n-Butanol 価格査定
UNSPC: 12159999

n-butanol 対象市場 

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n-butanol 対象市場 

Global n-butanol Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

Q1 2025

In Q1 2025, Malaysia’s N-butanol export prices saw a decrease of 3.54%, reaching USD 841 per metric ton, primarily driven by slower demand in downstream industries such as coatings and adhesives, following the seasonal lull after the festive period. The reduction in prices also stemmed from fluctuations in propylene feedstock costs, which tightened supply chains and impacted production costs.

CIF countries like Thailand, Singapore, and Indonesia, major importers of Malaysian N-butanol, saw 比較的安定 demand, but overall consumption from these regions remained subdued, reflecting the global trend of cautious spending. Similarly, in South Africa, the price of N-butanol in Q1 2025 dropped by 3.08% to USD 855 per metric ton.

Belgium, the primary importer, experienced a seasonal decline in demand, driven by reduced industrial activity in key sectors like automotive and construction, leading to lower-than-expected consumption. The price decrease was further compounded by the impact of the European winter, which typically slows down production.

Meanwhile, in the アメリカ, N-butanol prices fell sharply by 10.15%, dropping to USD 852 per metric ton, reflecting a significant drop in downstream demand. The U.S. faced an oversupply of N-butanol in the market, exacerbated by reduced activity in the automotive and industrial coatings sectors.

The lack of major disruptions in feedstock prices (propylene) could not fully offset the weaker demand, especially in the face of a post-holiday season downturn. Export challenges to Asia and lower domestic consumption added 追加 downward pressure to the market. 

Q1 2024

In Q1 2024, Malaysia’s N-butanol export prices rose by 1.97%, reaching USD 898 per metric ton. This slight increase was largely attributed to a seasonal uptick in demand following the festive period, with key CIF countries like Thailand, Singapore, and Indonesia showing moderate recovery in demand.

The coating and adhesives industries, which saw some rebound post-holiday, contributed to this price rise. Propylene feedstock prices remained stable, helping to support production costs. In South Africa, Belgium experienced a modest price increase of 1.46%, reaching USD 881 per metric ton.

This minor uptick was driven by a slight recovery in demand from the European coatings and automotive sectors, although the overall demand remained soft compared to the mid-year peak. The stability in feedstock costs and a moderate recovery in industrial activity helped Belgium maintain stable imports.

Meanwhile, in the アメリカ, the N-butanol market faced a 2.53% decline in prices, with the price falling to USD 890 per metric ton. This decrease was mainly due to reduced demand in the automotive and coatings sectors, which typically slowed down in the first quarter of the year.

The dip in feedstock costs, particularly for propylene, also contributed to the lower production costs but could not fully offset the reduced demand, resulting in the overall price decrease. 

 

Q2 2024

In Q2 2024, Malaysia’s N-butanol export prices surged by 7.85%, reaching USD 968 per metric ton, largely driven by a strong uptick in demand from the coatings and adhesives industries, as well as from CIF countries like Thailand, Singapore, and Indonesia. The mid-year recovery in manufacturing activities across Southeast Asia supported this price rise, particularly in the automotive sector.

The feedstock market also showed a tightening of supply, as propylene prices rose, adding pressure to production costs. Despite the price increase, Malaysia continued to maintain its competitive position within the region, benefiting from stable export markets and rising demand.

South Africa’s N-butanol prices saw a notable increase of 11.58%, reaching USD 983 per metric ton, driven by stronger demand from the European coatings and automotive industries. The mid-year period, characterized by seasonal demand in the construction and coatings sectors, supported the price rise, with the European summer fueling industrial activity.

The rise in propylene prices further contributed to the increased production costs, pushing up the overall price of N-butanol. Belgium, as the major importer, saw the benefits of these rising prices, while maintaining steady import levels. The アメリカ also experienced a 4.28% price increase, with N-butanol prices climbing to USD 928 per metric ton.

This was mainly driven by increased demand from the automotive, coating, and construction sectors, which saw positive growth during the warmer months. Additionally, the stabilization of feedstock prices and improved export demand from Latin American and Asian markets helped support the price rise in the U.S. 

