The tall oil fatty acid market had primarily been influenced by North America and Europe, with the USA having been a significant producer, alongside Canada and Sweden. In the first quarter of 2024, prices for tall oil fatty acids had been approximately USD 2,590 per metric ton, driven by strong demand from various industries, including personal care, coatings, and lubricants, despite some supply constraints.
As we moved into Q2 2024, production challenges persisted due to logistical issues and ongoing disruptions in the supply chain. Nevertheless, demand had remained robust, particularly in the bio-based and renewable sectors, resulting in a reported 4% increase in consumption by May 2024. As production had gradually improved, prices had begun to stabilize, easing some previous pressures on the market.
By the third quarter of 2024, prices have remained stable amid ongoing supply constraints and steady demand, particularly from the personal care and biofuel sectors. As of August 2024, average prices have held around USD 2,590 per metric ton, reflecting stability in the market dynamics despite persistent production challenges.
Looking ahead to the fourth quarter of 2024 and beyond, there will have been cautious optimism for a recovery in production as logistical issues are resolved and market conditions stabilize. However, the market will have been expected to remain volatile through 2030, influenced by factors such as climate change impacts, regulatory changes, and a growing consumer preference for sustainable and eco-friendly products.