Q1 2025:
Ammonia prices corrected downward in Q1 2025, with FOB Lisas falling from 489 USD/MT in January to 423 USD/MT by March 2025. The decline was primarily driven by softer global demand following the post-harvest lull and increased supply resulting from the resumption of production at key North African and Middle Eastern facilities.
Analysts observed a notable slowdown in purchasing inquiries from Southeast Asia, contributing further to the bearish sentiment. Additionally, market participants highlighted declining freight costs, which improved delivery timelines and intensified price competition among suppliers.
This combination of factors led to a more balanced market, with buyers benefiting from improved availability and lower costs, while producers faced pressure to maintain market share amid subdued demand and heightened competition.
Q1 2024:
Ammonia prices experienced a marked decline throughout Q1 2024, as FOB Lisas dropped from USD 535/MT in January to USD 424/MT in March, and FOB Saudi decreased from USD 481/MT to USD 306/MT. The downward movement was driven by reduced seasonal demand, particularly in Europe where a mild winter curbed industrial ammonia usage.
Increased export availability from North Africa, alongside rising inventories in the Middle East, further pressured the market. Weak spot demand from South Asian fertilizer producers compounded the trend, intensifying competition among suppliers and reinforcing the overall price weakness across global markets.
Q2 2024:
Ammonia prices experienced a persistent softening trend throughout Q2, with FOB Middle East quotes dropping from USD 351/MT in April to USD 286/MT by June. The decline was driven by sustained low demand, notably in Asia-Pacific, where procurement activity remained subdued, and by high inventory levels across global markets.
Middle Eastern suppliers intensified spot selling, further pressuring prices. Lower feedstock costs reduced production expenses, prompting producers to compete more aggressively and reinforcing the downward price momentum. These factors collectively heightened market volatility and dampened price recovery prospects in the near term.
Q3 2024:
Q3 marked a sharp recovery in ammonia markets, with notable price increases across key regions. In Trinidad and Tobago, FOB Lisas prices rose from USD 392/MT in July to USD 477/MT by September 2024, a 22% jump, while FOB Saudi ammonia prices climbed from USD 340/MT to USD 366/MT. This rebound was primarily driven by seasonal demand ahead of the Rabi crop cycle, alongside planned turnarounds at Gulf production facilities.
Market participants observed tighter supplies due to operational outages and reported increased procurement activity from Europe and Brazil, which further supported upward momentum in FOB prices, reflecting renewed confidence and stronger market fundamentals. The combination of supply constraints and robust demand from agriculture and industry underpinned the price rally.
Q4 2024:
Ammonia prices remained firm at elevated levels in Q4 2024. FOB Middle East prices were stable between USD 421/MT in October and USD 410/MT in December 2024. Steady agricultural demand and constrained supply due to Arabian Gulf shipping delays buoyed the market. Congestion at key export ports further restricted availability, prompting buyers to secure long-term contracts for Q1 2025 shipments as a hedge against uncertainty.
Analysts noted ongoing buyer caution, reflecting concerns over future supply reliability and price volatility. Persistent demand from major importers helped maintain spot prices, reinforcing a balanced yet tense market environment throughout the final quarter of 2024.
Q1 2024:
In Q1 2024, ammonia prices at India’s JNPT port (CFR from Saudi Arabia) rose marginally to 米ドル 431/MT, a mere 0.5% increase from Q4 2023. This slight uptick reflects stable market conditions, with ample Saudi supply meeting steady, cautious Indian demand as agricultural needs grew. The market saw little disruption or volatility, as efficient Saudi production and only minor logistical delays kept prices nearly unchanged.
This stability highlights robust supply chain management and the absence of major external shocks, allowing both producers and buyers to operate smoothly. Overall, the market’s resilience reinforced ammonia’s critical role in supporting India’s agricultural and industrial sectors.
Q2 2024:
The Q2 2024 CFR JNPT Ammonia price from Qatar was 米ドル 365/MT, showing a negligible decrease of around 1% from Q1 2024. This indicates a period of price stability despite broader regional volatility. Supply-chain disruptions, fluctuating feedstock costs, and mixed demand from downstream sectors such as fertilizers, chemicals, and refrigeration contributed to slight price adjustments, but the market remained balanced, reflecting neither significant upward nor downward pressure compared to earlier quarters.
The cautious trading environment was further influenced by global economic uncertainties and India’s steady industrial demand for ammonia, which helped offset potential price swings. Overall, limited price movement and stable supply-demand dynamics characterized the period, with market participants closely monitoring both domestic and international developments to 期待する future trends.