Q3 2024

In Q3 2024, Malaysia’s N-butanol export prices rose by 3.50%, reaching USD 1002 per metric ton, marking a recovery from the previous quarter’s dip. This uptick was driven by an increase in demand from downstream industries, particularly in coatings and adhesives, as the post-summer season led to a rebound in manufacturing activities.

Demand from key CIF countries like Thailand, Singapore, and Indonesia also showed improvement, particularly as these markets geared up for higher consumption during the latter part of the year. The stabilization of feedstock prices for propylene further supported production, allowing Malaysia to increase its export prices.

In South Africa, Belgium’s N-butanol prices saw a slight decline of 2.22%, falling to USD 961 per metric ton. This drop was mainly attributed to lower demand in the automotive and construction sectors, where growth in manufacturing activity slowed after the mid-year peak.

However, Belgium maintained relatively stable import levels due to ongoing demand from the chemicals and coatings industries. The feedstock cost for propylene remained stable, but the decline in demand from major European industrial players contributed to the minor price fall.

Meanwhile, in the アメリカ, N-butanol prices rose by 4.52%, reaching USD 970 per metric ton. The U.S. market experienced an uptick in demand, particularly from the automotive and industrial coatings sectors, which boosted overall consumption.

The price increase was also supported by strong export demand from Latin America and parts of Asia, alongside the relatively stable feedstock prices for propylene, which helped maintain production margins. 

Q4 2024

In Q4 2024, Malaysia’s N-butanol export prices fell by a steep 13.03%, settling at USD 872 per metric ton, driven by a significant drop in demand from downstream industries like automotive and construction, which typically slow down during the holiday season.

This decline also reflected a broader supply-demand imbalance, as an oversupply of propylene, a key feedstock, led to lower production costs, but demand remained lackluster across key markets like Thailand, Singapore, and Indonesia.

The reduced demand from CIF countries coupled with a reduction in exports to Southeast Asia and beyond placed further downward pressure on prices. Similarly, in South Africa, Belgium saw an 8.20% price drop, with N-butanol prices falling to USD 882 per metric ton.

This decrease was attributed to weaker demand from the construction and coatings sectors, as European countries traditionally slow down manufacturing and industrial activities towards the end of the year.

Additionally, the dip in energy prices, particularly crude oil and natural gas, helped stabilize feedstock costs but could not prevent the overall downturn in demand. In the USA, the N-butanol market showed a more moderate decrease of 2.30%, with prices settling at USD 948 per metric ton.

While the USA market did face a slight dip in demand from the coatings and automotive sectors, the drop was much smaller compared to Malaysia and South Africa. This relative resilience in the USA was supported by consistent feedstock prices and moderate demand, despite the seasonal slowdown. 

India n-butanol Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

Q1 2024

In Q1 2024, N-butanol prices across India saw a moderate increase compared to Q4 2023. The CIF price rose by 4.14%, to USD 959 per metric ton, reflecting a mild rebound in demand from the downstream automotive and pharmaceutical sectors after the slower year-end period. The Ex-Kandla (Bulk) price rose by 11.26%, reaching USD 1231 per metric ton, driven by a slight pick-up in bulk consumption, particularly from industrial and chemical sectors.

The Ex-Kandla (Retail) price also saw a significant increase of 19.71%, reaching USD 1336 per metric ton, driven by improved demand in the retail market post-festivals. Retail buyers replenished inventories at higher rates to meet the early-year demand surge. Ex-Vizag prices rose by 11.57%, reaching USD 1201 per metric ton, as regional demand from Andhra Petrochem’s customers picked up, particularly from sectors like automotive and construction.

Feedstock prices for N-butanol rose slightly due to the increased global demand for petrochemicals, further supporting the price increase. The price uptick was also aided by logistical improvements following the end of transportation disruptions during the festive season. 

