In Q1 2024, neopentyl glycol (NPG) prices saw a modest decline of approximately 1.5% compared to Q4 2023. While upstream cost pressures increased, the downstream demand for paints remained stable, contributing to a balanced market environment. Despite these factors, domestic market prices for NPG experienced a slight uptick during the first quarter.
In Q2 2024, NPG prices rose by approximately 5.5% compared to Q1 2024. This increase was driven by several key factors:
- Robust Demand: The construction and coatings industries experienced strong demand, significantly boosting NPG consumption.
- Supply Chain Constraints: Ongoing supply chain disruptions further tightened availability, contributing to upward price pressure.
- Rising Production Costs: Higher production costs, including raw materials and energy, played a significant role in the price increase.
- Seasonal Construction Activity: The seasonal surge in construction activity during Q2 added to the heightened demand for NPG, amplifying price gains.
In Q3 2024, market in Asia is likely to remain stable or even soften. Factors such as weaker demand in China and India, disrupted construction activities due to adverse weather, and seasonal slowdowns, particularly during the Mid-Autumn Festival in China, are expected to prevent significant price increases in these regions. Despite these divergent trends, global NPG prices may still face fluctuations as industries ramp up production ahead of peak seasons, coupled with lower inventories.
Looking ahead to Q4 2024 and beyond, the demand for Neopentyl Glycol (NPG) is likely to increase, the resurgence of automotive manufacturing is likely to increase the need for NPG, which is a key component in producing high-performance resins and coatings. In addition, seasonal factors, such as increased demand for durable goods and paints in colder months, could further support NPG consumption.