polyol Pricing Assessment

Markets Covered:

Singapore

Saudi Arabia

India

Polyol Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

As of August 2024, Polyol prices are around $ 1,433, per metric ton, reflecting a 2.73% decrease from July’s average of $ 1,474. This fluctuation highlights the volatility in the market, influenced by various regional factors, particularly in Singapore.

In Q1 2024, the global average price for Polyol was approximately $1,247 per metric ton, rising to $1,389 in Q2. This increase was driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which disrupted supplies of key feedstocks such as propylene oxide and other precursors necessary for Polyol production.

As we entered Q3 2024, prices continued to face upward pressure due to strong demand, particularly from the automotive and furniture sectors. While the automotive industry remains robust, the construction sector has experienced decline due to economic uncertainties, impacting overall consumption patterns.

Looking forward to Q4 2024 and beyond, an anticipated increase in Polyol production capacity in the U.S. Gulf Coast could help stabilize prices. Nevertheless, the market is likely to remain volatile through 2030, influenced by geopolitical developments, supply chain adjustments, and evolving demand trends across various industries.

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is your trusted resource for tracking global polyol price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the polyol market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

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Track 's polyol price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in polyol prices

2023 – Present Israel-Hamas Conflict: The ongoing conflict has led to regional disruptions and uncertainties that are affecting supply chains and pricing for various chemicals, including polyols. Geopolitical tensions often contribute to global market volatility.

2022-Present Russia-Ukraine Conflict: The geopolitical conflict has disrupted European polyol production, leading to increased costs and significant global price volatility.

2021 Texas Winter Storm: Severe winter weather caused production halts in Texas, leading to temporary spikes in polyol prices due to supply shortages.

2020 COVID-19 Pandemic: The pandemic initially reduced demand due to decreased industrial activity but later caused a surge in demand, particularly for Slab stock Foams, leading to increased prices and market volatility.

2018-2019 U.S.-China Trade War: Trade tariffs and barriers during the trade war disrupted global supply chains, contributing to polyol price fluctuations due to increased costs and altered trade flows.

These events underscore the Polyol market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics.

Methodology and Specifications

polyol Pricing Assessment Research Methodology

Data Collection and Sources

Real-Time Market Data: aggregates real-time pricing data from a broad spectrum of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This approach ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions for polyol.

On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team collects insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major polyol production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is essential for understanding localized market dynamics.

Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire polyol supply chain, from raw material availability (e.g., propylene oxide, ethylene oxide) to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis

Geopolitical Tensions: continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, that can significantly impact polyol prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing.

Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We evaluate the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or winter storms, on polyol production facilities, especially in vulnerable regions like the U.S. Gulf Coast. These events are incorporated into our price forecasts and supply outlooks.

Economic Shifts: assesses macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (e.g., automotive, construction), to predict shifts in polyol demand and corresponding price movements.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global polyol production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to accurately assess current supply availability.

Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming polyol production capacities, considering new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization.

Demand Forecasting

Sectoral Demand Analysis: provides in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including packaging, automotive, and construction. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments.

Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology takes into account regional demand variations and how they influence global polyol pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations.

Pricing Model Development

Dynamic Pricing Models: employs advanced econometric models to forecast polyol prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continually refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power.

Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes.

Reporting and Client Support

Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations.

Ongoing Support: offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice.

This research methodology ensures that delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable polyol pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions.

Specifications

Molecular Weight[g/mol]

3000

CAS No

9082-00-2

HS Code

39072990

Molecular Formula

polyol

Polyol is a versatile compound commonly used in the production of polyurethanes, plastics, adhesives, coatings, and foams. With its hydroxyl group, polyol serves as a key building block in manufacturing flexible and rigid foams, offering superior durability and insulation properties. It is also used in the creation of synthetic rubbers, sealants, and elastomers. Polyol's ability to improve the mechanical strength, flexibility, and thermal stability of materials makes it essential in industries like automotive, construction, and furniture. Its wide range of applications ensures its importance in various manufacturing processes.

Packaging Type

ISO tanks, Drums (India)

Grades Covered

Polyether triol

Incoterms Used

FOB Saudi Arabia, FOB Singapore, CIF Nhava Sheva (Singapore)

Synonym

polyether polyol

Quotation Terms:

20-25 MT, 10-15 MT(India)

Ex-Location: This incoterm refers to a shipping agreement where the seller makes the goods available at their premises, and the buyer is responsible for all transportation costs, including shipping, insurance, and any other fees.
CIF: CIF refers to the Cost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF) terms for goods. Under CIF terms, the seller is responsible for the cost of goods, insurance, and freight charges until the goods reach the port of destination.
FD: FD stands for Free Delivered where the seller takes full responsibility for delivering goods to the location/port. This ensures the buyer receives the goods at the designated port with all necessary costs, except import duties, covered.
FOB: FOB refers to the Free On-Board shipping term, where the seller is responsible for the cost and risk of delivering the goods to the port. Once the goods are on board the vessel, the responsibility shifts to the buyer for all costs, including shipping and insurance.

Properties	Value	Units
Appearance	colourless to pale liquid
Viscosity@ 25℃	530-650	mPa.s
Density @ 25℃	1.02-1.03	g/cm³
Molecular Weight	3000	g/mol
Water Content	0.08	Wt.%
Hydroxyl number	53 – 59	mg KOH/g
Acidity	≤ 0.030	mg KOH/g

Applications

Polyols, particularly polyether polyols, are vital in various applications, especially in the automotive, slab stock foam, and construction industries. In the automotive sector, polyols are used to produce flexible and rigid foams for seating, dashboards, and insulation, significantly enhancing comfort and reducing vehicle weight. This contributes to improved fuel efficiency and overall vehicle performance. In slab stock foam applications, polyols are key in creating high-density cushioning materials for furniture, mattresses, and packaging. These foams are known for their durability and resilience, making them ideal for products that require long-lasting comfort and support. In construction, polyols are essential for producing insulation foams that enhance energy efficiency in buildings. These foams are applied in roofing, walls, and floors, providing thermal resistance and reducing energy consumption. They also contribute to soundproofing and moisture control, improving indoor comfort. Overall, the versatility and performance of polyols make them indispensable in these sectors, driving innovation and sustainability in modern applications.

Disclaimer

Polyol price provided by is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for polyol. disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

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Frequently asked questions

What factors influence the pricing of polyol in the global market? +

The pricing of polyol is influenced by several key factors, including the cost of raw materials such as propylene oxide, glycerine, and other feedstocks. Additionally, fluctuations in crude oil prices, supply-demand dynamics, production capacity, and regional market conditions play significant roles. Environmental regulations and the push for sustainable materials can also impact pricing. Procurement heads should closely monitor these variables to make informed purchasing decisions.

How do changes in raw material costs affect polyol pricing trends? +

Changes in raw material costs, particularly for feedstocks like propylene oxide and glycerine, directly affect polyol pricing trends. When raw material prices increase due to supply constraints or market volatility, polyol prices typically rise as producers pass on these costs. Conversely, a decrease in raw material costs can lead to lower polyol prices. Procurement heads should regularly track raw material markets to anticipate potential pricing fluctuations and adjust their procurement strategies accordingly.

What is the price outlook for polyol, and how should procurement heads prepare for future cost changes? +

The price outlook for polyol is shaped by global supply-demand dynamics, raw material trends, and economic conditions. In the near term, procurement heads should expect potential price volatility influenced by changes in feedstock availability and production capacities. To prepare for future cost changes, procurement teams should engage in strategic sourcing, consider long-term contracts with suppliers, and explore alternative suppliers to mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations and ensure stable supply.