Alumina 価格査定

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alumina 対象市場 

う中国
オーオーストラリア

alumina 対象市場 

Global alumina Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

Q1 2025

In Q1 2025, alumina prices dropped considerably by $599 per metric ton FOB Shanghai, or a 20.66% decline. The decline followed a prolonged period of sustained price increases in 2024 and was largely caused by relaxing supply bottlenecks and an easing in downstream demand. Favorable weather patterns in key producing countries like Australia and Guinea enabled recovery in mining and refining production, leading to improved inventories.

Simultaneously, demand eased marginally as global aluminum producers reduced output to cope with lofty input costs and higher recycling levels. Market correction also mirrored speculation about unwinding and better shipping availability, which relieved earlier logistical strains. 

Q1 2024

Alumina prices in Q1 2024 rose by $460 per metric ton FOB Shanghai, a 4.85% increase, amid continued strong demand from aluminum manufacturers. The upward movement was supported by production hiccups in key regions such as India and Australia due to regulatory changes and maintenance shutdowns. Additionally, steady economic recovery in major consuming countries spurred construction and infrastructure-related demand. While supply remained relatively stable, rising logistical and energy costs pushed prices higher, setting a bullish tone for the rest of the year.

Q2 2024

In Q2 2024, alumina prices recorded a moderate increase of $489 per metric ton FOB Shanghai, representing a 6.40% gain. Seasonal factors such as monsoon-related disruptions in Guinea and ongoing maintenance in Australian refineries constrained supply. Meanwhile, steady demand from aluminum smelters, particularly in Asia, kept the market tight.

Rising energy costs and freight charges also contributed to price increases, although the pace of growth was more measured compared to subsequent quarters. The market remained alert to emerging supply risks and inflationary input pressures. 

Q3 2024

In Q3 2024, alumina prices saw a strong increase of $610 per metric ton FOB Shanghai, marking a 24.74% rise. The upward trend was largely influenced by persistent bottlenecks in refining and a rebound in global industrial demand. Labor unrest and maintenance shutdowns in key alumina-producing regions strained supply, while high energy prices in Europe and Asia increased production costs, contributing to cost-push inflation.

Demand from the electric vehicle, construction, and packaging industries remained strong, especially in China and India, reinforcing bullish sentiment across the alumina value chain. 

 

Q4 2024

During Q4 2024, alumina prices rose by $755 per metric ton FOB Shanghai, a substantial 23.77% increase, as a result of tight supply and resilient demand from the aluminum sector. Disruptions at key refining facilities in Australia, combined with delayed shipments due to port congestion and adverse weather conditions, restricted global supply.

Concurrently, China’s aluminum production surged to meet seasonal and strategic stockpiling targets, driving aggressive procurement of alumina. Market participants also noted speculative buying amid geopolitical uncertainty, further supporting the price rally through the quarter. 

 

India alumina Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

alumina 対象となるパラメータ 

上流
  • Bauxite 
下流
  • Alumina (Aerospace, Automotive and Electronics)
主要供給国
  • オーストラリア and China 
主要輸入国
  • USA and Germany 

alumina 対象となるパラメータ 

仕様

分子量[g/mol]

CAS番号

HSコード

281820

分子式

alumina

Alumina is a refined form of aluminum oxide (Al₂O₃) produced by heating aluminum hydroxide (Al(OH)₃) to high temperatures, typically between 1000°C and 1200°C, in a calcination process. This heat treatment removes chemically bound water, resulting in dry, white, crystalline powder with high hardness, thermal stability, and chemical inertness. Calcined alumina is widely used in the manufacture of refractories, ceramics, abrasives, and as a raw material in the production of aluminum metal.

包装タイプ

Bulk

対象学年

Purity: 98.5%min.

