In Q1 2024, the global Cumene market experienced a positive trend, particularly in Singapore, where prices were reported at $1,036.33 per metric ton (MT). This marked an increase of +5.00% from the previous quarter. The rise in prices was primarily driven by strong demand from key sectors such as chemicals and automotive, which rely heavily on Cumene as a feedstock for producing phenol and acetone. Additionally, the recovery of industrial activities post-pandemic contributed to heightened consumption, while supply chain improvements helped stabilize availability in the market.
As we moved into Q2 2024, Cumene prices in Singapore rose further to $1,092.66/MT, reflecting a positive trend of +5.44% from Q1. This continued increase can be attributed to several factors, including sustained demand from the construction and automotive industries as they ramped up production. Furthermore, ongoing investments in manufacturing capacity and advancements in production technologies have enhanced supply capabilities, allowing producers to meet the growing market needs effectively.
By early Q3 2024, the Cumene market maintained its upward trajectory, with prices reported at $1,120/MT in July, representing a slight positive trend of 1.82% from June 2024 which is reported at $1100/MT. Globally, the market benefited from increased demand for Cumene derivatives in various applications, including paints and coatings, which are experiencing a resurgence due to heightened construction activities. Additionally, favourable economic conditions and rising disposable incomes in key markets have further fuelled consumption across different sectors.
Looking ahead to Q4 2024, the Cumene market may see further fluctuations influenced by multiple factors. Potential increases in demand during the holiday season could drive up consumption in packaging and consumer goods sectors. However, any potential price increases may be tempered by ongoing supply chain challenges and competition among producers. Additionally, changes in raw material costs or shifts in production capacity could significantly impact market dynamics as we approach the end of the year. Overall, the Cumene market is expected to navigate a complex landscape of supply and demand factors in the upcoming months.