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Polyalphaolefin (pao) Price Trend and Forecast

UNSPC code: 15121500
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⟳ Weekly Update
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Historical Data Since 2015
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Forecast for 2026

polyalphaolefin (pao) Price Trends by Country

usUnited States
beBelgium
inIndia
cnChina
mxMexico
brBrazil
frFrance
trTurkey

Global polyalphaolefin (pao) Spot Market Prices, Trend Analysis and Forecast

Price-Watch™ provides real-time price assessments and price forecasts for Polyalphaolefin (PAO) across top trading regions: 

Polyalphaolefin (PAO)
Regional Coverage  		 Polyalphaolefin Grade and Country Coverage   Polyalphaolefin Pricing Data Coverage Explanation  
  

  

  

Asia Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Pricing Analysis  

   

 Polyalphaolefin (PAO- 8 CST) CIF Prices at Nhava Sheva port, India, Importing from USA   Weekly Price Update on Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Real-Time Import Prices at Nhava Sheva port, India from USA 
Polyalphaolefin (PAO- 8 CST) Ex-Mumbai Domestic Prices, India   Real-Time Weekly Price Update of Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Domestic Prices in Mumbai, India  
Polyalphaolefin (PAO- 8 CST) CIF Prices at Shanghai port, China, Importing from USA   Weekly Price Update on Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Real-Time Import Prices at Shanghai port, China from USA 
 

Europe Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Pricing Analysis  

 

 Polyalphaolefin (PAO- 6 CST) FOB Prices at Antwerp port, Belgium  Weekly Price Update on Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Real-Time Export Prices from Antwerp port, Belgium to Global Markets  
Polyalphaolefin (PAO- 6 CST) FD Prices at Le Havre, France  Weekly Price Update on Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Real-Time Export Prices from Le Havre, France to France Markets  
Polyalphaolefin (PAO- 8 CST) CIF Prices at Mersin port, Turkey, Importing from Belgium   Weekly Price Update on Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Real-Time Import Prices at Mersin port, Turkey from Belgium 
North America Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Pricing Analysis  

 

 Polyalphaolefin (PAO- 8 CST) FOB Prices at Houston port, USA  Weekly Price Update on Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Real-Time Export Prices from Houston port, USA to Global Markets  
Polyalphaolefin (PAO- 8 CST) CIF Prices at Manzanillo port, Mexico, Importing from USA   Weekly Price Update on Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Real-Time Import Prices at Manzanillo port, Mexico from USA 
South America Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Pricing Analysis  

 

 Polyalphaolefin (PAO- 6 CST) CIF Prices at Santos port, Brazil, Importing from Belgium   Weekly Price Update on Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Real-Time Import Prices at Santos port, Brazil from Belgium 

Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Price Trend Q1 2026

In Q1-2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in major markets have declined compared to the previous quarter. March has seen a rebound due to the Iran-Israel-US conflict and Strait of Hormuz closure, tightening global supply and boosting demand.

USA: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Export prices FOB Houston, USA; Grade- PAO 8 CST

In the first quarter of 2026, the Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in the United States have dropped significantly because of weak demand for industry. The trends in the price development of the Polyalphaolefin (PAO) in the United States have been affected by low cost of feedstock and low purchasing activity.

In the first quarter of 2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in the United States have fallen by 3.43% compared to the third quarter. Buyers’ activities have been constrained since there are sufficient inventories.In the USA, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in March 2026 have shown positive changes since they have increased by 3.81% compared to February 2026 because of strong demand for the material from the lubricants production.

Export conditions have improved due to new orders received from Asia and Europe. Price increase has been affected by high tension between Iran, Israel, and US and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Belgium: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Export prices FOB Antwerp, Belgium; Grade- PAO 6 CST

For Q1 2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in Belgium have been under pressure due to minimal industry activity in the region. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Belgium has been affected by low demand in the region and fluctuating exchange rates. Prices of Polyalphaolefin (PAO) in Belgium have fallen by 4.47% from the previous quarter due to Q1 2026. Import volumes by buyers have been controlled.

In Belgium, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in March 2026 have appreciated by 4.19% against the previous month on active purchase from downstream sectors for the product. Market optimism has risen owing to rising inventories. Q1 2026 market performance has seen a period of volatility due to seasonality in addition to other factors in the supply chain. Price appreciation in March has been driven by an escalated Iran-Israel-US clash coupled with the closure of the critical strait of Hormuz.

Mexico: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Manzanillo, Mexico; Grade- PAO 8 CST

For Q1 2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in Mexico have fallen because of lower industrial demand. The pricing dynamics of Polyalphaolefin (PAO) in Mexico have been impacted negatively by low imports and weak demand for lubricants. For Q1 2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Mexico have fallen by 3.34% against the prior quarter. Purchases have been deferred by importers.

