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Yellow Phosphorous Price Trend and Forecast

âźł Weekly Update
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Historical Data Since 2015
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Forecast for 2026

yellow phosphorous Price Trends by Country

vnVietnam
inIndia
jpJapan
kzKazakhstan
aeUnited Arab Emirates
krSouth Korea

Global yellow phosphorous Spot Market Prices, Trend Analysis and Forecast

Price-Watch’s most active coverage of Yellow Phosphorous price assessment:

  • Phosphorus (P4): >99% FOB Haiphong, Vietnam
  • Phosphorus (P4): >99% FOB Aktau, Kazakhstan
  • Phosphorus (P4): >99% CIF Tokyo (Vietnam), Japan
  • Phosphorus (P4): >99% CIF Busan (Vietnam), South Korea
  • Phosphorus (P4): >99% CIF Sharjah (Vietnam), United Arab Emirates
  • Phosphorus (P4): >99% CIF Nhava Sheva (Vietnam), India
  • Phosphorus (P4): >99% CIF Nhava Sheva (Kazakhstan), India

Yellow Phosphorus Price Trend Q3 2025

In Q3 2025, the global Yellow Phosphorus market experienced slight softness, driven by cautious demand from fertilizer, chemical intermediate, and flame-retardant sectors. Exports from Southeast Asia and Central Asia saw modest price easing amid steady production and balanced inventories, while regional buyers in East Asia and the Middle East adopted selective procurement to manage stock levels.

In contrast, South Asia recorded a mixed trend, with imports from Southeast Asia firming slightly due to active fertilizer sector demand. Overall, the market remained stable, characterized by balanced supply-demand dynamics, efficient logistics, and cautious downstream consumption across key regions.

Vietnam

Yellow Phosphorous Exported price in Vietnam, Phosphorus (P4) >99%.

In Q3 2025, Yellow Phosphorous prices from Vietnam have softened slightly due to weaker demand from fertilizer and chemical intermediate sectors. Yellow Phosphorous price in Vietnam has declined, with FOB Haiphong prices falling 1.44%, trading between USD 4000–4200 per metric ton. In September 2025, Yellow Phosphorous prices in Vietnam have fallen by 1.83%, compared to the previous month.

Exporters have reported steady production and balanced inventories, but subdued buying interest from regional markets has pressured prices. Logistics and shipping have remained stable, facilitating consistent trade flows despite the mild price correction. Overall, Yellow Phosphorous price trend in Vietnam has indicated a mild downward trajectory.

Kazakhstan

Yellow Phosphorous Exported price in Kazakhstan, Phosphorus (P4) >99%.

In Q3 2025, Yellow Phosphorous prices from Kazakhstan have fallen modestly as regional demand has softened, particularly from agricultural and industrial users. Yellow Phosphorous price in Kazakhstan has declined, with FOB Aktau prices moving down by –1.98% to USD 3600–3800 per metric ton.

In September 2025, Yellow Phosphorous prices in Kazakhstan have risen by 0.33%, compared to the previous month. Supply has remained steady with stable plant operations, but sales have slowed amid cautious buyer behaviour and competitive international offers.

Export momentum has remained subdued, with market participants monitoring order flow amid global supply adjustments. Overall, Yellow Phosphorous price trend in Kazakhstan has been slightly downward.

Japan

Yellow Phosphorous Imported price in Japan from Vietnam, Phosphorus (P4) >99%.

In the third quarter of 2025, prices for imports of Yellow Phosphorous in Japan have dropped slightly due to a decrease in demand by the chemical and fertilizer industries. The Price trend of Yellow Phosphorous have slightly decreased in Japan.

The price of Yellow Phosphorous in Japan has lessened as CIF Tokyo prices have been down by 1.42%, yielding a result within USD 4100-4200 per metric ton. Also in September 2025, prices for Yellow Phosphorous in Japan have decreased by 1.65%, waning from the previous month’s price.

Importers have kept steady buying behaviour, despite weaker downstream demand. Supply chains have continued to improve without major disruptions, ensuring consistent cargo arrival, alongside acceptable regional buying demand from the industrial demand side. The market has remained stable and limited in price increases.

