Low Density Polyethylene (ldpe) Price Trend and Forecast

Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Price Trend Q1 2025

Throughout Q1 2025, LDPE Film Grade prices in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, followed an upward trend, rising by around 5.4% from the previous quarter to an average of USD 1,208/MT. The price increase was mainly supported by strong restocking activities at the start of the new year, a positive trading atmosphere, and healthy demand from the downstream flexible packaging and agricultural film industries.

Buying momentum further strengthened ahead of the Chinese Lunar New Year, boosting regional and export demand. No major supply disruptions were reported locally, but firm consumption and tightness in global availability supported the price rise. Feedstock Ethylene prices stayed relatively firm due to stable naphtha values and controlled cracker operations, keeping production costs elevated and pushing LDPE prices higher.

Prices also increased in other regions, including Europe and Asia. However, in the USA, LDPE prices remained largely stable on a quarter-on-quarter basis. In China, LDPE Film Grade prices (CIF Shanghai, Saudi origin) rose by approximately 5.1%, driven by stronger buying interest supported by cheaper imports from Saudi Arabia.

According to the PriceWatch, the Saudi Arabian LDPE Heavy Duty Film Grade market experienced a 5% decrease in prices during Q2, 2025. The average price for the quarter was recorded at USD 1196 per metric ton. This decline in the Saudi Arabian LDPE market is primarily due to reduced demand from industries such as construction and packaging.

Additionally, a drop in Crude Oil prices during the early part of the quarter led to lower production costs, contributing to the price decrease. The weakening of global demand and softer seasonal requirements for heavy-duty packaging materials also played a role in reducing prices.

Furthermore, a slowdown in regional economic activity and a buildup of inventory further pressured the market, leading to this decline. The Saudi Arabian LDPE market is experiencing this price adjustment, and this trend is expected to continue in the near term as demand remains subdued and global economic factors continue to weigh on market conditions.

In Q3 2025, the global LDPE price trend has shown mixed movements, with major markets experiencing both downward and moderate upward adjustments. In the Americas, including the USA, Mexico, and Brazil, the LDPE price trend has declined due to weaker demand in the packaging and industrial sectors, combined with high inventory levels and oversupply.

In Europe, the Low-Density Polyethylene (LDPE) has remained under pressure, with markets in Belgium, Germany, Italy, and France experiencing subdued demand and softening feedstock costs, while imports from the USA and the Middle East have continued to exert competitive pressure.

In Asia, the trend has diverged, with China’s Ex-Ningbo market showing a moderate increase due to strong demand for food-grade packaging and limited supply, whereas Vietnam has faced price softness from slower procurement and regional demand weakness. Overall, the global LDPE price trend has been influenced by imbalances in supply-demand, feedstock volatility, and cautious downstream buying across regions.

Mexico: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Import prices CIF Manzanillo, Mexico from USA, Grade General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 2.0-2.2).

In Q3 2025, the LDPE price trend in Mexico has declined by 2.4%. The LDPE price trend has been influenced by weaker demand from the packaging sector, particularly in food and beverage industries. Domestic converters have hesitated to increase procurement despite import availability from the USA.

Economic uncertainties and cautious purchasing behavior have kept the market subdued, and reduced buying activity has exerted downward pressure on the Low-Density Polyethylene (LDPE) price trend. Global supply-demand imbalances have continued to impact the market, while high import costs have maintained pressure. In September 2025, LDPE prices in Mexico have decreased by 3.8% from August 2025, as FOB US prices have dropped, softening import costs.

Weak downstream demand and high inventories have further suppressed prices. Ethylene feedstock prices have fallen, which has reduced cost support, while procurement activity has remained subdued. Overall, the Mexican LDPE price trend has stayed under bearish conditions during this period.

USA: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Export prices FOB Houston, USA, Grade General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 2.0-2.2).

According to the PriceWatch, in Q3 2025, the Low-Density Polyethylene price trend in the US has declined by 2.6%, with prices ranging from USD 1000–1050/MT. The LDPE price trend has been driven by weak buying activity from downstream flexible packaging industries. Oversupply in the US market has exerted downward pressure, and buyers have delayed large-volume purchases amid economic uncertainty.

