In Q1 2024, the global Polypropylene (PP) market exhibited mixed trends, with price increases observed in the European and APAC markets, while the U.S. market saw a decline. In Europe and APAC, moderate volatility in the PP market was driven by fluctuating raw material costs and geopolitical tensions. Rising feedstock propylene prices and changes in crude oil costs influenced price movements. Logistical challenges, such as disruptions in critical shipping routes, escalated freight and insurance costs, further impacting PP price structures. The broader market was shaped by seasonal demand variations and stockpiling in anticipation of future price hikes.
In Q2 2024, the North American and APAC Polypropylene markets saw significant price increases driven by supply-demand imbalances, rising global freight rates, and higher feedstock costs. Unplanned plant shutdowns exacerbated supply constraints, while robust demand from downstream sectors, particularly the automotive industry, contributed to bullish market conditions. Freight rates from Asia to North America surged by over 40%, pushing up import costs. In contrast, the European market experienced a 10% price decline due to lower feedstock costs, subdued demand from key sectors like automotive and construction, and an oversupply of material. High financing costs and reduced consumer spending further dampened demand, especially in the German construction sector, which faced contraction.
By early Q3 2024, the global PP market displayed a mixed trend. In Europe, prices were bullish due to higher feedstock costs and regional plant shutdowns, which caused short-term supply shortages. Rising freight rates also contributed to price increases. In Asia and the U.S., PP prices remained stable, supported by consistent feedstock prices and a balanced supply-demand scenario. The price of Polypropylene Co-polymer Injection Moulding Grade hovered around USD 1,346/MT FD Antwerp after an 8% increase in July 2024.
Looking ahead to Q4 2024, PP prices are anticipated to rise due to strong demand from the downstream automotive sector, driven by increased sales during the festive season. Additionally, anticipated increases in feedstock propylene and crude oil prices are expected to impact the pricing dynamics of Polypropylene.