Neodymium Oxide Price Trend and Forecast

Weekly Update
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Historical Data Since 2015
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Forecast for 2026
  • Commodity Pricing

neodymium oxide Price Trends by Country

cnChina

Global neodymium oxide Spot Market Prices, Trend Analysis and Forecast

Price-Watch’s most active coverage of Neodymium Oxide price assessment:

Asia-Pacific

  • Neodymium Oxide 99.99% min FOB Shanghai
  • Neodymium Oxide 99.99% min EXW China


Note:
In assessments structured as CIF [Importing Port] (Exporting Country), the country mentioned in brackets indicates the primary origin of supply (exporting country), while the named port refers to the destination port in the importing country. Other Incoterms (FOB, FD, EXW, etc.) should be interpreted in accordance with standard international trade definitions.

Neodymium Oxide Price Trend Q4 2025

In Q4 2025, the global Neodymium Oxide market demonstrated a strongly bullish trend early in the quarter, marked by sharp price escalations across key regions. Price trend for Neodymium Oxide surged significantly during the October–December 2025 period, driven by persistent quota adherence, Myanmar embargo, and voracious global green transition demand across mobility and renewables. Acute supply shortages persisted as regulated trade flows limited volumes in the international market, while robust consumption from electronics, renewable energy, and magnet sectors absorbed nearly all available production.

However, by December, prices fell further, as continued oversupply from prior production surges sustained downward momentum. Producers cleared remaining inventories through promotional pricing amid subdued inquiries from magnet and alloy manufacturers. Weaker seasonal demand in electronics and renewable energy sectors reduced consumption rates, allowing buyers to negotiate concessions while domestic processing plants operated below capacity.

Logistical efficiencies, including normalized port operations and steady freight rates, prevented supply chain support for pricing, with ample availability outweighing routine end-user needs. The combined impact of initial restricted supply, firm end-use demand, and subsequent oversupply challenges resulted in heightened price volatility and a peaked upward trajectory early in the quarter, with expectations of moderated pricing conditions into early 2026.

China: Neodymium Oxide 99.99%min Export prices FOB Shanghai, China; Grade- Purity:99.99%min

In Q4 2025, Neodymium Oxide (99.99% min) prices FOB Shanghai sustained +23.88% momentum impressively, reflecting persistent quota adherence, Myanmar embargo, and voracious global green transition demand across mobility and renewables. State reserve accumulation diverted export-eligible material systematically, while Chinese capacity expansions faltered against environmental ceilings despite incentives, establishing Shanghai FOB decade-high benchmark decoupled from 2024. However, by December, prices fell further by -2.94%, as continued oversupply from prior production surges sustained downward momentum.

Producers cleared remaining inventories through promotional FOB pricing amid subdued inquiries from magnet and alloy manufacturers. Weaker seasonal demand in electronics and renewable energy sectors reduced consumption rates, allowing buyers to negotiate concessions while domestic processing plants operated below capacity.

Logistical efficiencies at Shanghai, including normalized port operations and steady freight rates, prevented supply chain support for pricing, with ample availability outweighing routine end-user needs.

Neodymium Oxide Price Trend Analysis: Q3 2025

In Q3 2025, the global Neodymium Oxide market demonstrated a volatile bullish trend overall, marked by sharp price escalations across key regions despite a late-quarter correction. Neodymium Oxide (99.99% min) prices FOB Shanghai rose +29.33% for the quarter, driven by stringent quota enforcement, constrained material availability from Myanmar disruptions, and intensifying downstream demand from permanent magnet makers.

Acute supply shortages persisted as regulated trade flows and inspections limited volumes in the international market, while robust consumption from EVs, wind turbines, electronics, and autos absorbed available production.

Elevated strategic reserve purchases at premiums and collapsed Myanmar flows further tightened spot availability, though September’s -18.89% decline emerged from overproduction flooding markets with spot offers.

The combined impact of restricted supply, firm end-use demand, and shifting supply chain dynamics resulted in heightened price volatility with early strength then correction, and expectations of Q4 stabilization as demand recovers.

China: Neodymium Oxide 99.99%min Export prices FOB Shanghai, China; Grade- Purity:99.99%min

In Q3 2025, Neodymium Oxide (99.99% min) prices FOB Shanghai rose +29.33% overall, despite a sharp -18.89% September decline. Quota enforcement limited exports, sparking shortages that drove frantic bidding from permanent magnet makers for EV and wind ramps. Strategic reserves bought at premiums, Myanmar flows collapsed, and inspections idled capacity, peaking producer power amid deficits.