South Korea

Yellow Phosphorous Imported price in South Korea from Vietnam, Phosphorus (P4) >99%.

In Q3 2025, Yellow Phosphorous prices in South Korea have softened slightly as demand from flame retardant and chemical manufacturing sectors has moderated. Yellow Phosphorous price in South Korea has declined, with CIF Busan prices falling 1.54%, trading between USD 4000–4200 per metric ton. In September 2025, Yellow Phosphorous prices in South Korea have fallen by 1.66%, compared to the previous month.

Buyers have shown selective purchasing amid sufficient inventory levels, while import volumes have remained steady. Market players have reported balanced supply-demand fundamentals, with traders anticipating stable price trends in the near term. Overall, Yellow Phosphorous price trend in South Korea has been mildly downward.

United Arab Emirates

Yellow Phosphorous Imported price in UAE from Vietnam; Phosphorus (P4) >99%.

In Q3 2025, Yellow Phosphorous CIF Sharjah prices have softened by 1.43% to USD 4000–4300 per metric ton amid muted demand from chemical and fertilizer sectors. Yellow Phosphorous price in United Arab Emirates has declined, as imports from Vietnam have remained regular, although buyers have exercised caution owing to steady stocks and limited consumption growth.

In September 2025, Yellow Phosphorous prices in UAE have fallen by 3.07%, compared to the previous month. The regional market has experienced moderate activity, with pricing pressured by balanced supply and conservative downstream procurement. Overall, Yellow Phosphorous price trend in United Arab Emirates has been downward.

India

Yellow Phosphorous Imported price in India from Vietnam and Kazakhstan, Phosphorus (P4) >99%.

According to Price-Watch, during the third quarter of 2025, the price of Yellow Phosphorous imported to India showed divergent trends. The price of Yellow Phosphorous in India reported an increase for CIF Nhava Sheva imports, from Vietnam, rising from USD 4100-4300 per metric ton, marginally increased by 0.86%, with better purchase levels reported from fertilizer manufacturers.

In comparison, imports from Kazakhstan decreased by 0.49% ranging from USD 3700-3900 per metric ton with buyers being cautious in buying and facing inventories that were relatively flushed. In India, Yellow Phosphorous prices in September 2025 decreased by 1.37% over August 2025.

Indian buyers have balanced sourcing to match the fluctuations in demand from industrial and agricultural diversified end-uses. Overall, the price trends for Yellow Phosphorous in India have been mixed based on origins.

Yellow Phosphorous Price Trend Analysis: Q2 2025

Yellow Phosphorous exported from Vietnam via FOB Haiphong traced mixed pattern through Q2 2025. Yellow Phosphorus prices slipped in April as buyers in Japan, South Korea and the UAE paused spot procurement, citing comfortable inventories and muted demand from flame‑retardant plastics and electronics chemicals. Softer freight rates and greater competition from Kazakhstan‑origin cargoes also pressured Vietnamese sellers to make concessions.

Pricing sentiment reversed sharply in May: agrochemical formulators across East and South Asia entered restocking mode ahead of midsummer spray seasons, while Chinese buyers returned after safety‑related output curbs at several domestic phosphorous plants. Tighter export allocations, combined with river‑transport disruptions near Haiphong that constrained feedstock deliveries, tipped the market in favour of producers.

That bullish tone carried into June as Gulf and Central Asian traders sought Vietnamese material to offset regional shortfalls, keeping bids firm and spot availability tight. According to PriceWatch, Yellow Phosphorus prices assessed at USD 4170/MT FOB Haiphong.

Yellow Phosphorous (P4) imports to India via CIF Nhava Sheva from Kazakhstan witnessed a consistent upward pricing trend throughout Q2 2025. In April, prices began climbing due to steady demand from agrochemical and pharmaceutical manufacturers preparing for peak seasonal operations.

