Cerium Pricing Assessment

  • Commodity Pricing

cerium Markets Covered: 

cnChina
inIndia
nlNetherlands
usUnited States

cerium Markets Covered: 

Global cerium Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

Q1 2025 

In Q1 2025, the cerium market experienced a notable price decline of $34,472 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai representing a 0.75% decrease. This modest dip suggests a relatively stable market influenced by slight shifts in supply-demand dynamics. Factors potentially contributing to the price reduction include a marginal oversupply from Chinese producers, reduced demand from the automotive and electronics sectors, or broader economic uncertainties impacting rare earth consumption. Despite the drop, the percentage change remains minor, indicating that the market is not undergoing drastic volatility but rather a controlled correction or seasonal adjustment. Monitoring geopolitical developments and downstream industrial activity will be essential for forecasting future trends in cerium pricing. 

Q4 2024 

In Q4 2024, the price of cerium experienced a notable increase, rising by $34,733 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai which represents a 1.43% growth compared to the previous quarter. This uptick reflects strengthening demand, particularly from the automotive and renewable energy sectors, where cerium is used in catalytic converters and glass polishing applications. The moderate yet significant percentage rise suggests a stable but growing market interest, possibly driven by tightened supply chains and increased investment in green technologies. Overall, the price movement indicates a positive trajectory for cerium, hinting at sustained industrial reliance and potential further gains into early 2025. 

Q3 2024 

In Q3 2024, cerium experienced a notable price increase, rising by $34,242 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai equivalent to a 1.77% gain. This upward trend reflects tightening supply conditions amid sustained industrial demand, particularly from the automotive and electronics sectors where cerium is used in catalytic converters and polishing compounds. The moderate percentage increase, despite the significant nominal rise, suggests a high baseline price, indicating cerium’s established value in the rare earth market. Market analysts attribute the movement to both strategic stockpiling and geopolitical factors affecting global rare earth supply chains, particularly involving major producers like China. 

 

Q2 2024 

In Quarter 2 of 2024, cerium prices are expected to experience a significant increase of $33,648 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai reflecting a 5.79% rise. This price surge is likely to be driven by factors such as increased demand for cerium in industries like renewable energy and electronics, along with supply chain constraints that are tightening the availability of rare earth elements. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and trade policies could also be influencing the market dynamics, leading to higher costs for cerium production and distribution. The increase in cerium prices might impact manufacturers who rely on this metal for catalysts, polishing agents, and other specialized applications, potentially raising production costs across various sectors. 

Q1 2024 

In Quarter 1 of 2024, cerium prices saw a notable increase, rising by $31,805 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai reflecting a 6.31% surge. This price escalation is likely driven by various factors such as increased demand in key sectors like electronics, automotive, and renewable energy, where cerium plays a critical role in catalytic converters, polishing agents, and battery technologies. Additionally, supply chain disruptions, production challenges, or shifts in mining capacity could have contributed to the tight supply, further pushing prices upward. The 6.31% rise in cerium cost marks a significant shift, indicating growing market dynamics and the potential for continued price volatility, depending on the stability of supply and demand trends. 

 

India cerium Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

Q1 2025 

In Q1 2025, cerium prices in India experienced a decline of $35,882 per metric ton, CIF Nhava Sheva (China) reflecting a 0.35% decrease. This downturn aligns with global market trends observed in the previous quarter, where cerium prices in regions like North America and China also saw reductions due to factors such as increased supply and decreased demand in key sectors like construction and automotive. The Indian market, though smaller in scale, mirrors these global dynamics, with key applications in glass, alloys, and catalysts. The automotive sector’s demand for cerium hydroxide, particularly in catalytic converters, is influenced by factors like emission regulations and vehicle production rates. 

Q4 2024 

In Q4 2024, cerium prices in India rose by $36,008 per metric ton, CIF Nhava Sheva (China) a 2.01% increase, driven by robust demand in the domestic market. While global cerium prices, particularly in China and the U.S., experienced declines due to factors like increased supply and reduced demand in industries such as automotive and construction, India saw a contrasting trend. The country’s growing automotive sector, stricter emission standards, and the expansion of electric vehicle technologies boosted the demand for cerium-based catalysts. This, coupled with a rise in cerium usage in electronics, led to the price increase, showcasing India’s strengthening position in the global cerium market amidst a global downturn.

