Coconut Oil Price Trend and Forecast

Price Watch™ provides real-time price assessments and price forecasts for Coconut Oil across top trading regions: 

Coconut Oil Price Forecasts & Market Foresight Q3 2026

Outlook: Mildly Bullish to Strongly Bullish 

Confidence: Medium to High 

Coconut oil prices are expected to show mixed but broadly firm trends globally during Q3 2026, influenced by seasonal copra availability, production conditions, export demand, and weather-related supply risks.

Prices may remain volatile during the early part of the quarter as improved output and cautious buying provide temporary pressure, while tightening raw material availability in the Philippines and Indonesia could support a recovery later.

The market is likely to strengthen toward the end of the quarter, supported by seasonal demand, rising freight and processing costs, and concerns over adverse weather affecting future coconut production. 

Global Coconut Oil Market Overview by Region (July–September 2026)

*Coconut Oil Forecast represents an analytical assessment based on information available at the time of publication. Actual market prices may vary due to unforeseen operational, regulatory, geopolitical, or economic developments. 

Explore the Complete Price Watch™ Coconut Oil Forecast 

Access comprehensive Coconut Oil market intelligence, including a 3-Month Rolling Forecast, 12-Month Price Forecast, forward price curves, country-wise market outlooks, procurement insights, and monthly forecast updates. 

Explore Price Watch™ Coconut Oil Forecasts 

What’s Included

The 3-Month Forecast (Updated Monthly) 

It reflects changes in coconut and copra production, harvesting activity, weather conditions, raw material availability, crushing and processing costs, inventory levels, export availability, trade flows, freight rates, demand from food and personal care industries, competition from palm kernel oil and other vegetable oils, seasonal consumption, regional demand, and geopolitical developments affecting the global coconut oil market. 

The 12-Month Forecast (Published Annually) 

It provides a strategic outlook based on expected capacity additions, supply-demand balances, feedstock economics, macroeconomic conditions, industrial production trends, trade policies, seasonal demand patterns, and long-term supply chain developments, supporting procurement, budgeting, and strategic planning. 

Our Proprietary Hybrid Forecasting Model Evaluates: 

• Feedstock & production economics 

• Plant operating rates & outages 

• Inventory and supply-demand balance 

• Regional trade flows & freight 

• Import-export dynamics 

• Macroeconomic & geopolitical developments 

Track Supply Chain Disruptions in Real Time

As geopolitical risks continue to reshape global supply chains, stay ahead of the events that drive price movements by monitoring plant shutdowns, maintenance turnarounds, force majeure events, logistics bottlenecks, trade restrictions, and operational disruptions before they impact Coconut Oil markets. 

Access the Price Watch™ GIO Tracker 

Coconut Oil Price Trend Q2 2026

In Q2 2026, Coconut Oil prices eased across most monitored markets as ample copra supply from the Philippines and Indonesia harvest season, softer edible oil demand, and growing competition from cheaper palm oil pulled valuations lower.

India’s domestic markets posted the steepest quarterly declines, falling between 8% and 17% as local copra availability eased sharply from prior tightness. Export and import markets across the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Netherlands, the USA, and China posted more contained quarterly declines in the 0.5% to 5.5% range.

June 2026 brought a broad and sharper correction across nearly every market, with Kangayam in India the lone market bucking the trend on tight local availability. The Coconut Oil Price Chart reflected this steady softening through the quarter. The Coconut Oil Price Index stayed shaped by ample supply and easing demand across both crude and refined grades. 

Philippines: Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO) Export Prices FOB Manila, Philippines

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in the Philippines eased in Q2 2026, down by around 4.61% for Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO). Ample copra supply from the harvest season and softer global edible oil demand pressured export economics. FOB Manila valuations eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in the Philippines stayed pressured as buyers found ample supply availability. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in the Philippines corrected sharply, falling by around 19.54%, as supply conditions eased further during the month. 