Q2 2024

Q2 2024 witnessed a significant upward movement in N-butanol prices across India, reflecting stronger demand following the festive season and the initial recovery in the automotive and construction sectors. The CIF price increased by 10.27%, reaching USD 1057 per metric ton. This rise was driven by a strong rise in demand, particularly from the coating and paints sectors, as well as some replenishment of stocks in preparation for peak manufacturing months.

The Ex-Kandla (Bulk) price decreased slightly by 1.31%, closing at USD 1214 per metric ton, impacted by oversupply in the bulk segment and sluggish demand from industrial buyers. However, Ex-Kandla (Retail) saw a remarkable 19.71% increase, reaching USD 1336 per metric ton, driven by higher consumption from retail sectors due to improved end-user demand. The Ex-Vizag (Andhra Petrochem) price also saw an increase of 11.57%, reaching USD 1201 per metric ton, supported by strong consumption from regional players.

The feedstock market remained relatively stable, with slight upward pressure from global propylene prices, but this was not enough to offset the stronger demand driving prices up. The market enjoyed a brief boom due to post-holiday demand. 

Q3 2024

In Q3 2024, N-butanol prices showed a minor decline across India. The CIF price fell by 1.59%, to USD 1074 per metric ton. The dip was driven by stable import volumes from Malaysia, coupled with an easing in demand from downstream industries such as coatings and adhesives. Ex-Kandla (Bulk) decreased by 1.75%, reaching USD 1193 per metric ton, while the retail segment faced a slight uptick of 0.70%, closing at USD 1309 per metric ton.

Retail prices were bolstered by some restocking activities ahead of the festive season, though the increase was moderate. Ex-Vizag saw a reduction of 1.71%, bringing the price to USD 1162 per metric ton. Like other markets, Ex-Vizag pricing was impacted by fluctuating demand from the downstream sectors and the ongoing adjustments in inventory management.

The feedstock situation remained stable, with minimal fluctuations in prices of key inputs like propylene, which helped stabilize production costs for N-butanol. The market generally showed signs of stability as industries awaited the end of the monsoon season and the potential for demand recovery.

Q4 2024

Q4 2024 marked a sharp drop in N-butanol prices across all markets in India. The CIF price decreased by 13.47%, settling at USD 929 per metric ton. This drop was mainly attributed to seasonal factors, as post-Diwali demand weakened, and higher-than-expected stock levels reduced immediate import requirements.

The Ex-Kandla (Bulk) price also dropped by 14.27%, to USD 1023 per metric ton, reflecting both a seasonal decline in bulk demand from industrial sectors and weaker supply chain activity. In Ex-Kandla retail, the drop was less severe, standing at -14.61%, with prices falling to USD 1118 per metric ton.

The retail market was more insulated from drastic fluctuations but still felt the impact of lower consumption from small and medium enterprises. Ex-Vizag prices also took a significant hit, decreasing by 14.64% to USD 992 per metric ton. This was largely due to the reduction in Andhra Petrochem’s output and the overstock during the preceding months.

The feed stock market saw slight fluctuations, but the overall trend was towards lower prices due to slack demand in the chemical and solvent sectors. 

n-butanol 対象となるパラメータ 

上流
  • プロピレン
  • Ethanol
下流
  • 建設
  • 医薬品
  • パッケージング
  • Food and Beverage
  • Textile
主要供給国
  •  Malaysia
  •  South Africa
  •  USA
主要輸入国
  • シンガポール
  • ベルギー
  • インド
  • インドネシア
  • タイ

n-butanol 対象となるパラメータ 

上流
  • プロピレン
  • Ethanol
下流
  • 建設
  • 医薬品
  • パッケージング
  • Food and Beverage
  • Textile
主要供給国
  •  Malaysia
  •  South Africa
  •  USA
主要輸入国
  • シンガポール
  • ベルギー
  • インド
  • インドネシア
  • タイ

仕様

分子量[g/mol]

74.12

CAS番号

71-36-3

HSコード

29051300

分子式

C4H10O
n-butanol

n-Butanol is a primary alcohol derived from the oxo process, using propylene and syngas as key feedstocks. This versatile solvent feature excellent miscibility and is widely used in paints, coatings, adhesives, and plasticizers. Its role as a chemical intermediate in butyl acrylates and butyl acetates production makes it essential in industrial and consumer applications.

