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Naphtha Price Trend and Forecast

UNSPC code: 15101503
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âźł Weekly Update
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Historical Data Since 2015
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Forecast for 2026

naphtha Price Trends by Country

usUnited States
aeUnited Arab Emirates
saSaudi Arabia
sgSingapore
nlNetherlands
jpJapan
mxMexico
brBrazil
caCanada
auAustralia
idIndonesia
myMalaysia
beBelgium
frFrance
deGermany
inIndia
krSouth Korea

Global naphtha Spot Market Prices, Trend Analysis and Forecast

Price-Watch’s most active coverage of Naphtha price assessment:

  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha FOB Jebel Ali, United Arab Emirates
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha FOB Houston, USA
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha FOB Rotterdam, Netherlands
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha FOB Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha FOB Port of Singapore, Singapore
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha CIF Tokyo (UAE), Japan
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha CIF Busan (UAE), South Korea
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha CIF Manzanillo (USA), Mexico
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha CIF Montreal (USA), Canada
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha CIF Santos (USA), Brazil
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha FD Hamburg , Germany
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha FD Antwerp , Belgium
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha FD Le Havre , France
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha CIF Nhava Sheva (Saudi Arabia), India
  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha CIF Nhava Sheva (Singapore), India
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha (C10) FOB Port of Singapore, Singapore
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha (C9) FOB Port of Singapore, Singapore
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha (C11_Naphthalene Depleted (ND)) FOB Antwerp, Belgium
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha (C11) FOB Houston, USA
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha (C10) FOB Port of Singapore, Singapore
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha (C9) FOB Port of Singapore, Singapore
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha (C11_Naphthalene Depleted (ND)) FOB Antwerp, Belgium
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha (C11) FOB Houston, USA

Naphtha Price Trend Q3 2025

In Q3 2025, global Naphtha markets experienced a generally cautious tone with modest price fluctuations across key regions. Middle Eastern exporters, including the UAE and Saudi Arabia, saw price declines ranging from -0.47% to -0.18%, amid steady freight conditions and competitive supplies.

North American markets showed mixed naphtha price trends, with some areas seeing small gains while others remained flat or slightly lower. European prices mostly softened, reflecting cautious buying amid balanced supply.

In Asia, importers observed mild declines as demand growth slowed, and enquiries remained measured. Latin American markets displayed varied movements, with some increases tempered by regional factors. Overall, freight conditions supported continued trade flows, but global market sentiment remained cautious amid economic uncertainties and evolving supply-demand dynamics.

United Arab Emirates

Naphtha Export Price from FOB Jebel Ali, Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, freight conditions remained stable, supporting steady exports from the UAE. The Naphtha price in United Arab Emirates declined slightly by -0.47%, with FOB Jebel Ali offers ranging USD 522-565 per metric ton. The Naphtha price trend in United Arab Emirates showed marginal downward movement amid balanced supply and demand. Number of enquiries remained moderate but cautious as buyers weighed market fundamentals.

Exporters maintained stable production levels but subdued global demand and limited price gains. Competitive pressure from other regional suppliers kept pricing under control, resulting in limited volatility throughout the quarter.

USA

Naphtha Export Price from FOB Houston, Grade: Light Paraffinic/Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, Naphtha price in USA, both Light Paraffinic as & Heavy Aromatic edged up by +0.24% & +0.22% respectively. FOB Houston offers ranging USD 547-569 per metric ton for Light Paraffinic Naphtha & USD 1935 -1970 per metric ton for Heavy Aromatic Naphtha. Freight rates were steady, aiding export flows. The Naphtha price trend in USA was mildly positive, driven by sustained domestic demand and tight supply conditions in certain regions.

Buyer enquiries increased modestly, reflecting cautious optimism in market recovery. Exporters held steady offers while managing inventory levels carefully. However, competition from alternative feedstocks and imports exerted some restraint on price advances, keeping gains measured.

Netherlands

Naphtha Export Price from FOB Rotterdam, Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, Naphtha price in Netherlands declined by -1.00%, with FOB Rotterdam offers ranging USD 529-568 per metric ton. Freight remained stable, supporting ongoing shipments. The Naphtha price trend in Netherlands was slightly bearish, influenced by ample supply and cautious buying.

