Buy Now
Book a Demo

Methanol Price Trend and Forecast

UNSPC code: 73101607
|
⟳ Weekly Update
|
Historical Data Since 2015
|
Forecast for 2026

methanol Price Trends by Country

nlNetherlands
saSaudi Arabia
usUnited States
beBelgium
cnChina
deGermany
inIndia
jpJapan
mxMexico
sgSingapore
thThailand
gbUnited Kingdom
krSouth Korea

Global methanol Spot Market Prices, Trend Analysis and Forecast

Price-Watch’s most active coverage of Methanol price assessment:

Asia-Pacific

  • Methanol >99% China (Contract), China
  • Methanol >99% CFR China, China
  • Methanol >99% CIF Shanghai (Saudi Arabia), China
  • Methanol >99% Ex-Qingdao, China
  • Methanol >99% CIF Nhava Sheva (Saudi Arabia), India
  • Methanol >99% Ex-Ahmedabad, India
  • Methanol >99% (Bulk) Ex-Mumbai, India
  • Methanol >99% CIF Tokyo (Saudi Arabia), Japan
  • Methanol >99% CIF Port of Singapore (Saudi Arabia), Singapore
  • Methanol >99% CIF Busan (Saudi Arabia), South Korea
  • Methanol >99% CIF Busan (USA), South Korea
  • Methanol >99% CIF Laem Chabang (Saudi Arabia), Thailand


North America

  • Methanol >99% USA (Contract), USA
  • Methanol >99% FOB Louisiana (Spot), USA
  • Methanol >99% CIF Manzanillo (USA), Mexico

Europe

  • Methanol >99% Netherlands (Contract), Netherlands
  • Methanol >99% FD Rotterdam (Spot), Netherlands
  • Methanol >99% FD Antwerp, Belgium
  • Methanol >99% FD Hamburg, Germany
  • Methanol >99% CIF Southampton (Netherlands), UK


Middle East

  • Methanol >99% FOB Jeddah, Saudi Arabia

 

Note: In assessments structured as CIF [Importing Port] (Exporting Country), the country mentioned in brackets indicates the primary origin of supply (exporting country), while the named port refers to the destination port in the importing country. Other Incoterms (FOB, FD, EXW, etc.) should be interpreted in accordance with standard international trade definitions.

Methanol Price Trend Q4 2025

In Q4 2025, global Methanol prices showed mixed movements, with quarterly changes ranging from 5% to 10%. The market was influenced by downstream demand from MTBE, formaldehyde, and resins, regional supply fluctuations, and evolving freight rates. Europe, the U.S., and China experienced moderate declines due to adequate inventory and softer industrial activity. Conversely, India recorded price gains as domestic demand remained robust amid limited import competition. CIF markets in Asia and Latin America faced downward pressure due to competitive Saudi-origin offers and easing freight costs. Overall, the quarter reflected region-specific trends and cautious buyer sentiment, keeping the market moderately volatile.

Netherlands: Domestically Traded Methanol price in the Netherlands, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in the Netherlands weakened by -3.30%, with FD Rotterdam (Spot) prices ranging between USD 250–300/MT. Slow industrial activity in coatings, adhesives, and resins contributed to subdued demand. European inventories remained sufficient, while imports from Saudi Arabia and the U.S. kept supply stable. Seasonal maintenance at downstream plants provided slight support but was insufficient to reverse the decline. Traders reported cautious buying, with spot activity limited and speculative interest minimal. Overall, the Dutch market experienced a moderately bearish tone, driven by steady supply, soft consumption, and cautious end-user procurement throughout the quarter.

Saudi Arabia: Methanol Export price from Saudi Arabia, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Saudi-origin Methanol prices declined by -9.68%, with FOB Jeddah prices assessed between USD 150–250/MT. The drop was driven by weakening demand from Asian and African importers amid ample regional supply. Production operated steadily with minimal disruptions, but lower freight rates and competitive pricing from alternative sources pressured exporters to offer discounts. MTBE and formaldehyde sectors showed moderate uptake, insufficient to offset global oversupply. Export volumes remained consistent, but buyers adopted cautious purchasing. Overall, the market tone was bearish, with downward adjustments reflecting global competition, pricing pressure, and soft seasonal demand.

USA: Methanol Export price from USA, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in the U.S. Gulf softened slightly, with FOB Louisiana (Spot) ranging from USD 300–350/MT, marking a -0.91% change. MTBE and formaldehyde demand remained steady but less aggressive, while natural gas costs were stable. Domestic production operated at normal rates, and inventories were adequate, limiting upward price movement. Exports to Latin America and Europe continued but were moderated by competitive offers from Saudi Arabia and China. Spot market activity remained balanced, with buyers seeking predictable delivery terms. Overall, the U.S. Methanol market reflected slight price easing amid stable fundamentals and controlled supply.

