Linear Low Density Polyethylene (lldpe) Price Trend and Forecast

Linear Low Density Polyethylene (LLDPE) Price Trend Q1 2025

In Q1 2025, LLDPE film grade prices showed recovery across major markets. The FD Antwerp price rose to USD 1199/MT, marking a 6.0% increase from the previous quarter. In the Middle East, the FOB Jeddah price moved up to USD 1010/MT, registering a 5.4% rise. Similarly, in the United States, the FOB Houston price increased to USD 984/MT, up by 6.4% quarter-on-quarter.

The firming of prices was supported by restocking activities after year-end, tightening supply conditions due to planned maintenance shutdowns, and a slight rebound in end-user demand for packaging materials.

Linear Low Density Polyethylene (LLDPE) Price Trend Q2 2025

According to the PriceWatch, the USA LLDPE Film Grade market experienced a 2.3% decline in prices during Q2 2025. The average price for the quarter was recorded at USD 956 per metric ton (FOB Houston). This slight decrease followed the Q1 rally and was driven by a combination of easing supply constraints and moderated downstream demand.

With the completion of several planned maintenance shutdowns, domestic resin output improved, leading to healthier inventory levels across key regions. Meanwhile, demand from the flexible packaging and industrial film sectors remained steady but lacked the urgency seen earlier in the year. A key contributing factor to the price correction was the stabilization in feedstock ethylene prices, which had previously been firm.

Ethylene values remained flat during most of Q2, reducing cost-side pressure on LLDPE producers. Additionally, increasing competition from cost-competitive Middle Eastern exporters weighed on pricing, as buyers had access to attractive import alternatives. Logistics and freight conditions remained favourable, with smooth distribution across inland hubs.

The U.S. LLDPE market entered a period of mild correction during Q2, and unless feedstock ethylene prices rise or domestic demand accelerates notably, this soft pricing trend may continue in the near term.

Linear Low Density Polyethylene (LLDPE) Price Trend Q3 2025

In Q3 2025, the LLDPE price trend has been generally showing a downward movement across most major regions, with prices having been declining due to weaker demand in packaging and consumer goods. The LLDPE price trend has been influenced by a combination of factors, including softer procurement activities and a global economic slowdown.

Supply has remained stable, but the LLDPE price trend has indicated that demand has not been rising as expected, keeping prices on a downward path. A few regions have experienced slight upward movements, though these have been exceptions rather than the norm.

Overall, the LLDPE price trend has reflected a global market that has been under pressure, with regions having shown consistent declines in prices driven by low industrial activity and cautious consumer sentiment.

Belgium: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Antwerp, Belgium, Grade Butene Film FDA (MFI: 0.2-1).

In Belgium, LLDPE domestically traded prices have been seeing a decline of 4.6% in Q3 2025, with prices having been ranging between 1160–1180 USD. The LLDPE price trend in Belgium has been driven by low demand from packaging industries, which have been affected by global economic uncertainty. The LLDPE price trend has been showing a continuous downward movement as procurement activities have slowed.

Despite a stable supply, weak industrial demand has been keeping prices under pressure throughout the quarter. The LLDPE price trend in Belgium has mirrored broader European market challenges, where lower consumer confidence and slower-than-expected, economic recovery have led to a sustained period of price declines.

In September 2025, LLDPE prices in Belgium have decreased by 1.3%. Prices have weakened due to sluggish film-grade demand and reduced activity in the packaging sector. Producers have faced cost pressure from stable-to-lower Ethylene values, while inventories have remained ample across Northwest Europe. Limited export opportunities and competitive pricing from other regional suppliers have further weighed on market sentiment.

Brazil: LLDPE Imported prices CIF Santos, Brazil from USA, Grade Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2).

In Brazil, LLDPE imported prices have been showing a moderate decline of 3.8% in Q3 2025. The LLDPE price trend in Brazil has been impacted by weaker demand from packaging and consumer goods industries, leading to lower procurement from the domestic market. The LLDPE price trend in Brazil has reflected a market under pressure, where economic uncertainty and lower industrial output have been keeping prices on a steady decline.

Despite stable supply, the LLDPE price trend has continued downward, as local demand has not picked up significantly to counterbalance the pricing pressure. The price decline in Brazil has been in line with the broader regional trends seen in Latin America.