Number of enquiries showed modest weakening amid market uncertainty. Exporters reduced offers to sustain interest, while production and supply were stable. Competitive dynamics in the European market and global economic factors kept prices under pressure, limiting upside potential for the quarter.

Saudi Arabia

Naphtha Export Price from FOB Jeddah, Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, Naphtha price in Saudi Arabia declined marginally by -0.18%, with FOB Jeddah offers ranging USD 520-565 per metric ton. Freight conditions remained steady, enabling continued exports. The Naphtha price trend in Saudi Arabia was largely flat with a slight downward bias amid balanced supply and subdued demand.

Buyer enquiries remained stable but cautious. Exporters maintained consistent production levels while adjusting offers marginally to match competitive pressures from other Gulf producers. Forward bookings showed limited movement as buyers awaited clearer market signals.

Singapore

Naphtha Export Price from FOB Port of Singapore, Grade: Light Paraffinic/ Heavy Aromatic Solvent150/ Heavy Aromatic Solvent 100 Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, Naphtha Light Paraffinic price in Singapore declined by -0.61%, with FOB Port of Singapore offers ranging USD 550-590 per metric ton. While Heavy Aromatic 150 Naphtha Prices declined by -1.82% with offers ranging USD 970-1005 per metric ton.

In respect to this, Heavy Aromatic 100 Naphtha prices declined slightly more by -5.37% from previous levels, with offers ranging between USD 830-900 per metric ton. Freight rates were stable, supporting export activities. The Naphtha price trend in Singapore was modestly downwards, pressured by balanced supply and cautious buyer behavior.

Number of enquiries showed slight decline as market participants responded to slower regional demand growth. Exporters trimmed offers marginally to encourage bookings while maintaining supply discipline. Market sentiment remained cautious amid ongoing global economic uncertainties.

Japan

Naphtha import price in Japan from CIF Tokyo (UAE), Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, freight rates were steady, facilitating imports into Japan. The Naphtha price in Japan declined by -0.51%, with CIF Tokyo offers ranging USD 559-602 per metric ton. The Naphtha price trend in Japan showed a mild decrease as buyers exercised prudence amid balanced supply.

Number of enquiries remained stable but cautious given global economic concerns. Propane FOB offers from UAE were adjusted downward slightly, influencing import prices. Forward bookings remained moderate as buyers monitored price developments closely.

South Korea

Naphtha import price in South Korea from CIF Busan (UAE), Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, freight costs remained steady, supporting steady imports. The Naphtha price in South Korea declined by -0.79%, with CIF Busan offers ranging USD 564-607 per metric ton. The Naphtha price trend in South Korea showed a mild downward movement amid softening demand and cautious buying.

Enquiries decreased slightly as market participants awaited clearer supply-demand signals. FOB offers from UAE were lowered marginally to encourage procurement. Forward bookings were subdued, reflecting buyer caution in an uncertain market environment.

Mexico

Naphtha import price in Mexico from CIF Manzanillo (USA), Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, freight remained stable, aiding consistent imports. The Naphtha price in Mexico increased by +0.97%, with CIF Manzanillo offers ranging USD 605-627 per metric ton. The Naphtha price trend in Mexico was upward, supported by steady demand and limited regional supply.

Number of enquiries rose moderately, indicating growing interest from buyers. Propane FOB offers from USA firmed slightly, reflecting tighter market conditions. Forward bookings increased as market sentiment improved, driven by expectations of sustained industrial activity.

Canada

Naphtha import price in Canada from CIF Montreal (USA), Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, freight costs remained supportive of steady imports. The Naphtha price in Canada increased by +1.74%, with CIF Montreal offers ranging USD 686-708 per metric ton. The Naphtha price trend in Canada was bullish, driven by strong domestic demand and constrained supply.

Buyer enquiries increased, reflecting positive market sentiment. FOB offers from USA firmed moderately as exporters capitalized on tight conditions. Forward bookings showed improvement, indicating confidence in sustained demand growth.

Brazil

Naphtha import price in Brazil from CIF Santos (USA), Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, freight rates remained steady, supporting imports. The Naphtha price in Brazil declined slightly by -0.26%, with CIF Santos offers ranging USD 598-619 per metric ton. The Naphtha price trend in Brazil was modestly bearish due to balanced supply and cautious buyer behavior.