Belgium: Domestically Traded Methanol price in the Belgium, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in Belgium declined by -3.07%, with FD Antwerp assessed at USD 300–350/MT. Demand from chemical, automotive, and construction sectors remained steady but lacked upward momentum. European inventories were sufficient, while imports from the Middle East and the U.S. maintained liquidity. Buyers were cautious, expecting further price corrections, which limited spot activity. Production costs remained stable, but soft regional consumption kept downward pressure on pricing. Overall, the Belgian market displayed a moderate bearish trend, reflecting ample supply, subdued demand, and selective buying behaviour during the quarter.

China: Domestically Traded Methanol price in Qingdao, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in China edged down by -2.55%, with Ex-Qingdao prices ranging USD 300–350/MT. MTO and formaldehyde plants operated at steady rates, but cautious procurement limited spot activity. Domestic supply remained abundant, while imports from the Middle East balanced regional distribution. Downstream demand from adhesives, resins, and chemical intermediates was adequate but unspectacular. Logistics were smooth, allowing reliable cargo movement. Overall, market sentiment was slightly bearish, with minor price correction reflecting global oversupply, competitive imports, and subdued buying from both domestic and export markets.

Germany: Domestically Traded Methanol price in the Germany, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in Germany declined by -3.41%, with FD Hamburg prices ranging USD 300–350/MT. Demand from resin, adhesive, and chemical sectors remained steady but muted. Imports from Rotterdam and other European hubs maintained market liquidity, while domestic production operated consistently. Weak industrial consumption combined with sufficient inventories limited price recovery. Traders remained cautious amid macroeconomic uncertainty, and spot market activity was modest. Overall, the German Methanol market exhibited a moderate bearish tone, primarily shaped by balanced supply, subdued downstream demand, and cautious buying sentiment during the quarter.

India: Domestically Traded Methanol price in Ahmedabad, India, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in India rose by +4.97%, with Ex-Ahmedabad prices between USD 450–500/MT. Domestic demand from adhesives, pharmaceuticals, and textiles remained robust, supporting higher prices despite competitive imports from Saudi Arabia. Local producers maintained strong operating rates, and inventories were adequate but not excessive. Currency fluctuations and steady freight conditions supported cost adjustments. Buyers remained cautious but accepted higher prices due to reliable domestic supply. Overall, the Indian Methanol market showed a firm bullish trend, contrasting with declines in other regions, driven by strong consumption and limited import competition.

Japan: Methanol Import price in Japan from Saudi Arabia, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol import prices into Japan declined by -5.24%, with CIF Tokyo prices ranging USD 250–300/MT. Weak demand from acetic acid, chemical, and electronics sectors limited buying activity. Freight rates eased slightly, while imports from Saudi Arabia remained stable. Domestic blending and production continued without major disruptions. Buyers negotiated lower prices amid sufficient inventories, and downstream plants operated at modest utilization levels. Overall, the Japanese market reflected a moderate bearish correction, driven by cautious procurement, oversupply, and soft end-user demand.

Mexico: Methanol Import price in Mexico from USA, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in Mexico edged down by -0.76%, with CIF Manzanillo assessed at USD 350–400/MT. Strong demand from fuel and solvent industries persisted, but ample U.S. Gulf supply moderated price gains. Freight rates stabilized, and currency impacts were minimal. Buyers timed procurement strategically, balancing stock levels with cost considerations. Downstream industrial activity remained steady, supporting moderate consumption. Overall, the Mexican market remained largely balanced, with minor price easing reflecting stable supply-demand fundamentals and cautious buying behaviour.

Singapore: Methanol Import price in Singapore from Saudi Arabia, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in Singapore declined sharply by -10.58%, with CIF Port of Singapore assessed at USD 200–250/MT. Competitive Saudi-origin supply and easing freight costs drove the decline. Demand from MTBE, oleochemicals, and downstream chemical sectors softened slightly, allowing buyers to negotiate lower landed costs. Inventory levels were adequate and import volumes remained consistent. Overall, the Singapore Methanol market experienced significant bearish pressure, with price corrections reflecting global oversupply, competitive imports, and cautious procurement.

South Korea: Methanol Import price in South Korea from Saudi Arabia, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in South Korea fell by -8.90%, with CIF Busan prices ranging USD 200–250/MT. Lower freight rates from Saudi Arabia and ample supply contributed to price weakness. Industrial demand from formaldehyde and plastics sectors was steady but insufficient to support upward price movement. Buyers capitalized on discounted imports, adjusting procurement schedules to take advantage of falling prices. Overall, the South Korean market displayed a clear bearish trend, reflecting oversupply, competitive origin options, and measured downstream demand.

Thailand: Methanol Import price in Thailand from Saudi Arabia, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in Thailand declined by -3.90%, with CIF Laem Chabang prices between USD 200–250/MT. Softer demand from resins, foam, and chemical sectors, coupled with competitive imports, pressured prices downward. Freight rates eased slightly, while supply remained abundant. Buyers adopted cautious procurement strategies, delaying purchases until price stability returned. Downstream plant activity remained moderate, sustaining baseline consumption. Overall, the Thai Methanol market reflected moderate bearish sentiment, driven by softening demand and competitive origin pressure.