包装タイプ

Isotanks, Drums (India)

対象学年

インダストリアル

使用されるインコタームズ

FOB Klang, FOB Houston, FOB Durban, CIF Antwerp (South Africa), CIF Nhava Sheva (Malaysia), CIF Jakarta (Malaysia), CIF Singapore (Malaysia), CIF Laem Chabang (Malaysia)

同義語

Butan-1-ol, Butyl Alcohol, 1-hydroxybutane, Propylcarbinol

PriceWatch 見積もり条件:

10-15 MT(インド)、50-60 MT(世界)

元ロケーション この契約は、売り手が商品をその構内で入手できるようにし、買い手が送料、保険料、その他の手数料を含むすべての輸送費を負担する配送契約を指す。
CIF: CIFとは、商品のCost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF)条件のこと。CIF条件では、売主は商品が仕向港に到着するまでの商品代金、保険料、運賃を負担する。
FDだ: FDとはFree Deliveredの略で、売り手が商品を場所/港に届ける全責任を負うことを意味します。これにより、買い手は輸入関税を除くすべての必要な費用を負担した上で、指定された港で商品を受け取ることができます。
本船渡し: FOBとは、Free On-Board shippingの略で、売り手が商品を港に届ける費用とリスクを負うことを指します。商品が本船に積み込まれた後は、船積みや保険を含むすべての費用について買い手に責任が移ります。

プロパティ  仕様 
外観  Colourless liquid 
純度   99.5% 
密度(20)  0.81 g/mL 
沸点   119 °C 
凝固点  -90 °C 
Vapour Pressure (20 °C)  4.2 mm Hg 
比重   0.810 
Viscosity (20 °C)  2.947 mm2/s 
Surface Tension (dynes/cm)  24.2 
Autoignition Temperature  355 °C 

アプリケーション

n-Butanol is used mainly as a feedstock/intermediate to make other chemicals including: 

Butyl acetate: A solvent used in paints, coatings, and adhesives. 

Butyl acrylate: Used in the production of acrylic resins for coatings, adhesives, and sealants. 

Glycol ethers: Employed in the manufacturing of cleaning agents, paints, and inks. 

Butylamines: Used in pharmaceuticals, agriculture chemicals, and rubber additives. 

Esters: Formed with acids, used in flavors, fragrances, and solvents. 

Butyl ethers: Applied as fuel additives and solvents. 

 

歴史的には、いくつかの出来事によって、株価は大きく変動してきた。 n-butanol 物価

  • ロシア・ウクライナ紛争(2022-現在):  

サプライチェーンの混乱: The conflict has impacted the supply chains for raw materials and energy sources, causing delays and shortages that drive up production costs for n-Butanol. 

Energy Prices: Increased volatility in oil and gas prices resulting from the conflict has directly affected the production costs of n-Butanol, as energy is a key input in its manufacturing. 

Market Uncertainty: The geopolitical tensions have created uncertainty in global markets, leading to speculative trading and fluctuating prices as companies adjust to the evolving situation. 

Export Restrictions: Sanctions and trade restrictions imposed on Russia and Ukraine have further strained supply chains, affecting the availability of key feedstocks and raising prices. 

  • COVID-19 パンデミック(2020年):  

Disruption of Supply Chains: Lockdowns and restrictions led to factory closures and transportation delays, disrupting the supply chains for raw materials and finished products, which affected n-Butanol availability. 

Demand Shifts: The pandemic altered demand dynamics, with increased needs in specific sectors such as pharmaceuticals, sanitizers, and packaging materials, while demand from industries like automotive and textiles declined sharply. 

Production Halts: Many manufacturers scaled back or halted production during peak lockdown periods, leading to temporary shortages in the market, which contributed to price volatility. 

Economic Uncertainty: The overall economic instability during the pandemic created uncertainty in the market, causing fluctuations in pricing as companies adjusted their production and inventory strategies. 

