Ammonia 価格査定

  • 商品価格

ammonia 対象市場 

う中国
私たち米国
でインド
kr韓国
ルロシア
ササウジアラビア
qaカタール
nlオランダ

ammonia 対象市場 

Global ammonia Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

Q1 2025

Q1 2025: 

Ammonia prices corrected downward in Q1 2025, with FOB Lisas falling from 489 USD/MT in January to 423 USD/MT by March 2025. The decline was primarily driven by softer global demand following the post-harvest lull and increased supply resulting from the resumption of production at key North African and Middle Eastern facilities.

Analysts observed a notable slowdown in purchasing inquiries from Southeast Asia, contributing further to the bearish sentiment. Additionally, market participants highlighted declining freight costs, which improved delivery timelines and intensified price competition among suppliers.

This combination of factors led to a more balanced market, with buyers benefiting from improved availability and lower costs, while producers faced pressure to maintain market share amid subdued demand and heightened competition. 

Q1 2024

Q1 2024: 

Ammonia prices experienced a marked decline throughout Q1 2024, as FOB Lisas dropped from USD 535/MT in January to USD 424/MT in March, and FOB Saudi decreased from USD 481/MT to USD 306/MT. The downward movement was driven by reduced seasonal demand, particularly in Europe where a mild winter curbed industrial ammonia usage.

Increased export availability from North Africa, alongside rising inventories in the Middle East, further pressured the market. Weak spot demand from South Asian fertilizer producers compounded the trend, intensifying competition among suppliers and reinforcing the overall price weakness across global markets. 

Q2 2024

Q2 2024: 

Ammonia prices experienced a persistent softening trend throughout Q2, with FOB Middle East quotes dropping from USD 351/MT in April to USD 286/MT by June. The decline was driven by sustained low demand, notably in Asia-Pacific, where procurement activity remained subdued, and by high inventory levels across global markets.

Middle Eastern suppliers intensified spot selling, further pressuring prices. Lower feedstock costs reduced production expenses, prompting producers to compete more aggressively and reinforcing the downward price momentum. These factors collectively heightened market volatility and dampened price recovery prospects in the near term.  

Q3 2024

Q3 2024: 

Q3 marked a sharp recovery in ammonia markets, with notable price increases across key regions. In Trinidad and Tobago, FOB Lisas prices rose from USD 392/MT in July to USD 477/MT by September 2024, a 22% jump, while FOB Saudi ammonia prices climbed from USD 340/MT to USD 366/MT.  This rebound was primarily driven by seasonal demand ahead of the Rabi crop cycle, alongside planned turnarounds at Gulf production facilities.

Market participants observed tighter supplies due to operational outages and reported increased procurement activity from Europe and Brazil, which further supported upward momentum in FOB prices, reflecting renewed confidence and stronger market fundamentals. The combination of supply constraints and robust demand from agriculture and industry underpinned the price rally. 

Q4 2024

Q4 2024: 

Ammonia prices remained firm at elevated levels in Q4 2024. FOB Middle East prices were stable between USD 421/MT in October and USD 410/MT in December 2024. Steady agricultural demand and constrained supply due to Arabian Gulf shipping delays buoyed the market. Congestion at key export ports further restricted availability, prompting buyers to secure long-term contracts for Q1 2025 shipments as a hedge against uncertainty.

Analysts noted ongoing buyer caution, reflecting concerns over future supply reliability and price volatility. Persistent demand from major importers helped maintain spot prices, reinforcing a balanced yet tense market environment throughout the final quarter of 2024. 

India ammonia Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

Q1 2024

Q1 2024:

In Q1 2024, ammonia prices at India’s JNPT port (CFR from Saudi Arabia) rose marginally to 米ドル 431/MT, a mere 0.5% increase from Q4 2023. This slight uptick reflects stable market conditions, with ample Saudi supply meeting steady, cautious Indian demand as agricultural needs grew. The market saw little disruption or volatility, as efficient Saudi production and only minor logistical delays kept prices nearly unchanged.