使用されるインコタームズ

FOB shanghai and FOB Brisbane

同義語

PriceWatch 見積もり条件:

25000-35000MT

元ロケーション この契約は、売り手が商品をその構内で入手できるようにし、買い手が送料、保険料、その他の手数料を含むすべての輸送費を負担する配送契約を指す。
CIF: CIFとは、商品のCost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF)条件のこと。CIF条件では、売主は商品が仕向港に到着するまでの商品代金、保険料、運賃を負担する。
FDだ: FDとはFree Deliveredの略で、売り手が商品を場所/港に届ける全責任を負うことを意味します。これにより、買い手は輸入関税を除くすべての必要な費用を負担した上で、指定された港で商品を受け取ることができます。
本船渡し: FOBとは、Free On-Board shippingの略で、売り手が商品を港に届ける費用とリスクを負うことを指します。商品が本船に積み込まれた後は、船積みや保険を含むすべての費用について買い手に責任が移ります。

プロパティ  仕様 
Al₂O₃ Content  ≥ 98% 
Na₂O Content  ≤ 0.4% 
Fe₂O₃ Content  ≤ 0.02% 
SiO₂ Content  ≤ 0.03% 
LOI (Loss on Ignition)  ≤ 0.3% 
Specific Surface Area (BET)  3–6 m²/g 
Bulk Density  0.9 – 1.2 g/cm³ 
Apparent Density  ≥ 3.6 g/cm³ 
Particle Size (D50)  45 – 90 µm 
Hardness (Mohs)  9 
融点  Approximately 2050°C 
カラー  White 
外観  Fine powder 

アプリケーション

  • 電気産業: Used in the production of electrical insulators, substrates for semiconductors, and high-performance ceramics for electronic components due to its excellent dielectric properties.
  • 自動車産業: Employed in the manufacturing of ceramic components, catalytic converter substrates, abrasives, and as a raw material in lightweight aluminum production for vehicle parts.
  • 建設業界: Serves as a critical input in producing aluminum for building materials, as well as in refractory bricks and ceramic tiles used in high-temperature construction applications.
  • 産業機械: Used in abrasives, cutting tools, wear-resistant components, and engineered ceramics due to its hardness, thermal stability, and chemical resistance.
  • コンシューマー・エレクトロニクス Applied in scratch-resistant glass coatings, ceramic circuit boards, and thermal management systems within devices such as smartphones, LED lights, and power electronics.
  • 再生可能エネルギー: Utilized in solar panel substrates, battery separators, and thermal management components for energy storage systems, as well as in the production of aluminum for structural frames in solar and wind infrastructure.

歴史的には、いくつかの出来事によって、株価は大きく変動してきた。 alumina 物価

  • 世界のサプライチェーンの混乱(2022年): Geopolitical tensions, including the war in Ukraine and associated energy supply constraints, caused disruptions in the alumina supply chain. These challenges led to volatility in production costs and transportation, contributing to unstable alumina pricing worldwide. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2019–2020): The pandemic disrupted industrial activity and supply chains globally. Reduced operations in smelters and manufacturing sectors decreased the demand for alumina, leading to significant price drops and inventory build-up in some regions. 
  • Global Economic Downturn (2019–2020): The slowdown in global economic activity, especially in aluminum-intensive sectors such as construction and automotive, led to reduced aluminum production. This caused a decline in demand for alumina, resulting in lower prices. 

なぜプライスウォッチなのか?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global alumina price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the alumina market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence alumina prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely alumina market data.

Track PriceWatch's alumina price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

データ収集と情報源

  • リアルタイム市場データ: Price-Watchは、グローバルな商品取引所、業界レポート、独自のデータベースなど、多様な情報源からリアルタイムの価格データを集約しています。これにより、当社の評価は最新の市場状況を反映したものとなります。 
  • 現場のインテリジェンス: 当社のチームは、主要なグアーガム生産拠点において、生産者、サプライヤー、トレーダー、エンドユーザーなど主要な市場参加者から直接知見を収集しています。このような現地レベルのインテリジェンスは、地域ごとの市場ダイナミクスを理解する上で極めて重要です。 
  • サプライチェーンの監視 We track the entire alumina supply chain, from raw material availability to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics. 

