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Steel Rebar Price Trend and Forecast

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Historical Data Since 2015
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  • Commodity Pricing

steel rebar Price Trends by Country

inIndia
cnChina
usUnited States
gbUnited Kingdom

Global steel rebar Spot Market Prices, Trend Analysis and Forecast

Price-Watch’s most active coverage of Steel Rebar price assessment:

  • Primary (FE550D 12mm) Ex-Mumbai, India
  • Primary (FE550D 12mm) Ex-West India, India
  • Primary (FE550D 12mm) Ex-Kolkata, India
  • Primary (FE550D 12mm) Ex-East India, India
  • Primary (FE550D 12mm) Ex-Raipur, India
  • Primary (FE550D 12mm) Ex-Central India, India
  • Primary (FE550D 12mm) Ex-Ghaziabad, India
  • Primary (FE550D 12mm) Ex-North India, India
  • Primary (FE550D 12mm) Ex-Visakhapatnam, India
  • Primary (FE550D 12mm) Ex-South India, India
  • FE500 12mm Ex-Mumbai, India
  • A512-12.7mm Ex Alabama, USA
  • B500B 12mm FD Sheffield, United Kingdom
  • HRB400 12mm FOB Shanghai, China
  • A615-12mm EX Illinois (Midwest), USA
  • A615-12mm EX Illinois (Midwest), USA

Steel Rebar Price Trend Q3 2025

The global Steel Rebar market exhibited diverging trends in Q3 2025, as some parts of the world continued to see considered gains- due to steady infrastructure activity- while others faced price declines instigated by weak construction demand and aggressive import offers.

The abundant supply generally limited upside recovery in several markets, while stable raw material costs kept volatility at bay. By September, most markets have fluctuated marginally compared to July, reflecting the more cautious order pace and the effects of seasonal construction cycles.

UK

Steel Rebar Domestic prices FD Sheffield, UK, Grade- Purity: B500B 12mm.

The Steel Rebar price trend in the UK declined by 2.28% in Q3 2025, influenced by slower construction activity and project delays in both public and private sectors. A flow of competitively priced imports from Europe kept domestic mills under pricing pressure. Operational costs remained high, limiting producers’ flexibility in adjusting offers, yet subdued demand forced gradual reductions to maintain sales.

Export opportunities have been minimal due to weaker European market conditions. Steel Rebar prices in the UK rose slightly by 0.4% in September 2025, supported by short-term procurement from a few ongoing infrastructure projects, although the improvement has been modest and market sentiment stayed cautious.

USA

Steel Rebar Domestic prices EX Alabama, USA, Grade- Purity: A512-12.7mm.

According to Price-Watch, the Steel Rebar price trend in the USA increased by 2.50% in Q3 2025, supported by robust demand from infrastructure, industrial, and commercial construction projects. Strong government spending and healthy private sector investment fueled steady procurement from key end-users. Tight domestic supply due to mill maintenance schedules and reduced import arrivals further boosted pricing.

Market sentiment remained positive across most regions, with buyers willing to commit to longer-term contracts. Steel Rebar prices in the USA edged higher by 0.4% in September 2025, reflecting stable demand conditions and consistent restocking by distributors, keeping supply-demand balances firmly in favor of sellers.

China

Steel Rebar Export prices FOB Shanghai, China, Grade- Purity: HRB400 12mm.

China’s Steel Rebar price trend weakened by 1.90% in Quarter III of 2025 under the pressure of continued weak consumption from the construction sector, exacerbated by slow infrastructure investment. Although the moderately sized projects led by the government supported some consumption, private sector activity stayed modestly slow, limiting overall demand.

Production levels remained steady at the mills throughout Quarter III, resulting in continued supply overhang in the domestic market. Export potential dropped also, due to competitive pricing from other Asian vendors. Raw material costs have been stable and offered raw materials buyers limited support to price recovery.

China’s Steel Rebar price plummeted in September 2025, falling 3.3%. Seasonal slowdown in construction took a firmer hold, and buying volumes dropped further in anticipation of market continuation decline.

India

Steel Rebar Domestic prices EX-Mumbai, India, Grade- Purity: Primary (FE550D 12mm).

According to Price-Watch, the Steel Rebar price trend in India registered a steep decline of 3.53% in Q3 2025, driven by muted demand from infrastructure and housing projects as well as slowed government spending. Competitive import offers from neighboring countries added downward pressure on domestic prices. Mills faced challenges in reducing output due to fixed supply commitments, which contributed to oversupply conditions.

