In Q1 2024, the global market of Phthalic Anhydride (PA) experienced a decline in prices. In South Korea prices declined by approximately 13.8% in Q1 2024 compared to Q4 2023. One major reason was weak demand from downstream industries, such as plasticizers and resins, which are critical consumers of phthalic anhydride. Additionally, the decrease in the price of key raw materials like o-xylene, a primary feedstock for phthalic anhydride, further contributed to this downward trend. There was excess inventory buildup, particularly in countries like China, Korea, leading producers to lower their prices to clear stock. The situation was compounded by producers scaling back output due to excess storage and weak consumption from sectors like paints and coatings.
In Q2 2024, PA gained prices by approximately 4.7% from Q1 2024. After the decline in Q1 2024, demand from key downstream industries, such as construction, adhesives, coatings, and plastics, increased. Particularly in Asia, infrastructure development projects, especially in India and China, drove up the consumption of PA, leading to a price recovery. The economic environment improved slightly in Q2, especially in Asia, with inflation stabilizing and industrial activity picking up pace, which contributed to the increase in demand for PA.
Looking ahead for Q3, prices are expected to remain relatively stable but subject to upward pressure, particularly in regions with increased construction activities and rising demand for plasticizers. However, the market could face downward pressure if global economic uncertainties persist or if feedstock prices soften, especially in Asia, where the market is particularly sensitive to these variables.
For Q4 2024, phthalic anhydride (PA) prices are expected to rise compared to earlier in the year, influenced by several key factors. The gradual recovery in economic activity, particularly in regions like Asia-Pacific and Europe, is boosting demand for PA, which is widely used in plastics, paints, and coatings. This is especially true in sectors like automotive and construction, which are beginning to regain momentum.