Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Trend and Forecast

UNSPC code: 12352001
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Weekly Update
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Historical Data Since 2015
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Forecast for 2026

tertiary butyl alcohol Price Trends by Country

jpJapan
cnChina
inIndia
vnVietnam

Global tertiary butyl alcohol Spot Market Prices, Trend Analysis and Forecast

Price-Watch’s most active coverage of Tertiary Butyl Alcohol price assessment:

  • (99.5% min) Industrial Grade FOB Shanghai, China
  • (99.5% min) Industrial Grade FOB Tokyo, Japan
  • (99.5% min) Industrial Grade CIF Haiphong (China), Vietnam
  • (99.5% min) Industrial Grade CIF JNPT (China), India

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) Price Trend Q3 2025

In Q3 2025, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices declined across major markets, including China 4.99%, Vietnam 4.87%, India 3.02%, and Japan 0.69%. Weak domestic demand, particularly from the automotive and coatings sectors, along with oversupply conditions, contributed to the price drops. Stable production and feedstock costs provide limited support.

Vietnam and India faced additional pressure from high logistics costs. The outlook for the upcoming quarter remains cautious, with the potential for further price declines unless demand from key sectors, including automotive and coating, improves.

China

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Export prices FOB Shanghai, China, Grade- (99.5% min) Industrial Grade.

According to PriceWatch, in Q3 2025, Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) prices in China declined by 4.99% compared to Q2. The Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) price trend in China has been influenced by weak domestic demand, particularly from the automotive and coatings sectors, which led to reduced consumption. Despite stable production levels, oversupply conditions persisted, exerting downward pressure on prices.

Feedstock costs remained relatively stable, providing minimal support to the market. Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) prices in September 2025 have been lower than in Q2, continuing the downward trend. The outlook for the upcoming quarter remains cautious, with potential for further price declines if demand does not improve.

Japan

Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) Export prices FOB Tokyo, Japan, Grade- (99.5% min) Industrial Grade.

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices in Japan saw a small decline of 0.69% in Q3 2025 from Q2. The Japanese Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) price trend mirrored spot market conditions and has been related to weaker demand in the automotive and construction key sectors as a result of weaker consumption. A steady demand of Tertiary butyl alcohol coming from medical and cosmetic domains helped maintain prices.

Feedstocks remained predominantly stable and provided only minimal upward support for the Japanese market. Tertiary butyl alcohol prices have been slightly lower for September 2025 compared to Q2 2025. Moving into the next quarter, all indications are stable, as they depend on momentum in demand and should have some level of changes this fall.

Vietnam

Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) import prices CIF Haiphong, Vietnam, Grade- (99.5% min) Industrial Grade.

In Q3 2025, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol prices in Vietnam fell by 4.87%, following a 4.36% decline in Q2. The downward price trend in Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) prices in Vietnam has been related to weak domestic consumption, particularly from the automotive and chemical industries, which have both seen slowdowns in production. Imports from China have been stable, but demand from domestic manufacturers has been lower than anticipated.

Regional supply chain challenges, included transportation delays, higher logistics costs, and general deterioration of the economic environment since the last year, constrained the Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) price this quarter. Tertiary butyl alcohol prices in Vietnam in September 2025 continued the downward trajectory from the previous quarter. The next quarter price stabilization will be contingent on the rebound in industrial activities and demand in the principal markets.

India

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol import prices CIF JNPT, India, Grade- (99.5% min) Industrial Grade.

According to PriceWatch, in Q3 2025, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices in India experienced a 3.02% decline after a 4.84% decrease in Q2. The downward price trend in Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) prices in India has been a result of reduced demand in certain sectors such as automotive and coatings where production and consumption have been sluggish.

Though imports from China have been stable, low domestic demand along with high inventory levels put additional pressure on Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) prices.

Also, the depreciation of the Indian Rupee resulted in higher import costs further limiting any potential for recovery in prices. Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) prices in India remained lower in September 2025 as compared to August 2025, and the Tertiary butyl alcohol (TBA) market in India is likely to remain under pressure unless demand from key sectors improves in the forthcoming months.

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Trend Analysis: Q2 2025

According to the PriceWatch, China’s FOB prices dropped further to 1122 USD per metric ton a 3.36% fall from Q1 2025. The price trend extended its decline due to lackluster demand in industrial cleaning and paint sectors. The price trend remained weak amid improved stock positions and easing feedstock prices.