Export sales remained limited, further straining the market balance. Buyer sentiment has been weak, with cautious procurement strategies prevailing through the quarter. Steel Rebar prices in India fell by 0.7% in September 2025, as demand failed to gain momentum even with small restocking from select regional projects.

Steel Rebar Price Trend Analysis: Q2 2025

According to PriceWatch, In Q2 2025, rebar prices in China fell from $529 per metric tonne in Q1 to $519 per metric tonne in Q2, a decline of 1.89%. This decrease was driven by a combination of seasonal demand weakness, high inventories, and persistent overcapacity in the steel sector. After the Chinese New Year, construction activity resumed but failed to reach levels sufficient to absorb the large inventories built up during the winter slowdown.

Mills responded by maintaining or even increasing production, which further pressured prices downward. Although government stimulus measures and infrastructure investment provided some support to market sentiment, these interventions had limited direct impact on real demand.

Additionally, export prospects remained uncertain due to global trade tensions and logistical constraints. As a result, rebar prices remained volatile and under pressure, with producers often forced to offer discounts or subsidies to stimulate sales. 

In the UK, rebar prices edged up by 0.28% in Q2. The market remained largely stable, with only slight upward movement due to steady but unspectacular construction demand and relatively firm input costs. European Union-funded infrastructure projects provided a degree of support, but overall demand growth was limited.

Import restrictions and trade policies helped shield domestic producers from external competition, allowing prices to hold steady despite weak end-user activity. The UK market’s stability was further underpinned by cautious supply management from mills, which prevented significant oversupply and kept price fluctuations minimal. 

In the United States, rebar prices saw  a gain of 1.93% in Q2. This increase was driven by stronger demand from the construction sector, higher scrap prices, and the ongoing impact of tariffs and trade restrictions. The US infrastructure bill continued to provide a boost to rebar consumption, while limited import competition allowed domestic mills to implement price hikes.

Rising raw material costs, particularly for scrap, further contributed to upward price pressure. Although the pace of growth moderated compared to previous quarters, the US rebar market remained one of the more robust globally, supported by both policy and market fundamentals.

According to PriceWatch, Indian rebar prices increased from approximately $614 per metric tonne to $624 per metric tonne, rise of 1.48% in Q2 2025. The upward movement was supported by robust construction activity, steady infrastructure spending, and higher input costs, particularly for scrap and energy. The Indian government’s continued focus on infrastructure projects and urban development initiatives helped sustain demand for rebar, even as global market volatility persisted.

Additionally, supply-side constraints and firm raw material prices contributed to the positive price trend. While the pace of increase was moderate, India’s rebar market remained more resilient compared to several other regions, reflecting stable domestic fundamentals and a favourable policy environment. 

In Q1 2025, China’s rebar prices edged down from $529/MT in Q4 2024 to $526/MT FOB Shanghai, reflecting a slight 0.6% decline as weak domestic demand, high inventories, and cautious buyer sentiment continued to weigh on the market. Despite government efforts to stimulate construction, the recovery remained slow, and export prices stayed competitive but under pressure.

In contrast, rebar prices increased in the UK, USA, and India over the same period, supported by robust construction activity, higher input costs, and ongoing supply constraints. The US market saw price gains driven by strong infrastructure demand and rising scrap prices, while the UK benefited from steady project pipelines and reduced import competition.

India’s rebar market picked up, construction momentum. Overall, global rebar prices trended upward in most regions, but China remained an exception due to subdued demand and persistent oversupply. 

In Q1 2025, rebar prices averaged $634/MT EX-Mumbai, up 1.8% continuing the upward trajectory as the construction sector remained buoyant. The government’s record allocation for infrastructure in Budget 2025, combined with increased investments in roads, ports, and metro rail, provided a strong foundation for sustained demand. The residential and commercial real estate sectors also contributed, with affordable housing and urbanization trends driving new projects.

Mills maintained firm offers amid healthy demand and rising input costs, while buyers remained confident about future activity. The overall sentiment was robust, with both public and private sector investments fueling optimism for continued growth in the rebar market. 

Steel Rebar Price Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

Rebar prices went up in China and India in the last quarter. Both of these sectors are key steel demand drivers in China. In the UK, steel producers had been announcing price increase for long steel products amid high production costs.