In September 2025, LLDPE prices in Brazil decreased by 6.7%. Import prices in Brazil have declined sharply due to a surge in US-origin cargoes and weak downstream demand. With high resin inventories in the Americas and subdued consumption from film converters, sellers have been offering aggressive discounts to clear stocks.

Canada: LLDPE Imported prices CIF Montreal, Canada from USA, Grade Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2).

In Canada, LLDPE imported prices have been decreasing by 3.5% in Q3 2025. The LLDPE price trend in Canada has been following a similar pattern to other regions, driven by weaker demand from packaging and consumer industries.

The LLDPE price trend has been showing a consistent decline, as the local market has not been seeing the usual demand increase. Economic uncertainty in North America has been contributing to the subdued demand, keeping procurement activities lower than expected.

The LLDPE price trend in Canada has been largely reflective of the broader North American market slowdown, where supply has remained stable, but lack of demand has led to a drop in prices. In September 2025, LLDPE prices in Canada decreased by 6.0%.

The North American market has experienced a notable drop as weak film packaging demand has persisted. Sufficient stock availability and subdued consumption have led US producers to cut export offers. The slowdown in construction and consumer goods sectors has further limited downstream demand.

France: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Le Havre, France, Grade Butene Film FDA (MFI: 0.2-1).

In France, LLDPE domestically traded prices have been falling by 4.9% in Q3 2025, showing a significant downward movement. The LLDPE price trend in France has been heavily influenced by low demand in the packaging and construction sectors.

The LLDPE price trend has continued its decline throughout the quarter as supply has remained stable, but demand has not been rising as expected. The global economic slowdown has had a pronounced impact on the French market, where industrial activity has been slower than anticipated.

The LLDPE price trend has reflected this softer demand, with prices having been falling consistently as procurement activities have remained subdued in the region. In September 2025, LLDPE prices in France have decreased by 1.3%. Market prices have softened amid persistent demand weakness from packaging and agricultural film applications. Lower Crude Oil and Ethylene costs have reduced production expenses, encouraging suppliers to adjust offers downward. Ample material availability and limited export opportunities across Europe have further weighed on sentiment.

Germany: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Hamburg, Germany, Grade Butene Film FDA (MFI: 0.2-1).

In Germany, LLDPE domestically traded prices have been showing a decline of 4.7% in Q3 2025. The LLDPE price trend in Germany has been shaped by low demand across key sectors such as packaging, food, and beverage. Despite stable supply, the LLDPE price trend has been under pressure from weak procurement activity, which has contributed to a moderate price decrease.

The LLDPE price trend in Germany has mirrored broader European trends, where economic uncertainty and a slowing recovery have been keeping demand and prices low. As a result, the LLDPE price trend in Germany has continued to show a steady decline throughout the quarter.

In September 2025, LLDPE prices in Germany have decreased by 1.4%. Prices have declined as demand from film packaging converters has remained tepid and downstream activity has slowed amid economic uncertainty. Ample supply and easing feedstock costs have contributed to the bearish tone. Buyers have been reluctant to build inventories given expectations of stable-to-lower prices ahead.

Italy: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Genoa, Italy, Grade Butene Film FDA (MFI: 0.2-1).

In Italy, LLDPE domestically traded prices have been falling by 4.6% in Q3 2025, with the price trend having been showing a similar decline across Europe. The LLDPE price trend in Italy has been reflecting a decrease in demand from key industrial sectors such as packaging and automotive. The LLDPE price trend has been shaped by weak procurement activity and economic instability in the region. Despite steady supply, the market’s lack of demand has continued to push prices downward.

The LLDPE price trend in Italy has been consistent with broader European market conditions, where cautious consumer behaviour and industrial slowdowns have contributed to lower pricing. In September 2025, LLDPE prices in Italy have decreased by 1.3%.

The Italian market has mirrored the European trend of subdued demand and high availability. Film-grade consumption has stayed limited amid cautious converter activity and slowing exports. Stable energy costs and reduced feedstock values have kept production economics favourable, allowing sellers to cut offers slightly.

Mexico: LLDPE Imported prices CIF Manzanillo, Mexico from USA, Grade Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2).