Philippines: Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil Export Prices FOB Manila, Philippines

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in the Philippines eased in Q2 2026, down by around 5.36% for Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil. Ample copra supply and softer downstream demand from oleochemical and food buyers pressured refined export pricing. FOB Manila valuations eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in the Philippines stayed pressured on comfortable supply conditions. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in the Philippines corrected, falling by around 13.25%, as buyers moderated procurement during the month. 

Indonesia: Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO) Export Prices FOB Jakarta, Indonesia

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in Indonesia eased in Q2 2026, down by around 1.28% for Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO). Ample copra availability from the domestic harvest and softer global demand kept export pricing under pressure. FOB Jakarta valuations eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in Indonesia stayed pressured on comfortable supply conditions. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in Indonesia corrected sharply, falling by around 25.81%, as supply conditions eased further during the month. 

Indonesia: Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil Export Prices FOB Jakarta, Indonesia

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in Indonesia eased in Q2 2026, down by around 0.53% for Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil. Steady copra availability and softer downstream demand from food and oleochemical buyers kept refined pricing broadly stable. FOB Jakarta valuations held largely steady through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in Indonesia stayed supported by consistent processing activity. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in Indonesia corrected, falling by around 9.96%, as buyers moderated procurement during the month. 

Malaysia: Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO) Imported Prices CIF Port Kelang from Philippines, Malaysia

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in Malaysia eased in Q2 2026, down by around 4.34% for Philippines-origin Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO). Softening Philippine FOB prices, tied to ample copra supply, passed through into Malaysian import valuations. CIF Port Kelang costs eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in Malaysia stayed pressured on comfortable origin-side supply. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in Malaysia corrected sharply, falling by around 19.20%, as the Philippine origin correction transmitted into import valuations during the month. 

Malaysia: Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO) Imported Prices CIF Port Kelang from Indonesia, Malaysia

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in Malaysia eased in Q2 2026, down by around 1.03% for Indonesia-origin Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO). Softening Indonesian FOB prices, tied to ample copra supply, passed through into Malaysian import valuations. CIF Port Kelang costs eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in Malaysia stayed pressured on comfortable origin-side supply. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in Malaysia corrected sharply, falling by around 25.45%, as the Indonesian origin correction transmitted into import valuations during the month. 

Netherlands: Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO) Imported Prices CIF Rotterdam from Philippines, Netherlands

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in the Netherlands eased in Q2 2026, down by around 2.77% for Philippines-origin Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO). Softening Philippine FOB prices, tied to ample copra supply, passed through into Dutch import valuations. CIF Rotterdam costs eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in the Netherlands stayed pressured as European buyers found comfortable supply conditions. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in the Netherlands corrected sharply, falling by around 15.82%, as the Philippine origin correction transmitted into import valuations during the month. 

Netherlands: Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO) Imported Prices CIF Rotterdam from Indonesia, Netherlands

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in the Netherlands rose modestly in Q2 2026, up by around 0.52% for Indonesia-origin Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO), before a sharp late-quarter reversal. Early strength in Indonesian FOB prices lifted CIF Rotterdam import valuations through April and May.

The Coconut Oil Price in the Netherlands stayed broadly stable across the quarter as a result. Comfortable copra supply at origin later pressured pricing. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in the Netherlands corrected sharply, falling by around 16.67%, as the Indonesian origin correction transmitted into import valuations during the month. 

USA: Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO) Imported Prices CIF Los Angeles/West Coast from Philippines, USA

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in the USA eased in Q2 2026, down by around 2.52% for Philippines-origin Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO) on the West Coast. Softening Philippine FOB prices, tied to ample copra supply, passed through into import valuations. CIF Los Angeles costs eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in the USA stayed pressured on comfortable origin-side supply. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in the USA corrected sharply, falling by around 15.45%, as the Philippine origin correction transmitted into import valuations during the month. 