Number of enquiries softened as market participants awaited further price signals. Propane FOB offers from USA were marginally lowered to maintain competitiveness. Forward bookings slowed as buyers adopted a cautious procurement stance amid global uncertainties.

Germany

Delivered Naphtha Price from FD Hamburg, Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, delivered Naphtha price in Germany declined by -1.59%, with offers ranging USD 569-607 per metric ton. Freight and logistics remained steady, facilitating delivery flows. The Naphtha price trend in Germany was bearish, pressured by subdued demand and ample supply.

Buyer enquiries declined moderately as market uncertainty persisted. Sellers adjusted offers downward to encourage bookings amid competitive market conditions. Forward bookings weakened, reflecting buyer caution in an evolving economic environment.

Belgium

Delivered Naphtha Price from FD Antwerp, Grade: Light Paraffinic/Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, delivered Naphtha price in Belgium declined by -4.11% for Light Paraffinic Naphtha, with offers ranging USD 558-596 per metric ton. While for Heavy Aromatic Naphtha decline was -3.96%, with offers ranging USD 1675-1720 per metric ton. Freight conditions remained stable, supporting deliveries.

The Naphtha price trend in Belgium was downward as cautious buyer behavior and oversupply weighed on prices. Enquiries decreased, reflecting reduced procurement activity. Sellers lowered offers to stimulate demand but faced margin pressure amid intense competition. Forward bookings slowed, underscoring cautious sentiment in the market.

France

Delivered Naphtha Price from FD Le Havre, Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

In Q3 2025, delivered Naphtha price in France declined by -3.26%, with offers ranging USD 598-637 per metric ton. Freight rates were stable, ensuring steady deliveries. The Naphtha price trend in France was bearish due to weak demand and balanced supply.

Buyer enquiries softened, leading to slower forward bookings. Sellers reduced offers to attract interest but faced margin pressure from competitive pricing. Market participants remained cautious amid ongoing economic uncertainties.

India

Naphtha import price in India from CIF Nhava Sheva (Saudi Arabia), Grade: Light Paraffinic Naphtha.

According to Price-Watch, in Q3 2025, freight rates remained stable, supporting steady imports. The Naphtha price in India declined marginally by -0.06%, with CIF Nhava Sheva offers ranging USD 576-626 per metric ton.

The Naphtha price trend in India was largely flat amid balanced supply and steady demand. Number of enquiries remained steady, with buyers showing cautious optimism. Propane FOB offers from Saudi Arabia were adjusted slightly downward, influencing import prices. Forward bookings remained moderate as market participants monitored developments closely.

Naphtha Price Trend Analysis: Q2 2025

In Q2 2025, according to the PriceWatch, Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) prices on an FOB basis at Jebel Ali averaged 549.92 USD per metric ton, registering a -12.25% drop from 626.67 USD per metric ton in Q1 2025. This downward shift was primarily due to weak buying sentiment across petrochemical industries, particularly in Asia, where demand for feedstocks like ethylene and propylene remained subdued.

High inventory levels carried over from previous months reduced spot market activity, as buyers preferred to draw down existing stocks. Additionally, stable crude oil prices and uninterrupted upstream operations ensured a consistent supply stream, easing supply-side pressure.

The Naphtha price trend reflected a clear softening, and the overall Naphtha market leaned towards correction, with limited price volatility and a balanced trading environment shaped by cautious procurement strategies. 

In Q2 2025, according to the PriceWatch, Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) prices on a CIF basis at Nhava Sheva averaged 621.12 USD per metric ton, registering a -10.06% decline from 690.57 USD per metric ton in Q1 2025. The decrease was primarily driven by subdued demand from India’s downstream petrochemical and refining sectors, especially as summer-season consumption remained weak. High inventories carried over from the previous quarter further dampened fresh buying interest.

Refiners opted to scale back procurement amid expectations of continued softening in global Naphtha prices. Additionally, stable crude oil benchmarks and uninterrupted overseas supply contributed to reduced cost pressure. The Naphtha price trend remained weak, with market participants adopting a wait-and-watch approach. Overall, the Indian Naphtha market in Q2 moved into a correction phase, supported by steady supply availability and cautious downstream activity. 