United Kingdom: Methanol Import price in United Kingdom from Netherlands, Purity: >99%

In Q4 2025, Methanol prices in the UK decreased by -2.29%, with CIF Southampton ranging USD 300–350/MT. Weak demand from construction, adhesives, and chemical sectors limited import activity. European supply remained sufficient, and logistics were stable, but buyers were selective amid soft downstream consumption. Spot interest remained low, with most volumes secured via long-term contracts. Overall, the UK market exhibited moderate bearish pressure, reflecting steady supply, soft demand, and cautious purchasing behaviour during the quarter.

Methanol Price Trend Analysis: Q3 2025

In Q3 2025, global Methanol prices displayed mixed dynamics, with fluctuations ranging between 5% to 8% across major regions. Prices were shaped by regional demand variations, downstream sector performance, and supply chain stability. Freight trends had a significant impact on CIF markets, especially in Asia and Latin America.

While North America and Mexico recorded firm gains due to tight supply and strong MTBE demand, European and Chinese markets experienced moderate declines amid ample inventory and weaker industrial consumption. Overall, price resilience in key regions, combined with varied freight trends, resulted in a moderately volatile quarter for the global Methanol market.

Netherlands: Domestically Traded Methanol price in the Netherlands, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in the Netherlands declined 4.86% in Q3 2025, with FD Rotterdam values ranging between USD 285–320 per metric ton, as market conditions across Europe remained bearish. The Methanol price trend in the Netherlands reflected subdued demand across coatings, adhesives, and resin sectors, while ample inventories and steady imports continued weighing on prices.

Seasonal maintenance at downstream units offered minor balance but lacked momentum for recovery. The European market’s cautious sentiment, minimal speculative buying, and limited trading activity maintained a downward trajectory despite stable logistics through the quarter.

In Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in the Netherlands displayed mixed sentiment as mild early gains gave way to later weakness due to reduced trader interest. Market dynamics reflected shifting demand patterns and supply uncertainties, creating fragile pricing conditions. Despite initial optimism, weakening commercial activity and cautious procurement behavior limited sustained upward momentum, maintaining overall market volatility through the month.

Saudi Arabia: Methanol Export price from Saudi Arabia, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in Saudi Arabia rose 1.84% in Q3 2025, with FOB Jeddah values between USD 215–240 per metric ton, supported by improved offtake from Asian and African importers. The Methanol price trend in Saudi Arabia indicated firm support from stable production and consistent export demand.

Regional facilities operated smoothly, ports functioned efficiently, and upstream energy costs stayed steady. Continuous exports to Asia marginally tightened supply, lifting sentiment. Although gains were limited, steady demand across nearby markets helped sustain a positive tone for Saudi-origin Methanol through the quarter.

In Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in Saudi Arabia softened consistently as weakening export demand pressured sentiment from early in the month. Subdued trading activity and limited buyer interest maintained downward pressure throughout the period. Regional producers faced reduced overseas appetite, while cautious purchasing patterns kept market tone restrained, reflecting broader challenges in international trade flows.

USA: Methanol Export price from USA, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in the U.S. Gulf increased 7.14% in Q3 2025, reaching USD 315–350 per metric ton FOB Louisiana, due to tightening supply and firm downstream demand from MTBE and Formaldehyde producers. The Methanol price trend in the United States highlighted strong bullish sentiment led by unplanned plant maintenance and higher regional consumption.

Stable natural gas prices supported margins, while exports to Latin America and Europe added pressure on availability. Market optimism strengthened mid-quarter as buyers anticipated tighter Q4 balances, reinforcing higher spot values through September.

According to PriceWatch, in Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in the United States remained largely flat as low trading activity and stable inventory levels supported neutral sentiment. Market conditions showed minimal directional movement, with buyers maintaining conservative procurement strategies. Steady supply conditions and balanced demand prevented significant volatility, though limited commercial engagement restricted any meaningful price development through the period.

Belgium: Domestically Traded Methanol price in the Belgium, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in Belgium fell 4.16% in Q3 2025, with FD Antwerp values ranging from USD 310–340 per metric ton, amid softening demand from automotive and construction-linked chemical sectors. The Methanol price trend in Belgium captured subdued spot activity and hesitant purchasing behaviour due to oversupplied conditions.

Imports from major exporters sustained availability, while stable production limited volatility. Despite balanced supply, slack in European manufacturing capped price rebounds, keeping overall sentiment weak. In Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in Belgium recorded mild upward movement early in the month, influenced by related Netherlands spot activity, before maintaining moderate strength.

Sellers adopted cautious pricing strategies as steady demand and regional market linkages supported sentiment. Despite measured gains, trading remained conservative with buyers showing selective interest throughout the period.

China: Domestically Traded Methanol price in Qingdao, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in China declined 2.73% in Q3 2025, with Ex-Qingdao values between USD 320–350 per metric ton, as rising local output and restrained MTO plant demand weighed on sentiment. The Methanol price trend in China reflected cautious downstream buying and gradual inventory buildup. Imports from the Middle East continued steadily as logistics improved.

