methylene diphenyl diisocyanate Pricing Assessment

Markets Covered:

China

Japan

Saudi Arabia

Korea

Turkey

India

Vietnam

Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

After a slowdown in late 2023, demand for MDI recovered in Q1 2024, particularly in the construction, automotive, and furniture sectors. There was increased demand for polyurethane products, driving MDI prices up.

In Q2 2024, MDI (Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate) prices saw a further increase of approximately 4% compared to Q1 2024, multiple factors contributed to the rise in MDI prices, with one of the key reasons being plant shutdowns. Significant production facilities, particularly in China, experienced planned and unplanned maintenance shutdowns. For instance, major producers like Wanhua Chemical and BASF reduced capacity for maintenance work at their MDI plants, exacerbating supply constraints.

As of August 2024, MDI (Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate) prices are fluctuating, reflecting a 9% increase from the previous month. In Q3 2024, the MDI (Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate) price trend in China and Asia will remain volatile due to a mix of supply constraints and weak demand. On the supply side, production will be tighter, particularly in Northeast Asia, influenced by factors such as maintenance shutdowns and reduced availability of key feedstocks like aniline and benzene. This limited supply will help support prices in the region. However, demand in key sectors like construction and automotive will remain weak, especially in China, where both industries will experience slowdowns due to economic challenges and a stagnant real estate market.

Looking ahead to Q4 2024 and beyond, the demand for Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate (MDI) in the quarter is expected to remain stable and firm, particularly driven by the automotive and construction sectors. The automotive industry is projected to see a resurgence in polyurethane usage, boosting MDI demand. Additionally, seasonal factors such as the increased consumption of thermoplastic polyurethane for footwear production may also contribute to demand growth.

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is your trusted resource for tracking global methylene diphenyl diisocyanate price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the methylene diphenyl diisocyanate market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With , you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence methylene diphenyl diisocyanate prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with ’s reliable, accurate, and timely methylene diphenyl diisocyanate market data.

Track 's methylene diphenyl diisocyanate price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in methylene diphenyl diisocyanate prices

China-U.S. Trade War (2018-2019): The trade tensions between China and the United States led to tariffs and trade barriers that affected raw material costs and supply chains, impacting MDI prices in the APAC region.
COVID-19 Pandemic (2020-2021): The global pandemic caused major disruptions in manufacturing, supply chains, and demand across industries, including construction and automotive. The resulting economic uncertainty and shutdowns led to significant volatility in MDI prices.
China’s Real Estate Market Slowdown (2018-2022): The slowdown in China’s real estate sector, including the debt crisis faced by major property developers, reduced demand for MDI, which is heavily used in construction materials.
Supply Chain Disruptions (2021-2022): Various factors such as shipping delays, container shortages, and logistical challenges exacerbated by the pandemic led to supply chain disruptions, impacting MDI availability and prices.

These events underscore the MDI market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics.

Methodology and Specifications

methylene diphenyl diisocyanate Pricing Assessment Research Methodology

Data Collection and Sources

Real-Time Market Data: aggregates real-time pricing data from a diverse range of sources, including global commodity exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases. This ensures that our assessments reflect the most current market conditions.

On-the-Ground Intelligence: Our team gathers insights directly from key market participants, including producers, suppliers, traders, and end-users, across major MDI production hubs. This ground-level intelligence is crucial for understanding localized market dynamics.

Supply Chain Monitoring: We track the entire MDI supply chain, from raw material availability (e.g., naphtha, ethane) to production and distribution channels. This includes monitoring feedstock prices, production capacities, and transportation logistics.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis

Geopolitical Tensions: continuously monitors global geopolitical developments, such as conflicts or trade disputes, which can significantly impact MDI prices. Our analysis includes potential disruptions to supply chains and their immediate and long-term effects on pricing.

Natural Disasters and Climate Events: We assess the impact of natural disasters, such as hurricanes or winter storms, on MDI production facilities, particularly in vulnerable regions like the U.S. Gulf Coast. These events are factored into our price forecasts and supply outlooks.

Economic Shifts: evaluates macroeconomic trends, including global economic growth, inflation rates, and sector-specific demand (e.g., automotive, packaging), to predict shifts in MDI demand and corresponding price movements.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

Current Production Monitoring: We maintain a comprehensive database of global MDI production facilities, tracking their operational status, maintenance schedules, and output levels. This allows us to assess current supply availability accurately.

Future Capacity Projections: Our research includes detailed forecasts of upcoming MDI production capacities, factoring in new plant constructions, expansions, and technological advancements. This helps in predicting future supply trends and potential price stabilization.

Demand Forecasting

Sectoral Demand Analysis: provides in-depth analysis of demand trends across key sectors, including packaging, automotive, and construction. We track year-on-year demand growth and project future consumption patterns based on economic indicators and industry developments.