Q3 2024 

In the third quarter of 2024, cerium prices in India saw a significant increase of $35,297 per metric ton, CIF Nhava Sheva (China) marking a 2.61% rise. This price uptick is attributed to stable supply conditions, moderate demand, and continued growth in key sectors like automotive, electronics, and renewable energy, where cerium is heavily used, especially in catalytic converters and various industrial applications. The rise in prices is also linked to external market factors and logistical challenges impacting the global supply chain. Despite some economic uncertainty, cerium’s demand remains strong due to stricter emission regulations and growth in electric vehicle production. Looking ahead, the market is expected to grow steadily, with cerium applications continuing to drive demand across diverse industries. 

 

Q2 2024 

In the second quarter of 2024, the cerium market in India saw a notable price increase of $34,398 per metric ton, CIF Nhava Sheva (China) reflecting a 6.11% rise. This surge was driven by global supply constraints, particularly from China, where reduced inventories and rising prices from major producer Northern Rare Earth (NRE) created upward pressure. Additionally, strong demand from sectors such as automotive, where cerium is used in catalytic converters, as well as electronics and glass polishing, contributed to the price hike. India’s growing industrial needs, including in defense and technology, further supported the upward price trend, positioning cerium as a crucial material in key applications. This price increase is also aligned with the broader global market dynamics, where cerium’s demand continues to rise. 

Q1 2024 

In Q1 2024, cerium prices in India experienced a notable increase, rising by $32,417 per metric ton, CIF Nhava Sheva (China) which translates to a 6.24% uptick. This surge can be attributed to several key factors influencing both domestic and global markets. Globally, cerium prices were affected by shifts in supply and demand dynamics, including increased production in regions like China, which led to price fluctuations.

Domestically, India’s cerium market is projected to reach a revenue of USD 3.3 million by 2028, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8% from 2022 to 2028. This growth is driven by rising demand in sectors such as automotive, electronics, and renewable energy, where cerium plays a crucial role in catalytic converters, polishing agents, and energy storage technologies. Additionally, fluctuations in global supply chains and geopolitical factors have contributed to price volatility, impacting the Indian cerium market. Overall, the 6.24% price increase reflects a complex interplay of domestic demand, global supply conditions, and market uncertainties. 

 

cerium Parameters Covered: 

  • Monazite and Bastnasite 
  • China 
  • Cerium (Automotive Industry, Polishing and Abrasives, Alloys and Metal Production, Biomedical Applications, Glass Industry, Battery and Energy Storage, Nuclear Industry, Magnetic Materials, Lighting and Phosphors.)
  • USA
  • India
  • Netherlands

cerium Parameters Covered: 

  • Monazite and Bastnasite 
  • China 
  • Cerium (Automotive Industry, Polishing and Abrasives, Alloys and Metal Production, Biomedical Applications, Glass Industry, Battery and Energy Storage, Nuclear Industry, Magnetic Materials, Lighting and Phosphors.)
  • USA
  • India
  • Netherlands

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global cerium price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the cerium market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence cerium prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely cerium market data.

Track PriceWatch's cerium price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Cerium prices

  • Supply Chain Disruptions (2022-2023): Geopolitical tensions and disruptions in raw material sourcing, such as bauxite and zinc processing, impacted Cerium production and availability, creating price volatility. These events highlight the sensitivity of the Cerium market to technological trends, supply chain factors, and geopolitical developments. 
  • Renewable Energy Expansion (2022-2023): The shift towards renewable energy sources, particularly solar power, drove higher demand for Cerium in photovoltaic cells, contributing to price escalation.  
  • Semiconductor Boom (2020-2021): The global surge in semiconductor demand during the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the adoption of Cerium-based materials, leading to significant price increases.  

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: We aggregate data from global exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases to provide accurate and timely assessments.  
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Insights from producers, suppliers, and end-users in key production hubs are integrated to understand market dynamics. 
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: Comprehensive tracking of raw materials (e.g., bauxite, zinc residues) and production channels to assess supply conditions.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: Continuous monitoring of geopolitical events affecting supply chains and pricing.  
  • Economic Shifts: Analysis of macroeconomic factors and sector-specific demand to predict market movements.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: Detailed tracking of operational Cerium production facilities and their outputs. 
  • Future Capacity Projections: Forecasting new capacity additions and technological innovations in Cerium production.

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: Evaluating Cerium demand in semiconductors, photovoltaics, and other applications.  
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Regional demand variations and their impact on global pricing.

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: Advanced models incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and market projections.  
  • Scenario Analysis: Assessing potential market conditions under various scenarios.

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Detailed analyses of current and future price trends, with actionable insights.  
  • Ongoing Support: Continuous updates and expert advice tailored to client needs.

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Cerium pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions. 
 