Stable consumption in Formaldehyde and acetic acid applications prevented steeper declines, though subdued industrial sentiment maintained a neutral tone. According to PriceWatch, in Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in China exhibited gradual upward movement early in the month, with positive sentiment sustained through the period.

Domestic demand showed resilience while sellers maintained cautious pricing approaches. Steady industrial consumption and balanced supply conditions supported moderate gains, though buyers remained selective in procurement activities, reflecting measured market optimism throughout the month.

Germany: Domestically Traded Methanol price in the Germany, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in Germany dropped 3.85% in Q3 2025, with FD Hamburg values between USD 325–360 per metric ton, on weak demand and large regional availability. The Methanol price trend in Germany revealed subdued spot interest as imports from Rotterdam and overseas suppliers fulfilled local requirements.

Demand from chemical and pharmaceutical sectors was stable yet unsupportive, while traders adopted a cautious stance amid macroeconomic uncertainty. Balanced supply and muted consumption held prices steady but bearish overall. In Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in Germany strengthened moderately, supported by robust downstream chemical activity and consistent industrial demand.

Positive sentiment was maintained throughout the month as end-user consumption remained steady. Despite improved market conditions, buyers exercised caution in procurement, while sellers benefited from sustained industrial activity across key consuming sectors in the region.

India: Domestically Traded Methanol price in Ahmedabad, India, Purity: >99%.

According to Price-Watch, Methanol prices in India decreased 2.68% in Q3 2025, with Ex-Ahmedabad values at USD 455–500 per metric ton, despite consistent demand from adhesives, pharmaceuticals, and textiles. The Methanol price trend in India illustrated softening sentiment due to competitive imports and currency challenges.

Weak rupee valuation and lower Middle Eastern offers pressured landed prices, though steady infrastructure and chemical sector consumption-maintained balance. Improved domestic plant utilizations helped ensure adequate availability during the quarter. According to PriceWatch, in Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in India softened consistently as weak retail demand pressured market sentiment from early in the month.

Limited buyer interest and subdued commercial activity maintained downward pressure throughout the period. Domestic consumption patterns remained cautious, with end-users reducing procurement frequency, reflecting broader challenges in local industrial and retail market segments.

Japan: Methanol Import price in Japan from Saudi Arabia, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in Japan increased 1.56% in Q3 2025, with CIF Tokyo values at USD 270–300 per metric ton, as freight rates rose on Saudi Arabia trade routes. The Methanol price trend in Japan indicated stable demand from acetic acid and electronics sectors supporting mild gains. Automotive-linked consumption eased temporarily, but efficient logistics and favourable contracts stabilized trade. Overall, the market retained balance with consistent chemical production and no major supply interruptions.

In Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in Japan rose sharply amid strong buying activity and tight supply conditions, with bullish momentum sustained throughout the month. Robust demand from chemical sectors and limited availability supported aggressive pricing. Despite strong sentiment, buyers remained cautious due to elevated costs, while suppliers benefited from favorable supply-demand dynamics across the region.

Mexico: Methanol Import price in Mexico from USA, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in Mexico surged 7.33% in Q3 2025, with CIF Manzanillo values reaching USD 370–410 per metric ton, amid higher freight costs on trade routes from the United States. The Methanol price trend in Mexico reflected robust demand from fuel and solvent industries sustaining upward momentum.

Tight U.S. Gulf supply and freight hikes elevated costs, though stable currency conditions mitigated inflationary effects. Persistent industrial demand kept sentiment bullish toward the end of the quarter. In Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in Mexico remained stable with minimal change as steady freight conditions and neutral market sentiment prevailed.

Trading activity showed little directional movement, with buyers maintaining regular procurement patterns. Balanced supply conditions and consistent import flows supported stable pricing, though market participants remained cautious about potential volatility in the near term.

Singapore: Methanol Import price in Singapore from Saudi Arabia, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in Singapore rose 0.15% in Q3 2025, with values at USD 250–280 per metric ton, as lower freight rates from Saudi Arabia provided market balance. The Methanol price trend in Singapore reflected stable trading supported by steady demand in MTBE and Oleochemical sectors. High refinery operations and unobstructed logistics allowed consistent supply. Competitive bidding and neutral upstream trends maintained an even market tone through the quarter.

In Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in Singapore weakened consistently as excess inventories and weak regional demand created downward pressure. Market sentiment remained subdued throughout the month, with limited buyer interest and cautious procurement strategies. Regional oversupply conditions and slow consumption patterns maintained bearish sentiment, reflecting broader challenges in Southeast Asian trading hubs.

South Korea: Methanol Import price in South Korea from Saudi Arabia, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in South Korea gained 0.79% in Q3 2025, with CIF Busan values between USD 250–275 per metric ton, supported by stable freight reductions from Saudi shipping routes. The Methanol price trend in South Korea revealed balanced sentiment as Formaldehyde and plastics demand remained steady, aided by growing industrial recovery. Lower freight rates eased costs, helping sustain optimism in domestic procurement activities.

In Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in South Korea recorded mild weekly gains early in the month, supported by higher freight costs, before maintaining moderate strength. Sellers adopted cautious pricing approaches as steady demand and logistical factors influenced market dynamics. Despite measured improvements, buyers remained selective in procurement, balancing cost considerations with operational requirements.

Thailand: Methanol Import price in Thailand from Saudi Arabia, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in Thailand increased 5.03% in Q3 2025, with CIF Laem Chabang values at USD 250–280 per metric ton, as freight costs from Saudi Arabia drove up landed costs. The Methanol price trend in Thailand pointed to firm demand in resin, foam, and Formaldehyde industries. Supply delays from regional exporters prompted stronger procurement of Saudi-origin cargoes. Despite higher costs, persistent industrial activity sustained price strength throughout the period.

In Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in Thailand faced strong upward pressure early in the month, supported by rising freight rates, with bullish momentum sustained throughout the period. Regional demand remained firm while supply constraints added support to pricing. Despite elevated costs, industrial consumption patterns remained steady, though buyers exercised caution in procurement strategies.

United Kingdom: Methanol Import price in United Kingdom from Netherlands, Purity: >99%.

Methanol prices in the United Kingdom declined 3.59% in Q3 2025, with CIF Southampton values between USD 330–370 per metric ton, despite higher freight rates from European ports. The Methanol price trend in the United Kingdom showed bearish pressure as weak demand in construction and adhesives sectors constrained imports. Surplus European production-maintained availability, while soft consumption offset freight-driven cost increases. Market sentiment remained subdued overall.

In Q3 September 2025, Methanol prices in the United Kingdom strengthened modestly with steady weekly gains early in the month, maintaining moderate positive momentum throughout. Sellers adopted cautious pricing strategies as demand showed resilience and supply conditions remained balanced. Despite gradual improvements, buyers maintained selective procurement approaches, reflecting measured optimism in regional market conditions.

In Q2 2025, According to the PriceWatch, Methanol prices (Purity: >99% FOB Jeddah) softened, decreasing by -14.75% to USD 217 per metric ton, as buying interest from key Asian markets such as China and India eased due to seasonal slowdowns. The second quarter typically experiences reduced demand from construction and automotive sectors, particularly during the monsoon season in the Indian subcontinent.

Despite ongoing regional tensions including the Iran-Israel conflict, Saudi Arabian Methanol production and export logistics remained steady, with no significant disruptions reported. However, subdued demand, stable freight rates, and intensified competition from Middle Eastern and Southeast Asian producers combined to apply downward pressure on FOB prices and market sentiment.

In Q2 2025, According to the PriceWatch, Methanol (Purity: >99% (Retail) Ex-Ahmedabad) prices saw a moderate dip of -7.55%, reaching USD 490 per metric ton, or showed signs of stabilization as seasonal industrial slowdowns reduced immediate retail demand. Improvements in logistics and softening global feedstock prices eased input costs for retail buyers.

However, continued currency fluctuations and the impact of import dependency limited the extent of price decreases. Retail methanol pricing in Ahmedabad held firm overall, with any decline being gradual and supported by steady consumption patterns.

Looking ahead to Q1 2025, Methanol prices in Saudi Arabia (Purity: >99% FOB Jeddah) are read to rise slightly, with the price reported at $ 255/ MT, showing a +3.10% increase from Q4 2024. This increase can be attributed to a seasonal recovery in demand as diligence ramp up product after the gleeful season.

Also, the global demand for Methanol especially from arising requests, is anticipated to rise, supporting price growth. Domestic demand for Methanol- grounded products in Saudi Arabia is likely to see a supplement, further contributing to the slight increase in prices as the request stabilizes after the vacation season.

Looking into Q1 2025, Methanol prices in India (Purity >99% (Retail) Ex-Ahmedabad) are expected to rise significantly, reaching $530/MT, a +10.42% increase from Q4 2024. This sharp increase is expected due to the seasonal surge in demand as industries enter their peak production periods after the New Year.

The upcoming festive season, combined with the ramping up of manufacturing activity, will likely lead to tighter supply conditions, which will put upward pressure on prices. Additionally, global feedstock price fluctuations and rising transportation costs are expected to further contribute to the price increase in the first quarter of 2025.

Methanol Price Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

In Q4 2024, the price of Methanol in Saudi Arabia (Purity: >99% FOB Jeddah) further dropped to $ 247/ MT, showing a -2.62% drop from Q3. This continued decline was driven by the end of the time retardation, as numerous diligences began to reduce product in medication for the vacation season.

With slightly lower demand from diligence like automotive and construction, which are critical consumers of Methanol, the request saw lower urgency in purchasing, leading to price reductions. Abundant force continued to ensure that prices remained at the lower end, with minimum oscillations anticipated during this quieter period.