In Mexico, LLDPE imported prices have been seeing a decrease of 4.3% in Q3 2025. The LLDPE price trend in Mexico has been influenced by low demand from the packaging and consumer goods sectors, which have been experiencing a slowdown. The LLDPE price trend has been consistent with broader trends in the Americas, where weak industrial activity and economic uncertainties have been limiting procurement.

Despite stable supply, the LLDPE price trend in Mexico has continued downward as demand from both domestic and export markets has remained low. This lack of purchasing activity has resulted in lower prices across the region, contributing to the overall negative price trend.

In September 2025, LLDPE prices in Mexico have decreased by 6.5%. Prices have dropped sharply due to excess US-origin cargoes entering the Mexican market and weak local consumption. Exporters have reduced offers to manage surplus inventories, while freight rates have stayed stable. Packaging converters have been operating at reduced capacities due to sluggish order inflows.

Saudi Arabia: LLDPE Export prices FOB Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, Grade Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2).

In Saudi Arabia, LLDPE export prices have been declining by 1.7% in Q3 2025. The LLDPE price trend in Saudi Arabia has been influenced by weaker demand from regional markets, particularly in the packaging and construction sectors. The LLDPE price trend has been showing a moderate decrease as procurement activity has remained sluggish. While supply has been steady, the lack of strong demand from key export markets has been keeping prices under pressure.

The LLDPE price trend in Saudi Arabia has been a bit less severe than in other regions, reflecting a relatively stable supply-demand balance but still indicative of the global market’s slow recovery. In September 2025, LLDPE prices in Saudi Arabia have decreased by 1.1%. Prices have edged down amid stable feedstock Ethylene costs and weaker export demand from Asia.

Ample production and steady plant operations have kept the Middle East market adequately supplied. Buyers in key importing regions have remained cautious, reducing fresh orders. Overall sentiment has been steady but slightly bearish due to limited regional movement.

USA: LLDPE Export prices FOB Houston, USA, Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2).

According to the PriceWatch, in the USA, LLDPE export prices have been dropping by 4.6% in Q3 2025. The LLDPE price trend in the USA has been following a broader global trend, as weak demand from packaging and industrial sectors has led to lower procurement. The LLDPE price trend in the USA has reflected a market where industrial activity has been slower than expected, despite steady supply levels.

The LLDPE price trend has continued downward as global economic conditions have been influencing procurement decisions and keeping prices lower than expected. Overall, the LLDPE price trend in the USA has shown consistent downward movement, driven by cautious market sentiment and weak demand.

In September 2025, LLDPE prices in the US have decreased by 6.8%. The US market has faced significant downward pressure amid oversupply and weak packaging sector demand. Domestic inventories have remained high as export volumes have declined due to competitive global offers. Lower feedstock Ethylene prices and steady plant operations have allowed producers to cut export prices aggressively.

China: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices Ex-Shanghai, China, Grade Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2).

According to the Price Watch™, in China, LLDPE domestically traded prices have been showing a slight increase of 0.4% in Q3 2025, bucking the overall negative trend. The LLDPE price trend in China has been somewhat more stable compared to other regions, where demand from packaging industries has been slightly more resilient.

In September 2025, LLDPE prices in China has shown a small uptick, as local supply and demand conditions have been somewhat balanced. However, the LLDPE price trend has remained cautious, reflecting a global slowdown. The increase in China has been modest, indicating that while supply has remained stable, procurement activities have not been seeing significant growth.

India: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices Ex-Ahmedabad Prices – Grade: Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1.1).

In India, LLDPE Butene Film FDA prices have been showing a marginal upward movement in Q3 2025, having been increasing by around 0.3%. The domestic LLDPE price trend has been being supported by steady demand from the packaging sector, particularly flexible packaging and film applications, which have been driving procurement activity.

While sentiment in the broader Asian market has been remaining mixed, India’s LLDPE trend has been staying slightly bullish compared to other regions due to stable offtake from converters and consistent inquiries from downstream industries. Supply has been remaining adequate across major producers, and plant operations have been running smoothly, keeping availability stable.

Despite moderate fluctuations in feedstock Ethylene costs, price movement has been staying within a narrow range. In September 2025, it has been decreasing by 1.6%. Domestic prices fell amid weak demand from packaging sectors and declining global benchmarks. The drop in import parity values and comfortable stock availability pressured local producers to revise offers downward.