In the USA, however, domestic rebar prices were mixed as the domestic mills were facing strong competition from aggressive spot import offers. In India, rebar prices were more or less steady due to lack of any firm triggers in the market but with slight expectations of improvements going ahead. 

Rebar prices climbed to $623/MT in Q4 2024, up 2.5% reflecting renewed momentum as construction projects resumed after the monsoon. The government’s push for large-scale infrastructure such as highways, metro rail, and logistics parks drove robust demand, and the real estate sector benefited from improved liquidity and new project launches.

Mills were able to maintain firmer offers and pass on higher input costs to buyers. Export demand also improved slightly, supported by competitive Indian pricing in global markets. The overall market environment was positive, with strong order books and expectations of further growth heading into the new year. 

Rebar have seen fluctuations in all the major markets, due to a mix of seasonal factors, local supply-demand imbalance, and policy impact. Prices were down in China and the USA but were up in India and marginally in the European Union. Rising steel market inventories and sluggish domestic demand continued to weigh on Chinese steel prices.

Growth of rebar inventories, however, has been relatively smaller, mainly due to already slumped production. But poor construction demand still pushed prices down faster than flat steel prices. US domestic rebar prices started to fall as domestic mills were getting ahead of falling June scrap prices. 

In Q3 2024, prices saw a slight dip to $607/MT, down 0.59% as the onset of the monsoon season brought temporary slowdowns in construction, particularly for outdoor infrastructure projects. Despite this, the decline was limited by pent-up demand from previously delayed projects and relatively stable raw material costs.

The real estate sector continued to see activity in urban centers, and infrastructure projects with all-weather execution timelines helped cushion the seasonal impact. Mills managed inventories carefully, and market sentiment remained cautiously optimistic, with expectations for a strong post-monsoon rebound. 

In Q2 2024, the steel rebar market exhibited a falling environment, driven by several key factors balancing supply and demand dynamics. The quarter showed rise in India attributed to a combination of moderate supply chain disruptions, variations in raw material costs, and the influence of seasonal demand patterns across the construction and infrastructure sectors. 

China, representing the most significant price fluctuations of 14% drop within the region, saw steel rebar prices in China were characterized by moderate production levels, cautious inventory management. 

Rebar prices rebounded to $611/MT in Q2 2024, up 4.9% Q-o-Q driven by a seasonal uptick in construction and infrastructure activity as the weather improved. The government’s continued focus on infrastructure especially roads, highways, and metro projects stimulated demand for steel rebar, with public investment playing a central role.

Private sector housing and commercial projects also resumed, further boosting consumption. Mills were able to implement price hikes amid improved offtake and tighter supply. Export demand remained steady, and market optimism grew as government funding for infrastructure was increased in the Union Budget, supporting a more bullish outlook. 

In Q1 2024, Rebar prices experienced a decline in key markets of India. In China, domestic steel prices have been on a downward trajectory since the beginning of 2024, largely due to a continued decline in demand from the property sector and a slowdown in infrastructure construction.

These two sectors, which together account for about 60% of steel consumption in China, have faced ongoing challenges, leading to a reduction in overall steel demand and steady price levels. In the UK prices picked up by 7% in Q1 2024. US domestic rebar prices were more or less steady as market participants have started to see a bottom forming in prices as they expected demand to pick up over the next couple of months.

In Q1 2024, rebar prices in India averaged $582/MT, down 6.5% reflecting a subdued market environment following the year-end and festive season. Construction activity was relatively slow, with many projects in a planning or mobilization phase rather than active execution. High inventory levels among stockists and cautious procurement by builders kept demand muted.

The real estate sector, a major consumer of rebar, faced delays in project launches, while infrastructure activity was yet to pick up pace. Mills responded to these conditions by offering discounts and flexible payment terms, but overall sentiment remained cautious as buyers awaited clearer signals of demand recovery. 

Technical Specifications of Steel Rebar Price Trends

Product Description

A Rebar (reinforcing bar) is a type of steel product commonly used in construction to reinforce concrete structures. It is produced by heating steel billets above their recrystallization temperature and then rolling them into long, cylindrical bars with a patterned surface. This process enhances the steel’s strength, flexibility, and bond with concrete, making it ideal for use in reinforced concrete for buildings, bridges, roads, and other infrastructure projects. The result is a durable, high-strength material that plays a critical role in maintaining the structural integrity of concrete constructions.

