Toluene Pricing Assessment

  • Commodity Pricing

toluene Markets Covered: 

inIndia
cnChina
sgSingapore
vnVietnam
myMalaysia
krKorea
thThailand
idIndonesia
deGermany
frFrance
nlNetherlands
usUnited States
caCanada
mxMexico

toluene Markets Covered: 

Global toluene Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

In the first quarter of 2025, South Korea’s Toluene market started to bounce back. Prices of Toluene Industrial Grade (99%) FOB Busan edged up to USD 759/MT, marking a 2.85% increase from the last quarter. This slight rise came as industries like solvents and blending resumed regular operations after the year-end lull. Many buyers were restocking inventories, which helped support demand. Output levels within the country remained steady, ensuring that the supply landscape stayed balanced. 

In the fourth quarter of 2024, Toluene prices in South Korea fell further. Toluene Industrial Grade (99%) FOB Busan was assessed at USD 738/MT, registering a notable 10.98% drop from the previous quarter. This was mainly due to reduced demand from end-use sectors like paints and resins, which typically slow down toward year-end. Many plants scaled back operations during the holiday season, and buying remained sluggish. On top of that, there were no major supply issues, and imports flowed steadily, which led to an oversupplied market and further price drops. 

The July–September 2024 period brought another setback to the market. Prices of Toluene Industrial Grade (99%) FOB Busan dipped to USD 829/MT, down by 9.40% compared to Q2. Demand weakened as dowfnstream industries faced softer export orders and stiff competition. Consumption within the country slowed, and stock levels started building up. Even though crude oil prices held steady, the lack of strong pull from the market dragged Toluene prices lower. Some producers tried cutting output, but high availability kept the pressure on. 

During Q2 2024, a modest recovery was seen in Toluene prices FOB Busan, which reached USD 915/MT, indicating a slight 0.77% uptick from the preceding quarter. Seasonal buying picked up, especially from the construction and solvent segments. Export movement was a bit more active, and refineries handled production more carefully after the earlier dip. With crude oil prices staying steady and logistics running smoothly, the market found a bit of balance—though demand overall remained on the cautious side. 
 

At the beginning of 2024, the Toluene market in South Korea experienced a clear downward shift. Prices of Toluene Industrial Grade (99%) FOB Busan settled at USD 908/MT, which was 11.84% lower than the previous quarter. The decline happened mainly because demand from sectors like paints, adhesives, and construction was quite slow. The market stayed quiet, and supply wasn’t disrupted, as most producers maintained output. With few buyers and stable production levels, prices naturally trended downward. 

India toluene Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

During Q1 2025, prices of Toluene Industrial Grade (99%) (Bulk) Ex- Kandla inched up slightly to USD 853 per metric ton, recording a 1.29% rise over the previous quarter. This minor increase was due to renewed buying interest from the solvent and chemical sectors, which started restocking after the year-end lull. Supportive crude prices and steady port operations ensured regular supply movement, while stable demand helped the market maintain a balanced tone. The quarter closed on a steady note with no major price disruptions. 

In Q4 2024, prices of Toluene Industrial Grade (99%) (Bulk) Ex- Kandla continued their downward trend, reaching USD 864 per metric ton, showing a 7.34% decrease from Q3. The decline was mainly driven by weak year-end demand, as industries slowed down operations for maintenance and inventory checks. In addition, rising import volumes, along with better availability from domestic refineries, led to oversupply in the market. This kept buyers cautious and led to softer pricing across the country. 

By Q3 2024, Prices of Toluene Industrial Grade (99%) (Bulk) Ex- Kandla dropped sharply to USD 940 per metric ton, a 10.15% fall from Q2. This decline came because of reduced industrial activity during the monsoon months, with several downstream plants running at lower capacities. Global toluene supplies also improved due to smoother refinery operations, allowing Indian importers to procure at better rates. The drop in demand from paint and thinner producers also played a key role in this price correction. 

In Q2 2024, prices of Toluene Industrial Grade (99%) (Bulk) Ex- Kandla rebounded to USD 1050 per metric ton, reflecting a 6.41% increase over the previous quarter. The rise came after higher seasonal demand from the construction and automobile sectors, which use toluene-based products like solvents and sealants. Festive season production and bulk buying from downstream users contributed to the upward trend. Additionally, some supply delays from the Middle East and Southeast Asia affected availability, pushing prices higher. 

