Neodymium Pricing Assessment

  • Commodity Pricing

neodymium Markets Covered: 

cnChina
inIndia
nlNetherlands
usUnited States

neodymium Markets Covered: 

Global neodymium Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast​

Q1 2025 

In Q1 2025, neodymium experienced a notable price decrease of $70,407 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai representing a 1.79% drop. This downward trend likely reflects a combination of easing demand pressures particularly from the electric vehicle and renewable energy sectors and improving global supply chains that have rebounded from earlier disruptions. Additionally, increased production in key markets such as China may have contributed to the oversupply, putting further downward pressure on prices. Market sentiment also suggests cautious investor behaviour amid broader economic uncertainties, influencing short-term pricing dynamics for this critical rare earth element. 

Q4 2024 

In Q4 2024, neodymium experienced a significant price surge, rising by $71,693 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai marking a 5.17% increase. This sharp uptick reflects intensified demand driven by robust growth in the electric vehicle (EV) and renewable energy sectors, particularly for neodymium-based permanent magnets used in high-efficiency motors and wind turbines. Supply constraints, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and tighter export controls from major producers like China, also contributed to the price escalation. The market’s bullish sentiment underscores neodymium’s critical role in the global energy transition and highlights the growing strategic importance of securing stable supply chains for rare earth elements. 

Q3 2024 

In Q3 2024, neodymium prices are projected to see a significant rise, increasing by $68,167 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai reflecting a 3.28% price jump. This surge can be attributed to a combination of factors, including increased demand for neodymium in high-tech industries like electric vehicles, renewable energy, and electronics, where it is crucial for the production of powerful magnets. Additionally, supply chain constraints, such as geopolitical tensions and mining challenges, could limit availability, further driving up prices. The ongoing push towards green technologies and clean energy transitions may also contribute to a sustained demand for neodymium, maintaining upward pressure on its market value throughout the quarter. 

Q2 2024 

In Q2 2024, the price of neodymium has seen a notable decrease of $66,000 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai reflecting a 4.35% drop. This decline could be attributed to a variety of factors such as reduced demand from key industries like electronics and automotive, fluctuations in supply chain dynamics, or changes in the global market conditions. The drop in price might also indicate an oversupply or increased competition from alternative materials, impacting the market’s pricing power. Companies reliant on neodymium for manufacturing, especially in sectors like magnets for electric vehicles and renewable energy, may benefit from the lower costs, although this shift could also signal wider market adjustments or economic uncertainty. 

Q1 2024 

In Q1 2024, the neodymium market experienced a significant price decrease of $69,000 per metric ton, FOB Shanghai marking a 15.51% drop. This decline is attributed to various factors, including a potential easing of demand in key sectors such as electric vehicles and renewable energy, as well as an increase in production capacity and inventory levels in China, the dominant supplier of rare earth elements. The decrease in neodymium prices reflects a shift in market dynamics, with a balancing of supply and demand pressures, leading to a correction after prior price surges. While the drop may provide some relief to manufacturers reliant on these materials, it also signals a potential slowdown in the aggressive growth of industries heavily dependent on neodymium. 

India neodymium Price Trend, Analysis and Forecast

Q1 2025 

In Q1 2025, India’s neodymium market experienced a notable price increase of $73,756 per metric ton, CIF Nhava Sheva (China) reflecting a 0.74% rise from the previous quarter. This uptick is attributed to tightening global supply chains and increased demand in sectors such as electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy technologies. Notably, Australian producer Lynas Rare Earths reported a 12% year-over-year reduction in neodymium-praseodymium (NdPr) oxide production during the quarter, contributing to supply constraints. Additionally, geopolitical factors, including China’s export controls on medium- and heavy rare earths, have further influenced market dynamics. These developments underscore the growing importance of strategic sourcing and supply chain resilience in the rare earth market. 

Q4 2024 

In Quarter 4 of 2024, the price of neodymium in India saw a significant increase, rising by $73,217 per metric ton, CIF Nhava Sheva (China) which represents a 5.99% surge. This uptick is reflective of global supply constraints and growing demand, driven largely by the expansion of renewable energy technologies, electric vehicle production, and high-performance magnets, where neodymium is a critical component. The price hike may be a result of tightening supply chains, increased raw material costs, and geopolitical factors influencing global trade dynamics. The rise in prices could potentially impact industries relying on neodymium, such as electronics, automotive, and green tech, while also prompting local producers to adjust their procurement strategies. 

