In Q1 2024, prices of adipic acid in China’s domestic market increased by approximately 3% compared to Q4 2023. This increase was attributed to several factors, including higher prices for raw materials, particularly cyclohexane, as well as logistics and transportation challenges. The bullish price trend is also witnessed from the major importing countries including Egypt, Turkey and Southeast Asian countries. This rise was majorly driven by a rise in freight charges and other transportation cost. Variations in demand from industries such as automotive and textiles also influenced price fluctuations. This fluctuation was observed in South Korea and other APAC regions due to changes in demand and supply.
In Q2 2024, adipic acid prices in China’s domestic market fluctuated around 1.5% compared to Q1 2024. This fluctuation was caused by disruption in the demand and supply of adipic acid in the automotive and textile industries. Similar fluctuations were also observed in various regions of the APAC market.
During Q3 2024, in August, the China domestic adipic acid market continued to decline. According to the reports, as of August 31, the monthly decline in adipic acid was 3.68%, and the market trading centre was still shifting downwards.
In Q4 2024, the price forecast for adipic acid shows potential stabilization or moderate increases, influenced by several key factors. Demand from industries like automotive, textiles, and packaging remains significant, but supply chain pressures and raw material costs (such as benzene and cyclohexane) will likely play a role in shaping price dynamics. In APAC Region, particularly China, prices may see slight fluctuations due to supply-demand imbalances and ongoing economic uncertainties.
There are also concerns about environmental regulations and the development of bio-based substitutes, which could further impact traditional adipic acid pricing. Adipic acid prices in Q4 2024 may increase slightly, they are expected to remain within manageable ranges unless significant disruptions occur in raw material availability or regulatory frameworks.