During Q1 2024, Toluene Industrial Grade (99%) (Bulk) Ex- Kandla prices in India dropped to USD 992 per metric ton, marking a 5.43% decrease compared to the previous quarter. This fall was due to sluggish demand from the paint, coatings, and adhesive industries, which had reduced buying activity. At the same time, international crude oil prices remained somewhat stable, leading to better availability of feedstock. Increased local inventories and steady import volumes also helped ease the price pressure. 

toluene Parameters Covered: 

  •  Crude Oil
  •  Naphtha
  • Natural Gas
  • South Korea
  • China
  • Thailand
  • USA
  • Paints & Coatings
  • Pharmaceuticals
  • Synthetic Rubber
  • Printing & Ink
  • Explosives (TNT production)
  • Chemicals (Intermediate) (Toluene diisocyanate)
  • India
  • Vietnam
  • Singapore
  • Malaysia
  • Indonesia
  • Germany
  • France
  • Netherlands
  • Canada
  • Mexico

toluene Parameters Covered: 

  •  Crude Oil
  •  Naphtha
  • Natural Gas
  • South Korea
  • China
  • Thailand
  • USA
  • Paints & Coatings
  • Pharmaceuticals
  • Synthetic Rubber
  • Printing & Ink
  • Explosives (TNT production)
  • Chemicals (Intermediate) (Toluene diisocyanate)
  • India
  • Vietnam
  • Singapore
  • Malaysia
  • Indonesia
  • Germany
  • France
  • Netherlands
  • Canada
  • Mexico

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global toluene price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the toluene market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence toluene prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely toluene market data.

Track PriceWatch's toluene price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Toluene prices

  • Global Petrochemical Oversupply and Tariff Pressures (2025): In 2025, the global petrochemical sector faced challenges due to oversupply, particularly from new capacities in China. This led to reduced profit margins and plant closures in Europe and Asia. Additionally, new U.S. import tariffs introduced by President Donald Trump exacerbated the situation by raising costs for goods, thereby reducing consumer demand and downstream petrochemical usage. These factors combined to create a complex market environment, influencing Toluene prices worldwide. 
  • Russia–Ukraine Conflict Impact on Energy Prices (2022–2023): The outbreak of the Russia–Ukraine war led to major disruptions in global energy markets. Crude oil and natural gas prices spiked sharply, directly affecting the cost of petrochemicals, including Toluene, which is derived from crude oil. Refinery operations in Europe were disrupted due to supply issues and sanctions, tightening availability. The high feedstock costs and uncertain energy supply caused Toluene prices to rise globally, especially in Europe and Asia. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic and Lockdowns (2020): During early 2020, global demand for solvents and industrial chemicals, including Toluene, plummeted as manufacturing, construction, and transportation came to a halt. Prices fell sharply due to low consumption. However, as lockdowns eased in the second half of the year, restocking and resumed industrial activity led to a sudden jump in demand. This mismatch, coupled with slow supply recovery, caused noticeable price volatility. 
  • U.S.–China Trade Tariff Conflict (2018–2019): During the trade dispute between the U.S. and China, heavy tariffs were placed on many petrochemical products. Toluene, along with its derivatives like benzene and toluene diisocyanate (TDI), faced restricted trade flows. This disrupted traditional supply chains and led to stockpiling and price swings. While some regions saw oversupply, others faced shortages, creating a patchy and unstable pricing trend across markets. 
  • China’s Environmental Inspections & Production Cuts (2017–2018): China launched aggressive environmental inspections across its chemical industry to reduce pollution. Numerous plants producing aromatics, including Toluene, were shut down or operated at reduced capacity. With China being a key global player in petrochemical production, this caused a ripple effect on global supply, pushing prices upward, especially in the Asia-Pacific region. 

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: Our methodology aggregates real-time pricing data for toluene from a range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions for toluene. 
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: We gather insights directly from key market participants, such as producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users in major toluene production regions like the U.S., China, and Europe. This direct intelligence is vital for understanding localized market dynamics and trends. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire toluene supply chain, from the availability of raw materials like crude oil and naphtha to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring fluctuations in feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics, all of which impact toluene pricing.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: We monitor global geopolitical developments that can affect toluene production and trade. Issues such as conflicts or trade disputes, especially those impacting major oil-producing regions, can disrupt supply chains and influence toluene prices. 
  • Climate and Weather Events: We assess the impact of significant weather events, such as hurricanes or extreme temperatures, which can affect oil refineries and toluene production facilities. These events may cause temporary disruptions in supply and impact prices. 
  • Economic Shifts: We analyze macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand, particularly from industries like automotive and construction. These factors influence toluene demand and pricing, as well as potential shifts in market conditions. 

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a detailed database of global toluene production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to accurately assess current supply availability. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes forecasts of upcoming toluene production capacities, accounting for new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps predict future supply trends and potential price stabilization. 