Neodymium Oxide prices FOB Shanghai declined by -18.89% in September 2025, due to ample availability from overproduction flooding markets with spot offers and clearances. Softer demand from permanent magnets in EVs, wind turbines, electronics, and autos eased pressure amid high inventories.

Sellers discounted aggressively, stabilized freight aided shipments, fostering bearish de-stocking sentiment. Overall, the Neodymium Oxide market FOB Shanghai in Q3 2025 showed volatile strength then correction, with Q4 stabilization eyed as demand recovers.

In Q2-2025, Neodymium Oxide prices FOB Shanghai rebounded +2.14% steadily. Export control maturation restricted licensed cargoes below annual targets consistently. Selective magnet restocking resumed across premium EV specifications domestically. Low Chinese spot balances empowered seller pricing discipline effectively. Myanmar geopolitical tensions reignited concentrate scarcity premiums sharply. Seasonal power stability supported separation operations optimally.

Shanghai FOB spot premiums widened versus domestic transfers notably. Defence allocations secured through state-designated channels reliably. Wind generator component demand ticked higher incrementally. Downstream cost absorption capacity strengthened gradually. This measured advance confirmed rebalancing continuation within managed policy framework.

In Q1-2025, Neodymium Oxide prices FOB Shanghai corrected -1.32% mildly. High-base consolidation followed aggressive Q4 advance amid quota execution uncertainties. Domestic EV magnet pull softened temporarily from capacity utilization pauses. Rotterdam and CIF Japan pricing stability pressured Shanghai reference downward briefly. Myanmar access normalization eased feedstock tensions partially.

Environmental compliance sidelined marginal tonnage without major disruption. Shanghai export pipeline rationing continued systematically under license caps. Ceramic polishing maintained baseline consumption steadily. Producer inventories rebuilt cautiously post-depletion phase. International trader positioning cooled awaiting policy clarification signals. This digestion quarter reflected natural profit-taking absent fundamental deterioration.

Neodymium Oxide Price Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

In Q4-2024, Neodymium Oxide prices FOB Shanghai climbed +7.70% meaningfully. Export licensing regime activation slashed Shanghai outflows creating tangible tightness perception. Fiscal year-end magnet rebuilding accelerated across global OEMs preemptively. State reserve positioning rumors catalyzed speculative turnover substantially. Myanmar supply frictions escalated concentrate premiums through pipeline constraints. Separation capacity contracted 18% quarter-over-quarter through coordinated discipline.

Shanghai FOB commanded growing premiums versus internal spot realizations consistently. Wind power component restocking provided seasonal supplemental demand surge. Producer economics stabilized enabling maintenance cycles resumption. International fabricators accepted recovering reference pricing reluctantly. This rally validated policy effectiveness entering critical 2025 implementation phase.

In Q3-2024, Neodymium Oxide prices FOB Shanghai recovered +2.92%, marking fragile bottom formation. Voluntary capacity reductions gained traction as unprofitable plants shuttered across southern clusters. Modest magnet restocking emerged from appliance sector normalization cautiously. Policy whispers of export quota consolidation spurred trader accumulation positions. Critically low spot inventories forced emergency procurement despite end-demand uncertainty.

Myanmar seasonal disruptions tightened concentrate availability incrementally supporting costs. Shanghai FOB liquidity revived modestly as shorts covered opportunistically. Cost curve alignment stemmed aggressive output expansion effectively. Defence magnet specifications absorbed premium allocations consistently. International pricing began decoupling from China domestic troughs gradually. This inflection confirmed bear exhaustion without establishing conviction rally.

In Q2-2024, Neodymium Oxide prices FOB Shanghai declined -2.94% further from wreckage. Carryover inventory mountains persisted alongside continued magnet sector depression despite initial production signals. Downstream fabricators executed deep destocking cycles avoiding new commitments entirely. Chinese state enterprises tested price floor interventions unsuccessfully against oversupply fundamentals.

Separation utilization plunged below 65% triggering selective closures in interior provinces. Export documentation scrutiny increased modestly without quota enforcement. Myanmar light rare earth byproducts flowed steadily fueling continued processing. Shanghai port congestion eased facilitating distressed cargo clearance. International inquiries remained dormant awaiting stabilization signals. This grinding decline reflected demand destruction exceeding supply response velocity across global value chains.

In Q1-2024, Neodymium Oxide prices FOB Shanghai plunged -18.89%. Massive oversupply crashed the market as Chinese producers maximized output from Bayan Obo amid collapsing NdFeB magnet demand from global EV slowdowns. Inventories ballooned across separation facilities while automotive OEMs slashed forecasts dramatically. Catalyst and glass applications provided negligible support volumes. Liberal export licensing flooded international spot markets with distressed cargoes.

