullish sentiment in the US-origin ethanol market. Short-term procurement opportunities are advised to be secured early, as continued FOB strength and regional demand are expected to maintain upward price pressure into the next quarter.

Egypt: Ethanol import prices CIF Alexandria, USA, Grade Anhydrous.

In Q3 2025, Ethanol price in Egypt followed a firm upward trajectory, supported by ongoing export demand, restricted US corn feedstock, and solid market fundamentals. Prices moved consistently higher from July through September as FOB quotations in the USA strengthened amid tight supply availability and active competition from international buyers.

Seasonal demand patterns added further support to pricing, while steady import volumes reflected continued procurement momentum in the Egyptian market. Ethanol price trend ranged between USD 647-855 per metric ton, securing a cumulative gain driven by higher FOB values and constrained US exports. Buyer activity remained strong, with competitive market dynamics influencing transaction speeds and securing supply positions.

Overall, the quarter closed In September 2025, Ethanol prices with a +9.52% rise, reinforcing the bullish sentiment in US-origin ethanol for Egyptian buyers. Prompt procurement is recommended as sustained export strength and disciplined US supply allocation are expected to maintain firm pricing into the upcoming quarter.

Belgium: Ethanol import prices CIF Antwerp, Grade Anhydrous (USA & Brazil Origin).

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in Belgium imported from both the USA and Brazil exhibited a firm upward momentum, reflecting global supply constraints and consistent industrial demand across Europe. US-origin ethanol prices advanced steadily through the quarter as rising corn feedstock costs and tighter supply allocation pushed FOB prices higher.

Brazilian-origin shipments similarly strengthened, supported by seasonal production limits and steady export interest from European buyers. Industrial consumption from chemical and blending sectors further sustained the regional price trend, keeping procurement activity firm throughout the period.

For US-origin ethanol, import prices ranged between USD 602-805 per metric ton, registering a cumulative quarterly increase driven by limited supply and firm export allocation from US producers. Brazilian-origin ethanol showed similar strength, with Ethanol price trend spanning USD 755-925 per metric ton throughout the quarter, influenced by tight shipping schedules and moderated freight reductions early in the period.

Overall, the quarter ended In September 2025, Ethanol prices with a significant +10.95% increase for US-origin and +7.32% for Brazil-origin Ethanol. The continued firmness in CIF Antwerp prices reflected strong export fundamentals from both origins, alongside persistent buyer activity in the European market. Procurement should be planned proactively as global feedstock tightness and export prioritization are expected to sustain elevated pricing levels into the next quarter.

Colombia: Ethanol import prices CIF Barranquilla, USA, Grade  Anhydrous

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in Colombia registered a strong upward momentum, driven by firm global demand and tightening supply conditions in the United States. Prices moved consistently higher from July through September as constrained corn-based feedstock and elevated production costs supported stronger FOB quotations.

Colombian buyers displayed active procurement interest throughout the quarter, maintaining steady import flow amid a competitive market landscape. Ethanol price trend ranged between USD 654-925 per metric ton, reflecting a notable quarterly increase. The sharp jump in September was particularly influenced by stronger Colombian inquiries and limited allocation from US exporters, resulting in elevated landed costs.

Firm regional demand and consistent trading activity further reinforced upward pricing sentiment. The quarter concluded In September 2025, Ethanol prices with a substantial +17.57% rise, marking one of the strongest quarterly gains among major ethanol-importing regions. Prompt procurement is recommended as persistent logistical challenges and firm export prices are expected to sustain elevated CIF levels into the next quarter.

South Korea: Ethanol import prices CIF Busan, Grade Anhydrous (USA & Brazil Origin).

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in South Korea showed consistent upward momentum, supported by firm market fundamentals, steady Asian demand, and tightening supply from both the USA and Brazil. Buyers actively secured volumes throughout the quarter as regional blending and industrial requirements maintained solid import interest. The firm global demand for biofuels and consistent feedstock tightening across origin markets added further bullish pressure on price movements.

For US-origin ethanol price trend ranged between USD 617-820 per metric ton during the quarter, marking a significant cumulative increase driven by higher FOB quotations and limited allocation from US producers. Brazilian-origin ethanol followed a similar trend, with prices between USD 727 – 880 per metric ton, supported by steady FOB strength and controlled export supply to Asian destinations.

Competitive buying behaviour and stable freight dynamics contributed to sustaining firm CIF pricing across the quarter. In September 2025, Ethanol prices concluded with an increase of +10.71% for US-origin and +6.33% for Brazil-origin deliveries, underscoring the strong regional price sentiment. Importers are advised to finalize procurement early, as constrained supply conditions and sustained export demand are expected to maintain firm price levels into the next quarter.