Trading activity was limited as converters purchased conservatively to manage working capital efficiently. With feedstock costs showing no significant movement, market fundamentals remained stable. It is advised to cover short-term requirements only as prices may remain under mild downward pressure.

Linear Low Density Polyethylene (LLDPE) Price Trend Q4 2025

The demand-supply scenario prevailing in the LLDPE prices has indicated a growth of around 4% in Q4 2025 over the preceding quarter, driven by consistent demand from sectors such as packaging, agriculture films, and infrastructural development.

The market situation has displayed improvements in terms of demand recovery among the converters as they have resumed their purchases; however, there has not been any aggressive buying yet from downstream players.

There have been strong developments in the price trends for the feedstock, Ethylene, which in turn, has aided positively in the price increases for the LLDPE segment. The capacity production levels across major plants have continued to be at balanced levels to optimize supply.

Supply volumes have been steady without any shortages; meanwhile, producers have been careful with their margins, keeping the feedstock volatility into consideration.

Canada: LLDPE Imported prices CIF Montreal, Canada from USA: Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2)

According to Price-Watch™, in the fourth quarter of 2025, LLDPE prices in Canada fell by 12.0% mainly because of modest consumption from packaging industries and adequate imports from the United States. The buyers have ample stockpiles, which discouraged purchasing.

Also, the seasonal decline in the construction and manufacturing industries led to lower utilization of the polymer. The LLDPE price trend in Canada has reflected downward momentum, supported by ethylene feedstock costs are steady to slightly weak due to stable fundamentals along the value chain in North America.

Furthermore, effective logistics across borders helped maintain uninterrupted supply flows, pushing down prices. Nonetheless, in December 2025, LLDPE prices in Canada rose by 2.5% backed by restocking, modest strengthening in packaging demand, and tightness in supplies.

China: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices Ex-Shanghai, China: Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2)

During Q4 2025, LLDPE prices in China declined by 4.7%%, driven by weak demand from packaging and film sectors alongside high domestic production levels. Inventory accumulation at warehouses and ports reduced buying urgency, while subdued export orders for finished goods further limited downstream consumption.

The LLDPE price trend in China has reflected downward momentum, supported by feedstock ethylene prices remained relatively stable, offering minimal cost-side support. Additionally, aggressive pricing from producers to clear stock intensified market competition.

However, in December 2025, LLDPE prices in China rebounded by 2.4%, supported by restocking demand, temporary production cuts, and improved packaging sector activity ahead of seasonal consumption and year-end order fulfilment.

France: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Le Havre, France: Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 0.2-1)

During Q4 2025, LLDPE prices in France declined by 6.5%, reflecting weak demand from packaging and industrial sectors amid economic slowdown in the Eurozone. Adequate domestic production and stable imports ensured sufficient supply, keeping inventories at comfortable levels.

Buyers remained cautious, delaying purchases due to uncertain demand outlook. The LLDPE price trend in France has reflected downward momentum, supported by feedstock ethylene prices remained soft, limiting cost support for polymer pricing.

However, in December 2025, LLDPE prices in France rebounded by 5.3%, supported by restocking activity, temporary supply tightening due to maintenance shutdowns, and improved seasonal demand ahead of year-end packaging consumption.

Germany: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Hamburg, Germany: Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 0.2-1)

During Q4 2025, LLDPE prices in Germany declined by 6.4%, supported by moderate demand and sufficient supply across domestic markets. Industrial and packaging sectors operated at stable but subdued levels, while inventory positions remained balanced.

The LLDPE price trend in Germany has reflected downward momentum, supported by feedstock ethylene prices stayed rangebound, providing limited pricing direction. Additionally, stable intra-European trade flows ensured consistent availability.

In December 2025, LLDPE prices in Germany rebounded by 5.3%, supported by restocking activity, temporary supply tightening due to maintenance shutdowns, and improved seasonal demand ahead of year-end packaging consumption.

Belgium: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Antwerp, Belgium: Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 0.2-1)

The LLDPE price trend in Belgium in the fourth quarter of 2025 has been bearish, with a significant decrease in pricing by 11.2% because of sluggish demand for flexible packaging applications.

The demand has been low due to overall slowdowns in European economies, causing converters to work under full capacity and leading to oversupply due to high inventories, adequate production volumes in the country, and increased competition in the market.