In Q4 2024, the Methanol market in India (Purity: >99% (Retail) Ex-Ahmedabad) saw a slight rebound, with prices rising to $480/MT, a +2.13% increase from Q3. This price increase was driven by a recovery in demand as industries began to ramp up production in anticipation of the festive season. The demand for Methanol from the automotive, chemical, and construction sectors picked up, leading to tighter market conditions.

Despite the available abundant supply, seasonal demand from sectors that peak in the final quarter pushed prices higher. Additionally, logistical improvements and a stable feedstock supply helped keep prices in check while allowing for a slight increase.

Still, by Q3 2024, the Methanol request in Saudi Arabia (Purity: >99% FOB Jeddah) endured a slight drop again, with prices falling to $ 254/ MT, reflecting a -4.17% decline from Q2. This was largely due to seasonal factors, as the summer months generally witness a retardation in demand from the construction and automotive sectors.

The drop in demand during this period, coupled with abundant force from original directors, put downcast pressure on Methanol prices. Domestic product was steady, but the reduced need for Methanol- grounded resins and chemicals during the summer months contributed to the price stabilization in this quarter.

By Q3 2024, the Methanol market in India (Purity: >99% (Retail) Ex-Ahmedabad) experienced a more significant decline, with prices reported at $470/MT, a -3.09% decrease from Q2. This downward trend was driven by a continued slowdown in demand as industries entered a less active phase post-festive season. The summer months typically see lower demand in key sectors, including textiles and automotive, leading to reduced consumption of Methanol.

Despite an abundant supply in the market, reduced production and consumption at the domestic level resulted in a pricing decline. Furthermore, the availability of alternative feed stocks and logistical challenges continued to put pressure on the market, contributing to the lower prices.

In Q2 2024, the price of Methanol in Saudi Arabia (Purity: >99% FOB Jeddah) rebounded slightly, rising to $ 265/ MT, showing a positive trend of +1.66 from Q1. This increase was driven by a recovery in demand from crucial sectors like plastics, automotive, and chemicals, which started ramping up product after the post-holiday pause.

The increase in global Methanol demand, especially from Asia and Europe, also helped support prices. also, logistical advancements and a stabilization in freight rates helped grease smoother distribution, farther boosting request conditions and driving a positive price change.

In Q2 2024, Methanol prices in India (Purity: >99% (Retail) Ex-Ahmedabad) saw a slight stabilization, falling to $485/MT, which was a -2.02% decrease from Q1. This drop can be attributed to a seasonal slowdown in demand following the initial post-festive spike. Many industries, especially those in automotive and construction, reduced their activity after the rush in Q1.

The general slowdown in manufacturing during the mid-year period, combined with stable domestic supply, contributed to the price dip. Additionally, a drop in global energy prices and a reduction in transportation costs further stabilized prices during this quarter.

In Q1 2024, the Methanol request in Saudi Arabia (Purity: >99% FOB Jeddah) saw a slight drop in prices, with the cost reported at $ 261/ MT, down by -10.19% from the former quarter. This downcast trend can be attributed to several factors, including a slight dip in global demand for Methanol as the request entered the time with lower consumption situations.

Also, seasonal retardations in major downstream diligence like automotive and construction redounded in reduced demand for Methanol- grounded products. On the force side, abundant Methanol vacuity due to increased product situations from Saudi Arabia’s large- scale manufacturing installations helped to balance request conditions, but it contributed to a slight price decline.

In Q1 2024, the Methanol market in India (Purity: >99% (Retail) Ex-Ahmedabad) reported prices at $495/MT, marking a +6.45% increase from the previous quarter. This price surge can be attributed to higher demand from key industries such as chemicals, automotive, and construction, which started ramping up production at the beginning of the year.

The post-festive period saw increased production activity in preparation for the upcoming peak season, leading to higher consumption of Methanol. Additionally, there were some supply-side pressures, as logistical disruptions and rising feedstock costs contributed to the upward price movement. The increased demand, coupled with global market conditions, pushed prices higher despite the abundant supply available.

Technical Specifications of Methanol Price Trends

Product Description

Methanol, also known as methyl alcohol, is a clear, colourless, and volatile liquid primarily used as a feedstock in the production of chemicals like Formaldehyde, Acetic Acid, and Plastics. It is also an important component in fuel blending and is used in biodiesel production. Methanol is derived from natural gas or coal, and its versatility makes it a key material in various industrial processes, including energy and transportation.

