Hot Dipped Galvanized Coil Price Trend Analysis: Q2 2025
According to the PriceWatch, In Q2 2025, hot-dipped galvanised coil (HDG) prices in China declined from $627 per metric ton in Q1 to $600 per metric tonne in Q2, down 4.31% Q-o-Q. This downward movement is primarily attributed to weak domestic demand, sluggish export activity, and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty.
The Chinese steel market has struggled with limited interest from foreign buyers and a depreciating yuan, which has reduced purchasing power across Asia. Although there was a brief uptick in prices before the Chinese New Year due to stockpiling and a recovery in raw material costs, the market failed to sustain this momentum post-holiday.
As a result, traders remained cautious, and prices continued to face downward pressure. Looking forward, gradual demand recovery is expected, especially in the construction sector, but global trade tensions and potential anti-dumping investigations may continue to restrict China’s export opportunities, keeping prices subdued.
The United States saw HDG coil prices increase of 1.55% in Q2. This rise is driven by a combination of trade restrictions, supply constraints, and strategic price hikes by domestic mills.
In February, U.S. producers such as U.S. Steel and Nucor implemented multiple rounds of price increases, citing higher scrap and raw material costs as well as the need to reestablish the pricing spread between hot-rolled and coated products.
Impending tariffs and supply limitations led to pre-emptive buying, even as end-user demand remained somewhat sluggish. The market’s bullish sentiment was further reinforced by these supply-side factors, allowing mills to push through higher prices despite some buyer resistance.
In the UK, HDG coil prices rose by 3.63% in Q2. The price increase, though moderate, occurred against a backdrop of weak demand and cautious buyer sentiment. Mills became more willing to lower prices to secure sales due to sluggish activity, but overall, the market saw only modest gains.
Uncertainties around trade measures, particularly the implementation of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), led buyers to be more cautious, but domestic producers managed to achieve incremental price increases by limiting supply and leveraging regulatory changes.
Hot Dipped Galvanized Coil Price Trend Analysis: Q1 2025
In Q1 2025, the Hot Dipped Galvanized Coil (HDG) market saw price increases across the UK, USA, India, and China compared to Q4 2024. In China, HDG prices rose to a range to USD 627/MT in Q1 2025, as against USD 626/MT in last quarter supported by a modest rebound in domestic demand and improved export activity, as buyers in Southeast Asia and Africa sought competitively priced Chinese material.
The UK and European markets experienced upward momentum, driven by tighter supply, reduced imports, and restocking by end-users. In the USA, HDG prices also strengthened, underpinned by steady demand from the construction and automotive sectors, as well as limited domestic supply and ongoing trade protection measures.
India’s HDG market followed the global trend, with prices rising on the back of robust infrastructure spending and increased activity in the automotive and appliance sectors.