This stability highlights robust supply chain management and the absence of major external shocks, allowing both producers and buyers to operate smoothly. Overall, the market’s resilience reinforced ammonia’s critical role in supporting India’s agricultural and industrial sectors. 

Q2 2024

Q2 2024:

The Q2 2024 CFR JNPT Ammonia price from Qatar was 米ドル 365/MT, showing a negligible decrease of around 1% from Q1 2024. This indicates a period of price stability despite broader regional volatility. Supply-chain disruptions, fluctuating feedstock costs, and mixed demand from downstream sectors such as fertilizers, chemicals, and refrigeration contributed to slight price adjustments, but the market remained balanced, reflecting neither significant upward nor downward pressure compared to earlier quarters.

The cautious trading environment was further influenced by global economic uncertainties and India’s steady industrial demand for ammonia, which helped offset potential price swings. Overall, limited price movement and stable supply-demand dynamics characterized the period, with market participants closely monitoring both domestic and international developments to 期待する future trends. 

Q3 2024

Q3 2024:

2024年第3四半期、 Ammonia prices at India’s Paradip port (CFR from Saudi Arabia) were rose sharply from Q2 levels. The sharp rise highlighted market volatility, contrasting with broader volatility from Saudi supply disruptions at Ma’aden and rising feedstock costs. The Saudi-to-India route stayed resilient and well-supplied, with significant price shifts despite external pressures and strong pre-planting season demand.

Efficient 物流, steady vessel schedules, and robust Indian fertilizer sector demand kept deliveries smooth. Proactive inventory management by importers further stabilized prices towards the end of the quarter, ensuring tight price ranges amid global uncertainties and supporting continued market balance throughout the period. 

Q4 2024

Q4 2024:  

In Q4 2024, CFR JNPT ammonia prices from Qatar rose to USD 465 /MT, a modest 0.905% increase from Q3, signalling continued price stability in Asia. Supply constraints, including intermittent plant outages and logistical hurdles, as well as fluctuating demand from fertilizer producers, shaped market trends.

However, the limited price movement highlights balanced market dynamics, with robust Indian demand and proactive inventory management helping to cushion the impact of global supply disruptions. The quarter’s overall stability underscores the resilience of ammonia trade routes and the importance of India’s role in global chemical and fertilizer markets. 

ammonia 対象となるパラメータ 

上流
  • 天然ガス
  • Steam Reforming
  • Air (Nitrogen)
下流
  • Fertilizers (Urea, Ammonium Nitrate, etc.)
  • Explosives (Ammonium Nitrate, Nitric Acid)
  • Refrigerants
  • Cleaning Agents
  • Textile Industry (Dyeing, pH Regulation)
  • 医薬品
  • Plastics & Synthetic Fibers
  • Pulp & Paper (pH Regulation)
主要供給国
  • 中国
  • ロシア
  • サウジアラビア
  • トリニダード・トバゴ
  • カタール
主要輸入国
  • インド
  • 米国
  • 韓国
  • インドネシア
  • メキシコ

ammonia 対象となるパラメータ 

上流
  • 天然ガス
  • Steam Reforming
  • Air (Nitrogen)
下流
  • Fertilizers (Urea, Ammonium Nitrate, etc.)
  • Explosives (Ammonium Nitrate, Nitric Acid)
  • Refrigerants
  • Cleaning Agents
  • Textile Industry (Dyeing, pH Regulation)
  • 医薬品
  • Plastics & Synthetic Fibers
  • Pulp & Paper (pH Regulation)
主要供給国
  • 中国
  • ロシア
  • サウジアラビア
  • トリニダード・トバゴ
  • カタール
主要輸入国
  • インド
  • 米国
  • 韓国
  • インドネシア
  • メキシコ

仕様

分子量[g/mol]

17.03 g/mol

CAS番号

7664-41-7

HSコード

2814.10.00 (for anhydrous ammonia)

分子式

NH₃
ammonia

Ammonia is a colorless gas with a characteristic pungent odor, widely used in various industries. In agriculture, it serves as a key source of nitrogen in fertilizers. It is also essential in chemical manufacturing (such as nitric acid, plastics, and explosives), refrigeration, water treatment, and cleaning products. Ammonia is highly soluble in water, forming ammonium hydroxide, and is valued for its reactivity and efficiency as a nitrogen source. Although it can be hazardous in high concentrations, it is a fundamental industrial chemical with broad applications.