The LLDPE price in Belgium has reflected downward momentum, supported by Imports into Belgium are also favorable, causing downward pricing pressure in the country’s markets. Feedstocks such as ethylene prices remained stable because of smooth operations and consistent supply. But in December 2025, LLDPE price in Belgium recovered by 5.3% due to restocking and supply tightness.

Brazil: LLDPE Imported prices CIF Santos, Brazil from USA: Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2)

For the period Q4 2025, the LLDPE prices in Brazil witnessed a notable decline, down by 13.5% amid lackluster demand from the agricultural film and industrial packaging industries. The buyer side-maintained caution, influenced by the macroeconomic instability and currency fluctuations, affecting their import buying plans.

Regular imports from the United States provided adequate supplies, creating oversupply in the market. Weak global prices of feedstocks such as ethylene failed to support LLDPE price trend in Brazil. There are adequate stocks at ports, lessening the need for immediate buying activity.

Yet in December 2025, LLDPE price in Brazil recorded an increase of 2.7%, buoyed by improved import parity, restocking demand, and temporary tightness in the supply situation due to logistics hiccups and ship unavailability.

India: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices Ex-Ahmedabad Prices – Grade: Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1.1)

During Q4 2025, LLDPE prices in India declined significantly by 3.6%, due to weak demand from packaging and agricultural film sectors, particularly after the festive season. High domestic production and steady import inflows maintained sufficient availability, while inventory levels remained comfortable.

The LLDPE price trend in India has reflected downward momentum, supported by feedstock ethylene trends are stable, offering minimal support. However, in December 2025, LLDPE prices in India increased by 2.7%, supported by restocking activity, improved demand from packaging converters, and slight tightening in supply due to reduced arrivals and production adjustments.

Italy: LLDPE Domestically Traded prices FD Genoa, Italy: Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 0.2-1)

During Q4 2025, LLDPE prices in Italy declined by 6.5%, reflecting moderate demand and sufficient supply across the domestic market. Packaging demand remained stable but lacked strong growth momentum, while imports ensured consistent availability.

The LLDPE price trend in Italy has reflected downward momentum, supported by feedstock ethylene prices remained steady, providing minimal cost support.

In December 2025, LLDPE prices in Italy rebounded by 5.3%, supported by restocking activity, temporary supply tightening due to maintenance shutdowns, and improved seasonal demand ahead of year-end packaging consumption.

Mexico: LLDPE Imported prices CIF Manzanillo, Mexico from USA: Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2)

During Q4 2025, LLDPE prices in Mexico declined by 13%, primarily due to steady import supply from the USA and moderate demand from packaging sectors. Buyers maintained cautious procurement strategies due to sufficient inventory levels.

The LLDPE price trend in Mexico has reflected downward momentum, supported by feedstock ethylene trends remained soft, offering limited support.

However, in December 2025, LLDPE prices in Mexico rebounded by 2.7%, supported by restocking activity, temporary supply tightening due to maintenance shutdowns, and improved seasonal demand ahead of year-end packaging consumption.

Saudi Arabia: LLDPE Export prices FOB Jeddah, Saudi Arabia: Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2)

During Q4 2025, LLDPE prices in Saudi Arabia declined by 9%, due to stable production levels and moderate global demand. Export markets remained competitive, particularly in Asia and Africa, limiting price growth.

The LLDPE price trend in Saudi Arabia has reflected downward momentum, supported by feedstock ethylene costs remained stable, offering limited pricing support. However, in December 2025, LLDPE prices in Saudi Arabia declined further by 3.5%, due to weak export inquiries, competitive pricing strategies by producers, and sufficient global supply availability.

USA: LLDPE Export prices FOB Houston, USA: Grade – Butene Film FDA (MFI: 1-2)

During Q4 2025, LLDPE prices in the USA declined by 8.0%, driven by sufficient domestic supply and moderate export demand. Downstream sectors such as packaging and industrial applications showed stable but slow consumption growth.

The LLDPE price trend in the USA has reflected downward momentum, supported by feedstock ethylene prices remained steady, limiting cost-driven price movements. However, in December 2025, LLDPE prices in the USA declined further by 3.7%, reflecting weak export demand, competitive global pricing, and continued availability of material in international markets.