Q3 2024:
2024年第3四半期、 Ammonia prices at India’s Paradip port (CFR from Saudi Arabia) were rose sharply from Q2 levels. The sharp rise highlighted market volatility, contrasting with broader volatility from Saudi supply disruptions at Ma’aden and rising feedstock costs. The Saudi-to-India route stayed resilient and well-supplied, with significant price shifts despite external pressures and strong pre-planting season demand.
Efficient 物流, steady vessel schedules, and robust Indian fertilizer sector demand kept deliveries smooth. Proactive inventory management by importers further stabilized prices towards the end of the quarter, ensuring tight price ranges amid global uncertainties and supporting continued market balance throughout the period.
Q4 2024:
In Q4 2024, CFR JNPT ammonia prices from Qatar rose to USD 465 /MT, a modest 0.905% increase from Q3, signalling continued price stability in Asia. Supply constraints, including intermittent plant outages and logistical hurdles, as well as fluctuating demand from fertilizer producers, shaped market trends.
However, the limited price movement highlights balanced market dynamics, with robust Indian demand and proactive inventory management helping to cushion the impact of global supply disruptions. The quarter’s overall stability underscores the resilience of ammonia trade routes and the importance of India’s role in global chemical and fertilizer markets.
分子量[g/mol]
CAS番号
HSコード
分子式
Ammonia is a colorless gas with a characteristic pungent odor, widely used in various industries. In agriculture, it serves as a key source of nitrogen in fertilizers. It is also essential in chemical manufacturing (such as nitric acid, plastics, and explosives), refrigeration, water treatment, and cleaning products. Ammonia is highly soluble in water, forming ammonium hydroxide, and is valued for its reactivity and efficiency as a nitrogen source. Although it can be hazardous in high concentrations, it is a fundamental industrial chemical with broad applications.
包装タイプ
対象学年
使用されるインコタームズ
同義語
PriceWatch 見積もり条件:
元ロケーション この契約は、売り手が商品をその構内で入手できるようにし、買い手が送料、保険料、その他の手数料を含むすべての輸送費を負担する配送契約を指す。
CIF: CIFとは、商品のCost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF)条件のこと。CIF条件では、売主は商品が仕向港に到着するまでの商品代金、保険料、運賃を負担する。
FDだ: FDとはFree Deliveredの略で、売り手が商品を場所/港に届ける全責任を負うことを意味します。これにより、買い手は輸入関税を除くすべての必要な費用を負担した上で、指定された港で商品を受け取ることができます。
本船渡し: FOBとは、Free On-Board shippingの略で、売り手が商品を港に届ける費用とリスクを負うことを指します。商品が本船に積み込まれた後は、船積みや保険を含むすべての費用について買い手に責任が移ります。
テスト・パラメーター | Standard (Typical) |
外観(色) | Colorless |
外観(フォーム) | Liquid (aqueous) |
臭気 | Pungent, characteristic |
Purity (Assay, min.) | 99.5% (anhydrous) / 25–30% (aqueous) |
Water (max.) | 0.2% (anhydrous) |
Oil Content (max.) | 5 mg/kg (anhydrous) |
Iron (Fe) (max.) | 0.5 mg/kg (anhydrous) |
Heavy Metals (Pb) (max.) | 0.5 mg/kg (anhydrous) |
Non-volatile Residue (max.) | 0.005% (aqueous, 28%) |
アプリケーション
Ammonia (NH₃) is a highly versatile chemical with widespread uses. It’s essential in agriculture as a primary ingredient in nitrogen fertilizers, boosting plant growth and crop yields. Industrially, ammonia serves as an effective refrigerant for large-scale cooling systems and is used in wastewater treatment to regulate pH. It also plays roles in cleaning products, chemical manufacturing (producing plastics, explosives, and pharmaceuticals), oil and gas refining, metal treating, pulp and paper production, rubber stabilization, and as an antimicrobial agent in food processing.
Severe Weather and Supply Chain Disruptions (2023–2024)
Cause: Extreme weather events (hurricanes, typhoons) and labor strikes affecting production and logistics.
Impact: Supply shortages and sharp price increases, with volatility as production and logistics recovered.
Energy Crisis and Russian Export Disruptions (2021–2022)
Cause: Surging natural gas prices in Europe and reduced Russian exports due to geopolitical tensions and Ukraine conflict.
Impact: Record-high ammonia prices, limited supply, and increased production costs, especially in Europe.
COVID-19 パンデミック(2020年)
Cause: Global lockdowns and reduced economic activity.
Impact: Sharp drop in ammonia demand and prices, followed by a strong rebound as economies reopened.
