In Q1 2024 the Asian isobutanol market increased by 0.16% as compared to the Q4 of 2023. The Asian isobutanol market experienced an initial price increase at the start of the quarter, followed by a mid-quarter decline. This drop was driven by weak cost support, excess inventory, and sluggish downstream demand. Low market activity led traders to offer discounts to boost sales. Upstream propylene prices saw only minor changes, providing limited support to the isobutanol market. While there were signs of improvement and a slight uptick toward the end of the quarter, it was not enough to reverse the downward trend in isobutanol prices. The challenges in the Malaysian market have had a similar impact on South Korea and Thailand pricing, as Malaysia is a significant exporter to both countries. In contrast, the European market declined by 0.02% as compared to Q4 of 2023, but in the overall quarter prices increased from beginning towards the end of the quarter. By the end of the quarter in Germany, the price of isobutanol reached 990 USD per metric ton in March. In MEA region, particularly in Saudi Arabia, isobutanol market price increased towards the end of the quarter and settled at 926 USD per metric ton in March.
In Q2 2024, the Asian isobutanol market experienced a downward trend in beginning of the quarter towards the end of the quarter, attributed to reduced import costs, high inventory levels, and decreased demand from downstream industries. The European isobutanol market isobutanol prices rose steadily from the start of the quarter through mid-quarter but experienced a decline toward the end of the period. These fluctuations were influenced by various factors, including changing demand patterns in downstream sectors. By the end of the quarter in June, the price of isobutanol in the Netherlands settled at 1,011 USD per metric ton. Similarly, in MEA region trend was same as Europe and Saudi Arabia price settled at 1,083 USD per metric ton in June.
In Q3 2024, the isobutanol market will continue to experience upward price pressure due to ongoing supply limitations. The growing demand for automotive, solvent, and coating sector will expect to boost the isobutanol market in the APAC region as well as in Europe region. As of July 2024, isobutanol prices were fluctuating and reflecting around 0.44% decrease from the previous month.
In Q4 2024, the Asia-Pacific region will experience upward trend in isobutanol prices. Key factors driving these price fluctuations include differing demand trends across various countries. Additionally, rising raw material prices will affect production costs, while ongoing trade tensions will disrupt regional supply chains. In the short term, the isobutanol market will experience growth primarily due to rising demand from the automotive, solvent and coating sectors. In addition, the global production of isobutanol is expected to increase owing to the rising demand for coating and fuel additive from end use industries.