In Q1 2024, the global Paraxylene market saw an increase-stabilized trend, particularly in South Korea, a major player in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. Prices in South Korea were reported at $1015/MT, showing a modest rise of +0.66% from the previous quarter. This slight increase was primarily driven by rising demand for polyester production as Paraxylene is a key raw material used in making purified terephthalic acid (PTA), which is essential for polyester fibers. The resurgence of the textile and packaging industries further fueled the demand. Additionally, supply chain disruptions due to geopolitical tensions and fluctuating crude oil prices exerted upward pressure on production costs, contributing to the price stability during this period.
In Q2 2024, Paraxylene prices in South Korea experienced a slightly negative trend, dropping to $1010/MT, a -0.33% decrease from Q1. This marginal decline was influenced by a temporary oversupply in the market, as several producers ramped up their production capacities to meet the expected demand from the downstream polyester industry. However, weaker-than-expected demand from the textile sector, particularly in China and India, led to a softening of prices. Globally, crude oil prices saw some moderation during this period, further contributing to the stabilization of Paraxylene prices. In Japan and India, similar trends were observed, with minor fluctuations driven by regional demand and refining activities.
By Q3 2024, the Paraxylene market saw a more pronounced downturn, with prices in South Korea dropping to $940/MT in July, a -5.05% decline from June. This was largely due to a combination of factors, including a significant slowdown in demand from the polyester and textile industries, as global economic uncertainties, inflation, and reduced consumer spending led to lower production needs. Additionally, increased availability of Paraxylene due to higher refinery outputs in the Middle East and Asia contributed to the oversupply situation. Global crude oil prices remained volatile, but improved logistics and more efficient shipping routes helped ease supply chain challenges, which further influenced the price drop.
Looking ahead to Q4 2024, the Paraxylene market is expected to stabilize, although some volatility could persist due to global economic conditions. Demand from the polyester and packaging industries may see a slight uptick as the festive season approaches, boosting production requirements. In South Korea, Japan, and India, the market is likely to remain cautiously optimistic, with price fluctuations largely dependent on global crude oil trends and the pace of recovery in downstream industries such as textiles and packaging. Overall, the Paraxylene market may experience moderate price movements as it navigates these external pressures in the upcoming quarter.