Feedstock costs have fallen, while slow demand has continued to soften the LDPE price trend. Price volatility has remained high, with buyers exercising caution. In September 2025, LDPE prices in the US have decreased by 4.0% from August 2025, as feedstock Ethylene prices have sharply fallen by over 12%, weakening LDPE price trend production costs.

Elevated inventories and subdued downstream procurement have further sustained bearish sentiment. The overall LDPE price trend has remained under pressure, with recovery being dependent on improved demand in packaging and industrial applications. Exporters have adjusted their pricing strategies to manage ongoing macroeconomic challenges.

Brazil: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Import prices CIF Santos, Brazil from USA, Grade General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 2.0-2.2).

In Q3 2025, the LDPE price trend in Brazil has declined by 1.9%. Softer demand from the Brazilian packaging sector has contributed to the downward trend, while imports from the USA have remained competitively priced. Economic slowdowns and inflationary pressures have reduced local purchasing volumes, and converters have opted for conservative procurement.

The global oversupply has continued to exert pressure, while steady import arrivals have kept the LDPE price trend under cautious sentiment. In September 2025, LDPE prices in Brazil have decreased by 3.9% from August 2025, following FOB US trends, as the weakening US market has affected CIF prices.

Falling Ethylene feedstock costs have added to cost relief, but weak domestic demand and competitive import offers have further suppressed price increases. Overall, the Brazilian LDPE price trend has remained bearish, with any potential stabilization being contingent on downstream demand improvement.

Saudi Arabia: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Export prices FOB Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, Grade General Purpose Film Grade (MFR: 2).

According to the PriceWatch, in Q3 2025, the Low-Density Polyethylene price trend in Saudi Arabia has declined by 2.8%. The downward movement in the Low-Density Polyethylene (LDPE) price trend has been influenced by weak regional demand and competition from international suppliers. Producers in Saudi Arabia have adjusted their prices to maintain market share, while the decline in feedstock costs, particularly Ethylene, has contributed to reduced production costs.

The export markets, especially in Africa and Southeast Asia, have been experiencing soft demand, which has put additional pressure on the Low-Density Polyethylene (LDPE) price trend. In September 2025, LDPE prices in Saudi Arabia have decreased by 1.1% from August 2025, as domestic procurement has softened and downstream buyers have held off purchases.

The combined effect of lower feedstock prices along with subdued regional consumption, and competitive export offers has sustained bearish sentiment, and the LDPE price trend has remained under pressure. Producers have monitored the market closely, hoping for a recovery in regional demand.

Belgium: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Domestically Traded prices FD Antwerp, Belgium, Grade General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 1.9-2.0).

In Q3 2025, the Low-Density Polyethylene (LDPE) price trend in Belgium has declined by 1.7%. Weak demand from packaging and industrial sectors has driven the downward momentum, while buyers have delayed purchases amid economic uncertainties. The global supply of LDPE, including imports from the USA and the Middle East, has added pressure on the LDPE price trend. Reduced feedstock costs have provided little support to local prices, and high inventory levels have kept the market cautious.

In September 2025, LDPE prices in Belgium have decreased by 3.8% from August 2025, as Ethylene feedstock prices have fallen, further weakening cost support. The European market has remained under bearish conditions, with low restocking activity and weak downstream demand suppressing any upward movement. Overall, the LDPE price trend has stayed under pressure, and buyers have exercised caution, anticipating further price movements in the coming months.

Germany: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Domestically Traded prices FD Hamburg, Germany, Grade General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 1.9-2.0).

In Q3 2025, the Low-Density Polyethylene price trend in Germany has declined by 1.7%. The decrease in the LDPE price trend has been caused by weak demand from packaging and industrial sectors, coupled with cautious purchasing behaviour. The economic slowdown in Europe has continued to suppress the market, while steady supply from domestic and international producers has kept the LDPE price trend under pressure.