このような出来事は Ammonia 世界的な混乱に対する市場の脆弱性が浮き彫りになり、需給ダイナミクスの継続的なモニタリングの必要性が浮き彫りになった。
PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global ammonia price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the ammonia market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.
In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence ammonia prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely ammonia market data.
Track PriceWatch's ammonia price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.
この調査 方法論 を保証する。 プライスウォッチ 配信 正確, タイムリーそして実行可能である。 Ammonia 価格査定を行うことで、クライアントは市場動向を先取りし、刻々と変化する市場において十分な情報に基づいた意思決定を行うことができます。
分子量[g/mol]
CAS番号
HSコード
分子式
Ammonia is a colorless gas with a characteristic pungent odor, widely used in various industries. In agriculture, it serves as a key source of nitrogen in fertilizers. It is also essential in chemical manufacturing (such as nitric acid, plastics, and explosives), refrigeration, water treatment, and cleaning products. Ammonia is highly soluble in water, forming ammonium hydroxide, and is valued for its reactivity and efficiency as a nitrogen source. Although it can be hazardous in high concentrations, it is a fundamental industrial chemical with broad applications.
包装タイプ
対象学年
使用されるインコタームズ
同義語
PriceWatch 見積もり条件:
元ロケーション この契約は、売り手が商品をその構内で入手できるようにし、買い手が送料、保険料、その他の手数料を含むすべての輸送費を負担する配送契約を指す。
CIF: CIFとは、商品のCost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF)条件のこと。CIF条件では、売主は商品が仕向港に到着するまでの商品代金、保険料、運賃を負担する。
FDだ: FDとはFree Deliveredの略で、売り手が商品を場所/港に届ける全責任を負うことを意味します。これにより、買い手は輸入関税を除くすべての必要な費用を負担した上で、指定された港で商品を受け取ることができます。
本船渡し: FOBとは、Free On-Board shippingの略で、売り手が商品を港に届ける費用とリスクを負うことを指します。商品が本船に積み込まれた後は、船積みや保険を含むすべての費用について買い手に責任が移ります。
テスト・パラメーター | Standard (Typical) |
外観(色) | Colorless |
外観(フォーム) | Liquid (aqueous) |
臭気 | Pungent, characteristic |
Purity (Assay, min.) | 99.5% (anhydrous) / 25–30% (aqueous) |
Water (max.) | 0.2% (anhydrous) |
Oil Content (max.) | 5 mg/kg (anhydrous) |
Iron (Fe) (max.) | 0.5 mg/kg (anhydrous) |
Heavy Metals (Pb) (max.) | 0.5 mg/kg (anhydrous) |
Non-volatile Residue (max.) | 0.005% (aqueous, 28%) |
アプリケーション
Ammonia (NH₃) is a highly versatile chemical with widespread uses. It’s essential in agriculture as a primary ingredient in nitrogen fertilizers, boosting plant growth and crop yields. Industrially, ammonia serves as an effective refrigerant for large-scale cooling systems and is used in wastewater treatment to regulate pH. It also plays roles in cleaning products, chemical manufacturing (producing plastics, explosives, and pharmaceuticals), oil and gas refining, metal treating, pulp and paper production, rubber stabilization, and as an antimicrobial agent in food processing.
Ammonia prices in the global market are primarily influenced by natural gas costs, as most production relies on gas for hydrogen synthesis. Supply chain disruptions, geopolitical events, and export restrictions from major producers further impact pricing by tightening availability. Agricultural demand for fertilizers remains a key driver, while industrial uses provide steady consumption. Logistical challenges, such as port congestion and shipping delays, add to price volatility. Additionally, weather events, infrastructure constraints, and emerging green ammonia initiatives shape both short- and long-term price trends.
Ammonia availability directly influences pricing trends: when supply is tight due to production outages, logistical disruptions, or export restrictions, prices typically rise as demand outstrips available stocks. Conversely, improved availability from stable production or sufficient imports can ease price pressures, especially if demand is steady or subdued. Therefore, ammonia prices are highly sensitive to changes in supply chain efficiency and regional inventory levels.
Ammonia prices globally are mainly driven by natural gas costs, as most production uses gas for hydrogen. Supply chain disruptions, geopolitical tensions (like export restrictions), and logistics issues also cause volatility. Demand from agriculture (for fertilizers) and industry keeps prices active, while production outages and infrastructure differences between regions add pressure. Emerging green ammonia and climate policies, plus macroeconomic factors like currency and inflation, further shape long- and short-term pricing trends.
著作権2025年。無断複写・転載を禁じます。ニディヤナ・プライスウォッチ・データ・アナリティクス・プライベート・リミテッド