Peru: Ethanol import prices CIF Callao, USA, Grade Anhydrous.

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in Peru recorded a firm upward trend, driven by tightening US supply and sustained industrial demand across Latin America. Prices moved steadily higher through the quarter as stronger FOB values in the USA reflected constrained corn feedstock availability and elevated production costs.

Peruvian importers remained active throughout the quarter, maintaining stable procurement momentum even as US exporters limited spot allocations to balance regional commitments. Ethanol price trend ranged between USD 707-925 per metric ton during the quarter, marking a successive monthly rise supported by firm FOB benchmarks and consistent buying interest. Stable freight conditions allowed landed costs to reflect the direct influence of U.S. export tightness and elevated production economics.

In September 2025, Ethanol prices had increased by +9.43%, underscoring a bullish quarterly trajectory. Continued short-term firmness is expected as Latin American demand and limited US supply maintain upward pressure on CIF prices. Importers are advised to secure volumes promptly in anticipation of sustained market strength into the following quarter.

Germany: Ethanol import prices CIF Hamburg, USA, Grade Anhydrous

In Q3 2025, Ethanol price in Germany maintained a firm upward trajectory, reflecting strong US FOB market conditions and consistent European industrial demand. Prices increased steadily from July to September, supported by tighter corn feedstock availability in the United States and elevated production costs.

The German import market saw active procurement and robust trading interest, sustaining price strength throughout the quarter. Ethanol price trend ranged between USD 603-810 per metric ton during the period, marking a continuous monthly increase driven by higher FOB offers and limited spot supply from the US.

Freight rates remained broadly stable, ensuring price movements were primarily influenced by origin-market fundamentals and competitive buying across European destinations. In September 2025, Ethanol prices had increased +10.95%, highlighting firm pricing momentum in the US-origin ethanol market. Importers are advised to secure short-term volumes as persistent demand and tight export allocation are expected to maintain elevated CIF levels into the next quarter.

United Kingdom: Ethanol import prices CIF Immingham, USA, Grade Anhydrous

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in the United Kingdom showed a consistent upward trend, supported by firm US FOB pricing, stronger industrial demand, and tightening feedstock availability. Prices advanced steadily through the quarter as elevated production costs driven by limited corn supply and consistent US export commitments sustained bullish sentiment.

UK import demand remained stable, with active buying interest maintaining firm market fundamentals throughout the period. Ethanol price trend ranged between USD 642-865 per metric ton, marking a notable monthly progression driven by higher FOB quotations and tight producer allocation. Stable freight conditions contributed to smoother import operations and sustained competitive momentum among buyers.

In September 2025, Ethanol price had recorded a rise of +10.34%, reflecting strong importer interest and restricted supply from the US. Continued firmness in CIF levels is expected into the next quarter, with buyers advised to secure forward shipments early to mitigate potential cost escalation amid persistent supply constraints.

Indonesia: Ethanol import prices CIF Jakarta, USA, Grade Anhydrous.

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in Indonesia showed a steady upward trend, supported by firm US FOB pricing, restricted corn feedstock supply, and consistent regional demand. Prices increased progressively from July through September as production costs in the USA stayed elevated and export allocations remained tight.

Indonesian buyers actively engaged in procurement during the quarter, ensuring stable import momentum amid competitive market dynamics. Ethanol price trend ranged between USD 690-930 per metric ton, reflecting sustained monthly gains driven by FOB market strength and limited US-origin availability.

Active buyer interest and consistent consumption patterns maintained firm price levels throughout the quarter. In September 2025, Ethanol price had recorded an +8.97% rise, underscoring the ongoing bullish sentiment in the US-origin ethanol market for Indonesia. Short-term procurement is recommended as continued regional demand and constrained US supply are expected to uphold strong CIF pricing into the next quarter.

Saudi Arabia: Ethanol import prices CIF Jeddah, USA, Grade Anhydrous.

In Q3 2025, Ethanol price in Saudi Arabia showed a robust upward trajectory, supported by firm global demand and tightening supply from the United States. Prices advanced steadily from July through September as elevated FOB quotations, arising from constrained corn feedstock and limited export availability, influenced delivered values.

Market activity remained strong as importers actively secured volumes in response to tightening regional supply and sustained industrial consumption. Ethanol price trend ranged between USD 630-855 per metric ton across the quarter, marking a cumulative increase led by firmer FOB levels and stable freight conditions. The combination of strong international buying interest and disciplined US export allocation contributed to the market’s bullish outlook.