Identifiers and Classification:

  • CAS No – 67-56-1
  • HS Code – 29051100
  • Molecular Formula – CH₃OH
  • Molecular Weight (in gm/mol) – 32.04


Methanol Synonyms:

  • Methyl Alcohol
  • Wood Alcohol
  • Carbinol
  • Methyl Hydroxide
  • Wood Spirit


Methanol Grades Specific Price Assessment:

  • Methanol, Purity: >99%


Methanol Global Trade and Shipment Terms

Quotation Terms: 25-30 MT (Import-Export-Domestic)

Packaging Type: Drum (200 Litres) (Import-Export-Domestic), Tanker (Import-Export-Domestic)


Incoterms Referenced in Methanol Price Reporting

Shipping Term  Location  Definition 
FD Rotterdam  Rotterdam, Netherlands  Domestically Traded Methanol price in the Netherlands 
FOB Jeddah  Jeddah, Saudi Arabia  Methanol Export price from Saudi Arabia 
FOB Louisiana  Louisiana, USA  Methanol Export price from the USA 
FD Antwerp  Antwerp, Belgium  Domestically Traded Methanol price in Belgium 
CFR China  China (various ports)  Methanol Import price in China 
CIF Shanghai (Saudi Arabia)  Shanghai, China  Methanol Import price in China from Saudi Arabia 
Ex-Qingdao  Qingdao, China  Domestically Traded Methanol price in Qingdao 
FD Hamburg  Hamburg, Germany  Domestically Traded Methanol price in Germany 
CIF Nhava Sheva (Saudi Arabia)  Nhava Sheva, India  Methanol Import price in India from Saudi Arabia 
Ex-Ahmedabad  Ahmedabad, India  Domestically Traded Methanol price in Ahmedabad 
Ex-Mumbai  Mumbai, India  Domestically Traded Methanol price in Mumbai 
CIF Tokyo (Saudi Arabia)  Tokyo, Japan  Methanol Import price in Japan from Saudi Arabia 
CIF Manzanillo (USA)  Manzanillo, Mexico  Methanol Import price in Mexico from the USA 
CIF Port of Singapore (Saudi Arabia)  Singapore  Methanol Import price in Singapore from Saudi Arabia 
CIF Busan (Saudi Arabia)  Busan, South Korea  Methanol Import price in South Korea from Saudi Arabia 
CIF Busan (USA)  Busan, South Korea  Methanol Import price in South Korea from the USA 
CIF Laem Chabang (Saudi Arabia)  Laem Chabang, Thailand  Methanol Import price in Thailand from Saudi Arabia 
CIF Southampton (Netherlands)  Southampton, UK  Methanol Import price in the UK from the Netherlands 

*Quotation Terms refers to the quantity range specified for the Methanol being quoted or offered in a commercial transaction.

**Packaging Type refers to standard packaging size commonly used for Methanol packing, ease of handling, transportation, and storage in industrial and commercial applications.

Key Methanol Manufacturers

Manufacturer 
Methanax 
LyondellBasell Industries 
Chemanol 
Celanese Corporation 
BASF SE 
GNFC 

Methanol Industrial Applications

Methanol Market Share End Use

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Methanol prices

  • Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2022-Present): The conflict disrupted global energy markets, particularly in Europe, leading to higher feedstock costs and volatility in Methanol prices due to limited natural gas supplies.
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): Initially, Methanol demand dropped sharply due to lockdowns and reduced industrial activity. However, demand rebounded as industries like plastics and fuel blending surged, leading to price fluctuations.
  • Shale Gas Boom in the U.S. (2015-2020): Increased availability of low-cost natural gas feedstock in the U.S. led to reduced production costs, driving down Methanol prices globally during this period.
  • U.S.-China Trade War (2018-2019): Tariffs and supply chain disruptions caused instability in the global Methanol market, with both production and trade volumes impacted, especially between two of the largest global players.

These events illustrate how the Methanol market is highly sensitive to geopolitical tensions, global energy dynamics, and disruptions in supply and demand, making it essential to monitor ongoing market trends and developments.

Why Price Watch™?

Price Watch™ is your trusted resource for tracking global methanol price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the methanol market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, Price Watch™ keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, Price Watch™ provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With Price Watch™, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence methanol prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with Price Watch’s™ reliable, accurate, and timely methanol market data.

Track Price Watch's™ methanol price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Methanol Market Price Trend published by 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ reflect prevailing spot market conditions, derived from independent research, verified trade inputs, and proprietary market intelligence as of the publication date. Prices are published on the specified Incoterm and represent indicative base market levels, exclusive of applicable taxes, VAT, duties, tariffs, and other statutory charges. Actual transaction values may vary depending on volume, credit terms, contractual structure, and other negotiated conditions. Market prices are inherently subject to volatility, liquidity dynamics, regulatory changes, and evolving trade activity. The information provided is for reference and benchmarking purposes only and does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or guarantee of transactional outcomes. Users should exercise independent commercial judgment and assess their specific contractual, regulatory, tax, and application requirements before making business decisions. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ assumes no liability for decisions taken based on this information.

Methanol prices are influenced by various factors, including the cost of natural gas, which serves as the primary feedstock for methanol production. Fluctuations in natural gas prices, geopolitical tensions, and changes in energy policies can significantly affect methanol pricing. Additionally, supply chain disruptions, demand from end-use industries such as chemicals, plastics, and automotive, and seasonal variations in consumption all play a crucial role in determining methanol prices. Procurement heads should stay informed about these market dynamics to make strategic purchasing decisions.