Q3 2024 

In Q3 2024, India’s neodymium market saw a notable price increase of $69,082 per metric ton, CIF Nhava Sheva (China) reflecting a 4.31% rise compared to the previous quarter. This price surge is indicative of growing demand for the rare-earth element, driven by its critical role in the production of high-performance magnets used in industries such as electronics, electric vehicles, and renewable energy. The increase in pricing could also be attributed to tightening global supply chains, as well as potential disruptions in key production regions. As India continues to position itself as a key player in the global rare-earth market, this price hike might signal an ongoing trend of increased material costs in the coming quarters, affecting manufacturers and industries dependent on neodymium. 

Q2 2024 

In Q2 2024, the neodymium request in India endured a notable decline, with prices dwindling by$ 66,227 per metric ton, CIF Nhava Sheva (China) reflecting a 3.49% drop. This price reduction could be attributed to a combination of factors, including implicit surfeit, oscillations in global demand, or changes in product costs. As neodymium is a critical element used in the manufacturing of attractions for diligence like electric vehicles and renewable energy, such a decline might impact product costs and demand in affiliated sectors. This price dip may also reflect broader request trends or shifts in global force chains, as India continues to place itself in the global rare earth rudiments request. 

 

Q1 2024 

In Q1 2024, India’s neodymium market experienced a significant downturn, with prices declining by $68,623 per metric ton, CIF Nhava Sheva (China) marking a 14.28% drop. This decline mirrors global trends, as neodymium oxide prices in China fell to their lowest levels since late 2020, driven by oversupply and subdued demand from sectors like electric vehicles and renewable energy. The global output of rare earth metals increased by 10% in 2023, surpassing demand growth, which intensified downward pressure on prices. Despite efforts by companies like Lynas to expand market share and develop new production capabilities, overall sentiment remained bearish, with prices reflecting broader economic challenges and fluctuating demand patterns.

neodymium Parameters Covered: 

  • Monazite and Xenotime 
  • China 
  • Neodymium (Neodymium Magnets, Metal Alloys, Catalysts, Glass and Ceramics, Battery Production, Nuclear Technology, Lighting, Research and Development.) 
  • USA
  • India
  • Netherlands 

neodymium Parameters Covered: 

  • Monazite and Xenotime 
  • China 
  • Neodymium (Neodymium Magnets, Metal Alloys, Catalysts, Glass and Ceramics, Battery Production, Nuclear Technology, Lighting, Research and Development.) 
  • USA
  • India
  • Netherlands 

Why PriceWatch?

PriceWatch is your trusted resource for tracking global neodymium price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the neodymium market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, PriceWatch keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, PriceWatch provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With PriceWatch, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence neodymium prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with PriceWatch’s reliable, accurate, and timely neodymium market data.

Track PriceWatch's neodymium price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Neodymium prices

  • Technological Innovation (2020–2021): Advances in magnet design and substitution reduced Neodymium use, putting downward pressure on prices as efficiency improved. 
  • Geopolitical Tensions (2017–2019): U.S.-China trade disputes created fears of supply disruptions, causing price spikes due to uncertainty and stockpiling. 
  • Electric Vehicle & Wind Energy Growth (2015–2019): Increasing demand for Neodymium in EVs and wind turbines drove prices up as green technologies boomed. 

Data Collection and Sources​

  • Real-Time Market Data: We aggregate data from global exchanges, industry reports, and proprietary databases to provide accurate and timely assessments.
  • On-the-Ground Intelligence: Insights from producers, suppliers, and end-users in key production hubs are integrated to understand market dynamics.
  • Supply Chain Monitoring: Comprehensive tracking of raw materials and production channels to assess supply conditions.

Event Tracking and Impact Analysis​

  • Geopolitical Tensions: Continuous monitoring of geopolitical events affecting supply chains and pricing.
  • Economic Shifts: Analysis of macroeconomic factors and sector-specific demand to predict market movements.