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: We provide in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including automotive, paints, coatings, and chemicals. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments. 
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and their influence on global toluene pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations on toluene demand. 

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: We use advanced econometric models to forecast toluene prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power. 
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions, including best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios. This helps our clients prepare for various market outcomes.

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports with current price assessments, future forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations. 
  • Ongoing Support: We offer continuous updates and personalized support, ensuring our clients have the latest information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice. 

This methodology ensures that we deliver accurate, timely, and actionable toluene pricing assessments, helping clients stay ahead of market trends and make well-informed business decisions.

Molecular Weight[g/mol]

92.14 g/mol

CAS No

108-88-3

HS Code

290230

Molecular Formula

C₇H₈
toluene

Toluene is a clear, water-insoluble liquid with a distinctive sweet, pungent odor, and is highly flammable. It is primarily used as an industrial solvent and chemical intermediate. Toluene serves as a key feedstock in the production of benzene, toluene diisocyanate (TDI), and other petrochemical derivatives. It is commonly derived from the catalytic reforming of petroleum or as a byproduct of coke oven processes. Toluene plays a critical role in industries such as paints and coatings, adhesives, pharmaceuticals, and chemical manufacturing.

Packaging Type

Drum 170 kg (Export-Import), Tanker

Grades Covered

Industrial Grade (99%)

Incoterms Used

FOB Qingdao, FOB Busan, FOB Laem Chabang, FOB Houston, CIF Nhava Sheva, CIF Singapore, CIF Haiphong, CIF Port Kelang, CIF Jakarta, CIF Montreal, CIF Manzanillo, FD Hamburg, FD Le Havre, FD Rotterdam, Ex- Kandla, Ex- Ahmedabad.

Synonym

Methylbenzene, Phenyl methane, Toluol.

PriceWatch Quotation Terms:

25-30 MT

Ex-Location: This incoterm refers to a shipping agreement where the seller makes the goods available at their premises, and the buyer is responsible for all transportation costs, including shipping, insurance, and any other fees.
CIF: CIF refers to the Cost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF) terms for goods. Under CIF terms, the seller is responsible for the cost of goods, insurance, and freight charges until the goods reach the port of destination.
FD: FD stands for Free Delivered where the seller takes full responsibility for delivering goods to the location/port. This ensures the buyer receives the goods at the designated port with all necessary costs, except import duties, covered.
FOB: FOB refers to the Free On-Board shipping term, where the seller is responsible for the cost and risk of delivering the goods to the port. Once the goods are on board the vessel, the responsibility shifts to the buyer for all costs, including shipping and insurance.

Physical Properties 
Density  867 kg/m³ @ 25 °C 
Flash point  4.4 °C (Closed cup) 
Boiling point  110.6 °C @ 1 atm 
Vapor pressure  3.8 kPa @ 20 °C 
Appearance  Clear, colorless liquid with a sweet, aromatic odor 

Applications

Toluene is primarily used as a versatile chemical intermediate and industrial solvent across various sectors. It is widely employed in the production of benzene and toluene diisocyanate (TDI), which are essential for manufacturing polyurethane foams used in furniture, insulation, and automotive seats. Toluene also plays a crucial role in the formulation of paints, coatings, adhesives, inks, and cleaning agents due to its excellent solvency properties. Additionally, it is used in the production of explosives like TNT and in the synthesis of pharmaceuticals and agrochemicals. Toluene supports critical downstream chemical processes, making it indispensable to the petrochemical and manufacturing industries. 

 

Toluene price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for toluene. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

Toluene prices are affected by several key factors, including the cost of feedstocks like crude oil and natural gas. Other significant influences include fluctuations in crude oil prices, refinery production levels, transportation costs, and environmental regulations. Additionally, supply-demand imbalances, particularly in major production regions like Asia and North America, and disruptions due to geopolitical issues or natural disasters, can impact toluene pricing trends.

Supply chain disruptions, such as plant shutdowns, port delays, or shortages of raw materials, can lead to sharp increases in toluene prices. For example, when crude oil supplies tighten due to refinery outages or production cuts, toluene production costs rise, leading to higher market prices. Conversely, improved supply chain efficiency or reduced transportation costs can help stabilize or lower toluene prices. Procurement teams should stay informed on supply chain developments to optimize their purchasing strategies.

Toluene prices vary significantly across different regions due to factors like production capacity, local demand, and logistics. For instance, Asia, a leading producer of toluene, often has more competitive prices compared to Europe or the US, where higher production costs and stricter environmental regulations may drive up prices. Procurement heads should consider these regional variations by exploring opportunities to source toluene from cost-competitive regions or leveraging long-term contracts in regions with favourable pricing to reduce exposure to price volatility.

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