In the first half of 2024, n-heptane prices have surged globally, driven by a combination of factors. The primary cause is the increase in crude oil prices, which serve as the main feedstock for n-heptane production. This rise in crude oil prices is largely due to OPEC+ production cuts and escalating geopolitical tensions, which have constrained supply. Additionally, strong demand from the paints and coatings industry—where n-heptane is widely used as a solvent and thinner—has further exacerbated the situation. The combination of higher production costs and increased demand has led to significant price hikes for n-heptane in the market.
In Q1, the Asian market experienced a modest price increase of 1.47%, driven by rising demand for n-heptane. In contrast, the broader APAC region saw a decline of 4.49% in prices, largely attributed to supply constraints and disruptions in trade routes. This divergence highlights the complexities of regional market dynamics, where localized demand can drive prices up even as broader supply challenges exert downward pressure.
In Q2 of 2024, n-heptane prices surged by 8.28% in the Chinese market, contributing to a broader growth of 7.5% across the APAC region. This increase was primarily driven by heightened demand from the paint and coatings industry, coupled with rising crude oil prices as feedstock. Additionally, supply constraints intensified due to escalating tensions in the Middle East and ongoing trade route disruptions, further exacerbating the situation. These factors collectively underscored the interconnectedness of global markets and the impact of geopolitical dynamics on pricing trends.
In Q3, the upward trend in n-heptane prices continued, driven by several key factors. The paint and coating industry experienced rising demand, significantly contributing to higher n-heptane consumption. The Chinese market saw a remarkable 16% increase in prices, influenced by ongoing logistics challenges and seasonal demand spikes. However, the ongoing crisis in China’s property market and the broader economic slowdown raised concerns about long-term demand stability, which could impact the industry despite the current price rise. Similarly, South Korea experienced a price increase of 4.3%, reflecting comparable trends in demand and logistical pressures. Overall, the APAC region witnessed price growth due to these interconnected dynamics.
In Q4 2024, n-heptane prices are expected to remain volatile due to sustained demand from the paint and coating industry, seasonal factors, and rising crude oil prices. However, economic challenges in China and geopolitical tensions may create uncertainty, leading to potential fluctuations in pricing.