The upward momentum continued into May, supported by rising inquiries from downstream intermediates and favourable consumption trends in the domestic phosphorus derivatives sector. In June, market sentiment remained bullish as buyers continued restocking in anticipation of monsoon-related logistical challenges and import volumes from Kazakhstan were relatively limited.

Meanwhile, supply availability from Vietnam improved, prompting a brief downward correction in April for that origin. However, pricing for both Kazakhstan and Vietnam-origin cargoes moved higher in May and June. Robust demand fundamentals and cautious purchasing behaviour contributed to the sustained price increase across the quarter. According to PriceWatch, Yellow Phosphorous prices (Kazakhstan origin) assessed at USD 4142/MT CIF Nhava Sheva.

Yellow Phosphorus (P4) prices followed a fluctuating trajectory throughout Q1 2025. The market saw firm gains in January and February, fuelled by strong demand from agrochemical and electronics sectors particularly in preparation for seasonal agricultural activity and stable production in semiconductor-related applications.

However, March witnessed a correction due to improved supply-side conditions and a decline in feedstock Phosphate Rock costs, which eased pressure on production margins. Both Vietnam and Kazakhstan origins mirrored this pattern, with steady price increases early in the quarter, followed by stabilization as procurement activity normalized. The quarter concluded with Yellow Phosphorus prices in Vietnam stood of USD 4022/MT.

Yellow Phosphorus (P4) >99% prices in India saw a fluctuating but overall bullish pattern in Q1 2025. While January and February registered strong gains amid tight spot availability and improved demand from downstream pesticide and surfactant sectors, March prices dipped slightly as buying slowed down after aggressive restocking.

The market responded to increased offers from Vietnam under CIF Nhava Sheva terms, with limited competition from other origins. Overall sentiment remained optimistic with cautious forward buying. The quarter closed with Yellow Phosphorus prices stood at USD 4196/MT CIF Nhava Sheva.

Yellow Phosphorous Price Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

As we enter Q4 2024, the Yellow Phosphorus market is experiencing growth, with prices reported at USD 3,690/MT, an increase of 3.58% from October. This upward movement can be attributed to a combination of seasonal demand spikes, especially in agriculture as planting seasons approach. Additionally, increased demand from industries like electronics and explosives has also contributed to tightening supply. As these factors align, the market appears to be stabilizing, suggesting a more favorable outlook heading into the new year.

Q4 2024 recorded a largely bullish tone in the Yellow Phosphorus (P4) >99% market, supported by year-end procurement, improved demand from the fertilizer and other sectors, and limited supply from Kazakhstan. October and November witnessed consistent upward movement, but a price dip in December stemmed from reduced buying interest amid financial year-end inventory rationalization.

Meanwhile, Kazakhstan-origin product under CIF Nhava Sheva terms continued to dominate, albeit with longer lead times. The quarter closed with Yellow Phosphorus prices softening slightly to USD 3608/MT CIF Nhava Sheva from Kazakhstan.

By early Q3 2024, prices in Vietnam reported a slight decrease to USD 3,562/MT, down 0.76%. On a global scale, this bearish trend was influenced by supply levels and a general slowdown in industrial activities. Many producers ramped up their output, resulting in an oversupply situation that outstripped demand, particularly in sectors like electronics and agriculture. While there were pockets of demand, particularly in Asia, there were not enough to absorb the excess supply, keeping prices under pressure.

Yellow Phosphorus (P4) >99% prices rallied in Q3 2024 as industrial activity rebounded following the monsoon lull. Increased demand from agricultural chemical manufacturers ahead of the sowing season supported price gains, especially for Vietnamese-origin cargoes.

Yellow Phosphorus prices rose in both July and August, driven by tight availability and active procurement by Indian buyers. However, September saw a minor correction due to importers adjusting to prior stockpiling. Despite this, overall momentum remained firm. The quarter ended with prices at USD 3743/MT CIF Nhava Sheva from Vietnam.