イベントのトラッキングと影響分析

  • 地政学的緊張: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts, sanctions, or trade disputes, which can significantly impact alumina prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to refining operations, energy supply, and raw material logistics, as well as their immediate and long-term effects on pricing. 
  • 自然災害と気候変動: We assess the impact of natural disasters—such as cyclones, droughts, or extreme temperatures—on alumina refineries, especially in high-risk regions. These events are incorporated into our price forecasts and supply risk assessments. 
  • 経済の変化: PriceWatch evaluates macroeconomic indicators, including global GDP growth, inflation trends, and sector-specific demand (particularly in aluminum smelting, construction, and transportation) to anticipate shifts in alumina demand and resulting price movements. 

生産能力と供給分析

  • 現在の生産モニタリング: We maintain a detailed global database of alumina refining facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This enables us to accurately assess real-time supply availability and potential disruptions. 
  • 将来のキャパシティ予測: Our research includes projections of upcoming alumina production capacities, factoring in refinery expansions, new project developments, and efficiency improvements. These insights help forecast future supply dynamics and price trajectories. 

需要予測

  • 部門別需要分析: PriceWatch provides in-depth evaluations of alumina demand across critical sectors, particularly primary aluminum production. We analyze year-over-year consumption trends and forecast future demand based on economic conditions and industrial activity. 
  • 地域の需要ダイナミクス: Our methodology incorporates regional demand variations, such as increasing consumption in Asia-Pacific or policy-driven shifts in Europe and North America. We analyze how regional trends influence global pricing and trade flows. 

価格設定モデルの開発

  • ダイナミック・プライシング・モデル: PriceWatch employs advanced econometric and statistical models to forecast alumina prices, integrating real-time market data, historical pricing, and predictive economic indicators. Our models are regularly updated to reflect market changes and improve forecasting accuracy. 
  • シナリオ分析: We conduct scenario-based modeling to assess the impact of different market developments. This includes best-case, worst-case, and baseline scenarios, helping clients strategize effectively under various potential conditions. 

レポーティングとクライアント・サポート

  • 包括的なレポート Clients receive in-depth reports featuring current alumina price assessments, forward-looking price forecasts, and detailed analysis of key market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable and strategically informative. 
  • 継続的なサポート: PriceWatch delivers regular updates and tailored support to ensure clients are equipped with the latest insights. Our experts are available for one-on-one consultations, helping interpret market changes and optimize procurement or investment decisions.

分子量[g/mol]

CAS番号

HSコード

281820

分子式

alumina

Alumina is a refined form of aluminum oxide (Al₂O₃) produced by heating aluminum hydroxide (Al(OH)₃) to high temperatures, typically between 1000°C and 1200°C, in a calcination process. This heat treatment removes chemically bound water, resulting in dry, white, crystalline powder with high hardness, thermal stability, and chemical inertness. Calcined alumina is widely used in the manufacture of refractories, ceramics, abrasives, and as a raw material in the production of aluminum metal.

包装タイプ

Bulk

対象学年

Purity: 98.5%min.

使用されるインコタームズ

FOB shanghai and FOB Brisbane

同義語

PriceWatch 見積もり条件:

25000-35000MT

元ロケーション この契約は、売り手が商品をその構内で入手できるようにし、買い手が送料、保険料、その他の手数料を含むすべての輸送費を負担する配送契約を指す。
CIF: CIFとは、商品のCost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF)条件のこと。CIF条件では、売主は商品が仕向港に到着するまでの商品代金、保険料、運賃を負担する。
FDだ: FDとはFree Deliveredの略で、売り手が商品を場所/港に届ける全責任を負うことを意味します。これにより、買い手は輸入関税を除くすべての必要な費用を負担した上で、指定された港で商品を受け取ることができます。
本船渡し: FOBとは、Free On-Board shippingの略で、売り手が商品を港に届ける費用とリスクを負うことを指します。商品が本船に積み込まれた後は、船積みや保険を含むすべての費用について買い手に責任が移ります。

プロパティ  仕様 
Al₂O₃ Content  ≥ 98% 
Na₂O Content  ≤ 0.4% 
Fe₂O₃ Content  ≤ 0.02% 
SiO₂ Content  ≤ 0.03% 
LOI (Loss on Ignition)  ≤ 0.3% 
Specific Surface Area (BET)  3–6 m²/g 
Bulk Density  0.9 – 1.2 g/cm³ 
Apparent Density  ≥ 3.6 g/cm³ 
Particle Size (D50)  45 – 90 µm 
Hardness (Mohs)  9 
融点  Approximately 2050°C 
カラー  White 
外観  Fine powder 