Producers faced existential margin erosion but maintained volumes competitively. Shanghai FOB spot trading evaporated as buyers awaited trough confirmation. Domestic overproduction swamped limited restocking needs entirely. Macro headwinds crushed sentiment across major consuming regions simultaneously. This violent correction erased substantial prior gains, establishing multi-year valuation lows before policy intervention cycle activation.

Technical Specifications of Neodymium Oxide Price Trends

Product Description

Neodymium oxide is a rare earth compound produced by refining neodymium-bearing minerals and converting them into a stable oxide form through chemical purification and high-temperature calcination. With the chemical formula Nd₂O₃, it is typically manufactured by precipitating neodymium salts and heating them to remove impurities, resulting in a fine, light blue-violet powder with excellent magnetic properties, thermal stability, and optical characteristics.

Neodymium oxide can be processed in different purity grades and particle sizes to suit specific requirements, and it is widely used in powerful permanent magnets, laser materials, glass coloring, phosphors, and catalysts. Its combination of strong magnetism, heat resistance, and vibrant coloration makes it valuable across industries such as electronics, automotive, renewable energy, and manufacturing.

Identifiers and Classification:

HS Code – 28469013

Neodymium Oxide Synonyms:

  • Neodymia


Neodymium Oxide Global Trade and Shipment Terms

  • Quotation Terms (Product & Country Specific): 12-15 MT
  • Packaging Type (Product & Country Specific): Steel Drum


Incoterms Referenced in Neodymium Oxide Price Reporting

Shipping Term  Location  Definition 
FOB Shanghai  Shanghai, China  Neodymium Oxide Export price from China 
Ex-Location  Shanghai, China  Domestically Traded Neodymium Oxide price in China. 

*Quotation Terms refers to the quantity range specified for the Neodymium Oxide being quoted or offered in a commercial transaction.

**Packaging Type refers to standard packaging size commonly used for Neodymium Oxide packing, ease of handling, transportation, and storage in industrial and commercial applications.

Key Neodymium Oxide Manufacturers

Manufacturer 
China Northern Rare Earth Group High-Tech Co. Ltd. 
Lynas Rare Earths Ltd 
MP Materials Corp. 
China Minmetals Rare Earth Co. Ltd. 

Neodymium Oxide Industrial Applications

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Neodymium Oxide prices

  • China Export Curbs 2025 – Beijing imposed tight restrictions in October on rare earth processing technologies, export licenses, and refined products, intensifying supply scarcity for Neodymium oxide amid ongoing quota enforcement measures.
  • MP Materials Divestment 2025 – U.S.-based MP Materials halted shipments of rare earth concentrate to China in late summer for domestic refining expansion, tightening critical feedstock availability for Neodymium oxide processors globally.
  • Myanmar Mining Halt 2024 – Rebel conflicts combined with government export bans in Myanmar, a major supplier of over 50% of China’s medium and heavy rare earth feedstock, severely disrupted global Neodymium oxide supply chains.
  • China Quota Cuts 2022 – Beijing implemented stringent production quotas slashing rare earth output significantly, worsening existing supply constraints amid robust industrial demand from magnet manufacturing sectors worldwide.
  • COVID-19 Disruptions 2020–2021 – Global lockdowns severely disrupted rare earth supply chains from China and elsewhere, while surging demand for EV magnets and electronics created acute shortages for Neodymium oxide production and availability.

 

These events underscore the NEODYMIUM OXIDE market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics.

Why Price Watch™?

Price Watch™ is your trusted resource for tracking global neodymium oxide price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the neodymium oxide market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, Price Watch™ keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, Price Watch™ provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With Price Watch™, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence neodymium oxide prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with Price Watch’s™ reliable, accurate, and timely neodymium oxide market data.

Track Price Watch's™ neodymium oxide price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

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Neodymium Oxide Market Price Trend published by 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ reflect prevailing spot market conditions, derived from independent research, verified trade inputs, and proprietary market intelligence as of the publication date. Prices are published on the specified Incoterm and represent indicative base market levels, exclusive of applicable taxes, VAT, duties, tariffs, and other statutory charges. Actual transaction values may vary depending on volume, credit terms, contractual structure, and other negotiated conditions. Market prices are inherently subject to volatility, liquidity dynamics, regulatory changes, and evolving trade activity. The information provided is for reference and benchmarking purposes only and does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or guarantee of transactional outcomes. Users should exercise independent commercial judgment and assess their specific contractual, regulatory, tax, and application requirements before making business decisions. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ assumes no liability for decisions taken based on this information.