Japan’s FOB prices also fell to 1126 USD per metric ton, showing a 2.79% reduction as downstream Market activity slowed further. The price trend reflects a synchronized drop in both countries. Vietnam’s CIF prices decreased, pressured by high inventory levels and continued hesitation from buyers.

Seasonal dullness reduced consumption rates, contributing to the bearish Market mood. Despite minor logistic delays, overall demand remained weak. The price trend across the Market showed a prolonged correction phase with no strong recovery signs in any of the regions. 

According to the PriceWatch, the average Tertiary Butyl Alcohol price in India (CIF) stood at 1181 USD per metric ton in Q2 2025, reflecting a 4.84% decline from Q1 2025, when prices were 1241 USD per metric ton. This consistent downward price trend follows the earlier 2.12% drop in Q1 2025. The price trend weakened as demand from India’s pharmaceuticals and agrochemical sectors remained muted amid high inventory carryovers.

On the supply side, China’s FOB prices also fell from 1161 USD per metric ton in Q1 2025 to 1122 USD per metric ton in Q2 2025, a 3.36% decrease, driven by declining isobutylene feedstock costs and ample product availability. The price trend indicates reduced purchasing activity from Indian importers as buyers delayed procurement, anticipating further drops.

Additionally, favourable freight conditions and subdued seasonal consumption contributed to the softer Market tone. Overall, the Market remained bearish, with India’s import dynamics closely following the price pattern emerging from China. 

In Q1 2025, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices in China experienced a slight decline, falling to USD 1161/MT, which represents a decrease of 2.22% compared to the previous quarter. This decline was largely driven by softer demand from key sectors such as automotive, paints, and coatings, leading to a surplus of supply.

Additionally, a cautious approach from buyers, due to high inventory levels and uncertain market conditions, contributed to the price drop. Despite this, the overall production capacity remained stable, ensuring consistent availability of TBA. 

In Q1 2025, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices in Japan experienced a notable decline, dropping to USD 1158/MT, reflecting a decrease of 4.70% compared to the previous quarter. This decline was largely driven by weaker demand from key sectors, including automotive, paints, and coatings, resulting in an oversupply in the market.

Additionally, a cautious buying sentiment, spurred by high inventory levels and market uncertainties, contributed to the lower prices. Despite the price drop, production capacity remained stable, ensuring consistent availability of TBA. 

In Q1 2025, TBA prices in India saw a further decline of 2.12%, falling to USD 1141/MT. This price decrease was primarily driven by continued weak demand from key sectors like automotive, paints, and coatings, compounded by a softening global market. Additionally, excess inventory from previous quarters and cautious buying behaviour by distributors further pressured prices down.

While supply conditions remained stable, logistical challenges and fluctuations in feedstock prices did not sufficiently offset the subdued industrial consumption, contributing to the overall price decrease. The lack of significant demand recovery in early 2025, coupled with reduced production costs globally, supported the downward trend in TBA prices in India. 

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

In Q4 2024, TBA prices are projected to experience a sharp decline, falling to USD 1187/MT, a decrease of 11.55%. This downturn is expected due to the seasonal slowdown in demand from key sectors such as automotive, paints, and coatings following the peak consumption periods in previous quarters.

With production levels remaining stable, this decrease in demand, along with replenished inventories, is likely to exert downward pressure on prices as the market adjusts to changing dynamics heading into the end of the year. 

In Q4 2024, TBA prices are projected to experience a slight increase, rising to USD 1215/MT, a modest 0.64% increase from the previous quarter. This small rise is expected to be driven by steady demand from key sectors, though the market is likely to face a seasonal slowdown in some industries toward the end of the year.

With production remaining stable and inventories replenished, prices may stabilize at these levels as the market adjusts to the changing dynamics heading into the new year. 

In Q4 2024, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices experienced a decline of 10.76%, falling to USD 1268/MT. This decrease was largely due to the seasonal slowdown in demand from industries such as automotive, paints, and coatings, following the peak consumption period of the previous quarters. The reduced demand, combined with higher inventory levels from earlier in the year, led to a market correction.

Additionally, with improved supply availability from global producers, the pricing power of sellers weakened. The slowdown in industrial activity and the replenishment of inventories also contributed to the downward pressure on prices. 

For Q3 2024, a significant increase in TBA prices is expected, with prices rising to USD 1342/MT, marking a 10.31% increase. This growth is anticipated to be driven by continued strong demand from industries like automotive, paints, and coatings, especially as seasonal demand peaks during the summer months.