In Q1 2025, Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) prices in the FOB Jebel Ali continued to stabilize at 626.67 USD/MT, reflecting a 2.34% decrease from Q4 2024. The market experienced an abundant supply, as some international buyers delayed purchases, anticipating further price corrections. Nevertheless, steady export activities and the UAE’s strategic position as a key supplier helped maintain overall market stability, avoiding any significant disruptions in pricing. 

In Q1 2025, the Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) market in CIF Nhava Sheva witnessed a slight stabilization, with average prices easing to $691/MT, marking a 1.44% decline from Q4 2024. The softening trend came as the post-festival demand moderated, and consumption in packaging and fuel blending sectors normalized.

However, steady operations in core downstream industries like petrochemicals and fertilizers prevented any major correction. Improved port activity, smoother import arrivals, and controlled refinery output helped maintain balance in the market. Overall, Q1 2025 opened with a relatively stable tone, reflecting seasonal adjustments and consistent domestic supply. 

Naphtha Price Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

By Q4 2024, Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) prices in the FOB Jebel Ali slightly stabilized to $641.67 USD/MT, marking a 2.76% decrease from Q3. The decline was primarily attributed to reduced overseas demand, as several importing regions adjusted their procurement strategies and stock levels, leading to a temporary slowdown in exports.

Moreover, seasonal fluctuations in industrial activity influenced buying patterns, slightly dipping the market prices. Despite this, the UAE’s strong production capabilities and well-established supply chain ensured a balanced supply, preventing any sharp price drops. 

In Q4 2024, Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) prices in CIF Nhava Sheva rose further to $701/MT, showing a 6.11% increase from Q3. This was mainly due to strong festive season demand, particularly from packaging, consumer goods, and petrochemical sectors. The surge in industrial output during Diwali and year-end manufacturing cycles boosted consumption across multiple downstream industries.

At the same time, global shipping challenges and firming crude prices added pressure on import costs. Indian refiners also adjusted output strategies to prioritize other fuel streams, slightly lowering domestic (Paraffin Grade) availability, which tightened the market and supported higher price levels. 

In Q3 2024, the Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) market in the FOB Jebel Ali witnessed an upward trend, with prices reaching $659.88 USD/MT, reflecting a 4.96% increase from Q2. This rise was mainly driven by robust demand from key Asian and European markets, as countries looked to secure reliable Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) supplies amid global market uncertainties.

Additionally, strong refining activity and optimized production operations in the UAE contributed to stable output levels, further supporting price growth. The increased consumption of Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) in downstream petrochemical and refining industries also played a vital role in maintaining market momentum. 

In Q3 2024, the Indian Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) market maintained its upward momentum, with prices of CIF Nhava Sheva rising to $661/MT, reflecting a 4.52% increase over the previous quarter. This growth was largely driven by higher consumption in fertilizer and chemical manufacturing units, which ramped up production during the monsoon season.

Though rainfall disrupted logistics in some regions, it also resulted in tightened local supply, causing a mild build-up in regional prices. Additionally, delays in overseas shipments and higher global freight charges impacted the availability of imported cargoes, prompting domestic buyers to rely more on locally sourced Naphtha (Paraffin Grade), further supporting the price hike. 

In Q2 2024, Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) prices in the FOB Jebel Ali rose to USD 628.70/MT, indicating an upward trend of 2.79%. This increase was driven by a surge in demand for Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) in various applications, particularly in the production of plastics and chemicals. Enhanced production processes and technological advancements in refining also played a crucial role in meeting the rising demand.

Furthermore, supply chain improvements and strategic stockpiling ahead of seasonal demand peaks contributed to this price rise. Globally, market fluctuations were influenced by factors such as geopolitical tensions and economic recovery in key consumer regions. 

In Q2 2024, Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) prices in CIF Nhava Sheva increased slightly to $627/MT, showing a 2.12% rise from Q1. The improvement was supported by a pickup in petrochemical production, as steam crackers resumed higher run rates following routine maintenance. Demand for Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) also rose in the fuel blending sector due to pre-monsoon stocking, especially by coastal refineries.

On the global front, moderate recovery in crude oil prices and stable imports played a role in the upward movement. Domestic factors such as increased packaging demand ahead of seasonal festivals and a more active industrial cycle added to the positive sentiment in the market. 