USA: Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO) Imported Prices CIF New York/East Coast from Philippines, USA

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in the USA eased in Q2 2026, down by around 1.27% for Philippines-origin Crude Coconut Oil (CCNO) on the East Coast. Softening Philippine FOB prices, tied to ample copra supply, passed through into import valuations. CIF New York costs eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in the USA stayed pressured on comfortable origin-side supply. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in the USA corrected, falling by around 13.03%, as the Philippine origin correction transmitted into import valuations during the month. 

USA: Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil Imported Prices CIF Los Angeles/West Coast from Philippines, USA

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in the USA eased in Q2 2026, down by around 3.27% for Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil on the West Coast. Softening Philippine FOB refined prices, tied to ample copra supply, passed through into import valuations. CIF Los Angeles costs eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in the USA stayed pressured as buyers found comfortable supply conditions. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in the USA corrected, falling by around 9.51%, as buyers moderated procurement during the month. 

USA: Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil Imported Prices CIF New York/East Coast from Philippines, USA

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in the USA eased in Q2 2026, down by around 2.12% for Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil on the East Coast. Softening Philippine FOB refined prices, tied to ample copra supply, passed through into import valuations. CIF New York costs eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in the USA stayed pressured as buyers found comfortable supply conditions. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in the USA corrected, falling by around 7.44%, as buyers moderated procurement during the month. 

China: Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil Imported Prices CIF Shanghai from Philippines, China

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in China eased in Q2 2026, down by around 5.30% for Philippines-origin Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil. Softening Philippine FOB refined prices, tied to ample copra supply, passed through into Chinese import valuations. CIF Shanghai costs eased steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in China stayed pressured on comfortable origin-side supply. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in China corrected, falling by around 13.09%, as the Philippine origin correction transmitted into import valuations during the month. 

China: Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil Imported Prices CIF Shanghai from Indonesia, China

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in China eased in Q2 2026, down by around 0.45% for Indonesia-origin Refined (RBD) Coconut Oil. Steady copra availability at origin kept Indonesian export prices broadly stable, with only a modest passthrough into Chinese import valuations.

CIF Shanghai costs held largely steady through the quarter as a result. The Coconut Oil Price in China stayed supported by consistent processing activity. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in China corrected, falling by around 9.78%, as buyers moderated procurement during the month. 

India: Coconut Oil (EDIBLE) Domestically Traded Prices Ex-Kochi (KERALA), India

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in India recorded one of the steepest quarterly declines among all monitored markets in Q2 2026, down by around 14.58% at Ex-Kochi. Ample domestic copra availability from the Kerala harvest eased prior tightness and pressured local mill pricing.

Ex-Kochi valuations declined steadily through the quarter as a result. The Coconut Oil Price in India stayed pressured on comfortable local supply. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in India corrected further, falling by around 9.69%, as buyers moderated procurement during the month. 

India: Coconut Oil (EDIBLE) Domestically Traded Prices Ex-Kangayam (Tamil Nadu), India

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in India eased in Q2 2026, down by around 8.34% at Ex-Kangayam, as ample domestic copra availability pressured local mill pricing across Tamil Nadu. Ex-Kangayam valuations declined steadily through the quarter as a result.

The Coconut Oil Price in India stayed pressured through most of the period on comfortable local supply. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in India bucked the broader trend, rising sharply by around 16.02%, as tighter local copra availability supported a late-month rebound in Ex-Kangayam pricing. 

India: Coconut Oil (EDIBLE) Domestically Traded Prices Ex-Kozhikode (KERALA), India

The Coconut Oil Price Trend in India recorded the steepest quarterly decline among all monitored markets in Q2 2026, down by around 16.90% at Ex-Kozhikode. Ample domestic copra availability from the Kerala harvest eased prior tightness and pressured local mill pricing.

Ex-Kozhikode valuations declined steadily through the quarter as a result. The Coconut Oil Price in India stayed pressured on comfortable local supply. In June 2026, Coconut Oil Prices in India corrected further, falling by around 6.84%, as buyers moderated procurement during the month.