Any disruptions in the supply chain, such as production outages or maintenance in manufacturing facilities, could further tighten market conditions, prompting additional price hikes. 

For Q3 2024, a more significant price increase is expected, with TBA prices rising to USD 1228/MT, reflecting an 8.40% increase. This growth is expected to be fuelled by stronger demand from industries such as automotive, paints, and coatings, particularly during the peak summer season.

Any potential supply disruptions, such as production outages or maintenance at key manufacturing facilities, could further tighten supply conditions and drive prices up. 

In Q3 2024, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices saw a significant increase of 11.05%, reaching USD 1421/MT. This surge was driven by a sharp rise in demand, particularly from the automotive, paints, and coatings industries, which saw an uptick in production and consumption during the summer months. Seasonal demand and increased industrial activity were the key contributors to the price hike.

Additionally, supply-side challenges, such as production slowdowns and maintenance shutdowns in major manufacturing facilities, led to tighter market conditions. As a result, the supply-demand imbalance pushed prices higher, further compounded by rising input costs, including feedstock and transportation. 

In Q2 2024, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices continued to rise, gaining 5.60% to reach USD 1217/MT. This price increase was driven by a rebound in demand from end-use industries such as automotive, coatings, and chemicals, as manufacturers began restocking inventories in anticipation of higher seasonal demand.

Additionally, any supply disruptions or maintenance activities at key production facilities may have contributed to tighter supply conditions, further supporting the upward price trend. 

In Q2 2024, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices saw a modest increase of 0.43%, reaching USD 1114/MT. This slight rise was driven by a recovery in demand from key industries, particularly in automotive, coatings, and chemicals, as manufacturers began to restock inventories in preparation for higher seasonal demand. Additionally, stable supply levels and minimal disruptions in production facilities helped support the modest price increase. 

 

In Q2 2024, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices rose by 5.93%, reaching USD 1279/MT. This price increase was primarily driven by the continuation of stronger demand from the automotive, coatings, and chemicals sectors, which saw renewed activity and restocking. Tightened supply conditions, partly due to logistical delays, production issues, and restricted availability from key suppliers, further exacerbated the price increase.

Additionally, rising feedstock costs and transportation bottlenecks across the supply chain added upward pressure on prices, which were not fully offset by weaker demand from certain other sectors. The combination of supply-side constraints and active buying across specific industries kept prices trending upward despite overall weak consumption. 

In Q1 2024, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices saw a moderate increase of 3.45%, reaching USD 1152/MT. This growth was mainly attributed to a recovery in demand from several industries, particularly in paints, coatings, and adhesives.

The increase in demand was further supported by stable feedstock prices and consistent production. However, some buyers remained cautious in their purchasing decisions, anticipating potential fluctuations in prices in the upcoming months.

In Q1 2024, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices saw a significant decrease of 6.57%, settling at USD 1109/MT. This drop was mainly due to reduced demand from various end-use industries, especially as manufacturing activity slowed down.

Despite stable feedstock prices, the market faced challenges with weaker demand, which exerted downward pressure on prices. Additionally, the market was affected by cautious purchasing decisions as buyers anticipated further price fluctuations in the coming months. 
 

In India, Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices increased by 6.42% in Q1 2024, reaching USD 1208/MT compared to Q4 2023. This rise was primarily driven by a recovery in demand from key end-use industries, such as automotive, paints, and coatings, cosmetics. As production cycles resumed, manufacturers restocked their inventories in anticipation of higher seasonal demand.

Additionally, supply disruptions from global sources, including higher raw material costs and logistical challenges, contributed to the price increase. Despite weak demand in certain sectors, the strong recovery in select industries and tight global supply conditions supported the upward price movement in India. 

 

Technical Specifications of Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Trends

Product Description

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) is a versatile solvent and chemical intermediate used in the production of gasoline additives, polymers, and coatings. It is primarily produced from feedstocks such as isobutylene (isobutene) and water through catalytic processes. TBA is valued for its high solubility and low volatility, making it ideal for use in industrial and chemical applications.