Falling feedstock costs, particularly Ethylene, have contributed to reduced production costs but have not supported prices significantly. In September 2025, LDPE prices in Germany have decreased by 3.8% from August 2025, as weak market sentiment has persisted due to low demand and high inventories. Buyers have postponed large purchases, anticipating further price declines. Overall, the LDPE price trend has remained soft, and the market has faced continued pressure until downstream demand has recovered.

Italy: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Domestically Traded prices FD Genoa, Italy, Grade General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 1.9-2.0).

In Q3 2025, the Low-Density Polyethylene price trend in Italy has declined by 1.7%. The downward movement in the LDPE price trend has been influenced by weaker demand from key sectors like packaging and agriculture. Oversupply of LDPE in Europe has maintained pressure on prices, while domestic producers have struggled to raise prices amid competition from imports, particularly from the Middle East and Asia. Buyers have delayed purchases, anticipating further declines, and reduced procurement activity has kept the LDPE price trend subdued.

In September 2025, LDPE prices in Italy have decreased by 3.7% from August 2025, as high inventory levels and falling Ethylene feedstock costs have further weakened market sentiment. The combined effect of limited demand and global oversupply has sustained bearish conditions, and the LDPE price trend has remained under pressure, with stabilization being dependent on any resurgence in downstream consumption.

France: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Domestically Traded prices FD Le Havre, France, Grade General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 1.9-2.0).

In Q3 2025, the Low-Density Polyethylene price trend in France has declined by 1.7%. Weak demand from the packaging sector and continued oversupply have exerted pressure on the LDPE price trend. Buyers have postponed purchases amid uncertainty about future pricing, while imports from the Middle East and USA have kept the market competitive. Lower production costs due to declining feedstock prices have provided minimal support to local pricing.

In September 2025, LDPE prices in France have decreased by 3.7% from August 2025, as the European market has experienced bearish sentiment driven by high inventories and subdued downstream demand. Concerns over potential tariff changes have added uncertainty, while limited restocking has kept the LDPE price trend soft. Overall, the market has continued under downward pressure, and buyers have exercised caution in anticipation of further price corrections.

Vietnam: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Import prices CIF Haiphong, Vietnam from Saudi Arabia, Grade General Purpose Film Grade (MFR: 2).

In Q3 2025, the Low-Density Polyethylene price trend in Vietnam has declined by 3.3%. The downward movement in the LDPE price trend has been caused by reduced demand from packaging and construction sectors. Import volumes from Saudi Arabia and other regions have remained competitively priced, while buyers have selectively purchased amid sluggish demand. Supply stability has kept downward pressure on the LDPE price trend, and limited procurement activity has sustained bearish sentiment.

In September 2025, LDPE prices in Vietnam have decreased by 3.0% from August 2025, as slower import demand has affected pricing, alongside softening trends in Saudi Arabia. Supply chains have remained stable, but demand for high-value LDPE grades has stayed weak. Overall, the LDPE price trend has continued under pressure, with potential improvement being contingent on a revival in downstream consumption in packaging and industrial applications.

India: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Domestically Traded prices Ex-Ahmedabad Depot, India, Grade General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 4).

According to the Price-Watch, in Q3 2025, the LDPE price trend in India has shown a slight increase of 0.4% on quarterly basis while monthly trends showed moderate fluctuations. The modest upward movement in the LDPE price trend has been supported by steady demand from the domestic packaging sector and improving procurement activity. However, the market has remained under pressure due to competition from imports and subdued industrial growth. Buyers have cautiously increased purchases, while overall sentiment has stayed conservative.

However, in September 2025, Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) prices in India have decreased by 1.4% from August 2025, as weaker domestic demand has affected the LDPE price trend, and trends in global markets, particularly in the Middle East, have softened cost structures. Procurement activity has remained subdued, and the LDPE price trend has continued to face mild downward pressure despite stable seasonal demand. Overall, the Indian market has remained cautious with incremental price movements.

China: Low Density Polyethylene (LDPE) Domestically Traded prices Ex-Ningbo, China, Grade Film Grade FDA (MFI: 1.9).