Moving into Q2 2024, the situation in Vietnam saw Yellow Phosphorus prices drop further to USD 3,590/MT, marking a 2.14% decline from Q1. Several factors played a role in this ongoing decrease. The reduction in agricultural activity during the off-peak season led to lower demand for fertilizers, while rising production rates and competitive pricing from other regions further exacerbated the market’s challenges. Furthermore, ongoing supply chain issues, including transportation delays and increasing freight costs, hindered the flow of Yellow Phosphorus to key markets.

The second quarter of 2024 saw a mixed trend in Yellow Phosphorus (P4) >99% pricing, with modest gains in May offsetting losses in April and June. The increase in May was largely attributed to restocking activity from Indian pesticide and flame-retardant manufacturers, while persistent bearishness in June followed weak global cues and softening Chinese domestic demand.

Kazakhstan-origin cargoes under CIF Nhava Sheva terms played a key role, with supply remaining steady but buyers negotiating aggressively amid subdued downstream consumption. The quarter closed at USD 3495/MT CIF Nhava Sheva (Kazakhstan).

In Q1 2024, the global Yellow Phosphorus market showed a mixed trend influenced by various factors. In Vietnam, Yellow Phosphorus prices were reported at USD 3,668/MT, reflecting a decrease of 5.05% from the previous quarter. This decline can be attributed to a combination of abundant supply and shifting demand patterns.

Key sectors such as agriculture and electronics continued to drive demand, but overall consumption did not keep pace with production, leading to downward pressure on prices. Additionally, economic fluctuations and a cautious market sentiment contributed to this trend across Southeast Asia.

Yellow Phosphorus (P4) >99% prices in India faced a downward trajectory throughout Q1 2024 as bearish sentiment dominated the market. Demand from downstream industries such as flame retardants and agrochemicals remained sluggish, particularly from sectors like construction and agriculture that were slow to recover post-holiday.

The continued availability of cheaper imports, especially from Vietnam under CIF Nhava Sheva terms, contributed to buyer hesitation and lower transaction levels. Market participants also held back from large-volume purchases anticipating further price corrections. The quarter concluded with prices at USD 3700/MT CIF Nhava Sheva from Vietnam.

Technical Specifications of Yellow Phosphorous Price Trends

Product Description

Yellow Phosphorus is a highly reactive, waxy solid allotrope of phosphorus, typically obtained through the thermal reduction of phosphate rock in an electric furnace. It is characterized by its pale-yellow color and distinctive chemiluminescence in the dark. It is extremely sensitive to air and moisture and requires storage under water or inert conditions to maintain stability. Its high chemical reactivity and strong reducing properties make it a fundamental intermediate in various chemical processes, necessitating careful handling and controlled conditions.

Identifiers and Classification:

  • CAS No – 7723-14-0
  • HS Code – 28047030
  • Molecular Formula – P4
  • Molecular Weight[g/mol] – 123.88


Yellow Phosphorus Synonyms:

  • White Phosphorus
  • Pâ‚„ (Tetra-phosphorus)
  • Elemental Phosphorus (Yellow)
  • Phosphorus, Yellow
  • Phosphorus, White
  • Yellow P


Yellow Phosphorus Grades Specific Price Assessment:

  • Phosphorus (P4): >99%


Yellow Phosphorus (YP) Global Trade and Shipment Terms

  • Quotation Terms (Product & Country Specific): 25-30 MT
  • Packaging Type (Product & Country Specific): 200 kg Drum


Incoterms Referenced in Yellow Phosphorus (YP) Price Reporting

Shipping Term  Location  Definition 
FOB Haiphong  Haiphong, Vietnam  Yellow Phosphorous export price from Vietnam 
FOB Aktau  Aktau, Kazakhstan  Yellow Phosphorous export price from Kazakhstan 
CIF Tokyo (Vietnam)  Tokyo, Japan  Yellow Phosphorous import price in Japan from Vietnam 
CIF Busan (Vietnam)  Busan, South Korea  Yellow Phosphorous import price in South Korea from Vietnam 
CIF Sharjah (Vietnam)  Sharjah, United Arab Emirates  Yellow Phosphorous import price in UAE from Vietnam 
CIF Nhava Sheva (Vietnam)  Nhava Sheva, India  Yellow Phosphorous import price in India from Vietnam 

Quotation Terms refers to the quantity range specified for the yellow phosphorus being quoted or offered in a commercial transaction.