Identifiers and Classification:

  • CAS No – 75-65-0
  • HS Code – 29051690
  • Molecular Formula – C₄H₁₀O
  • Molecular Weight (in gm/mol) – 74.12


Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Synonyms:

  • 2-methyl-2-propanol
  • trimethyl carbinol
  • tert-Butanol
  • t-Butanol
  • t-BuOH
  • Trimethyl carbinol
  • 2-Methyl-2-propanol


Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Grades Specific Price Assessment:

  • (99.5% min) Industrial Grade


Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Global Trade and Shipment Terms

  • Quotation Terms (Product & Country Specific): 25-28 MT
  • Packaging Type (Product & Country Specific): Iso Tank


Incoterms Referenced in Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Price Reporting

Shipping Term  Location  Definition 
FOB China  Shanghai, China  Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Export price from China 
FOB Japan  Tokyo, Japan  Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Export price from Japan 
CIF JNPT (China)  JNPT, India  Tertiary Butyl Alcohol import price in India from China 
CIF Haiphong (China)  Haiphong, Vietnam  Tertiary Butyl Alcohol import price in Vietnam from China 

*Quotation Terms refers to the quantity range specified for the Tertiary Butyl Alcohol being quoted or offered in a commercial transaction.

**Packaging Type refers to standard packaging size commonly used for Tertiary Butyl Alcohol packing, ease of handling, transportation, and storage in industrial and commercial applications.

Key Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Manufacturers

Manufacturer 
Zibo Haizheng Chemical Co., Ltd.  
Shandong Yanshuo Chemical  
Hefei TNJ Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.  
Kuraray Chemicals  

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Industrial Applications

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Market Share End Use

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Tertiary Butyl Alcohol prices

  • 2023 Geopolitical Conflicts: Ongoing conflicts and trade route disruptions, especially related to Middle Eastern tensions, further impacted supply and pricing dynamics. 
  • Global Recovery and Demand Surge (2021-2022): Post-pandemic recovery in various sectors, particularly textiles and pharmaceuticals, drove up demand, leading to significant price increase. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): The pandemic caused widespread supply chain disruptions, resulting in both shortages and increased prices as demand fluctuated across industries.  


These events underscore the Tertiary Butyl Alcohol market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics.
 

 

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global tertiary butyl alcohol price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the tertiary butyl alcohol market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence tertiary butyl alcohol prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely tertiary butyl alcohol market data.

Track PriceWatch's tertiary butyl alcohol price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major Tertiary Butyl Alcohol production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire Tertiary Butyl Alcohol supply chain, from raw material availability (e.g., naphtha, ethane) to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics. 

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, which can significantly impact Tertiary Butyl Alcohol prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing. 
  • Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or winter storms, on Tertiary Butyl Alcohol production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions like the U.S. Gulf Coast. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks. 
  • Economic Shifts: PriceWatch evaluates macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (e.g., automotive, packaging), to predict shifts in Tertiary Butyl Alcohol demand and corresponding price movements. 

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global Tertiary Butyl Alcohol production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming Tertiary Butyl Alcohol production capacities, factoring in new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization. 

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including packaging, automotive, and construction. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global Tertiary Butyl Alcohol pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast Tertiary Butyl Alcohol prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes. 

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice. 

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Tertiary Butyl Alcohol pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions.

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol Market Price Trend provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for tertiary butyl alcohol. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

The pricing of Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) is influenced by a variety of factors, including raw material costs (such as isobutene and propylene), crude oil price fluctuations, and energy costs for production. Additionally, supply chain disruptions, such as shipping delays or geopolitical tensions, can affect prices. Seasonal demand in industries like automotive (fuel additives), paints and coatings, and pharmaceuticals also impacts pricing. Environmental regulations and shifts toward sustainable manufacturing practices may further drive production costs, influencing overall TBA prices.

The price of Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) is closely tied to the costs of its raw materials, primarily isobutene and propylene. Any fluctuations in the price of these feedstocks, which are often derived from petrochemical processes, can directly affect TBA prices. For instance, increases in crude oil prices typically lead to higher feedstock costs, which in turn raises the price of TBA. Procurement heads should track trends in the petrochemical market and evaluate the impact of oil price volatility to anticipate price changes and secure better rates.

Tertiary Butyl Alcohol (TBA) prices can vary regionally due to differences in production capacities, raw material availability, and local demand. For example, regions with well-established petrochemical industries, such as North America and Asia, may see lower prices due to economies of scale. Conversely, in regions with limited TBA production capabilities or higher transportation costs, prices may be higher. Procurement heads should evaluate regional price trends, consider sourcing from low-cost production hubs, and optimize supply chain logistics to minimize expenses while maintaining consistent quality.