According to the PriceWatch, in Q3 2025, the LDPE price trend in China has increased by 4.1%. The upward movement in the LDPE price trend has been driven by strong demand from the food-grade packaging sector and steady consumption. Buyers have procured more material in anticipation of seasonal demand, while limited availability of higher-grade LDPE has added upward pressure.

The market has remained stable, supported by moderate supply and competitive local production. In September 2025, LDPE prices in China have increased by 1.5% from August 2025, as rising Ethylene feedstock prices have supported production costs and bullish sentiment.

Plant shutdowns in Thailand and China have tightened supply, further influencing the LDPE price trend. Overall, the Chinese LDPE price trend has reflected more favorable conditions than other regions, with steady downstream demand being a key factor in sustaining the upward trend.

The global LDPE market has experienced a bearish trend in Q4 2025, with prices declining across major regions due to subdued downstream demand and sufficient supply availability. Key sectors such as flexible packaging, food films, and industrial applications have shown slow consumption growth, while producers have maintained stable operating rates, leading to comfortable inventory levels.

Feedstock ethylene prices have remained soft amid balanced supply-demand fundamentals, and crude oil prices have remained largely rangebound, providing limited cost support to LDPE production. Additionally, steady global trade flows have ensured consistent product availability across importing regions.

However, towards the end of the quarter, a slight recovery has been observed in some markets due to year-end restocking and temporary supply tightening caused by maintenance shutdowns.

Mexico: LDPE Import prices CIF Manzanillo, Mexico from USA; Grade – General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 2.0-2.2)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in Mexico have declined by 9.48%, primarily due to weak downstream demand and sufficient import supply from the USA. Packaging and film sectors have shown muted activity, while buyers have maintained cautious procurement strategies amid adequate inventory levels. Feedstock ethylene prices have remained soft, and crude oil prices have shown limited volatility, restricting cost support.

This has been reflected in LDPE prices in Mexico and the prevailing LDPE price trend in Mexico, indicating subdued market conditions. However, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in Mexico have increased by 2.65%, supported by restocking demand, improved import parity, and slight tightening in supply availability.

USA: LDPE Export prices FOB Houston, USA; Grade – General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 2.0-2.2)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in the USA have declined by 10.03%, driven by subdued domestic demand and stable production levels. Export opportunities have remained moderate, while sufficient availability in global markets has limited pricing power. Feedstock ethylene prices have remained under pressure due to ample supply, while crude oil prices have remained rangebound, providing minimal cost support.

This has been reflected in LDPE prices in the USA and the broader LDPE price trend in the USA, indicating a well-supplied market. Similarly, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in the USA have increased by 2.82%, supported by short-term restocking and marginal supply tightening.

Brazil: LDPE Import prices CIF Santos, Brazil from USA; Grade – General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 2.0-2.2)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in Brazil have declined by 9.89%, primarily due to weak downstream demand and steady import inflows from the USA. Packaging demand has remained moderate, while buyers have delayed procurement amid sufficient inventory levels. Feedstock ethylene costs have remained soft, and crude oil prices have shown limited fluctuations, offering minimal cost support.

This has been reflected in LDPE prices in Brazil and the prevailing LDPE price trend in Brazil, indicating oversupply conditions. However, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in Brazil have increased by 2.67%, supported by restocking activity and slight tightening in cargo availability.

Saudi Arabia: LDPE Export prices FOB Jeddah, Saudi Arabia; Grade – General Purpose Film Grade (MFR: 2)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in Saudi Arabia have declined by 7.41%, primarily due to stable production levels and moderate export demand. Producers have continued operating at high utilization rates, ensuring sufficient supply in global markets. Demand from key importing regions has remained subdued, limiting export opportunities.

Feedstock ethane-based costs have remained stable, while crude oil price movements have been limited. This has been reflected in LDPE prices in Saudi Arabia and the broader LDPE price trend in Saudi Arabia, indicating balanced-to-oversupplied conditions. Similarly, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in Saudi Arabia have declined by 2.44%, due to weak export inquiries and ample availability.