アプリケーション

  • 電気産業: Used in the production of electrical insulators, substrates for semiconductors, and high-performance ceramics for electronic components due to its excellent dielectric properties.
  • 自動車産業: Employed in the manufacturing of ceramic components, catalytic converter substrates, abrasives, and as a raw material in lightweight aluminum production for vehicle parts.
  • 建設業界: Serves as a critical input in producing aluminum for building materials, as well as in refractory bricks and ceramic tiles used in high-temperature construction applications.
  • 産業機械: Used in abrasives, cutting tools, wear-resistant components, and engineered ceramics due to its hardness, thermal stability, and chemical resistance.
  • コンシューマー・エレクトロニクス Applied in scratch-resistant glass coatings, ceramic circuit boards, and thermal management systems within devices such as smartphones, LED lights, and power electronics.
  • 再生可能エネルギー: Utilized in solar panel substrates, battery separators, and thermal management components for energy storage systems, as well as in the production of aluminum for structural frames in solar and wind infrastructure.
安息香酸 PriceWatchが提供する価格は基本価格であり、付加価値税(VAT/TAX)、割引、オファーは含まれていません。ここに記載されている情報は、表示された日付現在で弊社が知る限り正確なものであり、安息香酸の参考情報として、お客様の便宜のためにのみ提供されています。PriceWatchは、この情報から得られる結果の正確性に関して、いかなる保証も表明もいたしません。特定の用途に対する製品の適合性を評価することは、使用者の単独の責任です。本書は、該当する特許権に違反して製品を使用することを推奨するものではありません。

Alumina prices are influenced by a range of interrelated factors:

Global Demand-Supply Dynamics:
Demand from aluminum smelters and supply from refining operations globally are primary drivers of alumina pricing.

Alumina Availability and Costs:
As the primary feedstock for alumina, fluctuations in alumina prices and availability directly impact alumina production costs and pricing.

Refining and Energy Costs:
Alumina refining is energy intensive. Electricity, caustic soda, and fuel costs play a significant role in determining overall alumina pricing.

LME and Regional Aluminum Trends:
Though alumina itself is not traded on the LME, aluminum prices on exchanges like the LME and SHFE influence demand and pricing strategies for alumina.

Geopolitical Risks and Trade Policies:
Export restrictions, tariffs, and political instability in key producing countries (e.g., Australia, China) can lead to supply disruptions and price volatility.

Macroeconomic Trends:
Global GDP growth, inflation, and industrial output levels affect end-use demand and influence both short-term and long-term alumina pricing.

Alumina is refined from bauxite ore, and its pricing is closely tied to:

Bauxite mining costs

Energy inputs (electricity, gas)

Chemical inputs like caustic soda

Rising feedstock and refining costs directly increase the cost of alumina production. For example, a surge in energy or caustic soda prices can significantly elevate alumina market prices.

As the intermediate product between bauxite and aluminum, alumina is a critical input in aluminum manufacturing. Rising prices can lead to:

Higher aluminum production costs

Increased prices of aluminum-based products in sectors like automotive, construction, packaging, and electronics

Broader cost pressures in industrial supply chains, contributing to inflation in various sectors of the economy

PriceWatch offers a full suite of tools and insights to help you track and analyze alumina pricing:

Real-time alumina pricing and market trends

Refinery and production capacity updates

Market outlook and forward-looking price forecasts

Risk insights based on global energy markets, trade flows, and geopolitical developments

Weekly price assessments and custom procurement intelligence tools

プライスウォッチを利用する主なメリットは以下の通り:

リアルタイムのデータ:商品サプライチェーンに関する最新のマーケット・インテリジェンスとデータへのアクセス。

専門家による分析:業界の専門家による洞察により、市場動向を解釈し、潜在的なリスクを特定します。

リスク評価:サプライチェーンの脆弱性を評価し、緩和戦略を策定するためのツール。

ベンチマーキング:調達の意思決定を最適化するために、商品価格や調達方法を比較すること。