Graphite Pricing Assessment
UNSPC: 12141700

  • Commodity Pricing

graphite Markets Covered: 

cnChina
krKorea
jpJapan
usUnited States

graphite Markets Covered: 

Global graphite Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

Q1 2025 

In Q1 2025, the Graphite price increase of $483.58 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai equating to a 0.06% rise. This supplement reflects a complex interplay of factors, including evolving battery chemistries, shifting force dynamics, and indigenous policy interventions. specially, the transition from nickel- manganese- cobalt(NMC) to lithium- iron- phosphate (LFP) cathodes in China has led to a fat of synthetic graphite, while natural graphite demand has softened.

Again, the North American request faces a force deficiency, with a 200,000- tonne per annum space in 2024, egging increased investment and strategic hookups to bolster domestic product. Despite these challenges, the global graphite request is poised for a answer, driven by surging demand from electric vehicle (EV) batteries and energy storehouse operations. Judges anticipate a gradational price recovery in the ultimate half of 2025, contingent on the immersion of redundant force and stabilization of force chains. 

Q4 2024 

In the fourth quarter of 2024, the global graphite market experienced a modest price increase of $483.28 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai reflecting a 1.08% rise. This uptick was observed across various regions, including the United States, China, and Germany, where prices reached $1,114, $876, and $721 per metric ton, respectively. Despite this increase, the market faced challenges such as fluctuating demand from key industries like electric vehicles and construction, geopolitical tensions, and shifts in battery chemistries.

In particular, China’s export restrictions on certain graphite products and the growing preference for synthetic graphite in battery anodes contributed to market volatility. While the price rise indicates some stabilization, the market remains cautious, with ongoing efforts to diversify supply chains and secure long-term agreements to mitigate future uncertainties. 

Q3 2024  

In the third quarter of 2024, the graphite market experienced a notable price decrease of $478.11 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai marking a decline of approximately 3.33%. This drop reflects a combination of softer demand from key sectors such as electric vehicles and energy storage, along with increased supply from major producers, particularly in China.

Market analysts suggest that the dip may also be influenced by ongoing inventory corrections and cautious procurement behavior among manufacturers facing broader economic uncertainties. Despite this short-term decline, long-term demand fundamentals for graphite remain strong due to its critical role in lithium-ion battery production and the global energy transition. 

Q2 2024  

In Q2 2024, the graphite request endured a notable decline, with graphite prices dropping by $494.58 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai representing a 14.18% drop. This downcast trend was largely driven by weak downstream demand, particularly from the electric vehicle( EV) and battery storehouse sectors, where surfeit and high supplies pressured request sentiment.

Also, increased product and exports from major suppliers like China contributed to global surfeit, farther dampening graphite prices. Environmental restrictions and nonsupervisory changes in some producing regions also disintegrated trade overflows, creating short- term volatility. This significant price drop underscores the fragile balance between force and demand in the graphite request, pressing the sector’s perceptivity to macroeconomic and policy shifts. 

Q1 2024 

In the first quarter of 2024, the graphite request endured a modest yet notable graphite price increase of $576.33 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai reflecting a 1.41% rise. This supplement signals a growing demand across crucial sectors similar as electric vehicles, energy storehouse, and artificial operations, where graphite is essential for lithium- ion batteries and high- temperature operations. The graphite price movement, while not dramatic, suggests tensing force chains or increased procurement exertion, conceivably in expectation of stronger downstream manufacturing trends. Investors and assiduity stakeholders are likely monitoring this shift as a implicit early index of broader instigation in the energy accoutrements sector. 

India graphite Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

graphite Parameters Covered: 

  • Graphite 
  • China 
  • Graphite (Refractories, Steelmaking Industry, Battery Industry, Lubricants, Brake Linings, Foundry, Electronics, Pencils, Fuel Cells, Nuclear Industry, Paints and Coatings, Composites, Chemical Industry.) 
  • USA
  • Japan
  • South Korea 

graphite Parameters Covered: 

  • Graphite 
  • China 
  • Graphite (Refractories, Steelmaking Industry, Battery Industry, Lubricants, Brake Linings, Foundry, Electronics, Pencils, Fuel Cells, Nuclear Industry, Paints and Coatings, Composites, Chemical Industry.) 
  • USA
  • Japan
  • South Korea 

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global graphite price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the graphite market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence graphite prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely graphite market data.