In Mexico, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in March 2026 have risen by 3.71% compared to the prior month because of restocking. Responding to favorable downstream demand from the auto industry and the industrial sector, market players have taken action accordingly. The rise in price during March 2026 is attributed to growing conflict between Iran, Israel, and the US, leading to the effective shutdown of the vital Strait of Hormuz.

China: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Shanghai, China; Grade- PAO 8 CST

In the first quarter of 2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in China have eased owing to low demand for lubricants. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price behavior in China has been affected by sluggish industrial production and imports. In the first quarter of 2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in China have fallen by 3.41% from the last quarter. Buyers have slowed down their spot buying to keep their inventories stable.

In China, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in March 2026 have recovered by 3.74% from the previous month owing to high demand from manufacturing industries. Suppliers have reacted to rising demands for base oils. The March price recovery has been driven by rising tensions between Iran, Israel, and the US and the blockage of the important Strait of Hormuz due to oil flow disruptions.

France: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Domestic prices FD Le Havre, France; Grade- PAO 6 CST

In Q1 2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in France have fallen on the back of low demand for industrial lubricants. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price movement in France has been impacted by low domestic demand and high inventories. In Q1 2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in France have fallen by 4.52% on a quarter-on-quarter basis. Consumers have postponed purchases due to low usage.

In France, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in March 2026 have increased by 4.07% on a month-on-month basis due to increased activity in the production of lubricants. Market players have responded to changes in seasonality. The price increase in March 2026 has been attributed to rising tensions between Iran, Israel, and the United States and the blockage of the critical Strait of Hormuz.

Turkey: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Mersin, Turkey; Grade- PAO 6 CST

In Q1-2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in Turkey have decreased due to slow industrial and automotive demand. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Turkey has been affected by soft imports and subdued downstream activity. Q1-2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in Turkey have decreased by 4.55% compared to the previous quarter. Importers have reduced purchasing amid lower margins.

In Turkey, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in March 2026 have risen by 4.06% compared to the previous month due to restocking from lubricant manufacturers. Market participants have managed inventory cautiously. The March 2026 price increase has been driven by escalating Iran‑Israel‑US conflict and effective closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz, disrupting oil flows and tightening global supply.

Brazil: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Santos, Brazil; Grade- PAO 6 CST

In Q1-2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in Brazil have declined amid weak lubricant and industrial consumption. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Brazil has been influenced by reduced imports and slow downstream demand. Q1-2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in Brazil have decreased by 4.58% compared to the previous quarter. Buyers have limited procurement due to high inventory levels.

In Brazil, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in March 2026 have increased by 3.88% compared to the previous month due to replenishment demand from automotive sectors. The March price increase has been driven by escalating Iran‑Israel‑US conflict and effective closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz, disrupting oil flows and tightening global supply.

India: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Nhava Sheva, India; Grade- PAO 8 CST

In Q1-2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in India have declined due to weaker industrial lubricant demand. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in India has been influenced by reduced imports and stable inventories. Q1-2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in India have decreased by 3.41% compared to the previous quarter. Buyers have slowed procurement amid limited consumption.

In India, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in March 2026 have increased by 3.65% compared to the previous month due to replenishment from automotive and lubricant sectors. The March price increase has been driven by escalating Iran‑Israel‑US conflict and effective closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz, disrupting oil flows and tightening global supply.

India: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Domestic prices Ex-Mumbai, India; Grade- PAO 8 CST

According to Price-Watch™, in Q1-2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in India have fallen steadily in the domestic market. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in India has been affected by weak industrial consumption and excess supply. Q1-2026, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in India have decreased by 2.63% compared to the previous quarter. Domestic buyers have reduced orders to manage stock levels.

In India, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in March 2026 have increased by 2.25% compared to the previous month due to higher demand from lubricant manufacturers. The March price increase has been driven by escalating Iran‑Israel‑US conflict and effective closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz, disrupting oil flows and tightening global supply.

Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Price Trend Analysis: Q4 2025

In Q4-2025, PAO prices rose steadily in USA, Belgium, Mexico, China, France, Turkey, Brazil, and India (imports) due to stable demand and balanced supply. Domestic India prices declined amid weak consumption. December saw slight month-on-month easing across markets.