Competitive import demand further reinforced pricing momentum throughout the period. In September 2025, Ethanol prices had climbed by +10.42%, signalling intensified procurement activity and constrained origin availability. Buyers are advised to book short-term requirements promptly, as limited US export capacity and persistent regional demand are projected to sustain firm CIF pricing into the next quarter.

Taiwan: Ethanol import prices CIF Kaohsiung, USA, Grade Anhydrous.

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in Taiwan maintained a steady upward trend, supported by firm US FOB values, tighter corn feedstock availability, and sustained industrial demand across the region. Prices recorded consistent monthly increases from July through September, reflecting higher production costs in the United States and controlled export allocations.

Taiwanese importers remained active during the quarter, ensuring stable trading volumes amid rising global pricing pressure. Ethanol price trend ranged between USD per metric ton, marking a firm quarterly uptrend driven primarily by FOB strength and stable freight dynamics. Strong regional procurement and limited export availability from the US reinforced firm offers throughout the period, keeping market sentiment bullish.

In September 2025, ethanol prices advanced by +8.86%, emphasizing continued supply constraints and robust industrial demand in the Asia-Pacific region. Buyers are advised to secure near-term volumes promptly as persistent US supply tightness and steady regional consumption are expected to sustain elevated CIF pricing into the next quarter.

Philippines: Ethanol import prices CIF Manila, Grade Anhydrous (USA & Brazil Origin).

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in Philippines recorded consistent price increases supported by firm FOB levels from both the USA and Brazil, strong regional demand, and tightening feedstock availability. Prices rose steadily through the quarter as stable logistics and active buyer participation maintained firm market momentum.

Importers across the region showed heightened procurement interest, reflecting confidence in sustained price firmness amid tightening origin supply. For US-origin ethanol prices trend between USD 714-965 per metric ton, while Brazilian-origin ethanol traded between USD 694-910 per metric ton throughout the quarter.

The upward movement was driven by steady industrial and fuel blending demand alongside restrained export volumes from both origins. Competitive market dynamics and balanced freight conditions provided overall stability to delivered costs, supporting continuous purchasing momentum in the Philippine market.

In September 2025, ethanol prices had recorded quarterly increases of +9.43% for US-origin and +9.41% for Brazil-origin cargoes. Persistent supply constraints and robust industrial consumption are expected to sustain elevated CIF levels into the next quarter, encouraging buyers to secure short-term volumes proactively amid ongoing market tightness.

India: Ethanol import prices CIF Nhava Sheva, Grade Anhydrous (USA & Brazil Origin).

According to PriceWatch, in Q3 2025, Ethanol price in India exhibited a firm upward trend, supported by consistent industrial demand, tighter corn supply, and strengthening FOB values from both the USA and Brazil. Prices advanced steadily through the quarter, reflecting persistent global supply constraints and heightened regional buying interest.

Active import participation, combined with rising freight costs, especially on US-India routes, fuelled bullish sentiment in the Indian ethanol market. For US-origin ethanol price trend ranged between USD 750-930 per metric ton, representing a strong quarterly increase driven by tightening allocation, elevated freight surges, and sustained demand from downstream sectors.

Brazilian-origin ethanol followed a similar trajectory, with prices moving between USD 620-880 per metric ton during the quarter, influenced by limited export availability and ongoing Brazilian supply prioritization to regional buyers.

In September 2025, Ethanol prices had risen sharply, +14.40% for US-origin and +8.18% for Brazil-origin ethanol marking one of the strongest quarterly increases among major import hubs. Continued FOB firmness, restricted export supply, and steady Indian demand are projected to uphold elevated CIF levels into the next quarter, making early short-term procurement advisable to hedge against further upward pressure.

Singapore: Ethanol import prices CIF Port of Singapore, Grade Anhydrous (USA & Brazil Origin).

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in Singapore recorded a sharp upward trajectory, with notable gains driven by higher FOB values from both the USA and Brazil, tight regional supply, and significant freight cost movements. Prices advanced steadily from July through September, supported by firm Southeast Asian demand and restricted export allocations at origin.

Strong procurement activity and competitive buying behaviour sustained market firmness throughout the quarter. For US-origin ethanol, prices ranged between USD 614-820 per metric ton, with the quarter’s gains heavily influenced by substantial freight surges and tightening product availability from the US Gulf export market. Brazilian-origin ethanol traded between USD 746-925 per metric ton, supported by restrained export flow and rising logistical expenses, especially into Southeast Asia.

In September 2025, ethanol prices had increased by +17.01% for US-origin shipments and +6.37% for Brazilian-origin deliveries, underscoring the combined impact of freight-driven cost escalation and supply constraints. Continued firm procurement demand and limited allocation capacity at origin are expected to sustain elevated CIF pricing into the next quarter, making early short-term coverage advisable.

