In Q1 2024, the global Phosphoric Acid market experienced a mixed trend. In Morocco, prices were reported at $953.18 per metric ton (MT), reflecting a slight decrease of -1.85% from the previous quarter. This drop was attributed to stable production levels and a reduction in demand from agricultural sectors, which typically influence pricing. Meanwhile, the USA and Jordan saw varying dynamics due to different agricultural cycles and export demands, impacting the overall market sentiment.
As we moved into Q2 2024, the price of Phosphoric Acid in Morocco further decreased to $920.429/MT, representing a decline of 3.44% from Q1. This ongoing trend was driven by a combination of factors, including reduced export activity and an abundant supply in the market. Global supply chain challenges also played a role, as some logistical disruptions impacted the flow of goods, particularly in the agricultural sector, leading to a temporary decrease in pricing.
By early Q3 2024, the market shifted slightly with prices in August reported at $891.51/MT, showing a minor increase of +0.46% from July’s $887.465/MT. This uptick can be attributed to seasonal adjustments in demand, particularly from the fertilizer sector as farmers prepared for planting seasons. Additionally, global supply constraints, including logistical issues and production adjustments, have kept the market on edge, impacting pricing across regions like the USA and Jordan.
Looking ahead to Q4 2024, we anticipate potential price fluctuations driven by several factors. Increased demand from the agricultural sector as planting seasons ramp up could put upward pressure on prices. As we approach the festive season, we expect heightened demand for fertilizers, which may lead to increased prices throughout the quarter, reflecting the complex interplay of supply and demand in the global Phosphoric Acid market.