Increased Production Costs: The pandemic also increased operating costs due to health and safety measures, logistical challenges, and rising energy prices. These higher production costs contributed to fluctuations in n-butanol prices. 

  • 地政学的緊張(2018-2019):  

Trade Wars: Ongoing trade disputes, particularly between major economies like the U.S. and China, created uncertainty in the market. Tariffs on chemicals and raw materials affected production costs and availability, leading to price volatility.  

Market Speculation: Heightened geopolitical risks triggered speculative trading behaviour in commodity markets, causing prices to swing as traders react to news and developments. 

これらの出来事は、PMMA市場が世界的な混乱に対して脆弱であることを浮き彫りにし、需給の動きを継続的に監視する必要性を強調している。

なぜプライスウォッチなのか?

PriceWatchは世界のグアーガム価格動向を追跡する信頼できる情報源です。当社のプラットフォームはリアルタイムのデータと専門家による分析を提供し、グアーガム市場の価格変動をもたらす重要な要因に関する深い洞察を提供します。PriceWatchは、地政学的緊張、サプライチェーンの混乱、経済変動などの重要なイベントを監視することで、市場のダイナミクスを完全にお知らせします。

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence n-butanol prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely n-butanol market data.

Track PriceWatch's n-butanol price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

データ収集と情報源

  • リアルタイム市場データ: Price-Watchは、グローバルな商品取引所、業界レポート、独自のデータベースなど、多様な情報源からリアルタイムの価格データを集約しています。これにより、当社の評価は最新の市場状況を反映したものとなります。 
  • 現場のインテリジェンス: 当社のチームは、主要なグアーガム生産拠点において、生産者、サプライヤー、トレーダー、エンドユーザーなど主要な市場参加者から直接知見を収集しています。このような現地レベルのインテリジェンスは、地域ごとの市場ダイナミクスを理解する上で極めて重要です。 
  • サプライチェーンの監視 We track the entire n-Butanol supply chain, from raw material availability (e.g., propanol, propylene, butyl acetate) to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics.

イベントのトラッキングと影響分析

  • 地政学的緊張: Price-Watchは、安息香酸価格に大きな影響を与える可能性のある紛争や貿易紛争などの世界的な地政学的動向を継続的に監視しています。当社の分析には、サプライチェーンへの潜在的な混乱と、それが価格設定に及ぼす直接的および長期的な影響も含まれます。 
  • 自然災害と気候変動: ハリケーンや冬の嵐などの自然災害が安息香酸生産施設、特に米国メキシコ湾岸のような脆弱な地域に与える影響を評価する。これらの事象は、当社の価格予測と供給見通しに織り込まれている。 
  • 経済の変化: PriceWatch evaluates macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (e.g., automotive, adhesives), to predict shifts in n-Butanol demand and corresponding price movements.

生産能力と供給分析

  • 現在の生産モニタリング: 当社は、世界のグアーガム生産施設の包括的なデータベースを保持し、操業状況、メンテナンススケジュール、生産量を追跡しています。これにより、現在の供給能力を正確に評価することができます。 
  • 将来のキャパシティ予測: 弊社の調査には、新しい工場の建設、拡張、技術的進歩を織り込んだ、今後のグアーガム生産能力の詳細な予測が含まれています。これは将来の供給動向と価格安定化の可能性を予測するのに役立ちます。

需要予測

  • 部門別需要分析: プライスウォッチは、包装、自動車、建設など主要セクターの需要動向を詳細に分析します。前年比の需要の伸びを追跡し、経済指標や業界の発展に基づいて将来の消費パターンを予測します。 
  • 世界の需要ダイナミクス: 我々の方法論は、地域の需要変動と、それが世界のグアーガム価格設定にどのように影響するかを考慮する。これには、製造拠点のシフト、貿易政策、環境規制の影響を理解することも含まれる。