USA: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Export prices FOB Houston, USA; Grade- PAO 8 CST

In Q4 2025, there have been stable increases in the Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in the United States. The prices of Polyalphaolefin (PAO) in the United States have been on an increasing trend because of constant demand for lubricants. There has been continuous procurement by participants under supply equilibrium conditions. In Q4 2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in the USA have risen by 1.21%. This increase has been driven by industrial usage and rising feedstock prices. There has been consistency in export demand during the period. In the USA, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in December 2025 has been a decrease by 0.34% because of weak spot demand. Inventories have been adequate throughout the market.

Belgium: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Export prices FOB Antwerp, Belgium; Grade- PAO 6 CST

Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in Belgium have exhibited an increasing trend during Q4 2025. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Belgium has been driven by stable demand for automotive lubricants. The supply side has been balanced in the quarter. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in Belgium have risen by 3.17% during Q4 2025 from the previous quarter. This increase has been driven by positive consumption and export trends. In Belgium, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in December 2025 have declined by 1.96% from the previous month due to reduced demand.

Mexico: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Manzanillo, Mexico; Grade- PAO 8 CST

Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in Mexico have risen steadily in Q4 2025. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Mexico has been affected by the stable demand for imports and the cost of logistics. The market players kept the inventory level balanced throughout the quarter. Prices for Polyalphaolefin (PAO) in Mexico have gone up by 1.18% against the previous quarter in Q4 2025. Such price growth has been determined by the stable demand from the downstream sectors. The dependence on imports kept affecting the pricing. In Mexico, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in December 2025 fell by 0.33% against the previous month in December 2025 due to lower demand.

China: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Shanghai, China; Grade- PAO 8 CST

Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in China have exhibited a moderate increase during Q4 2025. The price movement of Polyalphaolefin (PAO) in China has been boosted by steady demand for lubricants. The import volume of the material has stayed constant throughout the quarter. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in China have risen by 1.24% from the last quarter. This rise has been owing to stable demand from the end-user industries. In China, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in December 2025 have experienced a decline of 0.33% compared to the last month in December 2025. The decrease has been caused by weaker demand due to seasonal considerations.

France: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Domestic prices FD Le Havre, France; Grade- PAO 6 CST

There has been an increase in the Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in France in Q4 2025. There has been a growth in the Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in France due to the high demand for industrial lubricants. The supply of Polyalphaolefin (PAO) has remained constant in Q4 2025. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in France has risen by 3.31% in Q4 2025 when compared to Q3 2025. There has been an increase in consumption trends. In France, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in December 2025 have fallen by 2.55% due to low demand.

Turkey: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Mersin, Turkey; Grade- PAO 6 CST

In Q4-2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in Turkey have shown a steady upward trend. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Turkey has been influenced by stable import demand and currency fluctuations. Market participants have maintained cautious procurement strategies. Q4-2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in Turkey have increased by 3.07% compared to the previous quarter. This growth has reflected balanced supply-demand conditions. Import dependency has influenced pricing trends. In Turkey, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in December 2025 have decreased by 2.59% compared to the previous month due to reduced demand. Trading activity has slowed.

Brazil: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Santos, Brazil; Grade- PAO 6 CST

In Q4-2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in Brazil have shown an upward movement. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Brazil has been supported by steady demand from lubricant industries. Import volumes have remained consistent during the quarter. Q4-2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in Brazil have increased by 3.31% compared to the previous quarter. This increase has reflected stable consumption patterns. Market participants have maintained balanced procurement strategies. In Brazil, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in December 2025 have decreased by 2.58% compared to the previous month due to weaker demand. Seasonal slowdown has impacted pricing.

India: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Nhava Sheva, India; Grade- PAO 8 CST

In Q4-2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in India have shown a slight upward trend. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in India has been influenced by steady import demand. Market participants have maintained stable procurement strategies during the quarter. Q4-2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in India have increased by 1.04% compared to the previous quarter. This rise has reflected balanced supply-demand conditions. Import dependency has continued to influence pricing. In India, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in December 2025 have decreased by 0.65% compared to the previous month due to weaker demand. Inventory levels have remained sufficient.

India: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Domestic prices Ex-Mumbai, India; Grade- PAO 8 CST

In Q4-2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in India have shown a declining trend in the domestic market. Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in India has been influenced by lower demand and sufficient supply. Market participants have reduced procurement during the quarter. Q4-2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in India have decreased by 8.32% compared to the previous quarter. This decline has reflected weak consumption and inventory pressure. Domestic market sentiment has remained subdued. In India, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices in December 2025 have decreased by 1.71% compared to the previous month due to weak demand. Trading activity has remained slow.