Neodymium Oxide (Nd₂O₃) is a rare earth compound primarily used in the production of high-strength permanent magnets (NdFeB magnets), specialty glass, lasers, ceramics, and catalysts. It plays a critical role in electric vehicle motors, wind turbines, consumer electronics, medical devices, and defense systems. Because it is essential in high-performance magnets and clean-energy technologies, its price directly affects industries such as automotive, renewable energy, electronics, aerospace, and advanced manufacturing. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ tracks Neodymium Oxide prices to help businesses and consumers stay informed about market trends.

Neodymium Oxide prices vary depending on purity level (e.g., 99%, 99.5%, 99.9% and above), Nd₂O₃ content, and region. Prices are typically quoted per kilogram and fluctuate based on rare earth supply-demand fundamentals, processing costs, and global magnet sector demand. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ provides real-time price assessments across key global markets to support informed buying and selling decisions.

Neodymium Oxide prices fluctuate due to rare earth mining output, particularly from major producing countries, separation and refining capacity, export policies, and energy costs. Demand from NdFeB magnet production driven by electric vehicles, wind energy installations, robotics, and electronics significantly impacts pricing. Environmental regulations, geopolitical developments, and supply chain disruptions also influence market trends. Recent forecasts show structurally strong demand supported by global electrification and decarbonization initiatives.

The largest consumers include permanent magnet manufacturers (NdFeB producers), electric vehicle manufacturers, wind turbine manufacturers, consumer electronics companies, aerospace and defense contractors, and specialty glass producers. It is also used in laser systems and advanced ceramics. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ analyzes demand patterns across these industries to provide comprehensive market insights.

Neodymium Oxide is produced from rare earth ores such as bastnäsite and monazite. It is extracted and refined through complex chemical separation and solvent extraction processes at specialized rare earth processing facilities. Major production is concentrated in countries with established rare earth mining and refining infrastructure.

China is typically the world’s largest exporter of Neodymium Oxide, supported by its dominant rare earth mining and refining capacity. Other exporters may include countries such as the United States and Australia, though export volumes vary depending on domestic consumption, trade regulations, and global supply-demand conditions. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ tracks export flows and trade patterns to help businesses understand global sourcing opportunities.

While global supply generally meets demand under stable conditions, the market can experience tightness due to mining restrictions, export controls, environmental inspections, or geopolitical tensions. Because rare earth supply chains are concentrated, even minor disruptions can significantly impact availability. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ monitors supply-demand balances to alert stakeholders about potential shortages or surpluses.

Neodymium Oxide is available in multiple purity grades, typically ranging from 99% (industrial grade) to 99.99% or higher (high-purity magnet or electronic grade). Higher purity grades command premium prices due to advanced separation processes and stringent quality control standards. Impurity levels, oxide content, particle size, and packaging specifications also influence pricing. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ provides separate price assessments for various grades to enhance market transparency.

A sudden rise in demand often driven by accelerated electric vehicle production, renewable energy installations, or electronics manufacturing—can lead to rapid price increases. Suppliers may allocate limited volumes to strategic customers, and buyers could face extended lead times or higher contract prices. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ captures these developments in real time.

Energy costs significantly impact Neodymium Oxide production, especially during mining, separation, calcination, and refining processes. When electricity or fuel prices increase, producers may pass those costs along to buyers. Regions with lower energy costs often enjoy competitive pricing advantages, a relationship that 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ evaluates in its market assessments and reports.

Regional price variations stem from differences in local production capacity, environmental regulations, labor costs, logistics expenses, tariffs, and regional demand conditions. Countries reliant on imports may face higher prices due to shipping costs and duties. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ tracks price trends across major global regions to highlight these differences.

The outlook for Neodymium Oxide depends on rare earth mining output, export policies, technological innovation, global economic growth, and expansion in electric vehicles and renewable energy sectors. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ publishes detailed forecasts projecting price movements over the next 12 months based on supply expansions, demand growth, policy developments, and macroeconomic indicators. These forecasts help businesses anticipate market shifts and plan procurement strategies.

Yes. Reliable forecasting enables better purchasing timing, stronger contract negotiations, and more accurate budgeting. If 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ projects a potential price increase in the coming months, companies can secure supply early or negotiate long-term contracts, potentially reducing cost exposure.

Global events such as trade restrictions, environmental inspections, geopolitical tensions, or mining disruptions can significantly affect supply and pricing. For example, policy changes in major producing countries or international trade disputes can create volatility in rare earth markets. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ provides timely alerts when such developments influence the Neodymium Oxide market.

𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ gathers data from producers, traders, and end-users worldwide to publish regular price assessments, market reports, and forward-looking forecasts. Its transparent methodology and global coverage make it a trusted source for understanding fair pricing and emerging trends in the Neodymium Oxide market.