In Q1 2024, the global Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) market observed a bearish trend, particularly in the UAE, where FOB Jebel Ali prices were reported at USD 611.65/MT, reflecting a decline of 0.59% from the previous quarter. The downturn in prices was influenced by factors such as lower demand in the petrochemical sector and reduced activity in refining processes.

Additionally, fluctuations in crude oil prices and seasonal variations in demand contributed to this stabilization. Despite these challenges, the overall market was characterized by a cautious optimism as producers adjusted their strategies in response to changing economic conditions. 

In Q1 2024, the Naphtha (Paraffin Grade) market in India observed a slight stabilization, with average prices of CIF Nhava Sheva settling at $614/MT, reflecting a 3.46% drop compared to the previous quarter. This downward trend was primarily driven by reduced buying activity from domestic petrochemical plants and a slight dip in demand from the refining and blending sectors.

The post-winter slowdown in industrial operations, especially in sectors like fertilizers and plastics, contributed to lower consumption levels. Additionally, the market experienced an abundant supply, as domestic refineries operated at consistent levels and import volumes remained steady, keeping pressure on prices during the early months of the year. 

Technical Specifications of Naphtha Price Trends

Product Description:

Naphtha is a versatile, liquid hydrocarbon product derived from crude oil and is widely used in the petrochemical industry. Known for its high flammability and ease of conversion, Naphtha is essential as a feedstock in producing ethylene, propylene, and other critical petrochemicals. These derivatives are the building blocks for a wide range of products, including plastics, synthetic Fibers, and resins. Additionally, Naphtha is used in the refining industry for gasoline blending, enhancing fuel performance. Its adaptability and role in producing essential materials make Naphtha a key component in various industrial applications.

Identifiers and Classification:

  • CAS No – 64742-94-5(Solvent Grade – Light), 64742-47-8(Paraffin Grade)
  • HS Code -2707500 (Solvent Grade – Light), 27101290 (Paraffin Grade)
  • Molecular Weight[g/mol] – 100–215 g/mol


Naphtha Synonyms:

  • Petroleum Naphtha
  • Petroleum ether.


Naphtha Grades Specific Price Assessment:

  • Light Paraffinic Naphtha
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha 200ND
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha 150
  • Heavy Aromatic Solvent Naphtha 100


Naphtha Grades Global Trade and Shipment Terms:

  • Quotation Terms (Product & Country Specific): 25-28 MT
  • Packaging Type (Product & Country Specific): ISO Tanks


Incoterms Referenced in Naphtha Price Reporting

Shipping Term  Location  Definition 
 FOB Jebel Ali  United Arab Emirates  Naphtha Export Price from UAE 
 FOB Houston  USA  Naphtha Export Price from USA 
 FOB Rotterdam  Netherlands  Naphtha Export Price from Netherlands 
 FOB Jeddah  Saudi Arabia  Naphtha Export Price from Saudi Arabia 
 FOB Port of Singapore  Singapore  Naphtha Export Price from Singapore 
 CIF Tokyo (UAE)  Japan  Naphtha Import Price from Japan 
 CIF Busan (UAE)  South Korea  Naphtha Import Price from South Korea 
 CIF Manzanillo (USA)  Mexico  Naphtha Import Price from Mexico 
 CIF Montreal (USA)  Canada  Naphtha Import Price from Canada 
 CIF Santos (USA)  Brazil  Naphtha Import Price from Brazil 
 FD Hamburg   Germany  Delivered Naphtha Price from Germany 
 FD Antwerp   Belgium  Delivered Naphtha Price from Belgium 
 FD Le Havre   France  Delivered Naphtha Price from France 
 CIF Nhava Sheva (Saudi Arabia)  India  Naphtha Import Price from India 
 CIF Nhava Sheva (Singapore)  India  Naphtha Import Price from India 

*Quotation Terms refers to the quantity range specified for the Naphtha being quoted or offered in a commercial transaction.

**Packaging Type refers to standard packaging size commonly used for Naphtha packing, ease of handling, transportation, and storage in industrial and commercial applications.


