Price-Watch’s most active coverage of Steel Rebar price assessment:
Asia-Pacific
- Steel Rebar HRB400 12mm, FOB Shanghai, China
- Steel Rebar FE500 12mm, Ex-Mumbai, India
- Steel Rebar FE550 12mm, Ex-Mumbai, India
North America
- Steel Rebar A512-12.7mm, Ex Alabama, USA
Europe
- Steel Rebar B5500B 12mm, FD Sheffield, UK
Note: In assessments structured as CIF [Importing Port] (Exporting Country), the country mentioned in brackets indicates the primary origin of supply (exporting country), while the named port refers to the destination port in the importing country. Other Incoterms (FOB, FD, EXW, etc.) should be interpreted in accordance with standard international trade definitions.
Steel Rebar Price Trend Q4 2025
In the fourth quarter of 2025, the global rebar market displayed divergent trends amid persistent construction sector challenges, stable scrap inputs, and contrasting policy environments across regions. China experienced sharp declines due to severe winter construction halts under aggressive pollution control measures and property sector deleveraging. India faced seasonal post-monsoon slowdowns compounded by wedding season cash flow constraints and competitive imports. In contrast, the USA benefited from Trump administration infrastructure stimulus and milder winter weather sustaining project timelines, while the UK gained modest support from steady housing starts and rail infrastructure continuity. Overall market sentiment remained cautious as buyers adopted hand-to-mouth strategies amid uncertain fiscal outlooks.
Steel Rebar HRB400 12mm, FOB Shanghai, China
The price trend of rebar in China declined by 4.7% in Q4 2025, primarily driven by extreme winter weather shutting down construction sites across Hebei and Tangshan regions under stringent blue-sky policies limiting furnace operations. Year-end property developer liquidity crunches led to widespread project suspensions, while high-speed rail allocations shifted toward prestressed concrete alternatives. Provincial emission caps forced 30%+ blast furnace reductions, creating supply overhang despite demand collapse. Migrant workers return for Lunar New Year accelerated the seasonal trough. Rebar prices in China fell by -0.1% in December 2025 as pre-holiday factory closures began earlier than typical, with HRB400 E11s trading at multi-year lows. Traders dumped spot tonnage ahead of Spring Festival, but frozen rebar yards prevented sharper corrections. Government stimulus remained absent, capping downside momentum.
Steel Rebar FE500 12mm, Ex-Mumbai, India
The price trend of rebar in India declined by 2.3% in Q4 2025, attributable to post-monsoon construction slowdowns in Tier-2 cities and wedding season diverting contractor cash flows toward consumer spending. Fe550D TMT deliveries piled up at regional depots as highway NHAI tenders awaited Union Budget clarity post-festive pauses. Imported billet competition from Vietnam eroded ex-Mumbai premia, while northeastern landslides disrupted site progress through November. PMAY housing scheme disbursements lagged administrative approvals. Rebar prices in India fell by -0.4% in December 2025 despite brief pre-wedding fabrication spikes that failed to clear channel inventories meaningfully. Contractors prioritized CTD bars over premium TMT grades amid margin pressures. Year-end GST reconciliations further constrained working capital availability.
Steel Rebar B5500B 12mm, FD Sheffield, UK
The price trend of rebar in UK rose by 0.2% in Q4 2025, supported by steady new housing starts under Help to Buy extensions and consistent HS2 tunneling progress providing counter-seasonal reinforcement demand. Milder Atlantic weather enabled year-round concrete pours versus continental snowfall disruptions, while BESA quotas moderated Turkish import aggression effectively. Domestic processors like Liberty Steel maintained service levels for 500B grades amid stable construction PMI readings. Offshore wind farm foundation works added niche tonnage absorption. Rebar prices in the UK rose by 0.9% in December 2025 as industrial concrete orders provided unexpected pre-Christmas momentum. Merchants covered January frameworks preemptively, lifting ex-works quotes across 8-40mm diameters. Sterling stability versus euro preserved supply chain predictability.
Steel Rebar A512-12.7mm, Ex Alabama, USA
The price trend of rebar in USA rose by 1.7% in Q4 2025, propelled by Trump infrastructure bill momentum accelerating highway/bridge rehabilitations and Gulf Coast warehouse expansions under favorable weather patterns. Section 232 tariff enforcements slashed Mexican Grade 60 imports by 40%, tightening domestic Grade 75 availability through California mills. IIJA funding disbursements gained pace post-election, while Texas solar farm groundworks sustained rebar consumption. Midwest snow delays proved manageable versus historical norms. Rebar prices in USA rose by 0.6% in December 2025 as state DOT contracts firmed Q1 schedules earlier than seasonal norms. Fabricators locked bulk 16-20mm tonnage ahead of potential steel duties expansion. Mild temperatures preserved construction velocity through year-end.


