In Q1 2024, the global benzene market experienced a bearish trend, particularly in South Korea (APAC region), where prices were reported at $1010/MT. This marked a significant decrease of -11.88% from the previous quarter, driven primarily by weak demand from downstream industries, including styrene monomer and phenol manufacturers. In addition, lower crude oil prices globally contributed to the downward pressure on benzene prices. The market also saw limited export opportunities due to geopolitical tensions and sluggish industrial activity in key regions like Europe, further adding to the softness in pricing.
In Q2 2024, benzene prices in South Korea showed a positive recovery, with prices increasing to $1050/MT, reflecting a +3.96% rise from Q1. This upward trend was largely attributed to stronger demand from the automotive and packaging sectors, as well as a rebound in industrial activities post-Lunar New Year. The global market also saw a surge in demand for benzene derivatives, such as styrene and nylon, particularly in the APAC region, which helped stabilize prices. Rising crude oil prices, coupled with tightening supplies due to planned refinery maintenance in key regions, further supported the upward price movement.
By Q3 2024, the benzene market entered a bearish phase again, with prices in South Korea reported at $1000/MT in July, a decrease of -3.85% from Q2. This downturn was driven by an oversupply of benzene, especially from refineries in the Middle East and the U.S., combined with weaker demand from the downstream chemical sectors. The global supply chain also faced disruptions due to logistical challenges, including port congestion in major Asian hubs, which limited exports and added to the oversupply situation. Additionally, inflationary pressures across Europe and North America softened demand in consumer-facing industries, further depressing prices.
Looking ahead to Q4 2024, the benzene market is expected to face mixed conditions. On the one hand, increased demand from the packaging and automotive sectors during the festive season could apply upward pressure on prices, particularly as supply remains constrained in certain regions due to ongoing logistical issues. However, the global market might continue to struggle with an oversupply of benzene. As a result, the benzene market may see fluctuating prices, with the possibility of slight increases driven by short-term demand spikes, but overall subdued growth due to underlying supply-demand imbalances.