Production capacity shifts, driven by new methanol plant constructions or closures, directly affect the supply side of the market. When new plants come online or existing plants expand their output, it can lead to increased methanol availability, potentially driving prices down. Conversely, plant shutdowns due to maintenance or regulatory compliance can lead to supply shortages and price increases. Procurement professionals should closely monitor announcements related to production capacity changes and adjust their sourcing strategies accordingly to capitalize on favorable pricing conditions.

Regional price differences for methanol arise from variations in production costs, transportation expenses, and local market demand. For instance, regions with abundant natural gas supplies, such as the United States and the Middle East, often enjoy lower methanol prices compared to regions reliant on imports. Additionally, environmental regulations and tariffs can also impact regional pricing. Procurement teams should conduct thorough market analyses to identify cost-competitive sourcing opportunities across regions, allowing for optimized purchasing strategies that align with their organization’s financial objectives.

Methanol is a basic petrochemical used as a fuel, solvent, antifreeze, and as a feedstock for producing chemicals such as formaldehyde, acetic acid, and olefins. Its price matters because it influences the cost of fuels, plastics, construction materials, and numerous industrial and consumer products. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ tracks methanol prices to help businesses and consumers understand market trends and cost movements.

Methanol prices vary by region, grade, and contract type. Prices are typically quoted per metric ton and fluctuate based on supply-demand balances, feedstock costs (natural gas or coal), and freight rates. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ provides real-time price assessments across major global markets to support informed buying and selling decisions.

Methanol prices fluctuate due to changes in natural gas and coal prices, production capacity, plant operating rates, and demand from downstream sectors such as formaldehyde, acetic acid, MTBE, and fuel blending. Logistics costs, global trade flows, economic conditions, and energy market volatility further influence price trends, with growing interest in low-carbon and bio-methanol shaping long-term outlooks.

The largest consumers of methanol include chemical manufacturers, fuel blenders, formaldehyde producers, acetic acid plants, and MTBE producers. Methanol is also increasingly used in marine fuels and as an alternative energy source. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ analyses demand patterns across all major end-use industries.

Methanol is produced at chemical plants worldwide primarily from natural gas, coal, or renewable feedstocks. The production process involves converting feedstock into synthesis gas, which is then catalytically converted into methanol.

Major methanol exporters include countries with abundant feedstock and large-scale production capacity such as Saudi Arabia, Trinidad and Tobago, the United States, and Iran, along with China as both a major producer and consumer. Export volumes shift depending on regional demand, feedstock availability, and global trade conditions. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ tracks production levels, export flows and trade patterns to help businesses understand global supply chains and identify sourcing opportunities.

Global methanol supply generally meets demand, but temporary shortages can occur due to plant outages, feedstock disruptions, or surges in fuel and chemical demand. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ monitors supply-demand balances to alert the market to potential tightness or oversupply.

Methanol is available in grades such as fuel grade, chemical grade, and high-purity grade. Higher-purity methanol commands higher prices due to stricter quality specifications and additional processing. Pricing can also vary based on water content and end-use requirements. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ provides separate price assessments by grade to ensure market transparency.

When demand rises rapidly—such as from fuel blending mandates or increased chemical production—methanol prices typically increase. Suppliers may prioritize contract customers, while spot market buyers may face higher prices and limited availability. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ captures these dynamics in real time.

Energy prices have a major impact on methanol production, especially natural gas and coal prices, which are key feedstocks. Rising energy costs increase production expenses and often lead to higher methanol prices. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ analyses these cost relationships in its price assessments and market reports.

Regional methanol prices vary due to differences in feedstock availability, production capacity, transportation costs, import duties, and local demand. For example, regions close to low-cost natural gas sources often have more competitive pricing. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ tracks prices across all major regions to highlight these variations.

Methanol price outlooks depend on energy market trends, global economic growth, capacity additions, and demand from fuels and chemical industries. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ regularly publishes detailed forecasts that project price movements for the next 12 months based on comprehensive analysis of supply additions, demand growth in key industries, seasonal patterns, and macroeconomic indicators. Our forecasts help businesses anticipate market conditions and plan accordingly.

Absolutely. Accurate forecasting allows you to time your purchases better, negotiate contracts more effectively, and budget more accurately. If 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ forecasts predict a price increase in three months, you might choose to stock up now or lock in long-term contracts at current rates, potentially saving thousands of dollars.

Events such as geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, trade restrictions, feedstock supply disruptions, or economic slowdowns can affect methanol production and trade, leading to price volatility. The COVID-19 pandemic and energy market disruptions are examples of events that significantly influenced methanol markets. 𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ provides timely alerts when such developments impact the market.

𝐏𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐖𝐚𝐭𝐜𝐡™ collects pricing data from producers, distributors, and buyers worldwide to publish transparent price assessments, market reports, and forecasts. Our comprehensive methodology makes us a trusted source for understanding fair pricing and market trends in the methanol industry.

Access Real-Time Methanol Price Trends
Access Real-Time Methanol Price Trends