Global Polyalphaolefin (PAO) market in Q3 2025 exhibited consistent declines across major regions due to weaker lubricant demand and lower feedstock values. Product prices in Q3 trended downward as blending activity softened in the U.S., Europe, and Asia. According to the Price-Watch, regional Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices fell marginally in September 2025. Despite available supply, subdued industrial output sustained the mild bearish product price trend globally.

USA: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Export prices FOB Houston, USA, Grade- 8 CST.

In Q3 2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) product prices in the USA experienced moderate downward adjustments amid easing feedstock costs and weaker lubricant demand. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in the USA reflected declining refinery margins and steady inventory levels. Downstream lubricant manufacturers slowed purchasing due to subdued automotive lubricant blending activity. Product prices in Q3 remained stable early in the quarter before falling slightly toward September.

According to the PriceWatch, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in the USA decreased by a small percentage in September 2025. Global base oil supply flexibility and reduced crude oil volatility supported market stability. Key producers maintained moderate production rates, ensuring sufficient availability across the Gulf Coast market. Overall, the Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in the USA points toward mild bearish pressure moving into Q4 2025.

Belgium: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Export prices FOB Antwerp, Belgium, Grade- 6 CST.

In Q3 2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) product prices in Belgium showed a clear downtrend due to soft export demand across Europe. Refinery output and raw material propylene supply influenced the Polyalphaolefin price trend in Belgium. The European lubricant industry faced slower industrial activity and weaker seasonal demand. Product prices in Q3 were affected by rising energy costs and lower consumption in major downstream sectors.

According to the PriceWatch, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in Belgium declined by a moderate percentage in September 2025. Despite weaker fundamentals, limited production adjustments prevented sharper declines. Key distributors reported manageable inventory conditions through mid-September. The overall Polyalphaolefin price trend in Belgium remains mildly bearish entering Q4, reflecting continued supply-demand imbalances.

Mexico: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Manzanillo, Mexico, Grade- 8 CST.

In Q3 2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) product prices in Mexico registered a moderate dip amid lower import costs and soft regional blending demand. The Polyalphaolefin price trend in Mexico was shaped by reduced buying interest from automotive lubricant firms. Import volumes from the U.S. stayed steady, maintaining sufficient domestic supply levels. Product prices in Q3 saw slight declines driven by competitive pricing among major global suppliers.

According to the PriceWatch, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in Mexico dropped by a small percentage in September 2025. Mexico’s lubricant market remained balanced with stable logistics and steady industrial demand. Market participants anticipate steady consumption in early Q4. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Mexico continues to indicate mild market softness tied to regional macroeconomic sentiment.

China: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Shanghai, China, Grade- 8 CST.

In Q3 2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) product prices in China fell slightly as lubricant manufacturers reduced procurement amid uncertain demand recovery. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in China reflected the effects of slowing industrial growth and declining logistics activity. Domestic lubricant blending margins remained tight due to volatile raw material costs. Product prices in Q3 tracked global supply factors and lower U.S. export offers.

According to the PriceWatch, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in China decreased by a moderate percentage in September 2025. Supply remained balanced due to controlled imports and sufficient inventories at major blending hubs. Soft automotive lubricant demand weighed on marker pricing through August and September. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in China suggests cautious sentiment moving into Q4 2025.

France: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Domestic prices FD Le Havre, France, Grade- 6 CST.

In Q3 2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) product prices in France displayed limited fluctuation amid stable domestic production and moderate consumption. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in France showed gradual easing due to weaker industrial lubrication activity. Receding feedstock costs and efficiency gains supported consistent output levels. Product prices in Q3 remained competitive due to lower European purchasing momentum.

According to the PriceWatch, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in France declined by a mild percentage in September 2025. Regional refineries maintained regular operational rates, supporting product availability. Limited export pull and subdued demand from OEM sectors contributed to minor softening. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in France continues to reflect a balanced yet slightly bearish market sentiment into the next quarter.

Turkey: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Mersin, Turkey, Grade- 6 CST.

In Q3 2025, Polyalphaolefin product prices in Turkey experienced mild weakness amid steady imports and limited downstream movement. The Polyalphaolefin price trend in Turkey remained impacted by subdued lubricant production and moderate industrial output. Product prices in Q3 trended lower due to reduced blending activity and cost-driven purchasing delays.

According to the PriceWatch, Polyalphaolefin price in Turkey declined by a small percentage in September 2025. Distributors reported moderate stock levels and consistent replenishment from European suppliers. Exchange rate fluctuations slightly affected landed cost dynamics across the quarter. The Polyalphaolefin price trend in Turkey will likely follow stable conditions in Q4 as consumption normalizes.

Brazil: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Santos, Brazil, Grade- 6 CST.