Production Capacity and Supply Analysis

  • Current Production Monitoring: Detailed tracking of operational Neodymium production facilities and their outputs.
  • Future Capacity Projections: Forecasting new capacity additions and technological innovations in Neodymium production.

Demand Forecasting

  • Sectoral Demand Analysis: Evaluating Neodymium demand in semiconductors, photovoltaics, and other applications.
  • Global Demand Dynamics: Regional demand variations and their impact on global pricing.

Pricing Model Development

  • Dynamic Pricing Models: Advanced models incorporating real-time data, historical trends, and market projections.
  • Scenario Analysis: Assessing potential market conditions under various scenarios.

Reporting and Client Support

  • Comprehensive Reports: Detailed analyses of current and future price trends, with actionable insights.
  • Ongoing Support: Continuous updates and expert advice tailored to client needs.

This research methodology ensures that PriceWatch delivers the most accurate, timely, and actionable Neodymium pricing assessments, helping our clients stay ahead of market trends and make informed business decisions. 
 

Molecular Weight[g/mol]

CAS No

HS Code

280530

Molecular Formula

neodymium

Neodymium is a rare earth metal renowned for its powerful magnetic properties, making it an essential material in the production of high-strength permanent magnets. Extracted primarily from monazite and bastnäsite ores, neodymium is a key component in neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets, which are the strongest commercially available magnets. These magnets are widely used in electric vehicles, wind turbines, headphones, hard drives, and other advanced electronic devices. Neodymium’s unique magnetic performance enables compact, lightweight designs while maintaining high energy efficiency, making it a cornerstone in modern, sustainable, and high-performance technologies.

Packaging Type

Steel drum

Grades Covered

Purity:99%

Incoterms Used

CIF Nhava Sheva (China), FOB Shanghai, CIF Rotterdam (China), CIF Houston (China)

Synonym

PriceWatch Quotation Terms:

8-10 MT

Ex-Location: This incoterm refers to a shipping agreement where the seller makes the goods available at their premises, and the buyer is responsible for all transportation costs, including shipping, insurance, and any other fees.
CIF: CIF refers to the Cost, Insurance, and Freight (CIF) terms for goods. Under CIF terms, the seller is responsible for the cost of goods, insurance, and freight charges until the goods reach the port of destination.
FD: FD stands for Free Delivered where the seller takes full responsibility for delivering goods to the location/port. This ensures the buyer receives the goods at the designated port with all necessary costs, except import duties, covered.
FOB: FOB refers to the Free On-Board shipping term, where the seller is responsible for the cost and risk of delivering the goods to the port. Once the goods are on board the vessel, the responsibility shifts to the buyer for all costs, including shipping and insurance.

Property  Specification 
Chemical Symbol  Nd 
Atomic Number  60 
Purity (Commercial Grade)  ≥ 99.5% (REO basis)  
Appearance  Silvery-white, soft, malleable metal 
Atomic Weight  144.24 u 
Melting Point  ~1,024°C 
Boiling Point  ~3,074°C 
Density  ~7.01 g/cm³ 

Applications

  • Aerospace: Neodymium is used in aerospace systems for high-strength permanent magnets in sensors, actuators, and compact electronic components, enhancing performance and miniaturization.
    Automotive: Neodymium is a key component in permanent magnets for electric vehicle (EV) motors, enabling higher torque, improved efficiency, and reduced motor size.
    Construction: Neodymium is utilized in energy-efficient lighting and smart glass technologies, supporting advanced architectural designs and sustainable building systems.
    Electrical: Neodymium is critical in the production of powerful magnets for generators, wind turbines, and electric motors, playing a major role in renewable energy systems.
    Packaging: Neodymium-based magnets are used in intelligent packaging solutions, including magnetic seals and embedded sensor systems for high-tech consumer products.
    Marine: In marine technology, neodymium magnets are used in electric propulsion systems, sonar equipment, and underwater sensors, offering strong performance and corrosion resistance.
    Household Goods: Neodymium contributes to compact, high-efficiency motors in appliances such as vacuum cleaners, air conditioners, and advanced audio systems.
    Industrial Machinery: Neodymium is essential in the manufacturing of high-performance motors, robotic systems, and automation tools requiring strong, durable magnets.
    Other: Neodymium is used in advanced medical equipment (e.g., MRI machines), optical devices, laser systems, and hard disk drives, making it indispensable in healthcare and electronics. 