Chile: Ethanol import prices CIF San Antonio, USA, Grade Anhydrous.

In Q3 2025, Ethanol price in Chile initially followed an upward trajectory through July and August, supported by firmer US FOB prices, steady demand, and tightening corn feedstock availability. Prices strengthened over these months as industrial procurement remained consistent and competitive buying activity reinforced CIF cost stability across the Chilean import market.

However, in September 2025, ethanol prices reversed sharply as US exporters engaged in aggressive de-stocking and offered discounts to clear excess inventories, resulting in a pronounced price drop. Ethanol import price trend during the quarter ranged between USD 655-865 per metric ton.

Japan: Ethanol import prices CIF Tokyo, Brazil, Grade Anhydrous.

According to PriceWatch, in Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in Japan maintained a gradual but steady upward trajectory, supported by firm Brazilian FOB prices, consistent industrial demand, and constrained corn feedstock availability. Prices inched higher from July through August as balanced supply-demand conditions and stable buyer interest sustained market firmness. Slight freight cost reductions early in the quarter helped moderate CIF price pressures, keeping import flows steady.

In September 2025, ethanol price trend rose more sharply, closing the quarter between USD 730-895 per metric ton, with a +7.55% monthly gain driven by stronger Asian spot demand and restricted Brazilian export volumes. Higher freight rates later in the quarter amplified landed costs for Japanese buyers, adding to bullish sentiment.

Overall, the quarter reflected a controlled supply environment and competitive import activity. Buyers are advised to secure short-term volumes promptly, as both freight escalation and steady demand from regional markets are expected to maintain upward pressure on CIF Tokyo prices into the next quarter.

Mexico: Ethanol import prices CIF Veracruz, USA, Grade Anhydrous.

In Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in Mexico recorded a firm upward momentum, supported by active procurement, constrained US supply, and steady industrial demand. Prices posted consistent monthly gains from July through September as stronger FOB quotations in the United States reflected higher production costs driven by tightening corn feedstock availability. Mexican importers maintained steady purchase volumes through the quarter, encouraged by favourable logistics and a competitive yet tightening market environment.

Ethanol price trend ranged between USD 654-865 per metric ton, marking a sustained uptrend driven mainly by firm US export pricing and consistent regional demand. Stable freight throughout the quarter allowed CIF costs to directly mirror movements in FOB markets, supporting continuous import activity at elevated levels.

In September 2025, ethanol prices rose by +10.14%, highlighting firm export allocation control and robust market participation. Importers are advised to secure volumes promptly, as steady US export demand and limited supply availability are anticipated to maintain firm CIF levels into the next quarter.

United States: Ethanol export prices FOB Houston, Grade Anhydrous.

According to PriceWatch, in Q3 2025, Ethanol prices in USA displayed a consistent upward trajectory, supported by firm export demand, moderate feedstock cost pressure, and tightening inventory levels. Prices advanced steadily through the quarter as domestic blending requirements and strong international inquiries maintained active trade volumes. Stable freight conditions ensured smooth logistical flow, helping producers manage spot availability while reinforcing confidence in sustained price strength.

FOB Houston ethanol price Trend ranged between USD 553-755 per metric ton, marking a pronounced quarterly gain driven by steady industrial consumption and elevated export activity toward key markets in Latin America and Asia. Limited production flexibility amid robust short-term inquiries kept sellers in a favorable position.

In September 2025, Ethanol price had climbed by +11.81%, reflecting both supply discipline and heightened procurement interest. Continued firm sentiment is anticipated into the next quarter, with buyers advised to confirm cargoes early as sustained export traction and controlled domestic inventories are likely to uphold elevated FOB values.

Brazil: Ethanol export prices FOB Santos, Grade Anhydrous.

In Q3 2025, Ethanol price in Brazil followed a firm upward trajectory, supported by solid international demand, moderate corn and sugarcane cost pressures, and constrained production due to a limited harvest season. Prices advanced consistently from July through September as exporters benefited from steady industrial and energy sector consumption both domestically and abroad. Competitive buying interest, especially from Asia and Latin America, reinforced tight market conditions and sustained firm FOB values.

Ethanol price trend ranged between USD 670-830 per metric ton, reflecting a cumulative quarterly gain driven by healthy procurement from overseas buyers and stable freight conditions. The absence of significant changes in shipping costs kept delivered price stability intact, allowing FOB dynamics to align closely with production and demand fundamentals.

In September 2025, Ethanol price posted a quarterly increase of +7.48%, underscoring market firmness amid constrained supply. Buyers are advised to confirm near-term shipments early, as restricted output and active export programs are expected to preserve elevated price levels into the next quarter.