価格設定モデルの開発

  • ダイナミック・プライシング・モデル: Price-Watchは、リアルタイムのデータ、過去のトレンド、予測される市況を組み込んだ高度な計量経済モデルを利用してグアーガム価格を予測しています。当社のモデルは、精度と予測力を高めるために継続的に改良されています。 
  • シナリオ分析: 将来の潜在的な市場環境を評価するため、シナリオに基づく評価を実施しています。これには、最善のシナリオ、最悪のシナリオ、最も可能性の高いシナリオが含まれ、お客様がさまざまな市場の結果に備えることができるよう支援します。 

レポーティングとクライアント・サポート

  • 包括的なレポート 当社のクライアントは、現在の価格査定、将来の価格予測、市場要因の詳細な分析を含む詳細なレポートを受け取ることができます。これらのレポートは、明確な洞察と提言を提供し、実用的であるように設計されています。 
  • 継続的なサポート: Price-Watchは、お客様が十分な情報に基づいた意思決定を行えるよう、常に最新の情報を提供し、お客様一人ひとりに合わせたサポートを提供しています。当社の専門家が、特定の市場動向について話し合い、お客様に合ったアドバイスを提供いたします。 

 

この調査手法により、PriceWatchは最も正確でタイムリー、かつ実用的なオルソキシレンの価格査定を提供し、お客様が市場動向を先取りし、十分な情報に基づいたビジネス上の意思決定を行えるよう支援します。

分子量[g/mol]

74.12

CAS番号

71-36-3

HSコード

29051300

分子式

C4H10O
n-butanol

n-Butanol is a primary alcohol derived from the oxo process, using propylene and syngas as key feedstocks. This versatile solvent feature excellent miscibility and is widely used in paints, coatings, adhesives, and plasticizers. Its role as a chemical intermediate in butyl acrylates and butyl acetates production makes it essential in industrial and consumer applications.

包装タイプ

Isotanks, Drums (India)

対象学年

インダストリアル

使用されるインコタームズ

FOB Klang, FOB Houston, FOB Durban, CIF Antwerp (South Africa), CIF Nhava Sheva (Malaysia), CIF Jakarta (Malaysia), CIF Singapore (Malaysia), CIF Laem Chabang (Malaysia)

同義語

Butan-1-ol, Butyl Alcohol, 1-hydroxybutane, Propylcarbinol

PriceWatch 見積もり条件:

10-15 MT(インド)、50-60 MT(世界)

元ロケーション この契約は、売り手が商品をその構内で入手できるようにし、買い手が送料、保険料、その他の手数料を含むすべての輸送費を負担する配送契約を指す。
CIF: CIFとは、商品のCost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF)条件のこと。CIF条件では、売主は商品が仕向港に到着するまでの商品代金、保険料、運賃を負担する。
FDだ: FDとはFree Deliveredの略で、売り手が商品を場所/港に届ける全責任を負うことを意味します。これにより、買い手は輸入関税を除くすべての必要な費用を負担した上で、指定された港で商品を受け取ることができます。
本船渡し: FOBとは、Free On-Board shippingの略で、売り手が商品を港に届ける費用とリスクを負うことを指します。商品が本船に積み込まれた後は、船積みや保険を含むすべての費用について買い手に責任が移ります。

プロパティ  仕様 
外観  Colourless liquid 
純度   99.5% 
密度(20)  0.81 g/mL 
沸点   119 °C 
凝固点  -90 °C 
Vapour Pressure (20 °C)  4.2 mm Hg 
比重   0.810 
Viscosity (20 °C)  2.947 mm2/s 
Surface Tension (dynes/cm)  24.2 
Autoignition Temperature  355 °C 

アプリケーション

n-Butanol is used mainly as a feedstock/intermediate to make other chemicals including: 

Butyl acetate: A solvent used in paints, coatings, and adhesives. 

Butyl acrylate: Used in the production of acrylic resins for coatings, adhesives, and sealants. 

Glycol ethers: Employed in the manufacturing of cleaning agents, paints, and inks. 

Butylamines: Used in pharmaceuticals, agriculture chemicals, and rubber additives. 

Esters: Formed with acids, used in flavors, fragrances, and solvents. 

Butyl ethers: Applied as fuel additives and solvents. 

 

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