包装タイプ

Pressurized Ship Tanks.

対象学年

Fertilizer grade (Purity: >99%)

使用されるインコタームズ

FOB Lisas, FOB Hamad, FOB Ras-Al-Khair, CFR Houston (Trinidad and Tobago), CFR Rotterdam (Trinidad and Tobago), CFR JNPT (Qatar), CFR Ulsan (Saudi Arabia), CFR JNPT (Saudi Arabia) and CFR Paradip (Saudi Arabia).

同義語

Anhydrous Ammonia, Ammonium Hydroxide (for aqueous solutions), NH₃

PriceWatch 見積もり条件:

20-30KT

元ロケーション この契約は、売り手が商品をその構内で入手できるようにし、買い手が送料、保険料、その他の手数料を含むすべての輸送費を負担する配送契約を指す。
CIF: CIFとは、商品のCost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF)条件のこと。CIF条件では、売主は商品が仕向港に到着するまでの商品代金、保険料、運賃を負担する。
FDだ: FDとはFree Deliveredの略で、売り手が商品を場所/港に届ける全責任を負うことを意味します。これにより、買い手は輸入関税を除くすべての必要な費用を負担した上で、指定された港で商品を受け取ることができます。
本船渡し: FOBとは、Free On-Board shippingの略で、売り手が商品を港に届ける費用とリスクを負うことを指します。商品が本船に積み込まれた後は、船積みや保険を含むすべての費用について買い手に責任が移ります。

テスト・パラメーター  Standard (Typical) 
外観(色)  Colorless 
外観(フォーム)  Liquid (aqueous) 
臭気  Pungent, characteristic 
Purity (Assay, min.)  99.5% (anhydrous) / 25–30% (aqueous) 
Water (max.)  0.2% (anhydrous) 
Oil Content (max.)  5 mg/kg (anhydrous) 
Iron (Fe) (max.)  0.5 mg/kg (anhydrous) 
Heavy Metals (Pb) (max.)  0.5 mg/kg (anhydrous) 
Non-volatile Residue (max.)  0.005% (aqueous, 28%) 

アプリケーション

Ammonia (NH₃) is a highly versatile chemical with widespread uses. It’s essential in agriculture as a primary ingredient in nitrogen fertilizers, boosting plant growth and crop yields. Industrially, ammonia serves as an effective refrigerant for large-scale cooling systems and is used in wastewater treatment to regulate pH. It also plays roles in cleaning products, chemical manufacturing (producing plastics, explosives, and pharmaceuticals), oil and gas refining, metal treating, pulp and paper production, rubber stabilization, and as an antimicrobial agent in food processing. 

歴史的には、いくつかの出来事によって、株価は大きく変動してきた。 ammonia 物価

Severe Weather and Supply Chain Disruptions (2023–2024) 

Cause: Extreme weather events (hurricanes, typhoons) and labor strikes affecting production and logistics. 

Impact: Supply shortages and sharp price increases, with volatility as production and logistics recovered. 

Energy Crisis and Russian Export Disruptions (2021–2022) 

Cause: Surging natural gas prices in Europe and reduced Russian exports due to geopolitical tensions and Ukraine conflict. 

Impact: Record-high ammonia prices, limited supply, and increased production costs, especially in Europe. 

COVID-19 パンデミック(2020年) 

Cause: Global lockdowns and reduced economic activity. 

Impact: Sharp drop in ammonia demand and prices, followed by a strong rebound as economies reopened. 