Molecular Weight[g/mol]

CAS No

HS Code

284610

Molecular Formula

cerium

Cerium are refined metal products derived from the byproducts of aluminum and zinc processing. Known for their low melting point, high thermal stability, and unique electrical properties, Cerium is a critical material in semiconductors, solar cells, and advanced electronics. Its versatility makes it indispensable for emerging technologies and high-performance applications.

Packaging Type

Steel drum

Grades Covered

Purity:99%

Incoterms Used

CIF Nhava Sheva (China), FOB Shanghai, CIF Rotterdam (China), CIF Houston (China)

Synonym

PriceWatch Quotation Terms:

20-30 MT

Ex-Location: This incoterm refers to a shipping agreement where the seller makes the goods available at their premises, and the buyer is responsible for all transportation costs, including shipping, insurance, and any other fees.
CIF: CIF refers to the Cost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF) terms for goods. Under CIF terms, the seller is responsible for the cost of goods, insurance, and freight charges until the goods reach the port of destination.
FD: FD stands for Free Delivered where the seller takes full responsibility for delivering goods to the location/port. This ensures the buyer receives the goods at the designated port with all necessary costs, except import duties, covered.
FOB: FOB refers to the Free On-Board shipping term, where the seller is responsible for the cost and risk of delivering the goods to the port. Once the goods are on board the vessel, the responsibility shifts to the buyer for all costs, including shipping and insurance.

Property  Specification 
Chemical Symbol  Ce 
Atomic Number  58 
Atomic Weight  140.12 u 
Purity  Typically, ≥ 99.0%  
Physical Form  Ingot 
Density  6.77 g/cm³ 
Melting Point  798°C 
Boiling Point  3,443°C 

Applications

  • Aerospace: Cerium is used in high-frequency radar systems, advanced communication devices, and lightweight, high-performance alloys critical for modern aircraft and spacecraft components. 
  • Automotive: Cerium-based semiconductors are essential for electric vehicle (EV) power systems, including inverters, chargers, and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). 
  • Construction: Cerium contributes to smart building systems, including energy-efficient lighting (LEDs) and advanced photovoltaic solutions integrated into roofing and window panels. 
  • Electrical: Cerium is a critical material for high-efficiency power electronics, including conductors, cables, and transformer systems. 
  • Packaging: Cerium alloys play a role in specialized packaging applications, such as in hermetic sealing for electronic components and thermal management solutions. 
  • Marine: In shipbuilding and offshore structures, Cerium is utilized in advanced navigation and communication systems, as well as for anti-corrosion coatings. 
  • Household Goods: Cerium-based components are integral to energy-efficient appliances, LED lighting, and high-performance cookware. 
  • Industrial Machinery: Cerium contributes to high-precision tools, thermal management systems, and electronic controls in machinery. 
  • Other: Cerium finds extensive use in solar panels, optoelectronic devices, heat exchangers, and decorative applications requiring superior thermal and electrical properties. 

 

Cerium’s versatility and advanced performance characteristics make it indispensable across diverse industries, especially in sectors prioritizing energy efficiency, lightweight materials, and cutting-edge technology.

Cerium price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for cerium. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

The pricing of Cerium Ingot is influenced by several factors, including:

Supply & Availability

Primary Production: Cerium is a byproduct of aluminum (bauxite) and zinc processing. Limited primary production affects availability.

Global Reserves: Major producers include China, Germany, Japan, and South Korea. Restrictions or increased production impact pricing.

Demand from Key Industries

Semiconductors & Electronics: Used in GaAs and GaN-based semiconductors for LEDs, solar cells, and 5G technology.

Aerospace & Defense: Increasing military applications drive demand.

Renewable Energy: Thin-film solar panels and high-efficiency energy systems boost consumption.

Purity & Quality

Higher purity (5N, 6N, or 7N) commands higher prices due to refined processing requirements.

Geopolitical Factors

Export restrictions or tariffs from major suppliers (e.g., China, the largest producer) can create price fluctuations.

Market Speculation & Investment Trends

Investors and market traders can influence short-term price volatility.

Alternative Materials & Substitutes

If alternative materials (e.g., silicon, indium, or perovskite) become more viable, demand and prices for Cerium could decrease.

Processing & Refinement Costs

Energy-intensive purification processes affect pricing, especially with rising electricity costs.

Currency Exchange Rates

Since Cerium is traded internationally, fluctuations in USD, CNY, or EUR impact its market price.

Feedstock prices such as bauxite and zinc residues directly impact production costs, influencing Cerium pricing.

Cerium prices rise with inflation due to increased production costs, though technological demand often sustains pricing despite broader economic trends.

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