Identifiers and Classification:

  • HS Code – 72142090


Steel Rebar Synonyms:

  • Reinforcement bar
  • Reinforcing bar
  • Reinforcing steel
  • Deformed steel bar
  • Deformed rebar
  • Ribbed bar


Steel Rebar Grades Specific Price Assessment:

  • Steel Rebar HRB400-12mm Price Trend
  • Steel Rebar FE500-12mm Price Trend
  • Steel Rebar B5500B-12mm Price Trend
  • Steel Rebar A512-12.7mm price Trend


Steel Rebar Global Trade and Shipment Terms

  • Quotation Terms (Product & Country Specific): 15-18 MT
  • Packaging Type (Product & Country Specific): Container


Incoterms Referenced in Steel Rebar Price Reporting

Shipping Term  Location  Definition 
FOB Shanghai  Shanghai, China  Steel Rebar Export price from China 
Ex Alabama  Alabama, USA  Domestically traded Steel Rebar price in USA 
FD Sheffield  Sheffield, UK  Domestically traded Steel Rebar price from UK 
EX-Mumbai  Mumbai, India  Domestically Traded Steel Rebar price in India 

*Quotation Terms refers to the quantity range specified for the Steel Rebar being quoted or offered in a commercial transaction.

**Packaging Type refers to standard packaging size commonly used for Steel Rebar packing, ease of handling, transportation, and storage in industrial and commercial applications.

Key Steel Rebar Manufacturers and their brands

Manufacturer 
China Baowu Group   
ArcelorMittal   
Nippon Steel Corporation   
HBIS Group   
Shagang Group   
 Tata Steel Limited   
POSCO Holdings   
JSW Steel   

Steel Rebar Industrial Applications

Steel Rebar Market Share End Use

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Steel Rebar prices

  • Global Supply Chain Disruption (2022): The war in Ukraine and other geopolitical tensions disrupted supply chains, leading to price volatility in various commodities, including REBAR. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2019-2020): The global pandemic led to a significant decline in demand for REBAR-intensive industries, such as steelmaking and automotive manufacturing, causing prices to plummet. 
  • Global Economic Downturn (2019-2020): The global economic slowdown, particularly in sectors like steel and automotive, led to reduced demand for REBAR, resulting in lower prices. 


These events underscore the Rebar market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics. 

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global steel rebar price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the steel rebar market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence steel rebar prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely steel rebar market data.

Track PriceWatch's steel rebar price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major Rebar production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire Rebar supply chain, from raw material availability to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics. 

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, which can significantly impact Rebar prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing. 
  • Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or winter storms, on Rebar production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions like the APAC coasts. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks. 
  • Economic Shifts: PriceWatch evaluates macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (e.g., automotive, packaging, to predict shifts in Rebar demand and corresponding price movements.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global Rebar production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming Rebar production capacities, factoring in new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization.

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides an in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including packaging, automotive, and construction. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global Rebar pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast Rebar prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most-likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes.

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice. 

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable REBAR pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions. 

Steel Rebar Market Price Trend provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for steel rebar. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

Commodity prices are influenced by a complex interplay of factors, including:

 Production cost: Production costs directly influence commodity prices. When production expenses rise, such as through higher raw material or labor costs, commodity prices typically increase. Conversely, lower production cost leads to reduced prices of particular commodity.

Supply and Demand: The fundamental driver of commodity prices is the balance between supply and demand. When demand exceeds supply, prices tend to rise, and vice versa.  

Economic Growth: Global economic growth, particularly in emerging markets, can increase demand for commodities, driving prices higher.  

Geopolitical Events: Political instability, conflicts, and trade tensions can disrupt supply chains, affecting commodity prices.  

Natural Disasters: Weather events such as droughts, floods, and hurricanes can impact the production and availability of certain commodities.  

Speculation: Financial speculators can influence commodity prices through their trading activities.  

Government Policies: Government policies, such as tariffs, subsidies, and regulations, can impact the production, consumption, and trade of commodities.  

PriceWatch, a leading procurement intelligence firm, offers a comprehensive suite of tools and services to help you effectively track commodity prices.

Some of the key benefits of using PriceWatch include:

 Real-time Data: Access to up-to-date market intelligence and data on commodity supply chains.

Expert Analysis: Insights from industry experts to interpret market trends and identify potential risks.

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Benchmarking: Comparisons of commodity prices and sourcing practices to optimize procurement decisions.

Supplier Intelligence: Detailed information on suppliers, including their financial health, production capacity, and sustainability practices.

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