Packaging Type refers to standard packaging size commonly used for yellow phosphorus packing, ease of handling, transportation, and storage in industrial and commercial applications.

Key Yellow Phosphorus Manufacturers

Manufacturer 
Vietnam Phosphorus Joint Stock Company 
Victory JSC 
Nam Tien Group 
Vietnam Apatite Phosphorus Joint Stock Company 
Lao Cai Yellow Phosphorus Joint Stock Company 
Sichuan Chuantou Chemical Industry Group Co., Ltd. 
Guizhou Xinxin Industrial Group 
Kazphosphate LLP 
K.S International Inc 
NDFZ Limited Liability Company 

Yellow Phosphorous Industrial Applications

yellow phosphorus market share end use

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Yellow Phosphorous prices

  • Geopolitical Tensions (2022-Present): Ongoing conflicts and trade issues have created uncertainty in supply chains, impacting availability and causing price spikes.
  • Increased Agricultural Demand (2021-Present): Growing demand for fertilizers, particularly in developing countries, has driven up the need for Yellow Phosphorus, contributing to rising prices.
  • Global Supply Chain Disruptions (2021): Shipping delays and logistical challenges caused by the pandemic and other global events led to supply shortages and increased prices.
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): The pandemic initially disrupted supply chains and caused demand fluctuations in various industries, resulting in price volatility as markets adjusted.

These events illustrate the Yellow Phosphorus market’s sensitivity to global changes and emphasize the importance of monitoring supply and demand trends.

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global yellow phosphorous price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the yellow phosphorous market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence yellow phosphorous prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely yellow phosphorous market data.

Track PriceWatch's yellow phosphorous price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: PriceWatch aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions.
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major Yellow Phosphorus production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics.
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire Yellow Phosphorus supply chain, from raw material availability (e.g., phosphate rock, sulfuric acid) to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: PriceWatch continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, which can significantly impact Yellow Phosphorus prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing.
  • Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as floods or droughts, on Yellow Phosphorus production facilities, particularly in key regions. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks.
  • Regulatory Changes: We evaluate changes in environmental regulations and sustainability initiatives that may affect production practices and costs, influencing overall market dynamics.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global Yellow Phosphorus production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to accurately assess current supply availability.
  • Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming Yellow Phosphorus production capacities, factoring in new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization.

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: PriceWatch provides in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including agriculture (fertilizers), food processing, and industrial applications. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments.
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global Yellow Phosphorus pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in agricultural practices, trade policies, and environmental regulations.

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: PriceWatch utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast Yellow Phosphorus prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power.
  • Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes.

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations.
  • Ongoing Support: PriceWatch offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice.

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Yellow Phosphorus pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions.

Yellow Phosphorous Market Price Trend provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for yellow phosphorous. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

Yellow Phosphorus prices are influenced by various factors, including the availability of raw materials, production costs, and market demand. Key aspects include fluctuations in supply from major producing countries, changes in production capacity, transportation costs, and environmental regulations. Additionally, geopolitical events and economic conditions can create volatility in pricing, making it essential for procurement heads to stay informed about these dynamics.

Seasonal demand plays a significant role in determining Yellow Phosphorus prices, particularly in agriculture and electronics. During planting seasons, demand for fertilizers typically increases, which can drive up prices. Conversely, during off-peak periods, demand may decrease, leading to price reductions. Procurement professionals should anticipate these seasonal trends to optimize their purchasing strategies and budget allocations effectively.

Yes, Yellow Phosphorus prices can vary significantly across regions due to differences in production capacities, local demand, and transportation costs. For instance, Southeast Asia may offer competitive pricing due to abundant production, while prices in North America and Europe might be higher. Procurement teams should analyze regional price trends and consider sourcing from cost-effective markets to enhance their procurement strategies and reduce expenses.

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