Global Demand Dynamics: Our methodology considers regional demand variations and how they influence global MDI pricing. This includes understanding the impact of shifts in manufacturing bases, trade policies, and environmental regulations.

Pricing Model Development

Dynamic Pricing Models: utilizes advanced econometric models to forecast MDI prices, incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and projected market conditions. Our models are continuously refined to enhance accuracy and predictive power.

Scenario Analysis: We conduct scenario-based assessments to evaluate potential future market conditions. This includes best-case, worst-case, and most likely scenarios, helping our clients prepare for a range of market outcomes.

Reporting and Client Support

Comprehensive Reports: Our clients receive detailed reports that include current price assessments, future price forecasts, and in-depth analysis of market drivers. These reports are designed to be actionable, providing clear insights and recommendations.

Ongoing Support: offers continuous updates and personalized support to our clients, ensuring they have the most up-to-date information to make informed decisions. Our experts are available to discuss specific market developments and provide tailored advice.

This research methodology ensures that delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable MDI pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions.

Specifications

Molecular Weight[g/mol]

250.25

CAS No

9016-87-9

HS Code

39093100

Molecular Formula

C15H10N2O2

methylene diphenyl diisocyanate

MDI (methylene diphenyl diisocyanate), a key component in the production of polyurethane foams. It is derived from aniline and formaldehyde. Polymeric MDI is a mixture of diisocyanates with varying degrees of polymerization which finds widespread use in diverse applications.

Packaging Type

Drum

Grades Covered

Industrial Grade (99.5%purity)

Incoterms Used

FOB China, FOB Japan, FOB Saudi Arabia, FOB South Korea, CIF Turkey (Origin-China), CIF India (Origin-China), CIF Vietnam (Origin-China)

Synonym

p, p'-Diphenylmethane diisocyanate

Quotation Terms:

20-25 MT(Global), 10-15 MT(India)

Ex-Location: This incoterm refers to a shipping agreement where the seller makes the goods available at their premises, and the buyer is responsible for all transportation costs, including shipping, insurance, and any other fees.
CIF: CIF refers to the Cost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF) terms for goods. Under CIF terms, the seller is responsible for the cost of goods, insurance, and freight charges until the goods reach the port of destination.
FD: FD stands for Free Delivered where the seller takes full responsibility for delivering goods to the location/port. This ensures the buyer receives the goods at the designated port with all necessary costs, except import duties, covered.
FOB: FOB refers to the Free On-Board shipping term, where the seller is responsible for the cost and risk of delivering the goods to the port. Once the goods are on board the vessel, the responsibility shifts to the buyer for all costs, including shipping and insurance.

Property	Specification
Purity (%)	99.5
Colour	Brown Liquid
Viscosity (25ºC) / mPas	150~250
Isocyanate content (-NCO)/%	30.5~32.0
Density (25ºC) / (g/cm3)	1.220~1.250
Acidity (%)	≤0.030
Hydrolysis of chlorine (%)	≤0.20

Applications

Manufacturing rigid and semi-rigid polyurethane foam for construction panels, spray heat insulation, refrigeration insulation, and automotive interior panels.

Disclaimer

Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate price provided by is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for methylene diphenyl diisocyanate. disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

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Frequently asked questions

What factors influence the global pricing of Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate (MDI)? +

The price of Methylene Diphenyl Diisocyanate (MDI) is affected by several factors, including the cost of key raw materials such as benzene and aniline. Fluctuations in crude oil prices can impact these feedstock costs, contributing to overall price volatility. Additionally, supply and demand dynamics in key industries like polyurethane foams, adhesives, and coatings play a crucial role. Regulatory policies, environmental restrictions, transportation costs, and production disruptions can also cause price fluctuations. Procurement teams should closely monitor these factors to optimize purchasing strategies.

How does supply chain stability impact MDI market trends? +

The MDI market is sensitive to supply chain disruptions, which can arise from factors such as plant shutdowns, transportation bottlenecks, and raw material shortages. Given that MDI production is concentrated among a few major manufacturers globally, any unexpected outages or regulatory restrictions can lead to price surges. Conversely, increased production capacity or new market entrants may stabilize or reduce prices. Tracking supply chain developments is crucial for businesses looking to manage procurement risks effectively.

What regional pricing variations exist for MDI, and how do they affect sourcing decisions? +

MDI prices differ across regions based on local production capacities, raw material availability, and demand conditions. Asia, particularly China, is a major producer and consumer, often benefiting from economies of scale and competitive pricing. North America and Europe, with stricter environmental regulations and higher production costs, may experience relatively higher prices. Procurement teams should evaluate regional price trends and consider factors like import duties, freight costs, and supplier reliability when making sourcing decisions.