In Q3 2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) product prices in Brazil softened as downstream blending firms adjusted procurement strategies. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Brazil followed reduced base oil imports and moderate lubricant industry activity. Product prices in Q3 faced downward corrections linked to lower European export values.

According to the PriceWatch, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in Brazil decreased by a notable percentage in September 2025. Domestic lubricant demand was consistent but tempered by reduced industrial throughput. Importers maintained adequate stocks amid weaker macroeconomic signals. Despite mild pressure, trade flows stayed regular across the primary coastal terminals. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in Brazil suggests gradual stabilization through Q4 2025.

India: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import prices CIF Nhava Sheva, India, Grade- 8 CST.

In Q3 2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) product prices in India under CIF Nhava Sheva terms registered a moderate decline due to weaker buying activity. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in India was influenced by subdued lubricant demand and reduced international offers from U.S. suppliers. Product prices in Q3 moved lower as importers sought to balance inventory levels amid fluctuating freight costs.

According to the PriceWatch, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in India decreased by a small percentage in September 2025. Sufficient product supply and limited downstream blending supported market stability. Import volumes remained consistent through the quarter, ensuring steady availability. The Polyalphaolefin price trend in India is expected to stabilize in early Q4, with marginal improvement in lubricant demand.

India: Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Domestic prices Ex-Mumbai, India, Grade- 8 CST.

In Q3 2025, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) product prices in India at Ex-Mumbai levels showed notable downtrend due to weak regional demand and lower feedstock cost. The Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price trend in India reflected producer efforts to maintain competitiveness amid declining export orders. Product prices in Q3 moved slightly downward as local refiners moderated run rates to prevent oversupply.

According to the PriceWatch, Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in India fell by a noticeable percentage in September 2025. Domestic lubricant blenders reduced procurement, anticipating extended price corrections into the next quarter. Despite softer conditions, supply chains remained resilient across western India. The Polyalphaolefin price trend in India remains under mild pressure but may recover gradually with increased industrial activity in Q4 2025.

According to PriceWatch, global Polyalphaolefin (PAO) prices exhibited visible weakness in Q2 2025, continuing the downward price trend seen since late 2024. PAO-8 CST prices on an FOB Houston basis averaged USD 2,392 per metric ton, dropping 4.66% from the previous quarter, while FOB Antwerp PAO-6 CST stood at USD 2,186 per metric ton, marking a 7.49% decrease. This softening was primarily due to consistent but tepid demand across the automotive and industrial lubricants sectors, paired with restrained downstream activity in major economies.

The price trend indicated that global market participants remained cautious, as steady supply and moderated feedstock costs helped limit volatility. Reviewing the Q2 2025 price trend, prices maintained a relatively narrow range, signalling stable fundamentals despite weak growth signals from end-user industries.

Exporters focused on adapting logistics and optimizing inventory to prevent oversupply in a market increasingly characterized by price-driven competition and inventory discipline. Overall, the global PAO market experienced a period of price consolidation as the sector awaited stronger signals of demand recovery. 

According to PriceWatch, Polyalphaolefin (PAO-8 CST) prices on a CIF Nhava Sheva, India basis averaged USD 2,491 per metric ton in Q2 2025, showing a decrease of 4.67% over Q1, while Ex-Mumbai prices averaged USD 3,392 per metric ton, with a marginal 0.74% uptick. The price trend for imported PAO in India reflected softness, as Indian buyers leveraged lower international prices for competitive procurement, tracking shifts in the global price trend.

The Indian Q2 2025 price trend for CIF cargoes illustrated a gradual slide through April and May, stabilizing in June as both imports and local demand improved. In contrast, the Ex-Mumbai price trend held firm due to higher domestic production costs and resilient end-user demand from the automotive and industrial segments.

The overall Indian PAO market remained driven by supply chain adjustments and localized consumption patterns, with distributors carefully balancing offtake and inventory to shield profit margins amid shifting global dynamics. 

In Q1 2025, US Polyalphaolefin Prices increased by 1.91%, rising to $2,511/MT, signalling a modest recovery after the price decline in the previous quarters. The slight uptick in price reflects a small market rebound driven by a potential rise in demand.

Belgian PAO Prices decreased by 1.58%, dropping to $2,365/MT, indicating a slight correction following the steady price increases in the previous quarter. The market showed signs of stabilizing with minimal changes in demand. 

Q1 2025: Prices rose by 1.99%, reaching $2,615/MT, signaling a modest recovery following the sharp decline in the previous quarter. The slight uptick indicates that market demand is beginning to stabilize after the correction, with some signs of resilience in the market moving into the new year. India Domestic Market Price for PAO inclined to $ 3367 /MT by 1.05%. 

Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Price Trend Analysis: Q4 2024

In Q4 2024, US Polyalphaolefin Prices saw a decrease of 5.08%, falling to $2,464/MT, reflecting a continuation of the downward trend due to sluggish demand and potential oversupply concerns. The market remained under pressure as it moved into the end of the year. Belgian PAO Prices rose by 2.26%, reaching $2,403/MT, driven by continued stability in demand and market recovery, coupled with tighter supply conditions towards the end of the year. 

Q4 2024: Prices fell by 4.72%, dropping to $2,564/MT, as market conditions remained soft. The decline was likely due to continued weakened demand and potential oversupply in the market during the year-end period. The decrease also reflects the broader trend of softer economic conditions affecting market sentiment. India Domestic Market Price for PAO further declined to $ 3332 /MT by -3.17%. 

In Q3 2024, US PAO prices decreased by 3.28%, reaching $2,596/MT. The decrease was driven by continued weaker demand and ongoing softness in the market, as customers hesitated in making large purchases. Belgian PAO Prices increased by 1.03%, reaching $2,350/MT, as market conditions remained stable with moderate demand.  

Q3 2024: Prices decreased by 2.61%, reaching $2,691/MT, as demand remained subdued. While there was some attempt at market recovery, the pace was slow, and the market showed signs of hesitancy, with less aggressive purchasing behavior from buyers compared to earlier periods. India Domestic Market Price for PAO were stabilized to $3441/MT by 0.06%. 

In Q2 2024, US Polyalphaolefin Prices slightly fell by 0.45%, reaching $2,684/MT, reflecting minimal changes in market conditions as demand remained relatively stable, and production levels continued adjusting to lower consumption rates.

Belgian PAO Prices rose by 5.87%, reaching $2,326/MT, reflecting a recovery in demand and market conditions. This increase was driven by stronger purchasing activity and a rebound from the low levels seen in Q1 2024. 

Q2 2024: Prices increased by 0.40%, rising to $2,763/MT, signaling a slight improvement in market conditions. This modest increase suggests that demand was beginning to stabilize, but there was still a lack of strong upward momentum. The market showed some signs of recovery, but it remained cautious with limited volume increases. India Domestic Market Price for PAO declined to $3439 /MT by -3.83%. 

In Q1 2024, US Polyalphaolefin Prices decreased by 16.06%, dropping to $2,696/MT. This sharp decline was driven by reduced demand and a softer market, following a higher price trend in Q4 2023. Belgian PAO Prices decreased by 13.13%, falling to $2,197/MT, driven by weaker demand and market uncertainty. The sharp drop in prices followed the higher prices observed in Q4 2023. 

Q1 2024: Prices dropped by 15.35%, falling to $2,752/MT, after the sharp surge in Q4 2023. This significant price correction reflected a natural market adjustment after an unsustainable spike. Weaker demand in early 2024 and softer overall market conditions contributed to the price decline, as buyers adopted a more cautious approach. India Domestic Market Price for PAO declined to $3576/MT by -3.40%. 

Technical Specifications of Polyalphaolefin (pao) Price Trends

Product Description

Polyalphaolefin (PAO) is a high-performance synthetic lubricant base oil known for its excellent thermal stability, low volatility, and superior oxidative resistance. Ideal for automotive, industrial, and marine applications, PAO offers enhanced wear protection, reduced friction, and improved fuel efficiency.

Its high viscosity index ensures consistent performance across a wide range of temperatures. PAO is compatible with a variety of additives, making it versatile for creating premium lubricants and greases. Trusted by industries worldwide, Polyalphaolefin helps extend equipment life and optimize operational efficiency.

Identifiers and Classification:

CAS No – 68037-01-4

HS Code – 39029000

Molecular Formula –

Molecular Weight (in gm/mol) –


Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Synonyms:

  • PAO
  • Polymerized Alpha Olefin


Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Grades Specific Price Assessment:

  • Polyalphaolefin (PAO – 8 CST)
  • Polyalphaolefin (PAO – 6 CST)


Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Global Trade and Shipment Terms

  • Quotation Terms (Product & Country Specific): 25-28 MT, 10 – 15MT
  • Packaging Type (Product & Country Specific): ISO Tanks, Drums


Incoterms Referenced in PAO Price Reporting

Shipping Term  Location  Definition 
FOB Houston  Houston, USA  Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Export price from USA 
FOB Antwerp  Antwerp, Belgium  Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Export price from Belgium 
CIF Manzanillo (USA)  Manzanillo, Mexico  Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import price in Mexico from USA 
CIF Shanghai (USA)  Shanghai, China  Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import price in China from USA 
FD Le Havre  Le Harve, France  Domestically Traded Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in France 
CIF Mersin (Belgium)  Mersin, Turkey  Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import price in Turkey from Belgium 
CIF Santos (Belgium)  Santos, Brazil  Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import price in Brazil from Belgium 
CIF Nhava Sheva (USA)  Nhava Sheva, India  Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Import price in India from USA 
Ex-Mumbai  Mumbai, India  Domestically Traded Polyalphaolefin (PAO) price in Mumbai 

*Quotation Terms refers to the quantity range specified for the PAO being quoted or offered in a commercial transaction.