 

Neodymium is a rare-earth element renowned for its exceptional magnetic properties, making it a critical material in the production of powerful permanent magnets, particularly in motors, hard drives, and loudspeakers. It is a key component in high-performance magnets, such as those used in electric vehicles, wind turbines, and hybrid technologies. Neodymium also has significant applications in lasers, optical devices, and in the production of high-strength alloys. Its unique ability to generate strong magnetic fields while maintaining a lightweight profile makes it indispensable for energy-efficient and high-tech applications. 

Neodymium price provided by PriceWatch is a base price and excludes VAT/Taxes, discounts, or offers. The information herein is accurate to the best of our knowledge as of the date indicated and is provided solely for the convenience of our customers as a reference for neodymium. PriceWatch disclaims any warranties or representations regarding the accuracy of results derived from this information. It is the sole responsibility of the user to assess the suitability of the product for their specific application. This document does not constitute an endorsement to use the product in violation of any applicable patent rights.

The pricing of Neodymium is influenced by several factors, including:

i. Supply & Availability
• Primary Production: Neodymium is extracted primarily from bastnasite and monazite ores, often alongside other light rare earth elements. Its availability depends heavily on mining and refining capabilities, particularly in China.
• Global Reserves: China controls the majority of neodymium production, with additional reserves in countries like Australia, the United States, and Myanmar. Changes in production quotas, export controls, or mining policies in these regions can impact global supply and price.

ii. Demand from Key Industries
• Permanent Magnets: Neodymium is essential for producing NdFeB (neodymium-iron-boron) magnets, which are the strongest commercially available permanent magnets. These are widely used in electric motors, headphones, wind turbines, and other high-efficiency devices.
• Electric Vehicles (EVs): The rapid expansion of the EV market significantly increases demand for neodymium due to its critical role in motor magnets.
• Consumer Electronics: Neodymium magnets are used in smartphones, computers, and audio equipment, contributing to consistent baseline demand.

iii. Purity & Quality
• High-Purity Grades: Neodymium is available in different purities (e.g., 3N, 4N). Higher purity neodymium commands a premium price due to the complex processing required to achieve lower impurity levels, especially for applications in advanced electronics or magnet manufacturing.

iv. Geopolitical Factors
• Export Controls & Quotas: China’s dominant position allows it to influence prices through export quotas, tariffs, or restrictions. These geopolitical actions often result in global supply uncertainties.
• Strategic Stockpiling: Some countries or corporations maintain stockpiles of rare earths, including neodymium, which can temporarily distort market supply and pricing.

v. Market Speculation & Investment Trends
• Commodities Markets: Investor interest in critical materials, especially those tied to green technologies and future growth sectors, can lead to speculative price spikes.
• Short-Term Volatility: Neodymium prices can be highly volatile due to fluctuating demand signals, stock market sentiment, and news around technological breakthroughs or supply chain concerns.

vi. Alternative Materials & Substitutes
• Substitution Research: Ongoing R&D seeks to reduce or eliminate neodymium from magnets, either by using different rare earth elements or by developing new magnet technologies (e.g., ferrite magnets, samarium-cobalt alternatives). Successful innovations could reduce future demand and pricing pressure.
• Magnet Design Innovations: Engineering advances that use neodymium more efficiently or reduce dependency on rare earths can affect overall demand.

vii. Processing & Refinement Costs
• Complex Separation: Neodymium is often found with other light rare earths and requires significant chemical separation and refining. Rising energy and labor costs impact these operations, increasing the final price.
• Environmental Regulations: Stricter environmental controls, particularly in China, may raise production costs and limit output, influencing global prices.

viii. Currency Exchange Rates
• Global Trading Impact: Neodymium is traded internationally, typically priced in U.S. dollars. Fluctuations in major currencies (USD, CNY, EUR) affect pricing, particularly for importing nations. Exchange rate volatility can either mitigate or amplify underlying supply/demand pressures.

Rising feedstock prices increase the cost of producing neodymium, leading to higher market prices and potential supply constraints.

Inflation can raise neodymium prices by increasing production and energy costs, while also driving up demand for high-tech applications such as electric motors, wind turbines, and electronics.

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