In Q1 2024, the global Expandable Polystyrene (EPS) market experienced a bullish trend, largely driven by rising Styrene feedstock prices and strong demand from sectors like packaging and construction. The revival of the construction industry further boosted EPS consumption, while the Lunar New Year amplified demand for packaging materials, particularly in the food, beverages, and consumer goods sectors. The festive season spurred increased production and distribution, leading to a surge in EPS usage. Supply chain disruptions due to factory closures and rising freight costs, along with a 2% increase in global capacity utilization compared to 2023, further strained the market, driving prices upward. In Europe, EPS prices recorded an approximate 15% increase during the quarter.
In Q2 2024, the upward momentum in EPS prices continued, supported by ongoing demand from the packaging and construction sectors. A 7.4% rise in container port volumes and a 10.4% increase in containership supply contributed to escalating freight rates, intensifying the bullish trend. Port congestion, equipment shortages, and rerouting of vessels around Southern Africa worsened the supply-demand imbalance, particularly impacting the Asian market. During this quarter, EPS prices rose by approximately 2% in China.
By early Q3 2024, the EPS market shifted to a bearish trend, primarily due to subdued demand and an abundant global supply. Additionally, the reduced cost of Styrene feedstock lowered production costs, contributing to the market’s decline. Prices for General-Purpose Expandable Polystyrene hovered around USD 1340/MT FOB Shanghai.
Despite this, tight market conditions caused by continued freight disruptions and robust demand are expected to persist into Q4 2024. As the festive season nears, increasing demand from the packaging sector is likely to further strain supply, potentially driving prices higher throughout the quarter.