このような出来事は Ammonia 世界的な混乱に対する市場の脆弱性が浮き彫りになり、需給ダイナミクスの継続的なモニタリングの必要性が浮き彫りになった。 

なぜプライスウォッチなのか?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global ammonia price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the ammonia market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence ammonia prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely ammonia market data.

Track PriceWatch's ammonia price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

データ収集と情報源

  • リアルタイム市場データ: PriceWatch gathers real-time pricing data for Ammonia from a wide range of sources, including commodity exchanges, industry reports, and our proprietary databases. 
  • 現場のインテリジェンス: 私たちのチームは、主要なMOP生産地域の生産者、サプライヤー、トレーダーから見識を収集し、現地レベルでの市場力学の理解に役立てている。 
  • サプライチェーンの監視 We track the Ammonia supply chain, particularly the availability of Natural gas, the key raw material. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and logistics. 

イベントのトラッキングと影響分析

  • 地政学的緊張: PriceWatch monitors geopolitical events that impact the production and transportation of Ammonia, particularly in regions rich in raw material reserves like natural gas. 
  • 環境と規制要因: PriceWatch evaluates how regulatory changes aimed at reducing emissions affect the Ammonia industry, particularly in the environmental and pharmaceutical sectors. 

生産能力と供給分析

  • 現在の生産モニタリング: We maintain a comprehensive database of Ammonia production facilities, tracking operational status, maintenance, and output levels. 
  • 将来のキャパシティ予測: Our research includes detailed forecasts of new Ammonia production capacities and expansions.

需要予測

  • 部門別需要分析: Ammonia demand is led by agriculture, chemicals, and emerging uses like marine fuels. Fertilizer dominates, but new applications are driving growth. 
  • 世界の需要ダイナミクス: Global ammonia demand is rising, especially in Asia and Africa. Regional policies and green ammonia initiatives are shaping future demand and pricing trends 

価格設定モデルの開発

  • ダイナミック・プライシング・モデル: PriceWatchは、リアルタイムのデータ、過去のトレンド、市場予測を考慮し、高度なモデルを使ってMOP価格を予測している。 
  • シナリオ分析: 私たちはシナリオに基づいた評価を提供し、規制の変化やサプライチェーンの混乱など、潜在的な市場の結果に対する準備を支援します。 

レポーティングとクライアント・サポート

  • 包括的なレポート Clients receive detailed reports on Ammonia pricing, future trends, and the key factors driving market changes. 
  • 継続的なサポート: PriceWatchは継続的なアップデートと専門家によるアドバイスを提供し、顧客が常に情報を入手し、戦略的な意思決定を行えるよう支援する。 

この調査 方法論 を保証する。 プライスウォッチ 配信 正確, タイムリーそして実行可能である。 Ammonia 価格査定を行うことで、クライアントは市場動向を先取りし、刻々と変化する市場において十分な情報に基づいた意思決定を行うことができます。 

分子量[g/mol]

17.03 g/mol

CAS番号

7664-41-7

HSコード

2814.10.00 (for anhydrous ammonia)

分子式

NH₃
ammonia

Ammonia is a colorless gas with a characteristic pungent odor, widely used in various industries. In agriculture, it serves as a key source of nitrogen in fertilizers. It is also essential in chemical manufacturing (such as nitric acid, plastics, and explosives), refrigeration, water treatment, and cleaning products. Ammonia is highly soluble in water, forming ammonium hydroxide, and is valued for its reactivity and efficiency as a nitrogen source. Although it can be hazardous in high concentrations, it is a fundamental industrial chemical with broad applications.

包装タイプ

Pressurized Ship Tanks.

対象学年

Fertilizer grade (Purity: >99%)

使用されるインコタームズ

FOB Lisas, FOB Hamad, FOB Ras-Al-Khair, CFR Houston (Trinidad and Tobago), CFR Rotterdam (Trinidad and Tobago), CFR JNPT (Qatar), CFR Ulsan (Saudi Arabia), CFR JNPT (Saudi Arabia) and CFR Paradip (Saudi Arabia).