Key Naphtha Manufacturers:

Manufacturer 
ADNOC Refining 
Emirates National Oil Company (ENOC) 
ExxonMobil 
Motiva Enterprises 
Marathon Petroleum 
BP Rotterdam Refinery 
YASREF (Saudi Aramco/Sinopec) 

Naphtha Industrial Applications

Naptha-market-share-end-use

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Naphtha prices

  • Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2022-2024): Disruptions in energy supply chains across Europe led to spikes in Naphtha prices due to increased demand for alternative sources and limited supply availability. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): The pandemic initially caused a sharp decline in Naphtha demand due to lockdowns and decreased industrial activity. However, as economies reopened and demand for packaging materials surged, Naphtha prices rebounded quickly. 
  • Shale Oil and Gas Expansion (2015-2020): The U.S. shale boom increased Naphtha supply globally, lowering prices as North American exports expanded. This trend bolstered the market with abundant supply, but it also added volatility due to fluctuating production costs. 
  • U.S.-China Trade Tensions (2018-2019): Trade disputes disrupted global supply chains, impacting the Naphtha market with pricing instability as tariffs and sanctions affected the availability and flow of petrochemical feedstocks. 
  • Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) Production Cuts (2016-2018): OPEC and allied countries implemented production cuts to stabilize global oil prices, which indirectly raised Naphtha costs due to higher crude oil prices and constrained supply. 

 

These events highlight Naphtha’s sensitivity to global disruptions, underscoring the need for close monitoring of market trends and geopolitical influences. 

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global naphtha price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the naphtha market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence naphtha prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely naphtha market data.

Track PriceWatch's naphtha price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch gathers real-time pricing information from a wide range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This allows our Naphtha assessments to accurately reflect the latest market conditions. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from essential market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major Naphtha production hubs. This localized intelligence is vital for capturing specific market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire Naphtha supply chain, from crude oil availability to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, refinery outputs, and logistics, providing a comprehensive view of the market’s operational health. 

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch closely monitors geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade sanctions, which may disrupt global Naphtha supply chains and impact pricing. Our analysis assesses both immediate and long-term implications for market stability. 
  • Oil Price Volatility: As Naphtha is derived from crude oil, shifts in oil prices directly affect Naphtha costs. We factor in significant oil price changes driven by OPEC decisions, international demand shifts, and supply disruptions. 
  • Economic Conditions: PriceWatch evaluates economic trends, including global GDP growth, inflation, and demand from sectors such as petrochemicals, to predict fluctuations in Naphtha demand and corresponding price movements. 

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global Naphtha production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This enables accurate assessments of available supply. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes projections of upcoming Naphtha production capacities, incorporating new refinery constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in forecasting supply trends and potential price impacts.

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides an in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors such as petrochemicals and transportation. We track year-over-year demand growth and forecast future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry advancements. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional variations in demand and their influence on global Naphtha pricing. 


This includes shifts in manufacturing bases, trade regulations, and environmental policies impacting consumption.

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch uses advanced econometric models to forecast Naphtha prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market factors. Our models are refined continuously to improve accuracy and predictive capabilities. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based analyses to evaluate potential market conditions. These scenarios include best-case, worst-case, and most-likely outcomes, helping clients prepare for a range of market possibilities. 

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that cover current price assessments, future forecasts, and deep analyses of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and strategic recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and dedicated support to clients, ensuring they have the most recent information for making informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market events and offer tailored guidance. 

This methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers accurate, timely, and actionable Naphtha pricing assessments, empowering our clients to stay ahead of market trends and make well-informed business decisions. 

Naphtha Market Price Trend provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for naphtha. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

Naphtha prices are influenced by several key factors, including crude oil price fluctuations, demand from the petrochemical industry, and seasonal changes. Additionally, geopolitical events, supply chain disruptions, and feedstock availability can impact Naphtha pricing. Monitoring these variables closely is essential for procurement teams aiming to anticipate price trends and optimize costs.

As Naphtha is a petroleum-based product, its pricing is heavily tied to crude oil costs. When crude oil prices rise due to production cuts or supply issues, Naphtha prices tend to increase. Conversely, a drop in crude oil prices can lead to more affordable Naphtha. Procurement heads should keep a close watch on crude oil market developments to manage Naphtha sourcing effectively.

Naphtha prices can vary by region due to factors like refining capacities, regional demand, and transportation costs. For instance, regions with significant petrochemical production may have more competitive Naphtha prices due to higher local demand. Procurement teams can leverage these differences by diversifying sourcing locations and exploring cost-effective options in markets with favorable pricing.

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