**Packaging Type refers to standard packaging size commonly used for PAO packing, ease of handling, transportation, and storage in industrial and commercial applications.

Key Polyalphaolefin (PAO) Manufacturers and their brands

Brand Name  Manufacturer 
Synfluid  Chevron  
Durasyn  INEOS 
Spectrasyn  ExxonMobil 
Molykote  DuPont 
DowSyn  DOWPOL 

Polyalphaolefin (pao) Industrial Applications

Polyalphaolefin market share end use

Historically, several events have caused significant fluctuations in Polyalphaolefin (pao) prices

  • Israel-Hamas Conflict (2023-Present): The ongoing conflict has disrupted trade routes and supply chains in the Middle East, impacting the availability and costs of raw materials essential for Polyalphaolefin production globally. 
  • Russia-Ukraine Conflict (2022-Present): This ongoing war has severely disrupted production and supply chains across Europe, particularly affecting countries like Belgium and France, leading to increased costs and heightened global price volatility for Polyalphaolefin. 
  • Environmental Regulations and Protests (2019-Present): Stricter environmental regulations in various countries, including India and Brazil, along with protests against industrial pollution, have affected production capabilities and increased compliance costs, contributing to price increases for Polyalphaolefin.
  • Global Energy Price Volatility (2021-2022): Fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas prices, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, directly affected the production costs of Polyalphaolefin, resulting in periodic price adjustments. 
  • Texas Winter Storm (2021): Severe winter weather in the U.S. caused production halts at key facilities, impacting the supply of Polyalphaolefin. This event led to temporary spikes in prices due to supply constraints. 
  • COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): The pandemic initially resulted in a sharp decline in demand; however, as economies reopened, demand surged in sectors such as automotive and construction, significantly impacting Polyalphaolefin prices. 
  • Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Wars (2018-2019): Trade tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China, introduced uncertainty in global supply chains, affecting the import and export dynamics for Polyalphaolefin and contributing to price instability. 
  • China’s Economic Slowdown (2015-2019): Slowing growth in China, a major consumer and producer of Polyalphaolefin, led to decreased demand and excess supply, which contributed to significant price fluctuations during this period. 

 

These events underscore the Polyalphaolefin market’s vulnerability to global disruptions and highlight the need for continuous monitoring of supply-demand dynamics. 

Why Price Watch™?

Price Watch™ is your trusted resource for tracking global polyalphaolefin (pao) price trends. Our platform delivers real-time data and expert analysis, offering deep insights into the key factors driving price fluctuations in the polyalphaolefin (pao) market. By monitoring critical events such as geopolitical tensions, supply chain disruptions, and economic shifts, Price Watch™ keeps you fully informed of market dynamics.

In addition, Price Watch™ provides detailed forecasts and updates on production capacities, enabling you to anticipate market changes and make well-informed decisions. With Price Watch™, you gain a competitive edge in understanding all the elements that influence polyalphaolefin (pao) prices worldwide. Stay ahead of the curve with Price Watch’s™ reliable, accurate, and timely polyalphaolefin (pao) market data.

Track Price Watch's™ polyalphaolefin (pao) price assessment on a weekly basis since 2015 onwards, along with short-term forecasts, and get access to the detailed report in a downloadable format.

Polyalphaolefin (pao) Market Price Trend published by Price Watch™ reflect prevailing spot market conditions, derived from independent research, verified trade inputs, and proprietary market intelligence as of the publication date. Prices are published on the specified Incoterm and represent indicative base market levels, exclusive of applicable taxes, VAT, duties, tariffs, and other statutory charges. Actual transaction values may vary depending on volume, credit terms, contractual structure, and other negotiated conditions. Market prices are inherently subject to volatility, liquidity dynamics, regulatory changes, and evolving trade activity. The information provided is for reference and benchmarking purposes only and does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or guarantee of transactional outcomes. Users should exercise independent commercial judgment and assess their specific contractual, regulatory, tax, and application requirements before making business decisions. Price Watch™ assumes no liability for decisions taken based on this information.