Track PriceWatch's graphite price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Graphite prices

  • Global Economic Downturn (2019-2020): The global economic slowdown, particularly in sectors like steel and automotive, led to reduced demand for graphite, resulting in lower prices. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2019-2020): The global pandemic led to a significant decline in demand for graphite-intensive industries, such as steelmaking and automotive manufacturing, causing prices to plummet. 
  • Global Supply Chain Disruption (2022): The war in Ukraine and other geopolitical tensions disrupted supply chains, leading to price volatility in various commodities, including graphite. 

 

These events underscore the Graphite market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics. 

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major Graphite production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire Graphite supply chain, from raw material availability to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, which can significantly impact Graphite prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing. 
  • Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or winter storms, on Graphite production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions like the APAC coasts. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks. 
  • Economic Shifts: PriceWatch evaluates macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (e.g., automotive, packaging, to predict shifts in Graphite demand and corresponding price movements.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global Graphite production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming Graphite production capacities, factoring in new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization. 

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides an in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including packaging, automotive, and construction. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global Graphite pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast Graphite prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most-likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes.

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice. 

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Graphite pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions. 

Molecular Weight[g/mol]

12.01

CAS No

7782-42-5

HS Code

250410

Molecular Formula

C
graphite

Graphite is a naturally occurring form of crystalline carbon known for its excellent electrical and thermal conductivity, high lubricity, and resistance to heat and chemicals. It is soft, lightweight, and commonly used in applications such as batteries, lubricants, refractories, and pencils. Graphite's layered structure makes it an excellent conductor and a key material for emerging technologies like lithium-ion batteries and fuel cells.

Packaging Type

25kg Bags

Grades Covered

Flakes 94-95%, -100mesh

Incoterms Used

FOB Shanghai, CIF Busan (China), CIF Nagoya (China), CIF Houston (China)

Synonym

Graphite

PriceWatch Quotation Terms:

25-28 MT

Ex-Location: This incoterm refers to a shipping agreement where the seller makes the goods available at their premises, and the buyer is responsible for all transportation costs, including shipping, insurance, and any other fees.
CIF: CIF refers to the Cost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF) terms for goods. Under CIF terms, the seller is responsible for the cost of goods, insurance, and freight charges until the goods reach the port of destination.
FD: FD stands for Free Delivered where the seller takes full responsibility for delivering goods to the location/port. This ensures the buyer receives the goods at the designated port with all necessary costs, except import duties, covered.
FOB: FOB refers to the Free On-Board shipping term, where the seller is responsible for the cost and risk of delivering the goods to the port. Once the goods are on board the vessel, the responsibility shifts to the buyer for all costs, including shipping and insurance.

Color:   Gray to Black 
Odor:  None 
Boiling Point:  ΝΑ 
Specific Gravity  2.26 
Vapor Pressure (mm Hg)  NA 
Solubility in Water  Insoluble 
pH  ΝΑ 
Decomposition Temp  Oxidizes above 450C 
Material State  Solid, granular or powder 
Melting Point  Sublimates at 3652C 
Vapor Density  Not applicable  
% Volatile (By Wt.)  0-1% 
Evaporation Rate  Not applicable 
Auto Ignition  Above 500 °C 
Dust Explosion class 

 

 

ST1=KST>0-200 bar m/s, 

MIE above 10 J. 

Applications

  • Refractories: Crucibles, furnace linings, nozzles 
  • Batteries: Lithium-ion, lead-acid, nickel-cadmium 
  • Lubricants: Dry lubricants, greases 
  • Electrical: Electrodes, conductive coatings 
  • Other: Nuclear reactors, pencils, pigments, brake linings, heat sinks
Graphite price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for graphite. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

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