同義語

Anhydrous Ammonia, Ammonium Hydroxide (for aqueous solutions), NH₃

PriceWatch 見積もり条件:

20-30KT

元ロケーション この契約は、売り手が商品をその構内で入手できるようにし、買い手が送料、保険料、その他の手数料を含むすべての輸送費を負担する配送契約を指す。
CIF: CIFとは、商品のCost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF)条件のこと。CIF条件では、売主は商品が仕向港に到着するまでの商品代金、保険料、運賃を負担する。
FDだ: FDとはFree Deliveredの略で、売り手が商品を場所/港に届ける全責任を負うことを意味します。これにより、買い手は輸入関税を除くすべての必要な費用を負担した上で、指定された港で商品を受け取ることができます。
本船渡し: FOBとは、Free On-Board shippingの略で、売り手が商品を港に届ける費用とリスクを負うことを指します。商品が本船に積み込まれた後は、船積みや保険を含むすべての費用について買い手に責任が移ります。

テスト・パラメーター  Standard (Typical) 
外観(色)  Colorless 
外観(フォーム)  Liquid (aqueous) 
臭気  Pungent, characteristic 
Purity (Assay, min.)  99.5% (anhydrous) / 25–30% (aqueous) 
Water (max.)  0.2% (anhydrous) 
Oil Content (max.)  5 mg/kg (anhydrous) 
Iron (Fe) (max.)  0.5 mg/kg (anhydrous) 
Heavy Metals (Pb) (max.)  0.5 mg/kg (anhydrous) 
Non-volatile Residue (max.)  0.005% (aqueous, 28%) 

アプリケーション

Ammonia (NH₃) is a highly versatile chemical with widespread uses. It’s essential in agriculture as a primary ingredient in nitrogen fertilizers, boosting plant growth and crop yields. Industrially, ammonia serves as an effective refrigerant for large-scale cooling systems and is used in wastewater treatment to regulate pH. It also plays roles in cleaning products, chemical manufacturing (producing plastics, explosives, and pharmaceuticals), oil and gas refining, metal treating, pulp and paper production, rubber stabilization, and as an antimicrobial agent in food processing. 

安息香酸 PriceWatchが提供する価格は基本価格であり、付加価値税(VAT/TAX)、割引、オファーは含まれていません。ここに記載されている情報は、表示された日付現在で弊社が知る限り正確なものであり、安息香酸の参考情報として、お客様の便宜のためにのみ提供されています。PriceWatchは、この情報から得られる結果の正確性に関して、いかなる保証も表明もいたしません。特定の用途に対する製品の適合性を評価することは、使用者の単独の責任です。本書は、該当する特許権に違反して製品を使用することを推奨するものではありません。

Ammonia prices in the global market are primarily influenced by natural gas costs, as most production relies on gas for hydrogen synthesis. Supply chain disruptions, geopolitical events, and export restrictions from major producers further impact pricing by tightening availability. Agricultural demand for fertilizers remains a key driver, while industrial uses provide steady consumption. Logistical challenges, such as port congestion and shipping delays, add to price volatility. Additionally, weather events, infrastructure constraints, and emerging green ammonia initiatives shape both short- and long-term price trends.

Ammonia availability directly influences pricing trends: when supply is tight due to production outages, logistical disruptions, or export restrictions, prices typically rise as demand outstrips available stocks. Conversely, improved availability from stable production or sufficient imports can ease price pressures, especially if demand is steady or subdued. Therefore, ammonia prices are highly sensitive to changes in supply chain efficiency and regional inventory levels.

Ammonia prices globally are mainly driven by natural gas costs, as most production uses gas for hydrogen. Supply chain disruptions, geopolitical tensions (like export restrictions), and logistics issues also cause volatility. Demand from agriculture (for fertilizers) and industry keeps prices active, while production outages and infrastructure differences between regions add pressure. Emerging green ammonia and climate policies, plus macroeconomic factors like currency and inflation, further shape long- and short-term pricing trends.