The pricing of Polyalphaolefins (PAOs) is influenced by several key factors, including fluctuations in crude oil prices, feedstock availability, and production costs. Additionally, market demand from sectors such as automotive lubricants and industrial applications can lead to price volatility. Understanding these factors is crucial for procurement heads to effectively manage budgets and secure competitive pricing for PAOs.

Market trends significantly influence the availability and pricing of PAOs through changes in demand, production capacity, and technological advancements. For example, increased demand for high-performance lubricants can drive up prices and affect supply. Procurement teams should continuously monitor these trends to ensure a reliable supply chain and anticipate potential disruptions that could impact sourcing strategies.

Sustainability is becoming increasingly important in the procurement of PAOs. When sourcing, procurement heads should assess suppliers based on their environmental practices, adherence to safety regulations, and the use of renewable feedstocks. Prioritizing suppliers with sustainable production methods not only aligns with corporate responsibility goals but also helps mitigate risks associated with changing regulations and consumer preferences for eco-friendly products.

Polyalphaolefin (PAO) is a synthetic base oil widely used in high-performance lubricants, automotive, and industrial applications. Its price directly affects costs of engine oils, gear oils, hydraulic fluids, and specialty lubricants, making PAO pricing critical for manufacturers and end-users globally. Price-Watch™ tracks these prices to help businesses monitor market trends.

PAO prices vary by region and grade, typically quoted per metric ton. Prices change based on feedstock costs, crude oil, energy prices, and industrial demand. Price-Watch™ provides real-time assessments for informed buying and selling decisions.

PAO prices fluctuate due to feedstock cost changes (mainly synthetic hydrocarbons derived from ethylene), crude oil and energy price movements, production capacity utilization, and demand from lubricant, automotive, and industrial sectors. Global capacity expansions, plant maintenance, seasonal consumption patterns, trade flows, and macroeconomic conditions further influence pricing.

The largest buyers are manufacturers of synthetic lubricants for automotive, industrial machinery, and specialty oils. Additional demand comes from hydraulic fluid, gear oil, compressor oil, and transformer oil producers. Price-Watch™ monitors consumption trends across these industries.

PAO is produced by polymerizing alpha-olefins under controlled conditions using catalysts. Major production occurs in integrated petrochemical complexes in the USA, Europe, and Asia. PAO grades vary by viscosity and application requirements. 

The United States, Germany, Belgium, China, and South Korea are among the top exporters. Export volumes depend on regional demand, feedstock availability, production capacity, and trade dynamics. Price-Watch™ tracks global PAO trade flows for market insights.

Supply generally meets demand, but regional shortages can occur due to plant shutdowns, feedstock constraints, or logistics issues. Seasonal spikes in lubricant demand or industrial activity can also tighten the market. Price-Watch™ monitors these dynamics.

PAO prices vary by viscosity grade, purity, and application. Industrial grades for general lubricants are priced lower, while high-viscosity, ultra-pure, or specialty grades for aerospace, automotive, or electronics command premiums. Price-Watch™ tracks each grade separately.

Sudden PAO demand growth from lubricant or industrial sectors typically raises prices. Spot buyers may face limited availability, longer lead times, or premiums. Supply adjustments are limited by polymerization capacity and feedstock availability. Price-Watch™ tracks these trends in real time.

Energy is a key production input for PAO synthesis. Rising electricity, natural gas, or steam costs can increase production expenses. Feedstock costs are closely tied to crude oil and synthetic hydrocarbon markets. Price-Watch™ analyzes these correlations in pricing assessments.

Regional PAO prices depend on local production capacity, feedstock costs, energy expenses, logistics, trade flows, and derivative demand. Areas with limited local production or high transportation costs typically face higher prices, while integrated petrochemical regions enjoy lower pricing.

PAO price forecasts depend on feedstock costs, crude oil and energy trends, capacity expansions, plant turnarounds, demand from lubricant and industrial sectors, trade flows, and macroeconomic indicators. Price-Watch™ publishes 12-month projections to guide purchasing and budgeting decisions.

Yes. Accurate forecasts allow businesses to optimize procurement, negotiate contracts effectively, and plan budgets. Anticipating price increases or decreases can save significant costs and improve supply chain planning.

Events such as geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, plant shutdowns, feedstock supply disruptions, or trade restrictions can tighten supply and increase prices. Price-Watch™ provides timely alerts for market disruptions.

Price-Watch™ collects data from producers, distributors, and buyers globally, publishing price assessments, market reports, and forecasts for all major PAO grades and regions.

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