Belgium: LDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Antwerp, Belgium; Grade – General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 1.9-2.0)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in Belgium have declined sharply by 10.36%, driven by weak demand from packaging and industrial sectors amid sluggish European economic conditions. Adequate supply from domestic production and imports has created oversupply pressure, while feedstock ethylene prices have remained soft. Crude oil prices have stayed rangebound, limiting cost-side support.

This has been reflected in LDPE prices in Belgium and the prevailing LDPE price trend in Belgium, indicating subdued demand. However, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in Belgium have increased by 6.28%, supported by restocking demand and temporary supply tightening due to maintenance shutdowns.

Germany: LDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Hamburg, Germany; Grade – General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 1.9-2.0)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in Germany have declined by 10.28%, primarily due to weak downstream demand and sufficient supply availability. Packaging and industrial sectors have shown limited activity, while buyers have maintained cautious procurement strategies. Feedstock ethylene prices have remained soft, and crude oil prices have provided minimal support.

This has been reflected in LDPE prices in Germany and the broader LDPE price trend in Germany, indicating oversupply conditions. However, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in Germany have increased by 6.22%, driven by restocking demand and slight supply tightening.

Italy: LDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Genoa, Italy; Grade – General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 1.9-2.0)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in Italy have declined by 10.08%, driven by weak demand from packaging and food sectors and sufficient supply availability. Stable production and consistent imports have ensured comfortable inventory levels. Feedstock ethylene prices have remained soft, while crude oil has shown limited fluctuations.

This has been reflected in LDPE prices in Italy and the prevailing LDPE price trend in Italy. However, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in Italy have increased by 6.08%, supported by restocking activity and temporary supply constraints.

France: LDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Le Havre, France; Grade – General Purpose Film Grade (MFI: 1.9-2.0)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in France have declined by 10.12%, primarily due to weak downstream demand and sufficient supply. Packaging demand has remained subdued, while feedstock ethylene prices have stayed soft. Crude oil prices have remained stable, offering minimal support.

This has been reflected in LDPE prices in France and the broader LDPE price trend in France, indicating a soft market environment. However, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in France have increased by 6.11%, supported by restocking demand and slight supply tightening.

India: LDPE Domestically Traded prices Ex-Ahmedabad, India; Grade – Heavy Duty Film (Liquid Packaging Grade), FDA (MFI: 0.50)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in India have declined by 3.84%, due to moderate demand and sufficient domestic and imported supply. Packaging demand has remained stable but without significant growth, while inventory levels have remained adequate.

Feedstock ethylene prices have remained stable, and crude oil trends have been rangebound. This has been reflected in LDPE prices in India and the broader LDPE price trend in India, indicating balanced conditions. Similarly, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in India have declined slightly by 0.45%, due to weak demand.

China: LDPE Domestically Traded prices Ex-Ningbo, China; Grade – Film Grade, FDA (MFI: 1.9)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in China have declined by 3.39%, primarily due to subdued demand from packaging and food film sectors and sufficient domestic supply. High operating rates and inventory build-up have reduced procurement urgency. Feedstock ethylene prices have remained stable, while crude oil fluctuations have been limited.

This has been reflected in LDPE prices in China and the ongoing LDPE price trend in China, indicating an oversupplied market. Similarly, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in China have declined by 3.28%, due to weak demand and high inventories.

Vietnam: LDPE Import prices CIF Haiphong, Vietnam from Saudi Arabia; Grade – Film Grade (MFR: 2)

During Q4 2025, LDPE prices in Vietnam have declined by 8.40%, driven by weak downstream demand and sufficient import availability. Steady cargo inflows from the Middle East and Asia have ensured adequate supply, while buyers have remained cautious due to sufficient inventories.

Feedstock ethylene prices have remained soft, and crude oil trends have been stable. This has been reflected in LDPE prices in Vietnam and the broader LDPE price trend in Vietnam, indicating subdued conditions. Similarly, in the last month of the quarter, in December 2025, LDPE prices in Vietnam have declined by 2.35%, due to weak demand and continued supply sufficiency.